NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, December 15th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
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Central Florida PG Taylor (thumb) is out; UCF lost last game 58-49 at home to Penn- they played only seven guys more than 8:00. Knights are turning ball over 22.6% of time (#324), but have #1 eFG% defense in country, thanks to 7-6 center Fall— opponents shoot 34.4% inside arc against UCF. George Washington won four of last five games, with three wins by 3 or less points; they’re turning ball over 22.3% of time, have #278 eFG% offense. A-14 home favorites are 14-25 vs spread; AAC road underdogs are 7-11. GW won 67-50 at UCF last season.
East Carolina is 7-3 vs schedule #349; they’re 2-3 vs top 200 teams, with best wins by 7 over #186 Air Force, 13 over #181 NC Central. Pirates were 10-22 on foul line in 77-73 loss LY at Charleston. ECU is turning ball over 23.3% of time (#338). Charleston is 7-3 vs schedule #206; Cougars won last four games, including 76-61 win over Davidson- they shoot only 28.7% on arc, but force turnovers 21.8% of time- they play pace #345. AAC home favorites are 11-8 vs spread; CAA road underdogs are 12-8.
Georgia Southern is 5-5 vs schedule #103; Eagles are 3-0 vs teams outside top 200, winning by 11-1-19 points. GSU won 72-59 at #86 Fla Gulf Coast Tuesday nite, playing only two guys more than 29:00- eight guys played 13:00+. Florida International is 1-7 vs D-I teams, with three OT losses; Panthers are shooting just 28.4% on arc (#336). FIU starts four seniors, is #17 experience team in country, but they’re not playing like it. Sun Belt road favorites are 3-3 vs spread; C-USA home underdogs are 3-6.
NC State gets highly touted big man Yurtseven eligible tonight; Wolfpack is 7-2 with its bench playing 5th-fewest minutes in country- they’re deeper team as of tonight. State’s last four wins were by 4 or less points or in OT. Appalachian State is 1-5 vs D-I teams but Duke is only team to beat them by more than 12 points. ASU turns ball over 21.6% of time, they’re 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 12-9-35 points. ACC home favorites are 28-19 vs spread; Sun Belt road underdogs are 15-18.
Auburn suspended two starters after they were busted with weed; those guys played 28-24 minutes in 72-71 loss to BC in Big Apple Monday. Tigers beat Coastal Carolina by 3 LY, lost to them by 4 the year before. Auburn had been forcing turnovers 24.5% of time, but they’re much thinner now, figure to dial their pressure back some. Chanticleers are 0-3 in true road games, losing by 17-16-12 points; they’re 1-6 vs top 200 teams. SEC home favorites are 22-22 vs spread; Sun Belt road underdogs are 15-18.
Wofford is 0-7 vs D-I teams; they’ve got three non-D-I wins; Terriers are #249 experience team that is shooting 42.7% inside arc while turning ball over 20.4% of time. Wofford was outscored 28-11 on foul line in 84-77 loss at Austin Peay LY. Governors allowed 100 pts/game in losing their last three games, losses by 4-37-40 points. Austin Peay has #301 eFG% defense, is shooting just 29.9% on arc, but they are 2-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200. SoCon home favorites are 6-1 vs spread; OVC road underdogs are 24-27.
Ole Miss is #69 experience team playing tempo #64; Rebels are 6-3, allowing 77+ points in eight of nine games. Ole Miss is shooting 38% on arc (#67) but has #247 eFG% defense. Murray State is 2-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 32 at Evansville Saturday; Racers are 0-4 on road, with other road losses all by 6 or less points. Ole Miss is 2-3 in last five games; they start only one senior and he’s not a guard, so holes are showing. SEC home favorites are 22-22 vs spread; OVC road underdogs are 24-27.
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