NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, January 16th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
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Butler won four of its last five games, with only loss by 11 at Creighton; they’re 3-0 in conference home games, winning by 17-8-5 points, including a win over Villanova. Bulldogs have #28 eFG% defense, forcing turnovers 21.3% of time. Marquette is 3-2 in Big East games, with home side winning all five games; they lost conference road games by 3 at Seton Hall, 12 at Villanova. Home side won five of six Marquette-Butler Big East games; Golden Eagles lost last three games in Hinkle Fieldhouse, by 12-21-21 points- they’re shooting 44% on arc in league games.
Xavier lost its last two games, allowing 81 pts/game; they’re 2-0 in Big East home games, with wins by 26 over Providence, 15 over St John’s. Musketeers lost a tough game at Butler two days ago; Creighton hammered Truman State to prep for this. Bluejays are making 65.5% of its shots inside arc in Big East play; they scored 84.8 pts/game in winning last four games since their only loss, by 10 at home to Villanova. Bluejays are 4-3 vs Xavier in Big East play, losing two of three here, with losses by 6-5 points; underdogs covered six of seven series games.
St John’s won three of last four games with DePaul; they beat Blue Demons 79-73 in Chicago 15 days ago, DePaul lost last seven visits to St John’s, losing by 20-25-7-5-8-8-15 points. Red Storm lost its last four games, all by 13+ points, allowing 84.3 pts/game- both their big East home losses were by 13 points. DePaul lost six of its last seven games and was down 12 with 7:22 to play in the one win; they’re 0-3 in Big East road games, losing by 3-25-31 points. Big East home favorites of 6+ points are 10-1 vs spread this season.
Villanova won its last three games by 12-25-13 points after its only loss, at Butler; Wildcats are 3-0 in Big East home games, winning by 3-12-25 points. Villanova is shooting 63.7% inside arc in league games; their eFG% is 59% in Big East play. Seton Hall lost its last two games by total of seven points; they’re 0-3 in Big East road games, losing by 14-3-4 points. Wildcats won three of last four games with Seton Hall, losing 69-67 to the Pirates in Big East tourney last March. Villanova won two of last three visits to Newark, winning by 1-16 points.
North Carolina won its last four games since getting upset by Ga Tech, winning its last two home games by 51 over NC State, 13 over Florida State. Tar Heels play fastest pace in ACC, are rebounding 43.1% of their missed shots in ACC games. North Carolina won its last three games with Syracuse by 10-11-5 points; Orangemen lost 93-83/75-70 in last two visits here. Syracuse won three of last four games but all three wins were at home; they’re 0-2 on road, losing by 15 at BC, 10 at Va Tech. ACC home faves of 8+ points are 4-5 vs spread this month.
Detroit is only 3-14, but won last game as a 20-point underdog at Oakland Friday night. Titans are 1-4 in Horizon games, losing at home to No Kentucky by 11, Wright St by 13. Detroit won its last seven games with Youngstown State, beating Penguins by 13-13 points in last two Horizon tourneys. Youngstown lost its last four visits to Motor City by 11-2-6-9 points, with two of those games going to OT. Penguins are 3-7 in their last ten games, with two of wins in OT. Horizon League home favorites of 5 or less points are 1-5 against the spread.
Valparaiso won five of its last six games, with only loss at home to Oakland; they split two home games in league, beating 3-14 Detroit by 7. Crusaders are shooting just 25.7% on arc in league games. Valparaiso won four of last five games with Green Bay; teams met in three of last four Horizon tourneys. Green Bay lost its last five visits here, by 3-12-15-4-15 points. Phoenix won last seven games, are 5-0 in Horizon, winning road games by 13 at Youngstown, at Cleveland State in OT. Horizon League home favorites are 7-9 against the spread, 3-3 if laying 8+ points.
Georgia Southern is 4-0 in Sun Belt, only unbeaten in league; they won only road game by 5 at ULL Saturday, game they trailed by 7 early in second half. Eagles play four sophs, four juniors; they’re shooting 58.8% inside arc while playing fastest place in Sun Belt. Georgia Southern split its last four games with UL-Monroe; three of four games were decided by 4 or less points- they won 57-53 in last visit here, in 2015. ULM is 0-4 in league, but losses to Little Rock, Georgia State were both in overtime. Sun Belt road favorites are 2-4 against the spread.
Home side won all five Sun Belt games between Tex-Arlington and South Alabama; Mavericks lost last three visits here, by 5-6-3 points. Arlington allowed 87 pts/game in losing its last two games, after a 12-3 start; they’re 6-5 in true road games, with three wins by 5 or less points. South Alabama split its first four league games; two were decided by one point, the other two in OT. Jaguars lost seven of last nine D-i games, with wins over teams ranked #166/244- they’re 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 12-34 points. Sun Belt road favorites are 2-4 vs spread.
Georgia State split its first four Sun Belt games, with last three all decided by 3 or less points or in OT. Panthers are 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 8 at Purdue, 22 at Miss State, winning at Middle Tennessee. UL-Lafayette split its first four Sun Belt games, with losses decided by total of 8 points. Georgia State won three of last four games with UL-Lafayette; they won three of last four visits to Lafayette. Five of last seven series games were decided by 4 or less points. Sun Belt home favorites home favorites of 7+ points are 2-5-1 against the spread.
Providence won its last five games with Georgetown, winning by 3-4 points in last two played here. Friars beat Hoyas 76-70 at home 12 days ago, outscoring Georgetown 22-8 on foul line. Providence is 0-3 on Big East road, losing by 26 at Xavier, 17 at Butler; in the loss at DePaul Friars led by 12 with 7:22 to play. Georgetown won its last two games after a 4-game skid; they beat UConn by 3 in a non-league game Saturday. Friars are playing slowest games in Big East this year. Big East home favorites of 6+ points are 10-1 vs spread this season.
Kansas won its last 15 games since losing season opener in OT to Indiana; Jayhawks are 5-0 in Big X games, winning road games by 6 at TCU, 11 at Oklahoma. Kansas has played only one other true road game, vs a weak UNLV squad (71-53). Iowa State lost at TCU Saturday; they’re 3-2 in league, winning home games by 7 over Texas Tech, 9 over Texas. Cyclones are #4 experience team in country. Iowa State is 4-2 in its last six games with Kansas, winning 86-81/85-72 in last two games in Ames. Big X home underdogs are 4-3 vs spread this season.
Battle for first in MAAC out in Buffalo. Canisius won nine of its last ten games, is 3-0 at home in MAAC play, winning by 3-6-33 points. Griffins lost 94-88 at Monmouth Dec 4, despite making 16-31 on the arc- they led by 7 midway thru second half. Hawks won six of last seven games with Canisius; Monmouth lost two of last three visits here, losing 96-86 here LY. Home side won six of last seven series games. Monmouth won its last three games, by 18-7-7 points, scoring 84.3 pts/game. MAAC home underdogs are 8-4 against the spread.
Armadillosports.com
Monday's Tip Sheet
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
A few of the top college basketball teams in the nation will be looking to start the week with another victory as favorites in a trio of conference matchups in the Big East, ACC and Big 12.
To get the betting action underway, Villanova will play host to Seton Hall in a 6:30 p.m. (ET) tip. As part of ESPN’s Big Monday double header, Syracuse will go on the road to face North Carolina in the opener followed by Iowa State at home against Kansas.
Seton Hall Pirates at No. 3 Villanova Wildcats
Opening Odds: Villanova -14
Betting Matchup
Seton Hall will wrap up a tough three-game road trip on Monday night after losing to Marquette 89-86 as 5½-point underdogs and to Providence 65-61 as two-point favorites in the first two games. The Pirates are now 2-3 both straight-up and against the spread in Big East play as part of an overall record of 12-5 (7-9 ATS). The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five road games. Junior forward Desi Rodriguez has posted a combined 50 points in his last two starts to raise his season average to 16.6 points per game.
The Wildcats have won their last three games both SU and ATS since that Jan. 4 loss to Butler, which was their only setback against 17 wins. They are 12-6 ATS this season and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last nine games. Freshman guard Donte DiVincezo came off the bench to score a game-high 19 points while shooting 7-for-10 from the field in this past Saturday’s 70-57 road victory against St. Johns with Villanova closing as a 12½-point favorite.
Betting Trends
The Pirates are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 11 games played on a Monday.
The Wildcats have covered in five of their last seven games following a SU win and the total has stayed UNDER in all seven of those contests.
Head-to-head in this Big East battle, the underdog has covered in five of the last six meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last seven games between the two.
Syracuse Orange at No. 11 North Carolina Tar Heels
Opening Odds: North Carolina -14.5
Betting Matchup
Syracuse (11-7 SU, 6-7 ATS) opened play in the ACC this season with a road loss to Boston College as a 10-point favorite, but it quickly avenged that loss on Saturday with a 76-53 victory over the Eagles as a 12-point favorite at home. The Orange are now 3-2 (SU and ATS) in conference play. Four Syracuse starters scored in double figures on Saturday lead by freshman guard Tyrus Battle’s career-high 21 points. Defensively, the Orange forced 20 turnovers in that win.
The Tar Heels have won their last four conference games following a stunning 75-63 road loss to Georgia Tech as 17-point favorites in this season’s ACC opener. They are now 16-3 SU (11-8 ATS) overall and the total has gone OVER in four of their last six games. In Saturday’s impressive 96-83 rout against No. 9 Florida State, junior guard Joe Berry Jr. led the way with 26 points. Junior forward Justin Jackson, who leads the team in scoring with 17.9 PPG, added 22 points to the winning cause.
Betting Trends
The Orange are have failed to cover in their last four road games and the total has gone OVER in their last five games played on the road.
The Tar Heels are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games at home and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven home games.
The favorite in this ACC tilt has gone 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings including North Carolina’s 83-66 victory against Syracuse in last season’s Final Four as a 10-point favorite.
No. 2 Kansas Jayhawks at Iowa State Cyclones
Opening Odds: Kansas -3
Betting Matchup
The Jayhawks (16-1 SU, 5-10 ATS) should lay claim to the top spot in both national polls this week following Baylor’s recent loss to West Virginia combined with their victories against Oklahoma on the road and Oklahoma State at home. However, they failed to cover as double-digit favorites in both contests to fall to 1-5 ATS in their last six games. Senior guard Frank Mason III continues to lead Kansas in both points (20.5) and assists (5.5). He posted a total of 50 points in his last two games.
Iowa State (11-5 SU, 7-6 ATS) is coming off an 84-77 loss to TCU this past Saturday as a 2½-point road underdog. The total went OVER the 142½-point closing line in that loss and it has gone OVER in four of the Cyclones’ last six games. They are scoring 81.6 PPG with four different players averaging at least 11 points a game. Senior guard Nazareth Mitrou-Long scored a team-high 19 points in Saturday’s losing cause. He has now exceeded his scoring average (15.7 PPG) in four of his last five games.
Betting Trends
The Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in 11 of their past 15 Monday games.
The Cyclones are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games played on Monday and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of those contests.
Iowa State has a 5-1 edge ATS in its last six games against Kansas and the total has gone OVER in 11 of the last 15 games in this Big 12 matchup.