NCAAB Betting News and Notes Sunday, December 4th, 2016

NCAAB Knowledge

South Carolina is 7-0 with three top 100 wins; they’re 2-0 vs teams outside the top 200, with wins by 32-42 points. Gamecocks have a 37.6% eFG% defense, #2 in country. FIU is 1-5 with two non-D-I wins, but three of their five losses came in OT, at South Alabama, Elon and vs Jacksonville on a neutral court. FIU is shooting 30.6% on the arc; this is their first top 100 game this season. SEC home favorites are 17-17 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 16-11.

Davidson beat Charleston last two years by 1-12 points; they scored last four points of game LY to nip Cougars 82-81 at home in game that was 52-45 at half. Wildcats are 5-1 with 21-pt road win at Mercer, and 2-1 showing on neutral floor in a tourney in Orlando. Charleston is 5-3 with losses by 20-16-17 points; Cougars are shooting 26.9% on arc, 11th-worst in country. A-14 favorites are 12-5 vs spread away from home; CAA underdogs are 13-8. Davidson plays at UNC Wednesday; better not look past this game.

Georgia is 5-2 with losses by 11-10 points to Clemson/Kansas, their only two top 100 games so far; Dawgs’ best win is over #127 George Washington by 8. Georgia starts to sophs, two juniors; they’re #163 experience team. Marquette is 5-2 with neutral court win over SEC’s Vanderbilt; they lost to Michigan/Pitt on neutral floor in NYC- this is their first true road game. Golden Eagles are playing #20 pace; their subs play #17 minutes in country. SEC home favorites are 17-17 vs spread; Big East underdogs are 9-6.

Mississippi State is very thin because of injuries; they’re 5-2 despite least experienced team in country, but they have played schedule #304 and they haven’t played a true road game yet, either. Bulldogs force turnovers 21.2% of time but their #2 scorer is out for year. Georgia State lost by 18 at Auburn, 8 at Purdue (Boilers ended game on 20-0 run); Panthers force turnovers a lot, but they also turn it over lot- they’re #96 experience team whose subs play #10 minutes in country. SEC home favorites are 17-17 vs spread; Sun Belt road underdogs are 15-15.

Cincinnati beat Bowling Green by 33 LY (it was 35-31 at half); Bearcats were 13-30 on arc that game- they’re 6-1 this year, coming off great OT win at Iowa State Thursday. Cincy is 3-0 vs teams outside top 200, winning by 29-15-23 points- they force turnovers 22.9% of time. Bowling Green won its last two D-I games after an 0-4 start; best team they’ve played so far is #119 Oakland, who beat them 78-70. AAC home favorites are 8-5 vs spread; MAC road underdogs are 12-9. BG starts three seniors and two sophomores.

Florida State split neutral court games in NYC with Temple/Illinois; this is closest thing they’ve played to road game. Seminoles are 6-1 vs schedule #198; they’re #314 experience team playing #35 pace, with bench that plays #41 minutes, so they’re improving. George Washington has interim coach after internal issues surfaced this summer; Colonials. are 5-3 with 8-point loss to Georgia in their only top 100 game. GW turns ball over 21.7% of time, shoots 31.4% on arc, bad resume for an upset- their best win was by a hoop over #107 Siena at home.

Iona is 12-1 in its last 13 games with Niagara, winning last seven (3-3 vs spread in last six); Purple Eagles lost last seven visits here, with four of seven by 17+ points. Gaels won MAAC opener by 14 at St Peter’s Friday, making 10-24 on arc and pulling away in game they led by 3 with 10:00 left. Niagara was 4-21 on arc, -7 in turnovers in 72-66 loss at Marist in its MAAC opener Friday; Eagles start three sophs, two juniors- this is tough duty for them. MAAC home favorites are 0-3 vs spread to start conference play.

St Peter’s swept Manhattan LY by 1-21 points, after Jaspers had been 11-0 vs them in previous 11 series games. Jaspers won four of last five visits here, with wins by 19-2-12-7 points- they blew 15-point second half lead, lost by point at home to Canisius 77-76 in MAAC opener; they’re turning ball over 28.1% of time, 2nd-worst in country. Peacocks lost by 14 to Iona in conference opener; they start three seniors, were 10-33 on arc Friday, when they were down 3 with 10:00 to go. Underdogs covered three of last four series games.

Home side won five of last six Marist-Quinnipiac games; Red Foxes lost last three visits here, by 5-12-26 points. Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in series. Marist won its last three games to even its record at 4-4; they’re 0-4 vs top 200 teams, 4-0 vs teams outside top 200, like Quinnipiac. Red Foxes were +7 in turnovers in 72-66 win over Niagara in their MAAC opener. Bobcats are 1-5 after 19-point loss to Monmouth in AAC opener; they lost by 8 to Columbia in only game vs a team outside top 200.

Monmouth won five of last six games with Canisius, winning by 1-4-15 in last three games here. Favorites are 4-3 vs spread in series games. Hawks are 5-2, with all five wins vs teams outside top 200- four of those five wins were by 13+ points- they lost to South Carolina/Syracuse in attempt to strengthen their schedule for NCAA bid. Canisius rallied from 15 down with 16:45 left to win its MAAC opener 77-76 at Manhattan Friday. Griffins start two juniors, two seniors, are 3-4, with only loss by more than 14 points against Kentucky.

Illinois-Chicago is 4-3 vs schedule #302 after being 21-74 the last three years; Flames are #349 experience team, are turning ball over 23.1% of time, but McClain is good coach and they’re getting better. Eastern Illinois lost its two road games by 3-5 points at Troy/Saint Louis; they’re forcing turnovers 27.6% of time (#3 in country), but have played schedule #342 so far. Horizon home favorites are 4-10 vs spread; OVC road underdogs are 17-19. Panthers lost last game in OT to Bradley, blowing 7-point lead with 4:35 left.

Samford outscored Jacksonville State 28-14 on foul line in 77-71 win at JSU LY; Bulldogs start three seniors, a frosh and a soph- they split only two home games, both against teams outside top 300. Samford won last game at Saint Louis, an A-14 team. Gamecocks are 5-3, winning last four games, all against stiffs; JSU doesn’t sub much, is turning ball over 22% of time while playing pace #335. Southern Conference home favorites are 5-0 vs spread; OVC road underdogs are 17-19.

Indiana is playing third game in five days; they beat SIU-Edwardsville by 23 in game after their big win over North Carolina Wednesday. Hoosiers only have one challenging game left before conference play starts Dec 28; they’re young team playing lot of guys. Indiana is 4-0 vs teams outside top 200, winning by 22-39-33-23 points. SE Missouri lost by 19 at Illinois in their only top 200 game; they’re an experienced team making 38.8% on arc. Big 14 home favorites are 18-19 vs spread. OVC road underdogs are 17-19.

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