NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, December 13th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
NCAAB Knowledge
Villanova beat Temple last three years by 16-23-16 points; Wildcats are 10-0 this season, with four top 100 wins- they trailed Notre Dame for first 31:00 Saturday, won/covered 74-66. Villanova has #7 eFG% in country, shooting 39.6% on arc. Temple won six of last seven games with win over West Virginia; Owls are 7-3 with losses by 5-3-3 points, despite injury concerns. Temple lost at UMass, won at St Joe’s in their two true road games. Big East home favorites are 16-11 vs spread; AAC road underdogs are 7-10.
Cal-Riverside was 13-29 on arc in 77-63 home win over Santa Clara LY; Highlanders are 0-4 vs D-I teams this year (two non-D-I wins); this is their first game in two weeks. Riverside is 0-4 on road with 74-62 loss at UNLV closest D-I game they’ve played. UCR is shooting 35.2% inside arc; their eFG% is #349 in country. Santa Clara is 0-2 vs Big West teams this year, losing to Davis by 5, Irvine by 3; Broncos lost their last four D-I games. WCC home favorites are 20-13 vs spread; Big West road underdogs are 8-21.
Tennessee lost by hoop at North Carolina Sunday after leading by 15 in first half, by 5 with 4:32 left; Vols are 4-4, but with three top 25 losses- they’re 2-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 9-40 points. Tennessee is forcing turnovers on 23.8% of possessions (#16). Tennessee Tech is 2-7 vs D-I teams after losing by 8 at Michigan St Saturday; Golden Eagles have only one loss by more than 15 points (by 19 to Lipscomb). SEC home favorites are 21-20 vs spread; OVC road underdogs are 22-27.
Denver shot 71.4% inside arc LY in 69-56 home win over South Alabama, but Pioneers ran Princeton offense LY- they play faster now. Pioneers are #296 experience team playing pace #220 (played pace #350 LY); they’ve split six true road games, winning last game at Air Force. South Alabama lost three of last four games after a 5-0 start, losing last home game to Middle Tennessee; Jaguars are forcing turnovers 23.5% of the time. Sun Belt home favorites are 7-5 vs spread; Summit League road underdogs are 15-16.
Memphis is 7-2 vs schedule #338; they’re #253 experience team that is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, with wins by 8-7 points. Tigers start three sophs and a junior; four starters played 37:00+ in last game. Memphis bench is playing #319 minutes. Monmouth is #39 experience team playing #49 pace, #227 schedule. Hawks won their last seven games (over teams ranked #194 or lower) but are 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 1 to South Carolina, 21 at Syracuse. AAC home favorites are 11-7 vs spread; MAAC road underdogs are 10-13.
Eastern Washington won its last six games with three OT wins; Eagles are 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 4-5-5 points. EWU scored 80+ points in its last six games, but they’re in bottom 5 in country at forcing turnovers. Morehead State lost its last six games, giving up 90.7 pts/game in its last three games; teams are shooting 47.9% on arc vs Eagles, best % in country vs one team. Morehead has worst foul differential in country. Big Sky home favorites are 3-7 vs spread; OVC road underdogs are 22-27.
Oregon won tough game by 9 over Alabama Sunday (trailed by point with 4:12 left); Ducks forced 18 turnovers, held Bama to 2-19 on arc. Oregon won last six games with other wins vs Tennessee/UConn; they’re turning ball over 21.1% of time, making just 32% on arc. Montana is 3-6 with losses by 14-24 points to USC/Washington State of Pac-12; Griz lost last game by hoop at Wyoming, after they led by 5 with 5:37 left. Pac-12 home favorites are 23-21 vs spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 24-26.
Armadillosports.com
Villanova hosts feisty Temple team Tuesday
By: Zach Cohen
StatFox.com
#1 Villanova will be looking to stay unbeaten with a home win over Temple on Tuesday night.
The Owls have gotten off to a solid start this season, as they are 7-3 SU and 7-2 ATS thus far. Temple has already earned a few impressive victories as well. The team has knocked off schools like Florida State and West Virginia, but a road win over Villanova would be a signature win for head coach Fran Dunphy’s program. That type of victory is not necessarily likely, though. The Wildcats have picked up right where they left off last season, as they are undefeated SU and 5-4 ATS. Villanova faced Notre Dame on Saturday, and the Wildcats won 74-66 as five-point favorites. That was a solid test for the team, and they’ll now look forward to facing an easier opponent on Tuesday. These teams met on Feb. 17, 2016, and Villanova won 83-67 as a 10-point favorite. The Wildcats are now 13-6 both SU and ATS against the Owls since 1997, and that includes a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS record at home. One trend favoring Temple in this one is the fact that Villanova is just 2-9 ATS in home games after a game where it made 88% of its free throws or better under head coach Jay Wright. The Wildcats are, however, 16-5 ATS in home games after seven or more consecutive wins since 1997. They do remain without G Phil Booth (Knee) indefinitely, though.
If Temple is going to win this huge road game at Villanova then F Obi Enechionyia (18.6 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 2.9 BPG) is going to need to show up in a big way for the Owls. Enechionyia is an absolute nightmare for opposing teams, as he is a lengthy forward that has the skill of a guard. On the year, Enechionyia is shooting 49.2% from the outside. It’s especially impressive considering he is attempting 6.1 threes per game. He is also a tremendous defender, and he’ll need to do everything he can to protect the rim in this one. Gs Shizz Alston Jr. (12.6 PPG, 4.6 APG, 4.1 RPG, 2.1 SPG) and Daniel Dingle (11.4 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 3.4 APG, 1.2 SPG) are the other guys that need to step it up for Temple. They make up one of the better backcourts in the American Athletic Conference, but they’re also going up against a whole other animal on Tuesday. Villanova has some of the best wing players in the nation, and Alston Jr. and Dingle will need to be ready to defend at a high level. They also need to shoot the three-ball well, which is something that hasn’t been easy for Alston Jr. this year. He is hitting just 26.8% from the outside, and the team needs him to be more accurate from there moving forward.
Villanova is coming off of an impressive comeback victory over Notre Dame and G Josh Hart (19.5 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 3.8 APG, 1.4 SPG) made it clear that he should be a favorite for the Naismith Player of the Year Award. Hart was insane in that game, finishing with 37 points, 11 rebounds, four assists and two steals on 10-for-14 shooting from the floor. He got to the free throw line 14 times in that game and was perfect from the stripe. Look for him to play well in this game, as there are few players in the country that are capable of stopping him. He is a knockdown shooter from the outside and knows how to use his size to finish at the basket. F Kris Jenkins (13.5 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 1.0 SPG) should also be in for a big game in this one. Jenkins has improved his three-point shooting since knocking down the buzzer beater in the championship game last year. Jenkins is up to 41.5% from the outside this season and he is still doing a great job of guarding both big men and wings. The x-factors in this game will, however, be G Jalen Brunson (12.7 PPG, 3.4 APG) and F Darryl Reynolds (6.2 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 1.1 BPG). Brunson needs to play his usual brand of efficient basketball, and do his best to run this team in a tough game. Reynolds, meanwhile, needs to continue to clean the glass and defend the rim.