NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Friday, December 16th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
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Miami is 7-2 with two losses vs top 30 teams (Iowa St/Florida); Hurricanes are #268 experience team playing #266 pace- they’re 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with three wins by 30+ points and a 74-57 win over Wofford. Florida Atlantic is 2-5 vvs D-i teams but upset Ohio State in OT in its last game 10 days ago; Owls made 10-25 on arc in that game, are making 38.1% of their 3’s for season- they have four losses to teams ranked outside the top 200. ACC home favorites are 29-19 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 21-19.
Tex-Arlington won its last five D-I games with last four of those on road; Mavericks are #15 experience team but still turn ball over 23.2% of time, which is way too much. UTA blasted Bradley by 11-36 points last two years; they made 17-40 on arc in LW’s win. Bradley is 5-5 this year vs schedule #303; they’re 3rd-least experienced team in country, with no seniors in their rotation. Braves are 2-2 at home, losing to Delaware/Nevada by 14-22 points. Sun Belt road favorites are 4-3 vs spread; MVC home underdogs are 3-2.
First game in 11 days for Portland, after they beat Rio Grande in double OT last game; Pilots are 4-3 vs D-i foes under new coach Porter- they’re shooting 37.9% on arc (#72) and are #58 experience team. South Dakota is 6-4 vs schedule #231; Coyotes are #294 experience team that got put together for first time this year. USD has #308 eFG%, making just 44.9% inside arc. South Dakota is 1-2 on road, with only win by 5 at Drake. WCC home favorites are 22-13 vs spread; Summit League road underdogs are 16-22.
Long Beach State is a road favorite despite being 1-10 vs D-I opponents, with only win by 9 over Pepperdine nine days ago. 49ers over scheduled again; they’ve played 2nd-hardest schedule in America so far, but thats because guarantee $$ helps pay their coach’s inflated salary. Oregon State has ton of injuries, with Tinkle/Dew/N’diaye all out hurt. Beavers have already lost at home to Lamar and Savannah State, no bueno. Big West favorites are 2-3 away from home; Pac-12 home underdogs are 1-2.
Rider is 6-3 vs schedule #301; they’ve #96 experience team playing #43 pace. Broncs are shooting 29% on arc (#327), 60.5% on foul line (#337) but they have #43 eFG% defense so that helps. Drexel has new coach, is 4-5 vs schedule #249; they lost by point to St Joe’s in last game after leading by 11 with under 15:00 left. Dragons start two frosh, two juniors; they’re #223 experience team. Rider Rider is 5-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200. MAAC home favorites are 1-3 vs spread; CAA road underdogs are 13-8.
South Alabama won in double OT at Samford LY, after being down 10 with 7:48 left in regulation; both teams were under 60% on foul line. USA lost four of its last five games after a 4-0 start; Jags are shooting just 28.5% on arc (#333)- they force turnovers 23.7% of time (#19). Samford is 5-3 vs schedule #316; Bulldogs are making 38.8% of 3-pointers, despite being #320 team in experience. This is Samford’s first D-I game in twelve days. Sun Belt home favorites are 7-6 vs spread; SoCon road underdogs are 15-12.
North Dakota State was 1-20 on arc in 74-56 home loss to North Dakota nine days ago in Fargo; Bison beat UC Davis by 4 since then; they’re 2-2 in true road games, 1-4 vs top 200 teams, with only win in opener vs Arkansas State. North Dakota is 2-3 vs D-i teams with losses by 1-4-8 points (and three non-D-I wins). Fighting Hawks had lost by 2-29 points in last couple series games. Big Sky home favorites are 3-8 vs spread; Summit League road underdogs are 16-22 against the spread.
San Francisco is 7-1 vs easiest schedule in America up to now; every team they’ve played is rated #235 or lower, with only loss by 6 at #239 Eastern Washington. Dons are making 40.7% of their 3’s, have #4 eFG% in country- they hammered Portland State 77-40 in last meeting couple years ago. Vikings are 2-4 but they did win 91-85 at Pepperdine of WCC, their only win in five true road games- they lost by 16 at LMU. PSU has #344 eFG% defense in country. WCC home favorites are 22-13 vs spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 24-26.
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