NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, February 13th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NCAAB Knowledge
Georgia State had its 9-game win streak snapped Saturday; they’re 4-2 on Sun Belt road, 3-1 as road favorites, with wins by 8-15-6-3 points on foreign soil, and losses at Ga Southern and App State. Coastal Carolina won three of last four games; they’re 5-1 at home in Sun Belt, with only loss by hoop to Texas State. State was 15-33 on arc in 76-56 win over Coastal Jan 21, in game where total of 12 foul shots were taken. Chanticleers were 9-35 on arc. Sun Belt road favorites of 3 or less points are 4-2 vs spread this season.
Baylor outscored Texas Tech 26-9 on foul line in 65-61 home win Jan 25, in brickfest where teams shot combined 9-39 on arc. Bears are 9-2 in last 11 games with Tech, winning six of last seven visits to Lubbock. Baylor is 4-2 on Big X road, 3-1 as a home favorite, with two losses at West Va/Kansas- their road wins are by 26-9-9-3 points. Tech lost its last two games by a point each; they lost five of last six overall, are 2-0 as a home underdog this season. Big X road favorites of 3 or less points are 6-4 vs spread this season.
Louisville is back at full strength; they won four of last five games, are 3-3 on ACC road, with losses at ND/FSU/Virginia. Cardinals are 2-0 as road favorites; faves covered five of their six ACC road games. Syracuse is 4-3 in its last seven games with Louisville, winning two of last three meetings here. Orangemen won five of last six games; they won/covered all six of their ACC home games- they were an underdog in three of them. ACC ACC road favorites of 4 or less points are 7-3-1 vs spread this season.
Georgia Southern outscored Appalachian State 34-14 on foul line in 92-88 home win over ASU Jan 21; Eagles were 34-47 on line, App State 14-22. GSU is 5-0 vs App State in Sun Belt tilts, winning 77-58/101-100 in two visits here. Eagles are 9-3 in Sun Belt but they lost last three road games, giving up 81 pts/game. ASU upset Ga State Saturday; they’re 2-3 at home in league, beating Arkansas State/Georgia State. Sun Belt road teams are 8-4 against the spread in games with spread of 2 or less points.
UL-Lafayette lost its last four games and seven of last nine; they’re 0-6 vs spread in Sun Belt home games (all as favorite), losing four of last five SU. South Alabama/UL-Lafayette split their last six meetings; USA won three of its last five games in Lafayette, but lost here 92-82 here LY and also lost by 22 to Cajuns in Sun Belt tourney. Jaguars won three of last four games, are 4-2 as a road underdog- they lost road games by 1-5-17-12 points- they won last two home games. Sun Belt home favorites of 6 or less points are 10-14 vs spread this season.
Texas State won four of last five games; they’re 4-2 at home in Sun Belt, 2-2 as a home favorite, with home wins by 9-8-6-7 points, and losses to Coastal/UL-Lafayette. Bobcats won their last three games with Arkansas State by 10-10-11 points; home side won four of last five series games. ASU had its 7-game win streak snapped Saturday; they’re 3-3 on Sun Belt road- dogs covered five of the six games. Red Wolves are 1-2 as a Sun Belt road favorite. Sun Belt road favorites of 3 or less points are 4-2 vs spread this season.
Troy is 6-0 vs spread on Sun Belt road, but were underdog in all six games; they’re 3-3 SU in league road games, with wins by 3-9-12 points. Trojans are 1-2 as a Sun Belt favorite. UL-Monroe is 1-11 in Sun Belt, 1-4 at home; they’re 2-2 as a home underdog, losing home games by 8-2-10-3 points- their only win was at home vs Little Rock. ULM won its last four games with Troy, winning by 9-11 points in last two played here. Sun Belt road favorites of 3 or less points are 4-2 against the spread this season.
DePaul lost its last seven games; Blue Demons are 3-2 as a home underdog, with home losses by 6-1-3-13 points and win over Providence. Villanova won its last four games, is 3-2-1 as road favorites, with wins by 10-13-9-16 points, with losses at Butler/Marquette. DePaul led 53-52 at Villanova with 5:36 left Dec 28, but lost 68-65, their 13th strait series loss. Wildcats won last six visits to Chicago, by 2-2-23-25-13-27 points. Double digit favorites are 8-8-1 against the spread in Big East games this season, 1-1-1 on road.
Kansas is 0-6 vs spread in its last six games (4-2 SU); when star PG Mason fouled out with 3:02 left Saturday in Lubbock, he looked exhausted. Jayhawks are 1-5 as a home favorite, with hone wins by 2-17-7-12-5 points and loss to Iowa St. West Virginia hammered Kansas 85-69 at home Jan 24 and Jayhawks were 13-29 on arc. Home side won last eight regular season meetings. WVU is 0-4 in Lawrence, losing by 26-14-7-10 points. WVU is 4-2 on big X road; they beat Virginia in only other game this season where they were an underdog. Big X home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-7-1 vs spread this season.
Little Rock swept Tex-Arlington by 6-12 points LY; teams split six Sun Belt meetings- Trojans won two of three visits to Arlington. UALR lost its last six games (2-4 vs spread); they’re 2-2 as a road underdog, losing Sun Belt road games by 3-6-16-7 points- they covered three of their last nine games. Arlington won six of its last seven games (5-2 vs spread), is 4-1-1 as a home favorite, with home wins by 21-15-16-37-15-6 points. Double digit home favorites are 6-3-1 vs spread in Sun Belt games this season.
Furman won its last eight games (7-1 vs spread); they’re in first place in SoCon. Paladins are 4-2 on SoCon road, 1-1 as road favorites, with wins by 10-6-2-8 on foreign soil. VMI covered four of last five games; they’re 2-2 as a home underdog, losing home games by 9-2-10-30 points. Furman was 14-24 on arc in 89-72 home win over VMI Jan 21; Paladins jumped out to 25-8 lead in first 10:00- they won last three series games, by 28-12-17 points. SoCon road favorites of 7+ points are 3-6 vs spread this season.
Monmouth won its last 11 games but is 0-4 against the spread in last four; Hawks are 2-5 as road favorites, winning away games by 19-7-4-12-5-4 points- their only road loss was by 10 at St Peter’s. Siena won three of last four games, but they lost last two home games, to Canisius, Iona. Monmouth won its last four games with Siena, winning 83-64/93-87 in last two visits here; Hawks have 3-game lead for top seed in MAAC with five games left to play. Road favorites of 3 or less points are 4-2 vs spread this season.
Fairfield won/covered four of last five games, is 3-3 as a home favorite- they’re 3-4 SU in MAAC home games, 3-3 on road. Rider lost seven of last ten games; they’re 2-2 as road underdogs, with road losses by 3-10-5-13 points- they’re 3-4 SU on MAAC road. Broncs won 112-107 in last game on Saturday- three guys played 35:00+. Fairfield was 25-36 on foul line at Rider in 76-67 road win back on Dec 1; Stags won last three series games by 4-5-9 points, but Broncs won two of last three visits here. MAAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 10-12 vs spread.
Armadillosports.com
NCAAB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
West Virginia at Kansas
Kansas Jayhawks (22-3, 7-15 ATS) sqeeking past Texas Tech 80-79 in Lubbock Saturday return to the comfort of Allen Fieldhouse and will host Big-12 rival West Virginia Mountaineers (20-5, 11-9 ATS) entering off an 85-66 spanking of K-State.
Jayhawks netting 83.5 points/game face a stiff test. The Mountaineers are no slouches when it comes to scoring (86.0) and are one of the best at keeping the ball out of their own basket giving up just 65.8 points/game on 42.3% from the field, 35.0% from long range.
Kansas with a single blemish the past 42 in front of the home audence will play a big part in Jayhawks' winning this contest. However, covering hasn't been automatic money for Jayhawks in Lawrence. They're 17-18-1 ATS in those home games including 2-7 ATS this campaign. Jayhawks also enter the contest a money-burning 2-9-1 against the betting line this season running the hardwood vs a Big-12 opponent.
Monday's Tip Sheet
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
Two Top 5 men’s basketball powers help get a new week of betting action underway as part of ESPN’s Big Monday double header. Starting in the ACC, the No. 4 Louisville Cardinals will look to keep pace in the regular season conference title race with a road win at the Carrier Dome against the Syracuse Orange.
Later that night in a big showdown in the Big 12, the No. 13 West Virginia Mountaineers go on the road to face off against the No. 3 Kansas Jayhawks.
No. 4 Louisville Cardinals at Syracuse Orange
Opening Odds: Louisville -4
Betting Matchup
The Cardinals bounced back from a bad 71-55 loss to Virginia last week as 6½-point road underdogs with a 71-66 victory against Miami this past Saturday, but they could not cover as eight-point favorites at home. These two setbacks against the spread followed six-straight covers in their previous six games. The total has gone OVER in four of Louisville’s last five outings.
Both sophomore guard Donovan Mitchell and sophomore forward Deng Adel off the bench scored a game-high 18 points in Saturday’s win as the Cardinals (20-5 SU, 16-7 ATS) erased a seven-point deficit at the half against the Hurricanes.
Louisville has averaged 81.4 points per game over its last five contests as opposed to a 77.2 point scoring average on the year.
Syracuse fell a game and a half off the pace in the ACC at 8-5 SU with Saturday’s 80-75 loss to Pittsburgh on the road in a game that closed as a PICK. This snapped a SU five-game winning streak both SU and ATS. The total went OVER 146 in that loss and it has gone OVER in the last eight games.
The Orange (16-10 SU, 11-10 ATS) got a strong effort from senior guards Andrew White III and John Gillon in the loss to Pitt with 20 points each. White leads the team in scoring this season with 17.7 PPG and Gillon is the team leader in assists with 5.3.
The Orange are averaging 76.7 PPG on offense and they are giving up an average of 70 points at the other end of the court.
Betting Trends
The Cardinals are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU win and they have gone 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 10 games played on Monday.
The Orange have covered ATS in their last seven home games and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU loss. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in 20 of their last 27 ACC games.
Head-to-head in this conference clash, the home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in the last five games played at Syracuse.
No. 13 West Virginia Mountaineers at No. 3 Kansas Jayhawks
Opening Odds: Kansas -4
Betting Matchup
With a pair of victories both SU and ATS in a road game against Oklahoma and a home game against Kansas State, the Mountaineers are now two games in back of Kansas for the lead in the Big 12 standings at 8-4 SU.
They are 4-2 ATS in their last six games and the total has gone OVER in nine of their last 12 games. West Virginia is 20-5 SU overall with a 13-9 record ATS.
Junior guard Jevon Carter led all scorers in the Mountaineers’ 85-66 rout of Kansas State this past Saturday as 7½-point home favorites. He ended the game with 19 points while going 6-for-11 from the field. He is the team’s leading scorer this season with 11.8 PPG as part of a trio of players putting up at least 11 points a game. West Virginia is ranked 10th in the nation in scoring with an average of 86 PPG.
The No. 3 team in the nation survived another nail biter in Saturday’s 80-79 victory against Texas Tech as 4½-point road favorites. Kansas has now failed to cover in six of its last seven games including a PUSH against Kansas State last Monday in a tight 74-71 win on the road.
The Jayhawks are 10-2 SU in Big 12 play as part of an overall SU record of 22-3, but they fall to a costly 7-15-1 ATS. The total went OVER 142 ½-points in the win against Texas Tech after staying UNDER in eight of their previous nine games.
Senior guard Frank Mason III leads the team in both points (20.1) and assists (4.9) and he has exceeded that scoring average in three of his last five starts.
Betting Trends
The Mountaineers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine Monday games, but they have failed to cover in four of their last five games following an ATS win. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in five of their last six road games.
The Jayhawks have failed to cover ATS in their last four home games, but they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games played on a Monday. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in their last four Monday games.
The home team in this Big 12 tilt is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings including West Virginia’s 85-69 romp over Kansas on Jan. 24 as a 3½-point home favorite. The total stayed UNDER the 158½-point line in that game and it has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings between the two.