NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, November 30th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
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Monmouth swept Quinnipiac LY by 14-15 points, after losing 10 of previous 11 games with Bobcats. Hawks lost five of last six visits here, with 66-51 (-12) win here LY ending their skid at Quinnipiac. Monmouth is 4-2 with losses at South Carolina/Syracuse; no one they’ve beaten is in top 200. Hawks are #36 experience team- they start four seniors. Quinnipiac is 1-4 against #71 schedule; they lost two of three in Orlando LW, beating Indiana State by 3 in last game- winning side scored 80+ points in all their games.
Seton Hall lost two of three games in Florida LW; they’re 2-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 21-11 points. Pirates are off to Hawai’i this weekend, could be looking past this game. Columbia is 3-3; their last three games were all decided by 5 or less points. Lions’ best opponent so far is #114 St Joe’s; they beat Columbia by 20. Big East home favorites are 10-6 vs spread this season; Ivy League road underdogs are 8-7. Big East teams won/covered their last five games against Ivy League squads.
South Florida is 3-2 but lost its only road game by 16 at Florida Atlantic; Bulls are 1-2 vs top 200 teams, with only win by 5 over #190 Rider. USF is turning ball over 22.3% of time. Troy was just on 8-day road trip that included San Fran/Hawai’i; they lost three of last four games, are AAC road underdogs are 3-5 vs spread this season; Sun Belt favorites are 4-3. making 25.2% on arc- they did win at Hawai’i by a hoop last game. Sun Belt teams won four of last five games against the AAC; they were underdog in all five games.
Oregon State/Mississippi State both have key player out hurt; Beavers’ shooter Tinkle (wrist), Bulldogs #2 scorer Weatherspoon (leg) are out here. Beavers lost last four D-I games; they’re turning ball over 25.3% of time, 5th-worst in country- they lost only two road games by 25-11. Bulldogs are least experienced team in country; they’re 4-2 vs schedule #286- their best win is over #100 Boise State. SEC home favorites are 13-15 vs spread; Pac-12 underdogs are 3-12 vs spread. Pac-12 teams are 9-2 (8-3 vs spread) in their last 11 games with SEC opponents.
Iowa State outscored Cincinnati 8-1 over last 2:09 of game to beat Bearcats 81-79 in Queen City LY; Cyclones start five seniors- they lost finals of Advocate tourney in Florida by a hoop to Gonzaga LW- they had beaten Miami by 17 the day before. Cincinnati is 5-1 with 76-71 loss to URI on neutral floor in its only top 100 game- this is first true road game for team that starts two juniors, two seniors. Big X home favorites are 12-6 vs spread; AAC underdogs are 12-12, 3-5 on road. Big X teams are 5-4 SU/ATS in last nine games vs AAC foes.
Big West teams are getting pummeled this month: 23-41 SU, 15-34 vs spread. Cal Poly is 1-4 vs D-I teams, losing by 13-9 in its only two games vs teams ranked outside top 200- this is their first D-I home game. Tex-San Antonio is 2-4, 2-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200; Roadrunners have #340 eFG%, are turning ball over 21.1% of time, making just 25.5% on arc- they’ve been lousy on offense. Big West home favorites are 3-9 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 13-10. Big West/C-USA teams split their last four meetings.
Oakland is 4-1 vs D-I teams with only loss by 4 to Nevada in Alaska; Grizzlies are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 8-17-28-13 points- they’re playing pace #25. Oral Roberts is 0-5 vs D-I teams (schedule #77) with four losses by 14+ points; they have #321 eFG%. Teams have made 43.9% on arc vs ORU. Horizon home favorites are 3-9 vs spread; Summit road underdogs are 8-16. Summit teams won their last six games with Horizon squads; they’re 3-0 vs spread as an underdog vs Horizon teams.
Fairfield swept Rider LY by 4-5 points; they’re 8-6 in last 14 games with the Broncs, splitting last four series games here (underdogs covered last three here). Stags are 4-1 vs schedule #333, with only loss at Loyola MD by 15- they’ve got wins at Dartmouth/Wagner (Wagner beat UConn). Fairfield is turning ball over 22.8% of time. Rider is 3-2 (all road games), losing to Fordham by 11 in their only top 200 game; Broncs are turning ball over 22.6% of time, making just 20.8% on the arc. Rider is starting four seniors and a freshman.
Utah lost at home to Butler Monday, their first top 200 game; they won by 43-18 points in two games vs teams ranked outside top 200. Utes start two freshmen and a sophomore- they’re turning ball over 21.1% of time, making just 30.9% of time. Montana State is 3-2 vs D-I teams, with road losses by 4-5 points at Washington State/Rice. Pac-12 home favorites are 16-18 vs spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 13-19. Pac-12 teams are 17-2 in last 19 games with Big Sky foes, 11-7–1 vs spread (all as a favorite).
Pacific turned ball over 21 times (-9) in 79-71 loss at Sacramento State LY; Tigers are 2-3 this year vs schedule #53- they’re 2-0 at home, beating Green Bay by 18, Wyoming by 8. Pacific has a new coach but starts four seniors and a junior. Sacramento is 0-5 vs D-I teams, going 0-3 in neutral court tourney LW. Hornets are shooting only 24.2% on arc. WCC home favorites are 13-9 vs spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 13-19. WCC teams are 12-9 vs spread in last 21 games vs Big Sky teams, 6-5 vs spread when favored.
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