NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Friday, November 11th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
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Clemson is back home in remodeled ($63.5M) Littlejohn Coliseum this year. Georgia hammered Tigers 71-48 LY; game was 39-24 at half. Dawgs shot 65% for game, have 8 of top 10 guys back from LY. Both teams have 3 of 5 starters back; Clemson has ???’s at point guard. LY, ACC teams were 12-8 vs SEC squads- they were 5-4 vs spread when favored.
James Madison-Old Dominion used to be CAA rivals but haven’t met since ODU jumped leagues for football reasons. JMU won last two meetings- they fired coach Brady LY after a 21-11 year that saw them lose in 1st round of CAA tourney. Dukes have 4 starters back from LY. Monarchs lost top 2 scorers from LY but their other three starters are back.
Temple had already lost three of top four scorers from LY when they lost two more guards to injury after season, including their starting PG; they’re young, thin now. Owls won 10 of last 11 games with city rival LaSalle, winning last two by 1-13 points. Explorers have four starters back plus three transfers eligible but they were 9-22 LY.
Cal-Irvine won 73-63 at Utah State LY; 7-6 Ndiaye had 4 blocked shots, but he is gone now and Anteaters are much younger this year, with only one starter back from 28-10 team. Utah State has seven new guys after T8 finish in 11-team Mountain West LY. Last year, Mountain West teams were 6-5 against the Big West, 2-1 vs spread when the underdog.
Saint Mary’s has its whole team back from LY and is a top 20 preseason team nationally; Gaels missed out on NCAAs despite being 27-5 on Selection Sunday- their non-conference schedule was #203 of 351. Nevada won CBI LY; they’ve got 4 starters back, plus 3 transfers eligible as former NBA coach Musselman stocks his shelves. Wolf Pack was 24-14 in his first year LY.
San Diego State missed NCAAs LY and big part of reason was 53-48 loss to San Diego, game that was played outdoors at Petco Park- loss ended 9-game series win streak for Aztecs, with three of last four series wins by 12 or less points. Aztecs have 3 starters back, will try to play faster. USD had 5 kids transfer/run off- they have only one junior and one senior. MW teams were 10-4 vs WCC LY, 2-2 vs spread when the underdog.
Harvard-Stanford is in China, for whatever reason. Harvard has its PG back he missed LY with a bum knee; they also had solid recruiting class. Stanford has new coach, former UAB coach Haase; Cardinal has 4 starters back but their best player left. Stanford will need its freshmen to be solid contributors to have a successful season. Pac-12 won/covered three games with Ivy League LY, winning by 37-14-12 points.
Vanderbilt changed coaches, lost 2 transfers and are unsure about who their PG is, but they do have 3 starters back from LY. Marquette has 4 starters back and is expected to play small a lot this year- they’re 33-32 in Wojo’s first two years as head coach. Vandy was 66-54 in SEC play last 7 years; they’ll miss Stallings. Big East teams were 8-2 vs SEC LY, 2-2 when the underdog.
Arizona is apparently down to 7 scholarship players with SF Trier (eligiblity ?’s) not making trip to Hawai’i. Wildcats are reloading with top 4 scorers from LY not here- they’re still talented, but not as deep/experienced as usual. Michigan State brought in three good freshmen, has a junior PG, young team- they head to NYC after this to play Kentucky. Izzo teams are usually way better in March than November.
Kansas lost six guys from LY but reloaded and is a top 5 preseason team. they do have three starters back from LY. Indiana lost 2 of top 3 scorers but good a transfer PG from Pitt plus their big guy Bryant shunned NBA to come back, which helps. Hoosiers have only one senior, but have 3 starters back from LY. Big 14 teams were only 2-6 vs Big X LY, 2-3 vs spread when they were the underdog.
Tennessee has 7 freshman; they’re more talented, deeper but way younger than they’ve been in a while. Vols were 31-35 the last two years. Chattanooga was 29-6 LY, losing to Indiana in NCAAs; they’ve got a senior PG, 5 new guys- this game will mean lot more to them than the Tennessee kids. SEC teams were 4-1 vs SoCon teams LY, 3-2 vs spread (all as favorites).
South Dakota State’s coach left after 21 years last spring to go to Wright State ($500K/year); Jackrabbits have 2 starters back from a 26-8 team that lost to Maryland by 5 in NCAA’s last year. California got NBA prospect Rabb back after he shunned NBA, a huge break for them. Bears are deep at guard, might lack for 3-point shooting. Pac-12 teams were 2-0 vs Summit teams LY, but didn’t cover either game.
USC made NCAAs LY for first time in 5 years but because of attrition now have only 2 juniors, 1 senior on squad. Trojans are expected to regress some this year. Montana has 4 starters back f54.1 pts/game) from LY’s team- Griz have gone 28-8 in Big Sky last two years but lost in finals of conference tourney both times. Pac-12 teams were 9-2 vs Big Sky LY, 6-5 vs spread.
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