NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Friday, February 10th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
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Rhode Island won/covered its last four games; they’re 4-1 at home in A-14, 2-3 as home faves, with wins by 30-2-12-12 points and a loss to LaSalle. Dayton won three in row, six of last seven games; they’re 3-2 on A-14 road, 2-0 as a road underdog, with losses by 12 at UMass, by 5 at VCU. URI lost 67-64 at Dayton in first meeting Jan 6, after URI jumped out to early 19-9 lead. Flyers won last five series games, winning 68-66 here LY. A-14 home favorites of 3 or less points are 4-5 vs spread.
Detroit stunned Oakland 93-88 in first meeting Jan 13, forcing 25 turnovers, holding Grizzlies to 6-26 on arc; Detroit was down 12 in first half, just Titans’ second win in seven Horizon League meetings. Detroit is 4-4 in its last eight games after a 2-14 start; they’re 2-3 at home, beating Youngstown/Green Bay. Grizzlies won its last three games; they’re 5-1 on Horizon road, with only loss by 21 at Wright State. Horizon League road favorites of more than five points are 7-1 vs spread this season. Detroit will honor its great 1977 team tonight, which won 21 games in a row; that team was coached by Dick Vitale.
Yale won its last four games, covered its last three; they’re 5-1 in Ivy, with five of the six games on road- they beat Brown by 10 in only home game. Dartmouth is 1-5 in Ivy League, 0-3 as a road underdog, losing by 14-12-13 points on foreign soil. Yale is just 5-3 in last eight games with Dartmouth; they’re 12-1 in last 13 home games vs Big Green, but won 76-71 in OT here LY. Dartmouth is turning ball over 22.6% of time in conference games, which is bad. Ivy League favorites of 8+ points are 2-1-2 vs spread this season.
Princeton is 6-0 in Ivy games (4-2 vs spread); they’re 3-0 as a home favorite, winning by 9-31-8 points in Jadwin Gym. Cornell is 2-4 in ivy with five of six games at home; they upset Columbia in their only Ivy road game so far. Tigers are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time in Ivy games; 6-0 this season vs teams ranked outside top 200, with wins by 16-13-28-29-31-5 points. Princeton won three in row, eight of last nine games with Cornell, winning last six meetings here, all by 13+ points. Ivy League favorites of 8+ points are 2-1-2 vs spread this season.
Columbia won three of its last four games; they won by 4 at Cornell in only Ivy road game so far. Lions are shooting 36.8% on arc in league games, best in Ivy; they force turnovers 24.7% of time, best in league. Penn is 0-6 in Ivy tilts (0-6 vs spread), losing home games by 8-12-15 points. Quakers are shooting only 29.4% on arc, 63.6% on foul line in league games. Columbia won four of last five games with Penn, but lost five of last six visits to the Palestra. Single digit home favorites are 5-2 vs spread in Ivy League this season.
Harvard better not look ahead to Saturday’s game with rival Yale; Crimson is 4-2 in Ivy games, with two losses by total of 4 points- they split their two road games, winning by 6 at Cornell, losing by 3 at Columbia. Brown lost three of last four games; they lost by point at Yale in only Ivy home game. Bruins play fastest tempo in league but also put opponents on foul line the most. Harvard won its last 12 games with Brown, winning last six visits here, with two of last three games here going OT. Ivy League road favorites are 2-4-1 vs spread.
Niagara upset Canisius 91-84 at home Jan 23, just second win in last series games; Griffins won two of last three series games here, winning by 13-5 points. Niagara lost three of its last four games, is 3-4 as a road underdog, losing away games by 6-11-9-20-8 points, with wins at Iona/St Peter’s, two of better teams in league. Canisius won three of last four games; they’re 3-2 as home favorites, winning home games by 3-6-33-14 points, with losses to Monmouth/Rider. MAAC home favorites of 8+ points are 8-11-1 vs spread.
Monmouth won its last ten games, is 0-3 vs spread in last three; Hawks are 5-1 SU on road, 2-4 as road favorites, with wins by 19-7-4-12-5 points and loss at St Peter’s. Manhattan lost five of last seven games, is 3-4 at home in MAAC. with losses by 1-18-15-13 points- they’re 1-3 as a home underdog. Monmouth was 33-44 on foul line in 82-71 win over Manhattan in first meeting Jan 20, their second win in row over the Jaspers after five straight losses. Hawks lost two of three MAAC visits here, winning 79-70 in Draddy Gym LY.
Akron is 10-1 in MAC, 0-4 vs spread in last four games, 2-2 as a road favorite, winning home games by 4-4-10-3 points, with loss at Ohio. Eastern Michigan lost three in row, five of last six games; they’re 2-3 at home in MAC, losing by 9-8-6 points. Akron never trailed in 70-63 home win over EMU Jan 20, despite going 17-38 on foul line; Zips are 8-1 in last eight series games- teams split last four meetings played here, with Eagles winning 78-75 in last one, in ’15. MAC road favorites of 2 or less points are 3-4-1 vs spread this season.
Ohio U is 3-5 in its last eight games, 3-2 SU on road, with losses by 15 at Akron, by 15 at Western Michigan. Bobcats make 40.7% of their 3’s, best in MAC- they’re also #1 in MAC at defending the arc. Ball State is 6-1 in MAC when they score 80+ points, 0-4 when they do not; Cardinals are 4-2 at home in MAC, with losses to Bowling Green, Buffalo. Ohio U won its last seven games with Ball State, winning last four visits to Muncie by 1-27-9-4 points. MAC home teams are 11-4-1 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less points.
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Trends to Watch - Friday
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Top of the Atlantic
The showcase game on Friday night takes place between two of the top three teams in the Atlantic 10 as Rhode Island hosts Dayton. The Flyers edged the Rams in their earlier matchup in January, 67-64 for their fifth win over URI in the last six meetings.
The Rams are riding a four-game SU/ATS hot streak, as Dan Hurley’s squad owns an 11-1 home record this season. The Flyers have won each of their last three games, while owning a 4-1 ATS mark in A-10 road contests.
Not So Golden Grizzlies
Oakland looks to extend its winning streak to four with a trip to Detroit, but the Golden Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in seven of the past nine games. One of those ATS setbacks came as a heavy 18½-point home favorite to Detroit in mid-January in a 93-88 defeat, the first loss to the Titans since January 2015.
Metro Madness
Three seasons ago, Manhattan represented the MAAC in the NCAA Tournament. However, the Jaspers have fallen back recently as Monmouth is now the new king of the league. The Hawks head to Manhattan looking to improve on a 12-2 conference mark, while going for the sweep of the Jaspers.
Monmouth has failed to cover the number in three straight games, although the Hawks are riding a 10-game hot streak. The Hawks have put together a 1-4 ATS record in the past five road games, while not cashing in an 82-71 win over Manhattan as 13½-point favorites. The Jaspers are 0-3 ATS in the past three contests, while finishing UNDER the total in eight of the last nine games overall.
Canisius has caught fire of late by winning three of four to improve to 8-6 in MAACtion. The Golden Griffins return home following road wins at Siena and St. Peter’s to host Niagara, who has dropped two straight. The Purple Eagles are 1-4 SU/ATS the last five away contests, but knocked off Canisius as a 4½-point home underdog last month, 91-84.
Climb the Ivy
It isn’t a Friday night in college basketball without a full slate of Ivy League action. Harvard and Brown both look to get back on track after suffering close losses last Saturday. The Crimson has lost two of three since a 3-0 start in conference play, but has won 14 consecutive meetings with the Bears since 2010. Brown has played five of six Ivy games on the road, but return home where they own a 5-1 ATS mark in the last six home conference contests.
Columbia is turning into a force in the Ivy with a 4-2 record, including three wins in their last four games. The Lions head to Penn looking to avoid an upset against a Quakers’ squad that is 0-6 SU/ATS inside the Ivy this season. Columbia has captured victories in four of the past five meetings with Penn, while winning six of its last eight road Ivy League contests.
Dartmouth owns one more league win than Penn, as the Big Green heads to Yale looking to hand the Bulldogs their second Ivy loss. Yale seeks its fifth consecutive victory after playing five of its last six games on the road, while posting a 4-1 ATS mark in the favorite role. The Bulldogs swept the season series from Dartmouth in 2016, but both games were decided by 10 points or less.
The only undefeated team in the Ivy is Princeton (6-0), who returns home after three road victories to host Cornell. The Big Red has stumbled of late by losing three of the past four, including recent home defeats to Brown and Yale. Princeton has owned Cornell by winning eight of the last nine meetings, including a pair of double-digit victories last season.
Big MAC
Ball State and Ohio tip off the night with a 6:30 PM EST matchup in Muncie as both teams own 6-5 records inside the conference. The Bobcats have won seven straight against the Cardinals since 2012, while trying to hand Ball State its third straight loss. Ball State has struggled of late as a favorite by compiling an 0-4 ATS mark in its last four, while Ohio has alternated wins and losses in its past seven contests after losing at home to Central Michigan.
Akron rebounded from its first MAC loss of the season last weekend as the Zips go for the season sweep of Eastern Michigan. The Zips will be the top seed in the MAC tournament barring a late meltdown at 10-1, but Akron has failed to cover the number in the last four games. EMU has gone backwards of late by losing five of its past six contests, while posting a 1-4 ATS mark at home inside the MAC (all as a favorite).