NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, February 7th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NCAAB Knowledge
South Carolina won its last four games, is 3-2 as an SEC home favorite winning home tilts by 11-11-4-29-2 points- their only SEC loss was at Kentucky. Alabama lost its last two games, is 2-2 as a road underdog, losing away games by 20-19 at Auburn/Arkansas- they won at LSU, Miss State and Georgia. Alabama/South Carolina split their last eight games; home side won last eight regular season meetings. Crimson Tide lost last four visits to Columbia, by 2-1-2-14 points. SEC home favorites of 8+ points are 9-11 vs spread.
Georgia lost four of last five games; four of them were decided by 1 or 2 points or in OT; Dawgs are 2-2 at home in SEC, beating Mizzou/Vandy, losing to So Carolina/Bama. Florida won/covered last four games; favorites covered all four of their SEC road games. Florida won six of its last seven games with Georgia; they beat Dawgs 80-76 in OT in first meeting Jan 14, when they outscored Georgia 27-16 on foul in game Gators trailed by 8 early in second half. Teams split last six meetings here. SEC road favorites of 7 or less points are 6-4 vs spread.
Notre Dame lost last four games, three of them to top 20 teams; ND is 3-1 as a home favorite, winning home games by 7-5-18 points- they lost last two home games, to Virginia/Duke. Irish won their last three games with Wake Forest, by 13-23-11 points. Deacons are 1-3 as a road underdog, losing away games by 16-17-5 points, with wins at NC State/BC. Notre Dame is just 26-82 on arc (31.7%) in its last four games. Single digit home favorites are 19-13 against the spread in ACC games this season.
Maryland had 7-game win streak snapped by Purdue Saturday; they won/covered all five Big 14 road games, all as an underdog- all five wins were by 8 or less points. Penn State lost five of last six games; they’re 2-3 in Happy Valley, with losses by 3-2-4 points- they’re 4-4 as a dog in Big 14 games. Maryland won its three Big 14 games with Penn State by 6-3-6 points, winning 76-73 in their last visit to Happy Valley, in ’15. Lions are forcing turnovers 20.9% of time in Big 14 games. Big 14 road favorites of 4 or less points are 4-7 vs spread.
Clemson lost 7 of its last 9 games and lost by 48 points at Florida State Sunday; they’re 1-3 at home in ACC games, with only win over Ga Tech- they’re 1-1 as a home favorite. Syracuse won its last four games but is 1-4 on ACC road, with only win in OT at NC State- their road losses are by 15-10-17-18 points. Clemson won two of its three ACC games with Syracuse, winning 74-73 in OT in Carrier Dome LY; Orangemen lost 66-53 in their only visit here, two years ago. ACC home favorites of 3 or less points are 4-7 vs spread.
Illinois lost six of its last seven games, is -5 as a road underdog, losing Big 14 away games by 25-16-23-9-4 points- they scored 56.3 pts/game in last three games. Northwestern won/covered six of last seven games; they’re 3-1 as home favorite, winning home games by 30-12-13 points. Wildcats were without star Lindsey last game (ill; check status). Illinois/Northwestern split their last 12 games; teams split last six meetings here. Teams are shooting 53% inside arc against the Illini this season. Big 14 home favorites of 7 or less points are 18-13 vs spread.
Arkansas won five of last seven games; they’re 2-2 as home favorites, winning last three home games by 19-13-19 points. Vanderbilt lost six of last nine games, is 4-1 as a road underdog, losing road games by 3-8 points, with wins at LSU/Florida/Texas A&M. Arkansas rallied back from 15 down with 6:43 left to nip Vanderbilt 71-70 in Nashville Jan 24; Razorbacks won last four series games, winning by hoop in last visit here, in 2014. Hogs lead SEC, making 40.1% of its 3-pointers. SEC home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-16 vs spread.
Mississippi State lost last three road games by 17-9-27 points; they’re 2-3 as road underdogs, with road wins at LSU/Arkansas. State won four of last six games with Auburn, in series where home side won 10 of last 11 series games. Bulldogs lost five of last six visits to Auburn, but won last one 78-71 two years ago. Auburn is 2-3 at home in SEC, 1-3 as a home favorite, with wins by 4-20 points, losses to Georgia/Ole Miss/Tennessee. SEC home favorites of 6 or less points are 10-16 vs spread. State is least experienced team in whole country.
Colorado State won four of last five games despite having only 7 scholarship players; Rams are 3-2 as home favorites, with home wins by 14-27-9 points and losses to New Mexico/Boise St. Utah State is 1-4 as a road underdog, losing away games by 5-8-19-13-2 points. CSU never trailed in 64-56 win at Utah State Jan 21, just Rams’ second win seven MW games against USU. Aggies won by 9-4 points in last two visits to Fort Collins. Mountain West home favorites of 6 or less points are 10-13 against the spread this season.
Butler trailed 25-5 early, by 18 early in second half, before they rallied for 88-80 home win over Marquette Jan 16; home side is 6-1 in series games. Bulldogs lost two of three visits here, with losses by 7-6 points and an OT win two years ago. Butler lost last two games, both at home; they’re 3-2 on Big East road, losing at St John’s/Creighton- two of their three road wins were in OT. Marquette is 4-1 at home, with only loss to Providence; they’re 2-2 as a home favorite. Big East home favorites of 3 or less points are 2-3 against the spread.
TCU was outscored 25-5 on foul line in 75-69 loss at Texas Tech Jan 18; Frogs rallied back from down 14 in first half, led by 2 with 9:10 left. Tech is 9-1 vs TCU in Big X games, with lone loss in Big X tourney LY- they’ve won last four visits to TCU. Horned Frogs are 3-2 at home, 2-1 as home favorites, with wins over Oklahoma/Iowa St/Texas- they lost to Kansas/Baylor. Texas Tech is 0-5 on Big X road, 1-3 as a road underdog, with losses by 7-17-9-4-4 points. Big X home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-5 against the spread.
Iowa State won three of last four games, with two wins in OT; they’re 3-2 on Big X road and were underdog in all five games. Texas is 3-2 at home in Big X; all five games were decided by 4 or less points- they’re 2-0 as a home underdog. Iowa State beat Texas 79-70 in first meeting this year; they made 10-24 on arc, were +8 in turnovers. Cyclones won six of last seven games with Texas, but lost six of last seven visits to Austin. their win was two years ago. Underdogs are 8-1 vs spread in Texas games. Big X road favorites of 3 or less points are 5-2 vs spread.
Michigan State beat Michigan 70-62 at home nine days ago; Wolverines were just 7-26 on arc. State won last five series games, winning by 13-16 points in last two visits to Ann Arbor. State won its last two games, is 2-3 on Big 14 road, losing away games by 9-5-7 points, winning at Minnesota/Nebraska. Spartans are turning ball over 20% of time in conference play. Michigan is 4-2 at home, 2-4 as a home favorite, with losses to Maryland/Ohio St, wins by 3-6-9-30 points. Big 14 home favorites of 4 or less points are 13-11 vs spread.
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NCAAB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Wake Forest at Notre Dame
Notre Dame (17-7, 11-6-1 ATS) losing their way at both ends of the court have tumbled from the top of the ACC into the middle of the pack with four straight losses (1-3 ATS) netting just 66.0 points/game while allowing 75.0 per/contest over the slump. Meanwhile, Wake Forest (14-9, 11-10 ATS) no slouches at putting the ball through the hoop (81.6) have won two consecutive (1-1 ATS) and four of six (4-2 ATS).
Taking a struggling team is always a risky proposition, though in this case, the amount of supporting data in favor of Notre Dame makes it much less risky.
Despite two losses this campaign in front of the home audience the Irish remain a solid 19-3 the past twenty-two in South Bend with a profitable 10-5-1 record against the betting line. In contrast, life on the road for Wake Forest is never easy. In eighteen true road games the Demon Deacons have been on the wrong end of the score board 14 times, on the winning end 4 times going 7-10-1 ATS.
Another nod towards Notre Dame, the Irish have won/covered three staright in the series including two at this venue.
Tuesday's Tip Sheet
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
If you are a big fan of betting on SEC college basketball, Tuesday night’s early schedule offers up a trio of action involving the top three teams in this conference. Right out of the gate, Alabama will be on the road against the No. 19 South Carolina Gamecocks. The No. 17 Florida Gators will be on the road against Georgia a bit later that night while at the same time the No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats play host to LSU.
Alabama Crimson Tide at No. 19 South Carolina Gamecocks
Opening Odds: South Carolina – 8½
Betting Matchup
The Crimson Tide has dropped their last two games with a 87-68 road loss to Arkansas as 3½-point underdogs followed by Saturday’s 82-77 loss to rival Auburn at home as seven-point favorites. They are now just 3-6 against the spread in their last nine games. Freshman forward Braxton Key posted 17 points in the loss to the Tigers and senior guard Corban Collins matched that same total off the bench. Alabama (13-9 SU, 9-11 ATS) has scored 71 points or more in three of its last five games as opposed to a season average of 69.4 points per game.
South Carolina (19-4 SU, 11-10 ATS) is holding down the lead in the SEC standings at 9-1 SU in conference play; however it has failed to cover in four of its last seven games. The total went OVER 132 points in Saturday’s tight 77-75 victory against Georgia as an eight-point home favorite and it has gone OVER in four of its last five games. Sophomore guard PJ Dozier continues to lead the Gamecocks in scoring with 14.1 PPG and he led the way against the Bulldogs with a game-high 21 points.
Betting Trends
The Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss and the total has gone OVER in their last four road games.
The Gamecocks have covered in seven of their last 10 Tuesday games and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 home games.
The home team in thus matchup is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in three of those five games.
No. 17 Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs
Opening Odds: Florida -5½
Betting Matchup
The Gators remain just one game off the pace in the SEC at 8-2 SU as part of an overall record of 18-5 (14-8 ATS). They have won their last four games both SU and ATS with Saturday’s 88-66 romp over Kentucky as slight 1½-point home favorites. The total stayed UNDER 161 against the Wildcats and it has stayed UNDER in four of Florida’s last six games. Senior guard Kasey Hill put up a career-high 21 points in Saturday’s win while going 8-for-16 from the field. Florida has exceeded its 79.7 PPG scoring average for the fourth-straight game.
Georgia’s loss to South Carolina was its fourth in its last five games SU, but with the cover it is 6-2 ATS in its last eight contests. The total has gone OVER in five of the Bulldogs (13-10 SU, 11-9 ATS) last seven games. Junior forward Yante Maten leads the team in both points (19.7) and rebounds (7.4) and he has scored 20 or more points in three of his last four starts. Georgia is averaging 72.5 PPG, but it has given up an average of 76 points over its last four games.
Betting Trends
The Gators have covered ATS in four of their last five road games and the total has gone OVER in 11 of their last 14 games played on the road.
The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against a team with a SU winning record on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven Tuesday games.
The favorite in this conference tilt has covered in five of the last seven meetings and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in six of the last eight meetings in Georgia. Florida won the first meeting this season 80-76 in overtime as an 11-point home favorite.
LSU Tigers at No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats
Opening Odds: Kentucky -23½
Betting Matchup
The Tigers (9-13 SU, 8-13 ATS) have just one SU win in SEC play and that came all the way back on Jan. 4 against Missouri. Their current SU losing streak reached nine games with Saturday’s 85-73 loss to Texas A&M at home as six-point underdogs. The total has gone OVER in 12 of LSU’s last 14 games. Defensively, this team is ranked near the bottom of Division I basketball with a points-allowed average of 81.2 points verse a scoring average of 74.6 PPG.
Kentucky will look to quickly regroup after falling one game off the pace in the SEC regular-season title race with Saturday’s lopsided loss. The Wildcats are 8-2 in conference play as part of an overall record of 18-5 (12-11 ATS). They have failed to cover in seven of their last eight games and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four outings. Freshman guard Malik Monk was the only Kentucky starter in double figures (11 points) in Saturday’s loss, but another freshman guard De’Aaron Fox added 19 points off the bench after missing his previous start.
Betting Trends
The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and the total has gone OVER in eight of their last 10 games following a SU loss.
The Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five games played on Tuesday.
Head-to-head in this SEC tilt, the home team is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the total has gone OVER in six of the last seven games between the two.
Trends to Watch - Tuesday
VegasInsider.com
Florida-Georgia Line
Florida heads north to Athens to battle Georgia in a key battle in the Southeastern Conference. The Gators cannot afford a setback, as they're one game back of South Carolina for the top spot in the conference, tied with Kentucky at 8-2 in the league. The Bulldogs are in the lower half of the league, but can keep their flickering postseason hopes alive with a victory.
The Gators have covered four in a row, and they're 4-0 ATS in their past four games as a road favorite. They're also 17-4 ATS in their past 21 overall as a favorite. The Dawgs have been just as hot against the number lately, covering six of their past seven league games, and they're a perfect 7-0 ATS in their past seven as an underdog. UGA is also 6-2 ATS in their past eight overall, and 8-3-1 ATS in their past 12 as a home underdog. However, they're 1-4 ATS in their past five at home. In this series, the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the past seven, and the Gators are 8-3 ATS in their past 11 in the series. If you're interested in the total, the 'over' is 11-4-1 in the past 16 in this series, and 5-2-1 in the past eight meetings in Athens.
Terp Time
Penn State will host Maryland, as the Nittany Lions look to cool off the red-hot Terrapins. Maryland has covered six in a row on the road, and they're an impressive 10-1-1 ATS in their past 12 games overall. The Terps are also 10-1-1 ATS in their past 12 league games. As a favorite Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their past five, and 7-3 ATS in their past 10 as a favorite on the road.
On the other hand, the Nittany Lions are a dismal 1-4-1 ATS in their past six overall, and they're 0-3-1 ATS in their past four outings as an underdog. While they're 3-1-1 ATS in their past five at hoem, and 4-1 ATS in their past five at home aginst a team with a winning road record, they're 1-3-1 ATS in their past five as a home underdog and 1-4-1 ATS in their past six against a team with a winning overall mark.
Big East Big Dogs In Action
Villanova, the No. 2 ranked team in the land, will host Georgetown as they look to keep their spot on the perch in the Big East Conference. The Wildcats are 12-0 SU at home this season, but they're just 6-5 ATS. 'Nova has also failed to cover their past three home games, too.
The Hoyas hit Philadelphia looking to get untracked. They're a dismal 3-9 ATS in their past 12 league games, and 2-6 ATS in their past eight games following a straight-up loss. They're also 8-20 ATS in their past 28 against teams with an overall winning percentage over .600. In addition, Georgetown is 1-4 ATS in their past five games on the road against a team with an overall winning home record. The Hoyas are 1-4 ATS in their past five trips to 'Nova, and the home team is 8-1 ATS in the past nine meetings in this series.
Butler heads to Marquette looking to stay in the mix for the Big East title. The Bulldogs are looking to snap a two-game mini skid, and they're 1-3 ATS in their past four overall. In the first meeting on Jan. 16, Butler topped Marquette by an 88-80 score in Indianapolis, covering a 7 1/2-point number. Trends are on Butler's side, as they are 6-1-2 ATS in the past nine in this series. The money has been on Marquette, however, as the line opened as a pick 'em and is now up to Marquette favored by 1 1/2 points. The favorite is 4-1-2 ATS in the past seven meetings, while the home team is 4-0 ATS in the past four in this series.
MAC-tion Packed Schedule
Akron had their 12-game winning streak snapped last time out, falling to Ohio. The Zips will look to rebound against Ball State, a team stumbling in just 3-2 SU and 1-4 ATS over the past five outings.
The Cardinals have covered just one of the past five league games, although they're 5-2 ATS in their past seven as an underdog and 5-2 ATS in their past seven road outings against a team with a winning home record. The Cards are 5-1 ATS in their past six against a team with an overall winning percentage over. 600. As far as the Zips are concerned, Akron is 3-7 ATS in their past 10 home games, and 3-7 ATS in their past 10 as a home favorite, too. However, they're 6-1 ATS in their past seven home outings against a team with a winning road mark. Akron has dominated this series, at least against the number, going 10-4 ATS in the past 14 meetings, including 5-2 ATS in the past seven home meetings.
Totals bettors might look to the 'over', as that has been the dominant trend for both sides lately. The 'over' is 16-5-1 in Ball State's past 22 as an undedgo, and 40-17-1 in their past 58 league games. The over is also 12-3-1 in their past 16 against teams with an overall winning percentage over .600. For Akron, the over is a perfect 4-0 in the past four, and 5-1 in their past five as a favorite.
Bowling Green heads to Kent State looking to stay hot against the number in this series. The Falcons are 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings, and 4-1-1 ATS in their past six trips to Kent State. The under has hit in four of the past five in Kent State, too.
Eastern Michigan takes on Ohio in Athens looking to turn things around. They're 4-1 ATS in their past five overall, but just 1-4 ATS in their past five on the road while going 2-6 ATS in their past eight as an underdog. Ohio isn't much better, at least as a favorite, going 1-3-1 ATS in their past five. The Chips are 2-6 ATS in their past eight trips to Ohio, although the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five in this series. The 'under' is 4-0 in the past four in this series, and 4-1 in the past five meetings in Athens.
In one of the more curious lines of the day, Northern Illinois travels to Buffalo. The Huskies (14-9 SU, 11-9 ATS) are six-point underdogs against the Bulls (11-12 SU, 10-7-2 ATS). NIU has covered five of the past six road outings, and they're 39-19-4 ATS in their past 62 league games. The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their past six overall, but they're just 2-6 ATS in their past eight home games against a team with a winning road record. Perhaps the reason why bettors are flocking to the Bulls is because the Huskies are 0-4 ATS in the past four meetings. Of course, the road team has also covered 11 of the past 14 in the series.