NCAAB Betting News and Notes Monday, January 23rd, 2017

NCAAB Knowledge

Duke was down 11 at half, Saturday, stormed back to beat Miami 70-58; Blue Devils are 3-3 in ACC, 3-0 at home, winning by 53-11-12 points- they got Jefferson back vs Miami (12 rebounds in 34:00) which is big help. NC State lost five of last seven games, is 0-3 on ACC road, losing by 18-51-8 points- they’re 12-40 on arc in last two road games. Duke won four in row, seven last eight games with NC State, winning last nine played here, but only one of last four was by more than 13 points. ACC home favorites of 13+ points are 4-3 vs spread.

Georgia Southern is 6-0 in Sun Belt but their last five wins were all by 5 or less points; they won their two road games by total of 7 points over UL schools, Lafayette/Monroe. Eagles is holding teams to 30.1% on arc; their 47.1% eFG% is best in Sun Belt. Coastal Carolina won four of last five games but 1-2 on Sun Belt road, with losses by 21-20 points and a win at Texas State. Chanticleers are solid defensive team that doesn’t foul a lot; teams shoot more from arc against them, and Eagles aren’t great at that. Double digit favorites are 3-2-1 in Sun Belt this season.

Georgia State won its last three games after an 8-7 start, scoring 83.3 pts/game; Panthers are 2-1 at home in Sun Belt, losing to Troy, winning by 3-20 points over Coastal Carolina, USA. Appalachian State is 1-5 in Sun Belt, 0-4 on road, losing away games by 9-15-12-4 points; ASU is putting opponents on foul line more than anyone in league, but they do hold foes to 46.6% inside the arc. Home side won all four App State-Georgia State games; ASU lost last two visits here, by 44-13 points. Sun Belt home favorites of 8+ points are 3-6-1 vs spread.

Green Bay allowed 86 pts/game in losing its last two games after a 5-0 Horizon start; Phoenix is 3-1 at home in Horizon, with wins by 6-9-17 points. Green Bay is 9-2 in its last 11 games with Cleveland State, winning last three by 20-17-1-12 points- they won 76-75 in OT in Cleveland in first meeting this season, after being down 13 early. Vikings lost four of last five visits here, losing by 4-27-11-5 points. State lost five of last six games, is 1-3 on Horizon road, with losses by 4-1-8 points and an upset win at Oakland. Horizon home favorites of 7 or less points are 7-8.

TCU is 3-4 in Big X after an 11-1 pre-conference mark; Horned Frogs are are 1-2 on Big X road, losing by 12 at West Va, 6 at Texas Tech- they scored 61 pts/game in losing last couple games. Oklahoma State won by 19 at Texas Tech Saturday; OSU is now 1-6 in Big X, but led 5 of the 7 games at half. Cowboys are 6-2 in last eight games with TCU, winning last four played here, by 18-32-12-21 points. Home side won last four series games. OSU is last in Big X in 4 of 9 defensive metrics. Big X home favorites of 4 or less points are 2-4 vs spread.

Troy is 2-4 in Sun Belt, 1-3 on road, with losses by 1-4-2 points. Troy is 7-7 in its last 14 games, with all seven losses by 6 or less points. Little Rock is 3-5 in its last eight games after a 9-2 start against a weak non-league schedule; they’re 3-3 in league, 2-2 at home. UALR starts three seniors, has two others in rotation- they’re 3-0 in Sun Belt if they score 73+ points, 0-3 if they don’t. Little Rock won its last six games with Troy State, winning last two played here, by 8-23 points. Sun Belt home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-3 vs spread.

Arkansas State is 4-2 in Sun Belt, 3-0 at home, winning by 3-31-2 points; three of their four Sun Belt wins are by 5 or less points. ASU is shooting 40% from arc in Sun Belt games. Red Wolves won seven of their last eight games with South Alabama; three of last four series games were decided by 5 or less points. Jaguars lost four of last five visits here, with losses by 12-12-12-6 points. USA lost nine of last 11 D-I games; five of their six league games were decided by 6 or less points or in OT. Sun Belt home favorites of 8+ points are 3-6-1 vs spread.

UL-Lafayette is 3-3 in Sun Belt; road team won four of the six games. ULL is 2-1 on road, with wins at Little Rock/Texas St- they lost by 3 at Arkansas St. ULL is rebounding 37.1% of its own misses, but they’re not great on defense. Tex-Arlington is 3-0 at home in Sun Belt, allowing 62.7 pts/game in wins by 21-15-16 points (they’re allowing 85.7 pts/game on road). Cajuns won five of last seven games with Arlington; they won two of three visits here, losing by 1 in OT LY. Sun Belt home favorites of 8 or less points are 7-11 against the spread.

UL-Monroe won its last four games with Texas State, winning by 3-19 points in last two visits here. ULM is 0-6 in Sun Belt, with three losses by 2 points or in OT; Warhawks are 0-4 in Sun Belt road games, losing by 4-9-16-31 points; they’re last in league in 6 of 9 offensive metrics. Texas State is 3-3 in Sun Belt, with all six games decided by 9 or less points; Bobcats play one of ten slowest tempos in country- they lead Sun Belt in both blocked shots/steals in league play. Sun Belt home favorites of 8 or less points are 7-11 against the spread.

Oklahoma is #325 experience team thats played Schedule #6, which explains why they’re 8-10; Sooners are 2-5 in Big X- they split last two games, both in OT. Oklahoma is 1-2 on road, losing by 3-11 points with win at West Va. Texas lost its last five games, losing last two home games by total of 5 points; Longhorns are turning ball over 23.2% of time, shooting only 32.3% on arc. Oklahoma won five of last six games with Texas, splitting last four visits here. Oklahoma is shooting only 44.6% inside arc. Big X home favorites of 4 or less points are 2-4 vs spread.

Canisius lost its last two games by total of nine points; Griffins are 5-4 in MAAC, 2-3 on road, with losses by 6-23-5 points. Niagara snapped 4-game skid with win at St Peter’s Saturday; Purple Eagles are 1-3 at home in MAAC with only win over Siena; their home losses are by 3-6-7 points. Canisius won seven of last eight games with Niagara; they won last four visits here, by 9-13-6-7 points- they beat Purple Eagles in triple OT (102-97) in MAAC tourney LY. MAAC road favorites of 6 or less points are 5-8 against the spread.

St Peter’s won four of last five games, but for some reason, this is their 5th game in last nine days. Peacocks beat Rider 71-65 on road eight days ago, going 22-27 on line, but Broncs are 9-4 in its last 13 games with St Peter’s, winning last five visits to Jersey City- they won 76-45 here LY. St Peter’s forces turnovers 21.6% of time, best in league. Rider lost three of last four games, losing last two road games, by 3 at Manhattan, 10 at Siena. Broncs are worst team in MAAC on foul line (65.3%). MAAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-7 vs spread.

Quinnipiac won its last two games, is 5-4 in MAAC but 1-3 on road with losses by 6-4-7 points; Bobcats beat Iona 97-91 in OT nine days ago, after trailing by 6 with 3:08 left- Gaels were 7-23 on arc in game (they’re shooting 41.5% on arc overall in MAAC games). Iona won its last three home games by 13-23-7 points; Gaels won five of last six games with Quinnipiac, winning last three here, by 22-8-19 points. Favorites covered five of last six series games. Double digit home favorites are 3-6 against the spread in MAAC games.

Gonzaga never trailed in 73-52 home win over Portland Saturday; this game is makeup of a previous snowout. Pilots lost PG Wintering (ACL) for season LW, so they’re in trouble, losing last five games. Portland lost last two home games, by 1-41 (vs St Mary’s) points. Gonzaga needs to make sure they don’t get bored; they’re 3-0 on road in WCC, winning by 20-15-31 points. Zags are 27-1 in last 28 series games, winning last two here by 12-26 points. Double digit road favorites are 6-1 vs spread in WCC games this season.

Armadillosports.com

Big Monday Tip Sheet
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

Big Monday on ESPN offers up a double header of college basketball action in the ACC and the Big 12 starting with the NC State Wolfpack going up against the Duke Blue Devils followed by Oklahoma heading on the road to face Texas. As a bonus game for Monday’s tip sheet, TCU will square off against Oklahoma State in another battle in the Big 12.

North Carolina State Wolfpack at No. 18 Duke Blue Devils

Opening Odds: Duke -16

Betting Matchup

It has been a rough start for the Wolfpack in the ACC this season with a 2-5 record both straight-up and against the spread in their first seven conference games. Their latest setback came at the hands of Wake Forest in a 93-88 loss as one-point home favorites. NC State (13-7 SU, 8-10 ATS) is ranked 34th in the nation in scoring with an average of 81.6 points a game, but it falls way down the list when it comes to points allowed; giving up an average of 77.2 points per game.

The Blue Devils continue to press on without their head coach Mike Krzyzewski at the helm as he continues to recovers from recent back surgery. They have a spotty 3-3 SU record in conference play and they have been tough on bettors since mid-December with a 2-6 record ATS in their last eight outings. Duke is 15-4 SU (8-10 ATS) on the year following Saturday’s 70-58 victory against Miami as a 9½-point home favorite. Freshman forward Jayson Tatum led the team in scoring in that game with 14 points.

Betting Trends

The Wolfpack have failed to cover in their last five road games and the total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 11 Monday games.

The Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a SU win and the total has stayed UNDER in their last four games played on Monday.

Head-to-head in this in-state battle, Duke has won the last four meetings SU, but the series is tied at an even 2-2 ATS. The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 10 games between the two.

TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Opening Odds: Oklahoma State - 4½

Betting Matchup

Back-to-back losses to Texas Tech on the road and Baylor at home both SU and ATS as an underdog have dropped TCU to 3-4 SU (4-3 ATS) in the Big 12 as part of an overall SU record of 14-5 SU (10-7 ATS). In this past Saturday’s 62-53 loss to the Baylor as three-point underdogs, the Horned Frogs got a big effort from junior forward Vladimir Brodziansky and junior guard Kenrich Williams with a combined 35 points and 22 rebounds.

Oklahoma State (11-8 SU, 8-7 ATS) snapped a SU six-game losing streak in the Big 12 with Saturday’s stunning 83-64 rout of Texas Tech as a 6½-point underdog on the road. The total stayed UNDER the 155-point closing line and it has stayed UNDER in four of its seven conference games. Junior guard Jeffery Carroll led all scorers with 25 points and senior guard Phil Forte III added 21 points and six defensive rebounds to the winning cause.

Betting Trends

The Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss and the total has stayed UNDER in six of their last seven games following a SU loss.

The Cowboys have gone 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in their last five games played at home.

The favorite in this Big 12 clash has covered in five of the last seven meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings at Oklahoma State.

Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Longhorns

Opening Odds: Texas -2½

Betting Matchup

The Sooners followed up last week’s thrilling 89-87 upset against West Virginia as heavy 16½-point road underdogs with a disappointing 92-87 double overtime loss to Iowa State at home this past Saturday as two-point favorites. They are now 8-10 SU (8-7-1 ATS) on the year and 2-5 SU in conference play. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games. Oklahoma senior guard Jordan Woodard leads the team in both points (17.9) and assists (3.9). He has scored 20 points or more in each of his last three games.

Texas is tied for last in the Big 12 at 1-6 SU as part of an overall record of 7-12. When it comes to betting on the Longhorns it has been a whole other story with a 6-1 mark ATS in conference play as part of an 11-7 record ATS. The Longhorns have been able to cover as double-digit underdogs in their last three games despite averaging just 67.7 points in a losing cause. Their leading scorer Tevin Mack (14.8 ) has sat out all three of those games due to a team suspension.

Betting Trends

The Sooners are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games on the road.

The Longhorns are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in six of their last seven games played on a Monday.

The underdog in this Big 12 matchup has covered ATS in the last four meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last 11 meetings in Texas.