Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 3/12/21
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, March 12
ACC tournament (@ Greensboro)
Georgia Tech vs Virginia
Georgia Tech (16-8, 12-6)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #212
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #10
— Georgia Tech won its last seven games.
— Yellow Jackets force turnovers 22.2% of time (#31)
— Tech is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#26)
— Tech played three starters 31:00+ yesterday- they were down 7 in 2nd half.
— Last 9+ years, Tech is 3-9 in ACC tourney; last time they won two games in one ACC tourney was 2010.
Virginia (18-6, 14-4)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357
— Experience: #110
— Continuity: #162
— Virginia won its last three games, after an 0-3 skid.
— Cavaliers are shooting 38.1% on the arc (#19)
— Virginia is #14 team in country on defensive boards.
— Last 6+ years, Virginia is 12-4 in ACC tournament.
— Virginia beat Georgia Tech twice this year, 64-62/57-49
— Cavaliers wont last eight series games.
North Carolina vs Florida State
North Carolina (18-9, 12-6)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #330
— Continuity: #157
— Tar Heels are 6-2 in their last eight games; they scored 91 ppg in last three.
— Carolina has #221 eFG%, is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#264)
— UNC is grabbing 41.3% of its missed shots (#1)
— Tar Heels are 11-4 in last 15 ACC tourney games; they last won the ACC tournament in 2016.
Florida State (15-5, 11-4)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #77
— Experience: #96
— Continuity: #103
— Seminoles lost two of last three games, after a 9-1 run.
— Opponents are shooting 44.2% inside arc (#11)
— Florida State is shooting 38.5% on the arc (#54)
— Last eight years, Florida State is 7-7 in ACC tournament.
— UNC played last two days; FSU hasn’t played since Saturday.
— These teams split pair of games this season.
— These teams also split last six series games.
AAC tournament
Cincinnati vs SMU (@ Fort Worth, TX)
Cincinnati (10-10, 8-6)
— ranked #112 by KenPom
— Tempo: #74
— Experience: #255
— Continuity: #209
— Cincinnati split their last six games.
— Bearcats are shooting 31.1% on arc (#289), 65.9% on line (#312)
— Cincinnati is turning ball over 20.3% of time (#251)
— Cincinnati won the last two AAC tournaments.
SMU (11-4, 7-4)
— ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #52
— This is SMU’s first game in 32 days.
— Opponents are shooting 43.3% inside arc (#8)
— Mustangs are 8-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— SMU went W-L in last two AAC tourneys; they won it in ’15, ’17.
— Bearcats won 76-69 at SMU January 7.
— Cincinnati won last eight series games.
Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
Oklahoma State vs Baylor
Oklahoma State (19-7, 12-7)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #322
— Continuity: #290
— Cowboys won seven of their last eight games.
— Oklahoma State has #50 eFG% defense in country.
— Their last six wins were all by 5 or fewer points.
— Cowboys played two starters 37:00+ yesterday; no one else played more than 29:00
— Last six years, Oklahoma State is 3-5 in Big X tourney.
Baylor (22-1, 14-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #186
— Experience: #87
— Continuity: #32
— Baylor won last four games, scoring 84.3 ppg.
— Bears are shooting 42.8% on the arc (#1)
— Baylor is forcing turnovers 24.9% of time (#3)
— Last 4+ years, Baylor is 1-3 in Big X tournament; last time they won twice in same tournament was 2014.
— Baylor beat Oklahoma State twice this year, 81-66/81-70
— Bears won 11 of last 12 series games.
Texas vs Kansas
Texas (18-7, 12-6)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #4
— Texas won its last four games, giving up 65.5 ppg.
— Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#24)
— 42.3% of Texas’ shots come behind the arc (#52)
— Under Smart, Longhorns are 4-5 in Big X tournament.
Kansas (20-8, 13-6)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #184
— Experience: #264
— Continuity: #122
— Kansas won eight of its last nine games- the one loss was in OT at Texas.
— Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#43)
— Kansas was down two guys yesterday- they used only 7 players.
— You’re reading ***************.com.
— Kansas is 31-6 in their last 37 Big X tourney games.
— Texas beat Kansas twice this year, 84-59/75-72 OT.
— Before this year, Jayhawks had won 18 of last 20 series games.
Big East tournament (@ New York City)
UConn vs Creighton
UConn (15-6, 12-6)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #298
— Experience: #162
— Continuity: #165
— UConn won its last five games, scoring 98-94 in last two games.
— Huskies are grabbing 37-7% of their missed shots (#4)
— UConn has #31 eFG% defense in country.
— Last 3+ years, UConn is 2-2 in conference tourneys.
Creighton (19-7, 15-6)
— ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #40
— Continuity: #20
— Creighton won nine of its last 12 games.
— Bluejays are shooting 57.8% inside arc (#5)
— Creighton gets 37.8% of their points on arc (#32)
— Last 5+ years, Creighton is 3-5 in Big East tourney.
— Creighton beat UConn twice this year, 76-74 OT/74-66.
Big 14 tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Ohio State vs Purdue
Ohio State (19-8, 13-8)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #173
— Buckeyes snapped 4-game skid with yesterday’s 79-75 win over Minnesota.
— Ohio State is shooting 52.7% inside arc (#67), 36.1% on arc (#65)
— Buckeyes are getting 21.5% of their points on foul line.
— Last 6+ years, Ohio State is 4-5 in Big 14 tourneys.
Purdue (18-8, 13-6)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #273
— Experience: #328
— Continuity: #114
— Purdue won its last five games, giving up 60.4 ppg.
— Purdue is a top 30 rebounding team in country.
— Boilers are 8-6 vs top 50 teams this season.
— Last seven years, Purdue is 3-4 in its first Big 14 tourney game.
— Purdue beat Ohio State twice this year, 67-60/67-65
— Boilermakers won six of last eight series games.
Wisconsin vs Iowa
Wisconsin (17-11, 11-10)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #325
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #12
— Wisconsin lost five of its last seven games.
— Badgers are 6-10 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Badgers won 75-74 yesterday; they led by 18 with 7:48 left.
— Under Gard, Wisconsin is 5-4 in Big 14 tournament games.
Iowa (20-7, 14-6)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #204
— Continuity: #46
— Iowa won seven of its last eight games.
— Hawkeyes are shooting 39.6% on arc (#4)
— Opponents are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#34)
— Last 13 years, Iowa is 4-12 in Big 14 tourney.
— Iowa beat Wisconsin twice this year, 77-62/77-73
— Hawkeyes won five of last seven series games.
Mountain West tournament (@ UNLV)
Nevada vs San Diego State
Nevada (15-9, 10-7)
— ranked #86 by KenPom
— Tempo: #107
— Experience: #334
— Continuity: #307
— Nevada won six of its last eight games overall.
— Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#70)
— Wolf Pack played three guys 33:00+ in yesterday’s 74-possession win.
— Last 5+ years, Nevada is 7-4 in Mountain West tournament.
San Diego State (21-4, 15-3)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #132
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #80
— San Diego State won its last 12 games.
— Aztecs are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#24)
— Aztecs are #30 team in country on defensive boards.
— Aztecs went WWL in this event 6 of last 7 years, WWW the other year.
— Aztecs beat Nevada twice this year, 65-60/69-67
— San Diego State won eight of last nine series games.
Pac-12 tournament (@ Las Vegas)
Oregon State vs Oregon
Oregon State (15-12, 11-10)
— ranked #96 by KenPom
— Tempo: #313
— Experience: #76
— Continuity: #155
— Beavers won four of their last five games.
— Oregon State gets 21.2% of its points on foul line (#46)
— Beavers rallied from down 16 to beat UCLA in OT yesterday.
— Under Tinkle, Beavers are 3-5 in Pac-12 tourney
Oregon (20-5, 15-4)
— ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #242
— Experience: #35
— Continuity: #268
— Oregon won six in row, 11 of last 12 games.
— Ducks are shooting 38.5% on the arc (#12)
— Oregon forces turnovers 20.2% of time (#92)
— Last 6+ years, Ducks are 14-3 in Pac-12 tourney, winning it twice
— Ducks/Beavers split pair of road wins this year.
— Oregon State won four of last six series games.
Colorado vs USC
Colorado (21-7, 15-6)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #270
— Experience: #32
— Continuity: #85
— Colorado won its last five games, giving up 59.8 ppg.
— Colorado is shooting 36.3% on the arc (#59)
— Opponents are shooting 46.0% inside arc (#44)
— Colorado went WL in five of last seven Pac-12 tourneys.
USC (22-6, 16-5)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #233
— Experience: #201
— Continuity: #317
— USC won its last three games, after a 1-3 skid.
— USC is grabbing 37.3% of its missed shots (#9)
— Four Trojans played 37:00+ in yesterday’s double OT win.
— Opponents are shooting 42.4% inside arc (#3)
— USC went W-L in four of last five Pac-12 tourneys.
— Colorado beat USC twice this year, 72-62/80-62
— Buffs won their last six games against USC.
SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
Florida vs Tennessee
Florida (14-8, 10-7)
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #173
— Experience: #246
— Continuity: #163
— Gators split their last eight games.
— Florida has #52 eFG% defense in country.
— Florida blew 12-point lead yesterday, held Vandy off 69-63.
— Under White, Gators are 4-4 in SEC tourney games.
Tennessee (17-7, 10-7)
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #253
— Experience: #251
— Continuity: #105
— Tennessee split its last six games.
— Opponents are shooting only 45.3% inside arc (#29)
— Tennessee beat Florida 65-54 at home, five days ago.
— Tennessee went WWL in last two SEC tournaments.
— Teams split pair of home wins this season.
— Vols won five of last six series games.
Missouri @ Arkansas
Missouri (16-8, 9-8)
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #170
— Experience: #11
— Continuity: #7
— Mizzou lost five of its last eight games.
— Mizzou is only #236 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tigers are shooting 52.8% inside arc (#62)
— Last 8+ years, Mizzou is 5-6 in SEC tourney- they’ve never won two games in the same SEC tournament (won two in 2012 Big X tourney).
Arkansas (21-5, 13-4)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #19
— Experience: #237
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won its last eight games, scoring 81+ points in 6 of last 7.
— Hogs have #61 eFG% defense in country.
— Arkansas is grabbing 31.7% of its missed shots (#62)
— Last six years, Arkansas is 6-5 in SEC tourneys.
— Teams split pair of road wins this season.
— Teams split last ten series games.
811MARYLAND -812 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.
813OHIO ST -814 PURDUE
OHIO ST is 38-63 ATS (-31.3 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1997.
815RUTGERS -816 ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing =72% of their attempts in the current season.
827MISSISSIPPI ST -828 ALABAMA
MISSISSIPPI ST is 49-30 ATS (16 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent since 1997.
829FLORIDA -830 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games in the last 3 seasons.