Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 3/5/21
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, March 5
Hawai’i @ Cal-Davis
Hawai’i (10-8, 8-8)
— ranked #201 by KenPom
— Tempo: #228
— Experience: #201
— Continuity: #319
— Rainbows won three of their last four games.
— Hawai’i split its six games on the mainland.
— Rainbows are shooting 36.0% on the arc (#73)
Cal-Davis (8-6, 5-3)
— ranked #221 by KenPom
— Tempo: #97
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #71
— Aggies won last five games, two of them in OT.
— Davis split its four D-I home games.
— You’re reading ************.com
— Davis forces turnovers 23.7% of time (#10).
— Hawai’i won last four series games.
— Teams split last eight meetings played here.
Atlantic 14 tournament (@ Richmond, VA)
Duquesne vs St Bonaventure
Duquesne (9-8, 8-7)
— ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #119
— Duquesne won five of its last seven games.
— Dukes are shooting only 30.1% on arc (#310), 64.5% on line (#327)
— Duquesne trailed 52-44 with 7:14 left in yesterday’s upset of Richmond.
— Dukes’ three seniors all played 33:00+ yesterday.
— Last 11 years, Duquesne is 2-10 in this event, 1-4 last 5+ years.
St Bonaventure (13-4, 11-4)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #322
— Experience: #113
— Continuity: #29
— Bonnies won three of their last four games.
— St Bonaventure has #25 eFG% defense in country.
— Bonnies are grabbing 33.0% of their missed shots (#38).
— Last nine years, Bonnies are 10-6 in A-14 tourney, 6-1 in their first game.
— Bonnies beat Duquesne twice this year, 62-48/65-61.
— Bonnies won 10 of last 11 series games.
UMass vs Saint Louis
UMass (8-6, 7-4)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #39
— Experience: #332
— Continuity: #225
— UMass split its last six games overall.
— Opponents are shooting 50.9% inside arc (#219)
— Minutemen are shooting 32.8% on arc (#218)- they take lot of 3’s.
— UMass had a stress-free win yesterday; no one played 30:00.
— Last 6+ years, UMass is 4-6 in A-14 tourney.
Saint Louis (13-5, 6-4)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #200
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #17
— Billikens won six of their last eight games.
— Saint Louis is grabbing 36.5% of their missed shots (#9)
— Opponents are shooting 45.5% inside arc (#32)
— Last eight years, Billikens are 10-5 in A-14 tourney; they won last A-14 tourney, two years ago.
— UMass lost 78-57 in Saint Louis, four nights ago.
— Saint Louis won six of last seven series games.
George Mason vs Davidson
George Mason (13-8, 9-6)
— ranked #124 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #24
— Patriots won their last five games overall.
— Mason is shooting only 62.6% on foul line (#335)
— Patriots were down 8 with 17:11 left yesterday; three guys played 32:00+.
— Last three years, George Mason went W-L in A-14 tourney.
Davidson (12-7, 7-4)
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #351
— Experience: #184
— Continuity: #38
— Davidson is 5-2 in last seven D-I games (lost twice to St Bonaventure).
— Wildcats are shooting 58.2% inside arc (#5).
— Davidson is 8-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— Davidson is 9-4 in five A-14 tourneys, winning it in 2018.
— Davidson won last three series games, by 22-5-15 points.
Dayton vs VCU
Dayton (14-8, 10-7)
— ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #299
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #220
— Dayton split its last eight games overall.
— Flyers are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#274)
— Dayton has #19 eFG% in country (55.5% inside arc, #20)
— Last 4+ years, Dayton is 1-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 6-5-9 points.
VCU (17-6, 10-4)
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #117
— Experience: #304
— Continuity: #282
— Rams lost two of last three games, after a 14-2 run.
— VCU is forcing turnovers 24.0% of time (#7)
— Rams are 8-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 100.
— VCU went 1-2 in last three A-14 tourneys (22-6 in the nine before that)
— Rams swept Dayton this year, 66-43/76-67
— VCU won six of last eight series games.
Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis)
Southern Illinois vs Loyola
Southern Illinois (12-13, 6-13)
— ranked #191 by KenPom
— Tempo: #286
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #286
— Salukis lost six of their last nine games.
— Southern Illinois played three guys 34:00+ yesterday.
— Opponents are shooting 54.4% inside arc (#310).
— Last 8+ years, Salukis are 5-8 in Arch Madness (W-L four times)
Loyola (21-4, 16-2)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #337
— Experience: #38
— Continuity: #11
— Loyola won 14 of its last 15 games overall.
— Ramblers are forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#36)
— Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#37)
— Last six years, Loyola is 7-5 in Arch Madness.
— SIU got swept at Loyola last weekend, 60-52/65-58OT.
— Ramblers won six of last eight series games.
Evansville vs Indiana State
Evansville (9-15, 7-11)
— ranked #198 by KenPom
— Tempo: #355
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #233
— Evansville lost seven of their last eight games.
— Purple Aces have #343 eFG% defense (bottom 15 in country)
— Evansville gets 44.9% of its points on arc (#4).
— Last 13 years, Evansville is 5-13 in Arch Madness, losing by 5-10 points last two years.
Indiana State (14-9, 11-7)
— ranked #120 by KenPom
— Tempo: #216
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #65
— Indiana State won 10 of its last 12 games overall.
— Sycamores for turnovers 21.9% of time (#40).
— ISU gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#29)
— Sycamores lost in first round of this event last three years, by 11-7-22 points.
— Indiana State swept Evansville this year, 76-70/87-73.
— Sycamores won last eight series games.
Northern Iowa vs Drake
Northern Iowa (10-15, 8-11)
— ranked #158 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #193
— Panthers won four of their last five games.
— You’re reading ************.com
— Opponents are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#304)
— UNI played six guys 29:00 yesterday vs Illinois State.
— Last 5+ years, Panthers are 10-3 in Arch Madness.
Drake (24-3, 15-3)
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #257
— Experience: #83
— Continuity: #170
— Drake is down two starters to injury.
— Despite that, Bulldogs won five of last six games.
— Drake is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#25)
— Last six years, Drake is 1-6 in Arch Madness.
— Drake swept UNI this season, 80-59/77-69
— Teams split last ten series games, including pair of games in last two MVC tourneys.
Valparaiso vs Missouri State
Valparaiso (10-17, 7-11)
— ranked #190 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #266
— Continuity: #110
— Valpo lost eight of their last 12 games.
— Valpo is 1-8 vs top 100 teams this season (split with Drake)
— Crusaders are shooting 30.2% on the arc (#310).
— Valpo went 3-1 in Arch Madness LY, losing final to Bradley.
Missouri State (16-6, 12-6)
— ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #212
— Continuity: #288
— Bears won seven of their last eight games overall.
— Bears are #10 team in country on defensive boards.
— Missouri State is shooting 56.7% inside arc (#12)
— Bears went W-L in this event 5 of last 7 years, lost in first round other 2 years.
— Missouri State won twice at Valpo in early January, 81-68/78-68
— Bears are 7-3 vs Valpo in MVC meetings.
OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
Jacksonville State vs Belmont
Jacksonville State (18-8, 14-6)
— ranked #155 by KenPom
— Tempo: #300
— Experience: #51
— Continuity: #326
— Jax State won four in row, eight of last nine games.
— Gamecocks played three guys 36:00+ in last night’s OT win.
— Jax State is grabbing 32.0% of its missed shots (#58)
— Last 4+ years, Gamecocks are 6-3 in this event.
Belmont (25-3, 19-2)
— ranked #86 by KenPom
— Tempo: #66
— Experience: #281
— Continuity: #207
— Belmont lost two of three games, after a 21-game winning streak.
— Bruins are shooting 60.0% inside arc (#3)
— Six of their last seven wins were by 15+ points.
— Last 4+ years, Belmont is 3-4 in this event, after going 76-12 in regular season
— Belmont beat Gamecocks twice this year, 98-91/63-59
— Bruins won last four series games, after losing five in row before that.
Eastern Kentucky vs Morehead State
Eastern Kentucky (22-6, 16-5)
— ranked #172 by KenPom
— Tempo: #2
— Experience: #300
— Continuity: #211
— EKU won four in row, seven of last eight games.
— Eastern Kentucky blew an 11-point lead, held off Austin Peay 70-67 last nite.
— Three of their starters played 32:00+ vs Austin Peay.
— Colonels are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#6)
— Last 6+ years, EKU is 2-2 in OVC tourney; last year was first time in five years they even made OVC tourney.
Morehead State (21-7, 18-3)
— ranked #136 by KenPom
— Tempo: #302
— Experience: #203
— Continuity: #265
— Morehead won five in row, 17 of last 18 games.
— Morehead has #43 eFG% defense in country.
— Eagles are turning ball over 23% of time (#333)
— Last 4+ years, Morehead is 3-3 in OVC tourney.
— Morehead split pair of games with EKU back in December.
— Teams split last eight series games.
WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
San Francisco vs LMU
San Francisco (11-13, 5-9)
— ranked #101 by KenPom
— Tempo: #184
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #163
— USF lost six of its last seven games.
— 49.9% of their shots, 42.9% of their points come from behind the arc.
— Dons are 7-2 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
— Last 7+ years, Dons are 6-7 in WCC tourney.
LMU (12-8, 7-5)
— ranked #106 by KenPom
— Tempo: #254
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #203
— LMU won five of its last seven games.
— Lions are turning ball over 23.0% of time (#334)
— LMU is #3 team in country on defensive boards.
— Last six years, Lions are 3-6 in WCC tourney.
— LMU swept San Francisco this year, 68-60/68-63
— Teams split last 16 series games; USF beat the Lions 82-53 in LY’s WCC tourney.
Santa Clara vs Pacific
Santa Clara (11-7, 5-5)
— ranked #150 by KenPom
— Tempo: #85
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #51
— Broncos are 5-7 in last 12 games, after a 6-0 start.
— Santa Clara has #19 eFG% defense in country.
— Santa Clara is shooting 28.9% on the arc (#333); they’ve got #312 eFG%.
— Since 2005, Broncos are 0-9 in their second WCC tourney game, with five losses by 5 or fewer points.
Pacific (9-8, 6-7)
— ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #255
— Experience: #45
— Continuity: #152
— Pacific won three of its last four games.
— Tigers don’t shoot ball well (#283 eFG%)
— Pacific gets 61.6% of its points inside arc (#2)
— Last six years, Pacific is 1-5 in WCC tourney.
— Santa Clara lost 79-58 at Pacific January 14.
— Broncos won seven of last ten series games.
805IDAHO ST -806 E WASHINGTON
IDAHO ST is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
807ST PETERS -808 QUINNIPIAC
ST PETERS are 29-16 ATS (11.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.
809MONMOUTH -810 RIDER
MONMOUTH is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.
811N ILLINOIS -812 C MICHIGAN
N ILLINOIS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.
815FAIRFIELD -816 MANHATTAN
FAIRFIELD is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.
817BOSTON COLLEGE -818 MIAMI
BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
819MIDDLE TENN ST -820 FLA ATLANTIC
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
823HAWAII -824 CAL DAVIS
HAWAII is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.
825CANISIUS -826 SIENA
SIENA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts since 1997.
827BALL ST -828 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.