NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, November 21st, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
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TCU shot 58% inside arc, beat Illinois State 71-60 on neutral floor LY; they’re 3-0 in Dixon’s first year, but best team they’ve played is #284 Jacksonville State; Horned Frogs scored 88.5 pts/game in their two D-I games- they’ve made 48.8% on arc, forced TO’s on 26.8% of possessions. Illinois State lost by 3 at Murray State, beat Ft Wayne by 18 at home; they’ve turned ball over 22.6% of time- they start 2 juniors, 2 seniors. TCU starts 2 freshmen, 2 juniors.
Houston has experienced team with high expectations, but hard to tell much about them this year- they’ve hammered two stiffs. Cougars went 22-10 LY; they start 2 juniors, 2 seniors. George Mason is 0-2 vs D-I teams, losing two games by total of 8 points, with losses to Mt St Mary’s/Towson; Patriots are shooting 19.4% on arc thru three games. AAC favorites are 6-4 vs spread this season. CAA teams are 12-12 vs spread, 7-4 as an underdog.
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Montana allowed 80 pts/game in its 0-4 start, losing first two games here by 13-24 points; teams are shooting 60% inside arc against the Griz, who start two freshmen and a sophomore. Oral Roberts is 0-3 vs D-I teams, allowing 83 pts/game, losing by 15-7-25 points; they’re turning ball over 22.2% of time. Big Sky teams are 10-14 vs spread this month; Summit teams are 10-11.
Washington State is 2-1 vs D-I teams with both wins vs Big Sky teams; Coogs are shooting 38.6% on arc, but turned ball over 20.8% of time. WSU is starting three seniors and a junior. Loyola is 2-1 vs D-I teams, forcing turnovers on 25.9% of possessions; they lost to St Joe’s by 14, in their only game against a top 200 team. Ramblers are shooting just 54.8% on foul line. Pac-12 teams are 16-12 vs spread. MVC teams are 9-9.
NC State lost 112-94 to Creighton Sunday in 80-possession track meet; Wolfpack played only 8 guys, four of them 30+ minutes. State lost by 16 despite making 14-28 on arc. Best team they beat so far is #144 Ga Southern, 81-79. St Joe’s lost 81-68 to Ole Miss yesterday, playing three guys 33+ minutes. Rebels made 12-28 on arc against them- that was Hawks’ first game against a top 100 team. SEC teams are 15-18 vs spread this month. ACC teams are 20-14.
Creighton is loaded at guard; they scored 103-112 points in first two games of this tourney, also beat Wisconsin by 12 before going here. Bluejays are shooting 48.4% from arc this month; playing tempo #24- they played nine guys 12:00+ last nite, none more than 29. Ole Miss is off to a 4-0 start despite allowing 81.8 pts/game. Rebels beat St Joe’s by 13, their only game against a top 100 team. Big East teams are 15-9 vs spread this month. SEC teams are 15-18.
Tennessee is in bottom 15 in country in experience; they split first two games, losing at home to Chattanooga by 13, beating Appalachian State by 9- this is major step up in competition for them. Wisconsin beat to stiffs, lost by 12 at Creighton; Badgers are starting four seniors- they’re playing 3rd-slowest tempo in country, turning ball over 20.9% of time. Tennessee is playing #29 pace. SEC teams are 15-18 vs spread this month, 1-3 as underdogs. Big 14 favorites are 8-12.
Georgetown lost by point at home to Maryland, then lost at home to Arkansas State, which damn near lost to Army. Hoyas are starting only one senior, had much longer trip west than Oregon did. Ducks have been without best player Brooks; they beat Valpo by 17, lost badly at Baylor last week. Oregon shot just 28.4% on arc in its first three games. Big East underdogs are 5-0 vs spread this month. Pac-12 favorites are 14-9 against the spread.
UConn is struggling at 1-2, losing home games to Wagner/Northeastern, winning by 3 at LMU. Huskies are playing #320 pace; they’re #333 in bench minutes, #259 in experience- they shot 27% on arc in first three games. Oklahoma State scored 107 pts/game in hammering three stiffs to start the season. Cowboys are playing #26 pace, are #5 in bench minutes, are forcing TO’s 24% of time. AAC teams are 13-11 vs spread. Big X teams are 9-5 against the spread.
Colorado is #63 in experience, #34 in bench minutes; Buffs are 3-0, whacking three stiffs by 37-12-19 points- they’re shooting 38.3% on arc. Notre Dame is also 3-0 vs stiffs, with 25 points closest of the three wins; Irish are turning ball over only 9.8% of time (#1 in country), holding foes to 35.4% inside arc. They’re #123 in experience, #59 in bench minutes. Pac-12 teams are 16-12 against spread. ACC teams are 20-14.
Texas is 3-0, winning by 5-21-33 points, but none of those teams are ranked above #225; Longhorns are #336 in experience- they’re holding teams to 37.8% eFG%, #9 in country. Northwestern lost tough game by hoop at Butler last week; they scored 90 pts/game in two wins over stiffs. Wildcats made 42.4% on arc in first three games- they start two sophs, two juniors. Big 14 teams are 14-15 against the spread. Big X teams are 9-5 against the spread.
Belmont lost by 14 at Vanderbilt, going 9-41 on arc, then beat Western Kentucky by 21 at home, going 16-34; teams that shoot 3’s have wild variances in results. Bruins start two juniors, two seniors, are experienced mid-major. Florida is 3-0 with two top 100 wins, beating Fla Gulf Coast by 21, St Bonaventure by 7. Gators are forcing turnovers on 25.7% of possessions. SEC teams are 15-18 vs spread. OVC teams are 18-15 against the spread.
Rice appears to be much-improved, scoring 97 pts/game in wins at JMU/Omaha; they also lost at home to #203 Texas Southern. Owls are playing #72 pace, but are still inexperienced/thin. Montana State lost by 4 at Washington State, won its other two D-I games by 1-7 points; Bobcats have fouled a lot in their first four games- they’re playing #98 pace. Big Sky underdogs are 9-12 vs spread. Conference USA teams are 17-11 against the spread.
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