NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, November 15th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
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Dayton pummeled Alabama 80-48 at home LY, holding Crimson Tide to 29.8% from floor- they led by 16 at half. Flyers beat Austin Peay by 28 in their opener; Flyers have four starters back from 25-8 team. Avery Johnson is in his 2nd year at Alabama; he’s upgraded the talent level from LY, but they’re still a work in progress. Bama beat Coastal Carolina by 17 in their opener. A-14 teams are 5-4 in last nine games vs SEC (4-5 vs spread). SEC teams are 5-6 vs spread so far this season; A-14 teams are 6-9.
Oregon shot 60% inside arc in 74-67 home win over Baylor LY; Ducks beat Army by 14 in their opener. Oregon has four starters back from a 31-7 team LY, but Brooks has been banged up. Baylor made 10-26 on arc in its 76-61 win over Oral Roberts in their opener; Bears lost three starters from a 22-12 team that got upset in first round of NCAAs by Yale last spring. Big X teams are 7-4 in last 11 games vs Pac-12 (6-5 vs spread). Pac-12 teams are 8-5 vs spread so far this season; Big 14 teams are 6-6.
Indiana State won four of last five games with Ball State, losing 70-63 in last visit here; they beat Cardinals 73-61 at home LY. Sycamores brought in a freshman PG to run things after they were 15-17 LY, 8-10 in the MVC. Ball State has four starters back from LY’s 21-14 team that was Cardinals’ first postseason tourney team since 2002- they jumped 130 points in RPI LY. MVC teams are 4-3 in last seven games vs MAC clubs (5-2 vs spread). MAC teams are 7-6 vs spread so far this season; MVC teams are 2-5.
Wisconsin has its whole team back from LY’s 22-13 team that made Sweet 16 in NCAAs after they changed coaches in December. Badgers whacked Central Arkansas by 32 in their opener (34-22 at half). Creighton has four starters back from a 20-15 team that lost in NIT quarterfinals; Bluejays beat UMKC 89-82 in their opener- they were up by 28 with 13:09 left, let Kangaroos back in the game. Big East teams are 11-9 in last 20 games vs Big East teams (10-10 vs spread). Big 14 teams are 6-6 vs spread so far this season. Big East teams are 5-0.
Stanford was in China four days ago, beating Harvard by 10; Cardinal was 29-43 on line, was just 1-6 on arc. Cal-Northridge lost 102-87 at UCLA Sunday; Matadors were up by a hoop at the half. CSUN has three starters back from LY and finally has decent depth in Year 4 for coach Theus. Stanford has four starters back from a 15-15 team; they’ve got a new coach. Pac-12 teams are 11-8 vs spread in last 19 games vs Big West teams. Big West teams are 4-8 vs spread this season, 1-4 as road underdogs. Pac-12 teams are 8-4.
Michigan State raced out to 17-2 lead, then lost 65-63 to Arizona on Pearl Harbor in their opener Friday; Spartans were outscored 20-5 on foul line, made just 8-25 on arc. MSU is younger than usual; they lost three starters from LY, but has very talented freshmen. Kentucky won its first two games by 23-24 over SF Austin/Canisius; Wildcats are obviously young/talented; they forced turnovers on 30.3% of opponents’ possessions. Big 14 teams are 8-1 (5-3-1 vs spread) in last nine games vs SEC squads. Big 14 teams are 6-6 vs spread; SEC teams are 5-7. This is in NYC; lot of travel for Michigan State- they played in Hawai’i Friday night.
Kansas was also in Hawai’i Friday, losing 103-99 in OT to Indiana in foulfest where 74 Its were taken; Indiana made 15-31 on arc in game Jayhawks led by 9 early in second half. Kansas PG Mason is indispensable; he played all 40:00, got to line 15 times himself vs Hoosiers. Duke is a loaded team that has injury issues early one; Blue Devils whacked Marist/Grand Canyon to start their season- this is obviously a big jump in class. ACC teams were 3-3 (2-4 vs spread) vs Big 14 teams LY. Big 14 teams are 6-6 vs spread this season; ACC teams are 8-3. Duke will have crowd edge with game being in NYC, where Blue Devils play every year.
Monmouth scheduled games like this to up their non-league profile so they can get an at-large bid to NCAAs; Hawks have four starters back from a 28-8 team that lost MAAC final by 3 to Iona, then got sent to NIT- they beat Drexel by 13 in their opener this year. South Carolina scored 83 pts/game in beating LA Tech/Holy Cross to start season; Gamecocks made half their 3’s in those two games. Carolina lost three starters from a 25-9 team that was 15-0 at one point. MAAC teams are 1-6 vs spread so far this season; SEC teams are 5-6.
Siena beat Cornell by 11 in its opener Sunday; Saints beat St Bonaventure of A-14 at home LY. Siena has three starters back from 21-13 team, is expected to challenge Monmouth, Iona for MAAC crown. George Washington fired its coach in late summer, has an interim coach for this year. Colonials almost blew a 19-point lead in their opener, holding off Md-Eastern Shore 75-71. A-14 teams are 9-3 in last 12 games vs MAAC teams (6-6 vs spread). MAAC teams are 1-6 vs spread this month. A-14 teams are 6-9. GW has 8 new players this season.
Little unusual that this is Iona’s opener; they’re off to Reno to play Reno after this game. Gaels lost three starters from 22-11 team that won MAAC tourney LY- they’ve been in NCAA’s 3 of last 5 years. Florida State beat a cupcake by 21 in their opener; Seminoles are deep, athletic but they’ve got to play better defense than they did LY. FSU has had two excellent recruiting classes in a row. ACC teams are 3-1 (2-2 vs spread) in last four games vs MAAC. MAAC teams are 1-6 vs spread so far this season; ACC teams are 8-3.
Belmont, Vanderbilt are both in Nashville but are playing for first time in six years; Bruins are the smaller school, have to be more excited about this. This is Belmont’s opener; they’ve got four starters back from 20-12 team that went 4-5 in its last nine games, losing in OT in OVC tourney. Vandy got whacked by 24 by Marquette in its opener; Commodores turned ball over 19 times, have new coach- it takes time sometimes to adjust. SEC teams won their last 10 games (5-5 vs spread) vs OVC opponents. OVC teams are 7-7 vs spread; SEC teams are 6-9.
Murray State beat Middle Tenneseee by 19-11 points the last two years. Racers beat Illinois State 73-70 in their opener, a solid win- Murray forced 18 turnovers, was 12-33 on arc- they’ve got three starters back from a disappointing 17-14 team. Middle Tennessee wound up making NCAAs LY and upsetting Michigan State in first round; Blue Raiders played a stiff in their first game this year- they’ve got three starters back from that 25-10 team. C-USA teams are 8-6 in last 14 games vs OVC teams (5-8-1 vs spread). OVC teams are 7-7 vs spread; C-USA teams are 8-1.
Weber State actually played Antelope Valley (who??) in their opener; Wildcats have four starters back from a 26-9 team that lost by 18 to Xavier in NCAAs LY- they’re expected to contend for another Big Sky title. Pepperdine beat Cal Poly by 9 in its opener; Waves were just 11-21 on foul line- they’ve got three starters back from an 18-14 team. Pepperdine is struggling to break into WCC’s top 3; hard to do. WCC teams are 8-7 in last 15 games vs Big Sky foes (9-6 vs spread). Big Sky teams are 7-7 vs spread this week; WCC teams are 6-8.
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