NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, December 14th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
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Georgia is playing for first time in 10 days; Dawgs are 4-3 with all three losses to top 50 teams- they’re 3-0 vs teams #100-199, winning by 14-6-8 points. Georgia starts two sophs/two juniors. UL-Lafayette won its last eight games but only one of those was against a top 200 team- they lost by 12 at Minnesota in only top 100 game. Ragin’ Cajuns force turnovers 23.8% of time (#17), but their eFG% defense is #317 in country. SEC home favorites are 21-21 vs spread; Sun Belt road underdogs are 15-17.
Ohio U is 5-2 after losing by 4 at Iona last game; Bobcats are 3-0 vs teams outside top 200, winning by 10-11-26 points- they’re shooting 40.9% on arc- they start two sophs, two seniors. Milwaukee is 4-6 with five losses by 14+ points; Panthers have new coach, are #301 experience team playing pace #341- their eFG% defense is #327. Milwaukee is 1-5 on road with only win at Montana State. Ohio is 4-0 at home, with all four wins by 10+ points. MAC home favorites are 11-8 vs spread; Horizon road underdogs are 14-18.
Princeton was 9-33 on arc in 62-50 loss at St Joe’s LY; they’re 4-4 this year vs schedule #31. Tigers are #27 experience team- they’re 3-0 vs teams outside top 100, winning by 16-13-3 points. Princeton lost to VCU (of A-14) by 11.St Joe’s snapped 4-game skid with 72-71 win at Drexel; Hawks they beat Columbia (of Ivy) by 20. St Joe’s is #296 experience team with Bembry off to Atlanta Hawks- they’re 0-4 vs top 100 teams. Ivy League home favorites are 3-6 vs spread; A-14 road underdogs are 11-8.
Southern Illinois is 5-5 after losing last game at home to Sam Houston State; Salukis lost four of last five games with Saint Louis, beating Billikens 65-52 LY. SIU is #73 experience team but has only #250 eFG% defense. Saint Louis lost five of last six games; they’re 3-6 with no wins against anyone ranked higher than #247- they lost by 30 at Wichita State in only true road game. SLU is shooting 28.9% on arc- their eFG% is #325. MVC home favorites are 16-8 vs spread; A-14 road underdogs are 11-8.
DePaul is 5-3 vs schedule #318; they beat Ill-Chicago last two years by 1-27 points. Blue Demons are shooting 26.8% on arc (#341), turning ball over 20.3% of time- they won by 18 over Milwaukee (of Horizon). UIC is 4-5 in McClain’s second year as coach- they were 5-25 LY. Flames start two freshmen, have no seniors; they’re 0-4 vs top 200 teams, losing by 2-11-11-4 points, are turning ball over 22.2% of time. Big East home favorites are 17-11 vs spread; Horizon road underdogs are 14-18.
Wisconsin is 9-2, the #63 experience team playing schedule #58; Badgers beat Green Bay the last six years, with four of six wins by 14 or less points. Badgers are 4-0 vs teams outside the top 100, with all four wins by 18+ points. Green Bay hasn’t played in eight days since 107-97 loss to Central Michigan; Phoenix is #24 experience team that plays pace #8, Badgers play pace #344. Green Bay is shooting only 28.4% on arc (#334). Big 14 home favorites are 25-28 vs spread; Horizon road underdogs are 14-18.
St Mary’s bounced back from its loss to UTA by pounding Cal-Irvine by 31 Saturday; they’re 7-1, playing 2nd-slowest pace in country with whole team back from LY- they’ve played schedule #118, should be OK for NCAAs as long as they don’t lose games like this one. Western Kentucky lost four of last five games, losing by 39 to Washington, noel top 100 team they’ve faced. WKU is 4-5 with three losses by 19+ points. WCC home favorites are 22-13 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 21-18.
Nevada is 8-2 vs schedule #110; Wolf Pack is 4-0 at home with all four wins by 10+ points. Nevada starts a freshman, three sophs- their subs play 7th-fewest minutes in country. Irvine lost four of last five D-I games, losing by 31 at Saint Mary’s last game. Anteaters are #339 experience team turning ball over 22% of time; they’re 0-4 vs top 100 teams, losing by 10-6-22-31 points. Mountain West home favorites are 14-10 vs spread; Big West road underdogs are 8-22.
Middle Tennessee lost six of last eight games with Belmont, beating Bruins 83-62 LY; Blue Raiders lost last five games in this gym. MTSU is 9-1 this season vs schedule #117; they’re #35 experience team playing pace #305- their only loss was at home to Tennessee State of OVC by 11- they thrashed Vanderbilt by 23 last game. Belmont is 4-3 vs schedule #60; Bruins are experience team #52- they’ve been off for 8 days since OT win over local rival Lipscomb. C-USA favorites are 6-4 away from home; OVC home underdogs are 3-4.
Arkansas State lost to Tenn-Martin the last two years by 2-4 points; ASU is 7-2 under its new coach, losing by 23 at TCU last game. Red Wolves beat SIU-Edwardsville by 18 in its only game vs OVC team this year- they’re turning ball over 21.6% of time, have #54 eFG% defense. UTM is 8-3, the #11 experience team, also with a new coach; Skyhawks are 1-3 vs top 200 teams, with only win by 3 at #192 Canisius. Sun Belt favorites are 4-4 away from home; OVC home underdogs are 3-4.
Missouri State lost to Oral Roberts last two years, by 15-19 points; Bears are 4-1 at home after 84-81 loss to Valparaiso last game- they’re 5-3 vs schedule #309, making 37.3% on arc. State starts three juniors, two seniors. Oral Roberts is 0-8 vs D-I teams (schedule #15), with road losses by 15-28-4-26 points- they do have two non-D-I wins; Eagles have #304 eFG%, #318 eFG% defense- not good. MVC home favorites are 16-8 vs spread; Summit League road underdogs are 15-22.
North Dakota State was down 6 with 0:31 left, rallied to win in OT at Cal-Davis in LY’s opener; Davis was 15-31 on foul line. Bison lost three of last four games overall this year, getting beat by 18 at home by North Dakota last game. Aggies lost last three games after a 5-2 start; they’re 1-2 on road, with only win by 5 at Santa Clara. Davis is turning ball over 21.8% of time; they’re #68 experience team but not playing like it. Summit League home favorites are 5-7 vs spread; Big West road underdogs are 8-22.
Mississippi State’s #2 scorer Weatherspoon missed only two games when he was supposed to be out for year; Bulldogs won last three games, allowing 58.7 pts/game- they lost to Central Florida by 25 in their only top 100 game this year. East Tennessee State is 0-2 vs top 150 teams, losing by 9 at UNCW, 12 at Dayton; Buccaneers force turnovers 22.1% of time, but cough ball up 21.9% of time themselves- their best win was over #179 Cal-Irvine. SEC home favorites are 21-21 vs spread; SoCon road underdogs are 14-12.
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