NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, February 19th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NCAAB Knowledge
Young Maryland team won nine of last 11 games; they’re 6-1 on Big 14 road, with only loss by 6 at Penn State. Terrapins are 6-0 vs spread as a road underdog. Wisconsin star Koenig missed last game (check status); Badgers lost last two games, is 2-7 vs spread in its last nine. Wisconsin is 3-3 as a home favorite; their only home loss was to Northwestern by 7. Maryland is 2-1 vs Wisconsin in Big 14 games; road teams won two of three games. Terrapins won 63-60 in Madison LY. Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 22-17 vs spread this season.
George Washington lost four of last five games, is 1-6 on A-14 road, with only win by 19 at George Mason. Colonials are 0-3 as an A-14 favorite this season. Duquesne lost eight of last nine games; they’re 2-4 at home in A-14, beating St Louis by 7, UMass by 30- they’re 2-3 as a home underdog this season. Dukes lost 68-66 at GWJan 18, after rallying back from 16-point deficit; GW won four in row, eight of last nine series games, winning two of last three visits here. A-14 road favorites of 4 or less points are 7-6 vs spread.
UAB lost four of last five games, is 3-5 on C-USA road, 0-5 vs spread as a road favorite- they lost their last four road games. Western Kentucky lost three of last four games, is 3-3 at home in conference, 0-1 as a home underdog- their home losses are by 12-5-26 points. Blazers shot 69% inside arc in 72-54 home win over WKU Jan 12; home side won all four C-USA meetings (teams split two games in C-USA tourney). Blazers lost 69-62 here last year. C-USA road favorites of 3 or less points are 6-3 against the spread this year.
Ill-Chicago shot an astoundingly bad 11-55 inside arc in a 58-57 home loss to Oakland Jan 8; Flames scored only 20 points in second half. Oakland is 6-1 vs UIC in Horizon games, winning three played in Oakland by 1-25-25 points. UIC won three of last four games, is 4-1 as a road underdog- their last six games were all decided by 5 or less points. Oakland won its last five games; they’re 3-2 as a home favorite- they lost three of their last five home games. Double digit home favorites are 4-6 vs spread in Horizon League this season.
Creighton was 1-18 on arc in 71-51 loss at Georgetown Jan 25; Bluejays are 50-98 behind arc in their last four games. Georgetown won six of last seven series games; they’re 1-2 in Omaha, losing by 13-13 points, winning by 27 in 2015. Creighton is 3-4 since Watson got hurt; they’re 3-3 at home in Big East, 3-2 as a home favorite. Georgetown won four of last six games, is 2-3 as a road underdog, with only road wins at Butler/DePaul- their road losses are by 10-6-11-11 points. Big East home favorites of 7 our less points are 7-11-1 vs spread this season.
Illinois State got star F MacIntosh back last game (22 minutes) in limited role which is huge help; Redbirds are 1-5 as a home favorite, with wins at home by 12-3-14-14-5-6-14 points. Loyola lost four of last five games; they’re 3-0 as a road underdog- four of their five road losses were by 4 or less points. ISU was 10-21 on arc in 81-59 win at Loyola New Years Day; Redbirds won last five series games, winning last three series games in Normal, by 39-7-2 points. MVC home favorites of 8+ points are 9-14 vs spread this season.
Michigan won its last three games; they were underdog in two of them; Wolverines are 2-1 as a road underdog, but their only road win in five tries was at Indiana by 12. Minnesota won its last four games after a 5-game skid; they’re 3-3 at home in Big 14, 2-3 as a home favorite. Gophers have #2 eFG% defense in conference, holding teams to 31.7% on arc. Michigan won its last nine games with Minnesota, winning last six visits to Twin Cities, by 3-8-7-8-3-8 points. Big 14 home teams are 9-12 vs spread in games where number was 2 or less points.
UNLV lost its last six games (0-5 vs spread in last five); they’re 2-4 as road underdog, losing on foreign soil by 14-16-1-4-27 points. San Diego State won four of its last five games; they’re 3-3 as home favorite, winning home tilts by 15-19-9-14 points- they lost at home to New Mexico and Colorado State. Aztecs won 64-51 at UNLV in first meeting Jan 17, holding Rebels to 36% for night; State won last nine series games. UNLV lost its last three visits to Viejas, by 11-6-36 points. Double digit home favorites are 2-3 vs spread in Mountain West this season.
UConn won eight of last ten games, but is 2-4 on AAC road, 1-3-1 as a road underdog, with losses by 2-9-20-14 points- they won at USF/UCF. Temple split its last six games (!-4-1 vs spread), is 3-3 at home in AAC, 2-2 as a home favorite, with home wins by 19-11-9 points. UConn led 39-20 at half, hammered Temple 73-59 at home Jan 11; teams have split eight AAC meetings- UConn lost last two visits here, by 12-5 points. AAC home favorites of 3 or less points are 5-0-1 this season. AAC games have lowest %age on 2-point shots of any league in nation.
Georgia Tech lost three of last four games but is 4-1 as an ACC home underdog; they’re 5-1 at home in ACC, with only loss by 15 to Louisville. Syracuse lost its last two games by total of nine points; they’re 2-5 on ACC road, 0-2 as road favorite, with road wins by 7 in OT at NC State, by 1 at Clemson. Syracuse won its last two games with Georgia Tech by total of four points; Orange won 46-45 in only ACC visit here, two years ago. ACC road favorites of 3 or less points are 7-3-1 vs spread. This game is a sellout at Tech.
Utah lost its last three road games, at Cal/Stanford/Oregon; Utes are 3-1 as a road favorite. Oregon State is 0-14 in Pac-12 but is 5-2-1 vs spread in its last eight games; they’re 4-2-1 as a home underdog. Utah held off OSU 86-78 at home Jan 28; they led Beavers by 28 with 8:05 left, but were just 14-26 on foul line, while OSU was 9-20 on arc. Utes won three of last four in series, but they lost three of last four visits here, including 71-69 game LY. Double digit favorites are 15-20-1 vs spread in Pac-12 games, 5-4-1 on road.
Fairfield won six of its last seven games; they’re 4-3 on MAAC road, 4-1 as a road underdog- their road losses are by 7-7-42 points. St Peter’s won its last three games, covered seven of its last eight; they’re 4-3 as a home favorite this season. Peacocks never trailed in 69-55 win at Fairfield Jan 17; St Peter’s made 9-19 on arc in game they led 36-17 at one point. St Peter’s is 8-2 in last ten series games, winning last three series games in this gym, by 1-11-4 points. MAAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 12-19 vs spread this season.
Iona split its last four games; they’re just 1-4-2 vs spread as a home favorite, with home wins by 13-23-7-10-3 points, with losses to Niagara/Siena. Rider lost nine of last 12 games, is 3-2 as a road underdog, with road losses by 3-10-5-13-2 points (3-5 SU). Iona made 13-22 on arc in 95-76 win at Rider Feb 3; Gaels scored 1.30 pts/possession, very high. Iona won eight of last nine series games; they won two of last three visits here, losing 79-75 at Rider in LY’s visit. MAAC home favorites of 8+ points are 11-13-1 against the spread.
Armadillosports.com
Sunday’s NCAAB Game of the Day: Maryland at Wisconsin
By Covers.com
No. 24 Maryland Terrapins at No. 10 Wisconsin Badgers (-6, 130.5)
The Big Ten race tightened up even more this week, and No. 10 Wisconsin and No. 24 Maryland head into their matchup Sunday afternoon in Madison, Wis., as part of a three-way tie for first place in the conference standings. Wisconsin lost its second straight game Thursday against Michigan, allowing the Terrapins and No. 16 Purdue to pull even atop the Big Ten with five regular season games remaining.
The Badgers played their last game without second-leading scorer Bronson Koenig, but the senior point guard practiced Friday and Saturday and appears ready to return from a left calf strain that also played a part in his two-point performance in last weekend's loss to Northwestern. Maryland experienced its own two-game skid earlier this month, but has bounced back with quality wins against Ohio State and Northwestern to regain a share of first place. Melo Trimble is coming off his best game with the Terrapins, scoring a career-high 32 points Wednesday against Northwestern, shooting 12-for-17 from the floor. The 6-3 junior will likely match up with Koenig, who's also considered a score-first point guard, and Koenig got the best of their last matchup, as Trimble shot 1-for-14 from the field in a 70-57 loss to the visiting Badgers last February. In a meeting a month earlier, Trimble hit a game-winning 3-pointer with 1.2 seconds left in a 63-60 victory at Wisconsin.
LINE HISTORY: Wisconsin hit the board as 6.5-point home chalk and they have been faded to the current number of -6. The total opened at 130.5. Check out the complete line history here.
INJURY REPORT:
Maryland - G Dion Wiley (Questionable, back)
Wisconsin - G Bronson Koenig (Questionable, calf), F Andy Van Vliet (Questionable, ankle)
ABOUT MARYLAND (22-4 SU, 14-7-3 ATS, 11-13 O/U): Trimble's shooting struggles haven't been limited to games against Wisconsin. He shot 2-for-14 in a three-point loss to Michigan State last season in a Big Ten Tournament semifinal, 5-for-16 in a loss to Kansas in the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 and 31 percent in the four games leading up to Wednesday's win against Northwestern. Trimble averages 17.2 points for the Terrapins and the next highest scorer is 6-7 freshman forward Justin Jackson at 11 a game, leaving a wide gap in between.
ABOUT WISCONSIN (21-5 SU, 11-12 ATS, 9-13-1 O/U): Ethan Happ is the player who should cause difficulties for Maryland on the interior. The 6-10 sophomore forward averages a team-leading 14.5 points and 9.1 rebounds and has been on a bigger tear the last four weeks, averaging 18.4 points and 10.4 rebounds and should be able to use his foot speed to take advantage of Maryland 6-11 forward Damonte Dodd. Happ even leads the team in assists at 2.9 a game and has been better in that category of late too, combining for 11 in the last two games.
TRENDS:
* Terrapins are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
* Badgers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Under is 4-0 in Terrapins last 4 Sunday games.
* Under is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
CONSENSUS: The early consensus is seeing a heavy majority of the public backing the underdog here, with the 71 percent of wagers backing Maryland
Sunday's Tip Sheet
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
This Sunday afternoon’s college hoops betting action for nationally ranked teams features a trio of matchups starting in the Big Ten and followed by a double header of games in the Big East.
In the only head-to-head tilt between ranked teams, the Big Ten’s No. 23 Maryland Terrapins will be on the road against No. 11 Wisconsin.
Over in the Big East, DePaul takes on No. 24 Butler and later in the afternoon Georgetown goes on the road to face No. 20 Creighton.
No. 23 Maryland Terrapins at No. 11 Wisconsin Badgers
Opening Odds: Wisconsin -6, 130.5
Betting Matchup
With a straight-up 10-3 record in Big Ten play, the Terrapins (22-4) are currently tied with both Wisconsin and Purdue for the lead in the conference standings. They knocked off the Northwestern Wildcats 74-64 on Wednesday as two-point road underdogs to improve to a highly profitable 9-1-1 against the spread in their last 11 games as part of an overall record of 16-8-1 ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six outings. Junior guard Melo Trimble scored a career-high 32 points against the Wildcats.
The Badgers (21-5 SU, 11-12 ATS) will be looking to bounce back from a rare two-game losing streak after falling to Northwestern at home and Michigan on the road in their last two outings. They have failed to cover ATS in seven of their last nine games and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of their last six contests. Sophomore forward Ethan Happ leads Wisconsin in scoring with 14.5 points per game and he ended Wednesday’s loss to Michigan with 22 points after tallying just 17 points combined in his previous two starts.
Betting Trends
The Terrapins are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five road games.
The Badgers have failed to cover in four of their last five Sunday games and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 13 of their last 17 games at home.
Head-to-head in this Big Ten tilt, the underdog has covered in four of the last five meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in four of those games.
DePaul Blue Demons at No. 24 Butler Bulldogs
Opening Odds: Butler -18.5, 140
Betting Matchup
The Blue Demons (8-18 SU, 11-15 ATS) are bringing up the rear in the Big East this season at 1-12 in conference play, but they did manage to cover against No. 2 Villanova this past Tuesday in a 75-62 loss as 17 ½-point home underdogs. They are now 5-3 ATS in their last eight games with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in seven of their last 10 contests. One of the bright spots for DePaul this season has been the play of sophomore guard Eli Cain with a team-high 15.8 PPG.
Butler could hold its place in the national rankings following Wednesday’s much-needed 110-86 victory against St. John’s as a 10-point home favorite as long as it does not get tripped up on Sunday. It was just the second time the Bulldogs (20-6 SU, 16-10 ATS) won either SU or ATS in their last five games and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven contests. Both Avery Woodson and Andrew Charbascz scored 20 points on Wednesday night in Butler’s highest scoring game of the year. It is averaging 76.9 PPG this season.
Betting Trends
The Blue Demons are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against a team with a SU winning record at home. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four road games.
The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five games played at home.
The underdog in this conference clash has gone 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in the last four games between the two. Butler needed overtime to get past DePaul 70-69 in the first meeting this season (Jan. 21) as an 11½-point road favorite.
Georgetown Hoyas at No. 20 Creighton Bluejays
Opening Odds: Creighton -6.5, 155
Betting Matchup
The Hoyas (14-12 SU, 9-15 ATS) improved to 4-2 (SU and ATS) in their last six games with last Saturday’s 80-62 romp over Marquette as three-point home favorites. They also covered as 14½-point road underdogs in an 11-point loss to Villanova on Feb. 7. The total has stayed UNDER in their last three games. It was a total team effort against Marquette with three different starters tallying at least 20 points in that game. Senior guard Rodney Pryor has led the team in scoring all season long with 18.3 PPG and he has now scored 20 points or more in four of his last five games.
Creighton is another Big East team trying to hold onto its national ranking with two losses (SU and ATS) in its last three games including an 87-81 setback against Seton Hall on Wednesday as a slight one-point road underdog. The Bluejays (21-5 SU, 16-7-1 ATS) are now 3-4 both SU and ATS in their last seven games as part of an 8-5 record in Big East play. Junior guard Marcus Foster has been Creighton’s top scorer this season with 18.0 PPG, but his 23 points in Wednesday’s loss was the first time he matched or exceeded that average in his last six starts.
Betting Trends
The Hoyas have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 Sunday games and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five games on the road.
The Bluejays are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss and the total has stayed UNDER in four of those five games.
Georgetown has won six of the last seven meetings SU including this season’s 71-51 victory on Jan. 25 as a two-point underdog on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.