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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, March 15
Friday’s 5 interesting games
SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
Mississippi State vs Tennessee (-10.5)
Mississippi State (20-12, 9-10)
KenPom rating: 39
Tempo: 189
Experience: 56
Continuity: 29
Miss State snapped a 4-game losing skid Thursday.
Bulldogs trailed 29-22 at half; they played 4 starters 30:00+
Miss State has #51 eFG% defense in country.
Bulldogs are turning ball over 18.5% of time (#283).
Bulldogs went WL in their last six SEC tournaments.
Miss State is 4-9 vs top 50 teams.
Tennessee (24-7, 14-4)
KenPom rating: 5
Tempo: 75
Experience: 29
Continuity: 67
Tennessee won seven of its last eight games.
Vols are 10-7 ATS as an SEC favorite.
Tennessee has #5 eFG% defense in country.
Vols are 9-7 vs teams in the top 50.
since 2018, Vols are 9-4 in SEC tourney games (won title in ’22).
Miss State (+2.5) upset Tennessee 77-72 at home January 10.
Volunteers won nine of last 11 series games.
Texas A&M vs Kentucky
Texas A&M (19-13, 10-9)
KenPom rating: 48
Tempo: 293
Experience: 46
Continuity: 44
Texas A&M won last four games, scoring 77.8 ppg.
Aggies played five guys 31:00+ in yesterday’s 80-71 win.
Aggies are a terrible shooting team (#348 eFG%)
On bright side, they’re #1 in country on offensive boards.
Last 2+ years, Texas A&M is 6-2 in SEC tourney.
Texas A&M is 6-5 vs teams ranked in the top 50.
Kentucky (23-8, 13-5)
KenPom rating: 17
Tempo: 14
Experience: 194
Continuity: 317
Kentucky won its last five games, scoring 99.4 ppg.
Wildcats have the #4 eFG% in country.
Kentucky is #227 team on defensive boards.
Wildcats are shooting 41.2% on arc (#1)
Kentucky is only 2-4 in last four SEC tourneys.
Kentucky is 10-7 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Texas A&M (-3) beat Kentucky 97-92 in OT at home on January 13.
Aggies had 25 offensive boards in that game.
Wildcats won seven of last nine series games.
Big East tournament (@ Madison Square Garden)
UConn (-9.5) at St John’s
UConn (29-3, 19-2)
KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 332
Experience: 72
Continuity: 149
UConn won 19 of its last 20 games.
Huskies covered eight of last nine games.
UConn has #7 eFG%, #3 eFG% defense in country.
Opponents are shooting 43.7% inside arc (#8)
UConn had a stress-free win Thursday.
Huskies went WL in last four Big East tournaments.
UConn is 10-2 vs teams in the top 50.
St John’s (20-12, 12-9)
KenPom rating: 29
Tempo: 84
Experience: 9
Continuity: 333
St John’s won its last six games, scoring 88.8 ppg.
Red Storm are #6 team in country on offensive boards.
St John’s is 5-4 ATS as Big East underdogs.
Opponents are shooting 47.5% inside arc (#60)
St John’s is 2-6 vs teams ranked in the top 50.
St John’s went WL in five of last six Big East tournaments.
Red Storm played three starters 31:00+ in yesterday’s win.
UConn beat St John’s twice this year, 69-65/77-64
Huskies won four of last five series games.
Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
Baylor vs Iowa State
Baylor (23-9, 12-7)
KenPom rating: 14
Tempo: 284
Experience: 91
Continuity: 238
Baylor won four of its last five games.
Bears are 3-3 ATS as Big X underdogs.
Baylor has #13 eFG% in the country.
Bears are #27 team on the offensive boards.
Since 2015, Baylor is 4-8 in Big X tournaments.
Last time Baylor won twice in a Big X tournament; 2014.
Bears are 11-8 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Baylor played four guys 31:00+ last night.
Iowa State (25-7, 14-5)
KenPom rating: 9
Tempo: 179
Experience: 124
Continuity: 200
Iowa State won nine of its last 11 games.
Cyclones are 7-4 ATS as Big X favorites.
Iowa State is forcing turnovers 26.1% of time (#2)
Cyclones are 14-7 vs teams in top 100.
Last four years, Iowa State is 2-3 in Big X tournament.
Cyclones won by 19 last night, and were 1-14 on arc.
From 2014-19, ISU won this tournament 4 times in 6 years.
Baylor (-3.5) made 12-23 on arc, beat Iowa State 70-68 at home February 3rd.
Cyclones led by 7 with 7:56 left in game.
Bears won seven of last ten series games.
Mountain West tournament (@ UNLV)
San Diego State vs Utah State
San Diego State (23-9, 12-7)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 253
Experience: 48
Continuity: 120
San Diego State split its last six games.
Aztecs had OT win yesterday; four guys played 31:00+.
Aztecs out-rebounded UNLV 50-31 yesterday.
San Diego State starts five seniors.
Last 10 years, Aztecs are 10-0 in 2nd MW tourney games.
Aztecs are 11-10 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Utah State (27-5, 15-4)
KenPom rating: 47
Tempo: 115
Experience: 79
Continuity: 360
Utah State won its last six games.
Aggies are shooting 57.4% inside arc (#11)
Opponents are shooting 53.1% inside arc (#303)
Aggies are #31 team on defensive boards.
Utah State had OT win yesterday; 4 guys played 33:00+
Aggies are 8-5 vs teams ranked in top 100.
since 2018, Aggies are 13-4 in the MW tournament.
Home team won both series games this season.
Aztecs won six of last eight games vs Utah State.