NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, November 13th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
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Rice is 36-89 the last four years, but is in Year of Rhoades’ rebuilding program, should show progress this year; Owls have 4 starters back from LY’s 12-20 team. James Madison lost by 7 to Old Dominion in their opener Friday; Dukes were outscored 16-7 on foul line, were -8 in turnovers. CAA teams are 6-4 vs spread in last ten games against Conference USA teams.
Eastern Michigan lost in double OT at Pittsburgh Friday; they were outscored 35-19 on foul line but had 3-point lead in first OT. Eagles have four starters back from LY- they played nine guys 17+ minutes Friday. SMU hammered Gardner-Webb by 28 Friday, so no one got too stressed out in that game. MAC teams covered only one of their last four games against the AAC.
Drexel shot 32% from floor in 78-65 loss at Monmouth Friday; Dragons, have new coach (from Army), only two starters back from LY, but team was 6-25, so no big deal- this is a major rebuild. Rutgers hammered a D-III team in its opener for new coach Pikiell; Scarlet Knights have three starters back from LY’s 7-25 team. Drexel lost by 6 to Penn State of the Big 14 last season.
Delaware hired its coach very late, has almost a whole new team; they beat a school I’ve never heard of by 8 on Friday, Blue Hens lost 3 starters from a 7-25 team and scrambled just to find bodies to fill out roster. Bradley beat a non-D-I school by 15 Friday; Braves went 5-27 LY, but had 10 freshmen on squad- whole team is back. CAA teams were 2-1 against the MVC last year.
Penn State lost at home to Albany Friday; they were down 16 at half. Nittany Lions have three starters back from 16-16 team- they’re expected to be better this year. Duquesne won its opener by 5 over Loyola MD- they were down a hoop with 11:00 left. Dukes lost 3 starters from 17-17 team that lost 10 of its last 12 games. A-14 teams were 4-3 vs spread against the Big 14 LY.
Yale’s best player broke his foot last week and is out for year, big blow for team that lost three other starters from LY’s Ivy League champ (first time since 1962). Washington is recruiting like hell but they lost two kids early to pros this year, Huskies will be very young but very talented- they lost 3 starters from a 19-15 team. Pac-12 teams covered last four games vs Ivy squads.
Wichita State lost VanVleet/Baker to NBA, have 2 starters back from LY’s 26-9 team- they beat a stiff team by 46 Friday. Shockers are deep but younger than they’ve been in while Long Beach State has 3 starters back from a 20-15 team that lost in NIT; they’ve got veteran guards, which is good- their next 3 games: UNC-Louisville-UCLA. MVC teams split a pair with Big West last season.
UCLA beat Pacific 119-80 Friday; not sure if Bruins are that good or Pacific that bad. Bruins did make 18-30 on arc- they beat Cal State-Northridge by 32 LY. CSUN is expected to rise in Big West this year with an experienced team that finally has a full roster- they whacked a stiff team Friday. Matadors want to play fast, which may not be good here. Pac-12 teams were 10-7 vs spread against the Big West LY.
Siena lost 81-80 at Cornell LY, game Saints led by 14 with 17:27 left to play; they’ve got three starters back from LY’s 21-13 team that lost in 1st round of CBI, are expected to connect with Monmouth for MAAC title. Cornell was 4-29 on arc in 68-62 loss at Binghamton Friday, not a good loss. MAAC teams were 8-6 vs spread when playing Ivy League teams LY.
South Dakota pulled an upset at Drake Friday, winning 79-74 after trailing by 9 early in second half. Coyotes lost all five starters from LY’s 14-18 team- they’ve got only one senior. Bowling Green lost 78-70 in an 81-possession game at Oakland Friday; they covered by going 9-20 on arc. Falcons have 3 starters back from LY, but at least they’ve got the same coach. Summit teams were 4-2 vs spread against MAC teams LY.
Chattanooga (+4) upset Tennessee 82-69 Friday; Vols were only 1-16 on arc, but 30-40 on foul line. Mocs shot 55% inside arc; they’ve got four starters back from 29-6 team that made NCAAs LY. North Carolina won by 20 at Tulane Friday; quick turnaround after long trip, but Carolina is loaded, with three starters back from a 33-7 team. ACC teams are 8-5 vs spread in last 13 games vs SoCon teams.
Fullerton was outscored 23-10 on foul line of 89-82 loss at Portland State LY; Titans made 10-22 on arc but were -8 in turnovers. Fullerton has 3 starters back from LY; they’re 31-62 the last 3+ years, after beating a cupcake Friday. Portland State lost by 18 at Arizona State Friday; Vikings lost three starters from LY’s 13-18 team. Big Sky teams were 8-2 vs spread vs Big West teams LY.
Omaha opened its season with a solid 74-60 win in Santa Barbara; Mavericks outscored UCSB 17-7 on foul line. Omaha has three starters back from an 18-14 team- they play fast, need to defend better. USC beat Montana by 14 Friday, outscoring Griz 27-7 on foul line; Trojans have three starters back from LY’s 21-12 team, but are supposed to slip a little. Summit teams covered two of last three games against the Pac-12.
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