NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, February 12th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NCAAB Knowledge
Cornell lost its last three games, by 11-7-9 points; they’re 2-0 as road underdogs, covering at Princeton, winning SU at Columbia. Penn lost seven of last nine games, upsetting Columbia in last game; their three Ivy home losses are by 8-12-15 points. Quakers also upset crosstown rival LaSalle during that time. Penn is 0-2 as an Ivy League favorite this seasonb. Penn won its last seven games with Cornell, winning last three meetings in Palestra by 7-7-12 points. Ivy League home favorites of 7 or less points are 3-4 vs spread.
Indiana lost four of last five games, wth its only win in that span in triple OT over Penn State. Hoosiers are 4-3 at home in Big 14, 3-2 as a home favorite. Michigan is 0-4 on Big 14 road, 1-1 as a road underdog, losing by 3-16-4-8 points on foreign soil. Indiana got pounded 90-60 at Michigan in first meeting Jan 26; Wolverines were 11-20 on arc, +10 in turnovers in game that was 50-35 at half. Home side won 11 of last 14 series games; Michigan lost six of last seven visits here, winning 72-69 here LY. Big 14 home favorites of 3 or less points are 12-9 vs spread.
Temple upset Memphis 77-66 in Philly Jan 25, making 22-9 on arcing game where Owls played only seven players. Temple won four of last five series games, losing two of three in Memphis, with the three games decided by total of six points. Owls are 1-4 as a road underdog this season, losing AAC road games by 24-14-14-7-13 points, with win at Tulane. Memphis won six of last eight games, is 2-3 as a home favorite, with home wins by 9-6-5-7-22 points and a loss to SMU. AAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-7 vs spread.
Cincinnati won its last 15 games, is 22-2; their last loss was Dec 10. Bearcats are 5-0 on AAC road, with three of five wins by 9+ points. Cincinnati nipped SMU 66-64 at home in first meeting Jan 12, making 12-26 on arc in game the Bearcats led by 15 early. Home side won six of seven AAC meetings; Cincy lost two of three visits here, losing by 21-2 points. Mustangs are 7-0 since first Cincy game, covering last six games. SMU is 6-0 at home in AAC games, covering five of the six games. AAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-7 vs spread.
Missouri State made 12-22 on arc, led 39-22 at half in 68-64 upset win at Northern Iowa in first meeting Dec 28, just second win for Bears in last nine series games. UNI won three of last four visits here, with wins by 9-2-11 points. Mo State lost four of last five games, is 4-2 at home in Valley with only losses to Drake/SIU. Northern Iowa won seven of last eight games, is 2-4 on MVC road, with only two wins at SIU/Drake. Panthers allowed 52.7 pts/game in its last three games. MVC home favorites of 4 or less points are 7-5-1 vs spread.
Wichita State won its last seven games (5-2 vs spread); they’re 2-4 as a Valley road favorite, with road wins by 8-14-17-15-8 points, with loss at Illinois State. Loyola lost its last three games by 1-6-2 points; Ramblers are 4-2 at home in Valley, losing to SIU/Illinois State. Wichita made 12-27 on arc in 87-75 home win over Loyola Jan 11, Shockers’ 8th straight MVC win over the Ramblers. Wichita won its last three visits to Loyola, by 14-14-22 points. MVC road favorites of 7+ points are 5-3 vs spread.
San Diego State is 5-6 in Mountain West; last time they finished under .500 in MW was 12 years ago. Aztecs lost three of last five games, are 3-2 at home in MW, with losses to New Mexico/Colorado State. Nevada won seven of last nine games, is 3-2 on MW road, with losses at Utah State, Fresno State. Nevada beat San Diego State 72-69 in first meeting Jan 4, Wolf Pack’s first MVC win in eight games with the Aztecs. Nevada lost last three meetings here, by 13-15-24 points. MW home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-12 vs spread.
Oregon State is 0-12 in Pac-12 (5-6-1 vs spread), 2-4 as a road underdog, losing away games by 13-26-42-7-8-26 points. UCLA is off big win over Oregon on Thursday; they’re 1-4 as a home favorite, winning home games by 10-14-22-3 points, with loss to Arizona. UCLA won 76-63 at Oregon State Dec 30, game that was surprisingly tied early in second half. Bruins were just 9-25 on arc; they’re 4-3 in last seven games with Beavers, who won two of last three games in Westwood. Pac-12 home favorites of 16+ points are 3-8 vs spread.
Northwestern lost its two games (scoring 59-61 points) since best player Lindsey got mono. Wildcats had won four of first five Big 14 road games- they’re 1-2 as a road dog. Wisconsin won their last eight games and will be annoyed they weren’t listed in top 16 by NCAA committee on Saturday. Badgers are 3-2 as a Big 14 home favorite; they won nine of last 11 games with Northwestern, but teams split last four; Wildcats lost seven of last eight visits to Madison- they lost 81-58 here LY. Double digit home favorites are 11-6 vs spread in Big 14 games this season.
Virginia Tech lost three of last four games, is 1-5-1 vs spread in last seven; they’re 1-3-1 as a road underdog, losing ACC road games by 26-15-19-30-6 points, with win at Clemson by one point. Virginia is 3-2 as a home favorite; they play Duke/Carolina next two games, need focus here. Hokies got hammered 71-48 at Virginia in first meeting 11 days ago, making just 3-20 on arc; Hokies lost nine of last ten series games, losing five of last six played here- they upset Virginia 70-68 (+12.5) here LY. ACC road favorites of 6+ points are 4-8 vs spread.
Colorado won won four of last five games after starting 0-7 in Pac-12; Buffaloes are 1-2 as a home favorite; their home wins are by 7-9-15 points. Washington State is 5-1 as a Pac-12 road dog this season. Coogs blew a 10-point lead with 3:29 left, then upset Colorado 91-89 in OT at home in first meeting jan 21, making 13-26 on arc in game where Coogs used only seven players. Buffs are 8-2 vs Wazzu in Pac-12 tilts, winning all four here, by 11-5-32-7 points, with LYT’s win here in double OT. Pac-12 home favorites of 12+ points are 4-12 vs spread.
Iona won six of last seven games, is 4-3 on MAAC road, 3-2 as a road favorite, with all four wins by 11+ points- they lost at Fairfield, Monmouth, Quinnipiac. Niagara lost three of last five games, is 3-4 at home in MAAC, with wins over Siena, Canisius, Rider. Niagara upset Iona 74-58 in New Rochelle Dec 4, holding Gaels to 7-26 on arc, just second win for Purple Eagles in last 14 series games. Iona won last three games here, by 18-1-15 points. Last time Niagara swept Iona was 2008. MAAC road favorites of 5+ points are 4-9 vs spread.
Manhattan lost six of last eight games, is 3-5 at home in MAAC- they lost tough home game on Friday to Monmouth. St Peter’s snapped a 3-game skid with a 31-point win at Quinnipiac on Thursday; Peacocks are 7-0 vs spread on MAAC road, 4-3 SU, with four of seven games decided by 6 or less points. St Peter’s outscored Manhattan 28-14 on foul line in 84-70 home win over the Jaspers Dec 4. Peacocks won last three series games, by 1-21-14 points, after losing 11 in row to Manhattan before that. MAAC road favorites of 4+ points are 5-11 vs spread.
Armadillosports.com
NCAAB Game of the Day: Virginia at Virginia Tech
Covers.com
Virginia Cavaliers at Virginia Tech Hokies (+7, 132.5)
Sandwiched between a big win over Louisville and a heavyweight fight versus Duke, No. 13 Virginia will need little help getting up for its visit to in-state rival Virginia Tech in the Commonwealth Clash on Sunday. The Cavaliers have owned the series of late, winning nine of the last 10 games, including a 71-48 thrashing at home on Feb. 1.
"Obviously, we know that (Cassell Coliseum) is crazy," Virginia forward Isaiah Wilkins told reporters, "because every time we go in there, we're in a close game, whether we come out on top or we lose. (Virginia coach Tony Bennett will) bring that up for sure, but it's just another game we've got to be locked in for. We've just got to come out with some fire and really be ready to play and be locked in for 40 minutes." Wilkins scored a career-best 15 points and grabbed a game-high nine rebounds in the first contest, while junior guard Devon Hall added a career-high 17 points as Virginia posted its largest margin of victory in the series since a 25-point win in 1991. On Monday, the Cavaliers used a 22-5 spurt early in the second half to wipe out a two-point halftime deficit and defeated an undermanned fourth-ranked Louisville squad 71-55. After getting pounded by the Cavaliers, being held to a season low in points while shooting 35.7 percent in the game, Virginia Tech dropped a 74-68 decision at Miami on Wednesday.
LINE HISTORY: Virginia opened this matchup versus its in-state rival favored by a touchdown and the line has yet to move off of that number. The total hit the board at 132.5. Check out the complete line history here.
ABOUT VIRGINIA (18-5, 14-7 ATS, 7-13-1 O/U): Senior guard London Perrantes scored 18 points and Wilkins added his first career double-double with 13 points, 11 rebounds and five blocks Monday night against the Cardinals. Perrantes leads Virginia in scoring at 12.2 points per game, marking the lowest scoring average to lead any team in a single season (Malcolm Brogdon 12.7 in 2013-14). Wilkins (7.7 points) leads the team in rebounding (6.1 per game), blocked shots (33) and steals (27).
ABOUT VIRGINIA TECH (16-7, 9-10 ATS, 9-10 O/U): Sophomore guard Justin Robinson led five players in double figures with 15 points, but the Hokies fell behind by as many as 17 in the second half in the loss to the Hurricanes. Senior forward Zach LeDay, who had 10 points and 10 rebounds against Miami, leads the team in scoring (15.7 points), is second in rebounds (6.8) and has scored in double figures in 21 of 22 games this season. Four others average double figures, including 6-6 sophomore Chris Clarke, who produces 11.7 points, a team-high 7.3 rebounds and 3.3 assists while shooting 59.3 percent from the floor.
TRENDS:
* Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games.
* Virginia Tech is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 home games.
* Home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Under is 5-1-1 in Virginia's last seven games overall.
* Under is 4-0 in Virginia Tech's last four home games.
CONSENSUS: The early consensus is giving Virginia the slight edge over its in-state rivals with 52 percent of wagers on the Cavaliers.
Sunday's Tip Sheet
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
Three of the top men’s basketball teams in the country will be in action later this Sunday in a trio of conference games crossing both coasts and our nation’s heartland.
Starting out west, Oregon State will go on the road to square off against the No. 10 UCLA Bruins in a Pac-12 tilt. Moving inland to the Big Ten, the Northwestern Wildcats tangle with the No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers in Madison and rounding out this trio of matchups is an in-state showdown in the ACC between the rival No. 12 Virginia Cavaliers and the Virginia Tech Hokies.
Oregon State Beavers at No. 10 UCLA Bruins
Opening Odds: UCLA -27, Total 160.5
Betting Matchup
The Beavers (4-21 SU, 8-15 ATS) come into this game still looking for their first straight-up win in conference play against 12 losses. They have gone 3-9 against the spread during this extended slide and the total has gone OVER in five of their last six games. Oregon State remains one of the lowest scoring teams in the nation with an average of 64.5 points per game and it has only crossed the 70-point mark in twice in conference play. On defense, the Beavers are allowing an average of 72.6 PPG.
The biggest issue for the Bruins in this matchup is avoiding any kind of letdown following their thrilling 82-79 come-from-behind victory against Oregon on Thursday as 4½-point home favorites. While UCLA (22-3 SU, 13-12 ATS) has been one of the top teams in the Pac-12 on the court at 9-3 SU, it has been a tough team to bet on at 3-9 ATS. Freshman guard Lonzo Ball matched his season scoring average (15.1 PPG) against the Ducks with a couple of crucial three-point buckets down the stretch to help seal the win.
Betting Trends
The Beavers are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 road games and the total has gone OVER in 20 of their last 27 games on the road.
The Bruins have failed to cover ATS in seven of their last 10 games following a SU win and the total has gone OVER in five of their last seven Sunday games.
Oregon State has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 meetings including a 4-1 mark ATS in its last five road games against UCLA. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last eight meetings.
Northwestern Wildcats at No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers
Opening Odds: Wisconsin -10, Total 128
Betting Matchup
Losses (both SU and ATS) to Purdue on the road as underdogs and to Illinois at home have dropped the Wildcats to 7-4 SU in Big Ten play. Northwestern (18-6 SU, 15-7 ATS) had been able to cover the spread in its previous six games and the total has stayed UNDER in five of its last seven contests. This has been one of the better scoring teams in the conference with 73.8 PPG, but with just 61 points in Tuesday’s loss to Illinois, the Wildcats have failed to cross the 70-point mark in their last three games.
Wisconsin continues to lead the way in the Big Ten standings at 10-1 SU in conference play as part of an overall record of 21-3. The Badgers bring a SU eight-game winning streak into this matchup. However, with a tight 70-69 squeaker against Nebraska on Thursday night as 8½-point home favorites they are now 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. That was the most points that Wisconsin has given up in its last five games behind a defense that is fourth in the nation in points allowed (60.2).
Betting Trends
The Wildcats have covered ATS in their last six games played on a Sunday and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games following an ATS loss.
The Badgers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and the total has stayed UNDER in 12 of their last 16 games played at home.
Head-to-head in this Big Ten tilt, the favorite has gone 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings and the total has gone OVER in three of the last five meetings.
No. 12 Virginia Cavaliers at Virginia Tech Hokies
Opening Odds: Virginia -7, Total 133
Betting Matchup
Virginia’s impressive 71-55 romp over Louisville this past Monday as a 6½-point home favorite combined with North Carolina’s loss to Duke on Thursday night has the Cavaliers (18-5 SU) just a half-game back in the ACC regular season title race at 8-3. They are now 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as part of an overall record of 15-7 ATS this year. Virginia still lives and dies with a shutdown defense that is first in the nation in points allowed (54.0), but it got a big night from senior guard London Perrantes in Monday’s win with a team-high 18 points.
The Hokies have just one victory (SU and ATS) in their last four games including a 71-48 loss to their bitter rivals on Feb. 1 as 11½-point road underdogs in the first meeting of this season’s home-and-home series. Virginia Tech (16-7 SU, 9-10 ATS) only shot 35.7 percent from the field against the Cavaliers while going a dismal 3-for-20 from three-point range. Senior forward Zach LeDay leads the Hokies in scoring this season with 15.7 PPG and he ended that game with 12 points while going 3-for-6 from the floor.
Betting Trends
The Cavaliers have covered ATS in four of their last five games on the road and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 21 of their last 28 road games.
The Hokies are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six home games against a team with a SU winning record on the road.
The underdog in this ACC clash is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven games between the two rivals including the past meeting on Feb. 1.