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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, March 8
Friday’s 5 interesting games
Boise State @ San Diego State (-7.5)
Boise State (21-9, 12-5)
KenPom rating: 40
Tempo: 221
Experience: 130
Continuity: 66
Boise State won five of its last six games.
Broncos are 6-2 SU/2-2 ATS as MW road underdogs.
Boise is #1 team in country on defensive boards.
Broncos are 9-9 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
San Diego State (22-8, 11-6)
KenPom rating: 20
Tempo: 248
Experience: 48
Continuity: 121
San Diego State split its last four games.
Aztecs are 8-0 SU/6-2 ATS as MW home faves.
San Diego State has #38 eFG% defense in country.
Aztecs are 9-8 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
San Diego State (+1) lost 67-66 in Boise January 20.
Boise State won five of last six series games.
Broncos lost five of last six games in Viejas.
MW home favorites of 8 or less points are 18-16 ATS.
Arch Madness (@ St Louis)
Missouri State vs Indiana State
Missouri State (17-15, 9-12)
KenPom rating: 148
Tempo: 160
Experience: 114
Continuity: 64
Missouri State lost six of its last nine games.
Bears are 4-8 ATS as an MVC underdog this year.
Missouri State held Murray State to 35 points in an easy win yesterday.
Missouri State has gone WL in last four MVC tournaments.
Bears are 2-5 against teams ranked in the top 100.
Indiana State (26-5, 17-3)
KenPom rating: 45
Tempo: 37
Experience: 126
Continuity: 193
Indiana State won four in row, 13 of last 15 games.
Sycamores are 10-8 ATS as MVC favorites.
Indiana State has the #1 eFG% in country.
Sycamores are 14-5 vs teams ranked in top 200.
Last 3 years, ISU is 4-3 in Arch Madness; they lost in semis LY.
Indiana State beat Missouri State twice TY, 88-66/73-71.
Teams split their last six meetings overall.
Belmont vs Northern Iowa
Belmont (20-12, 13-8)
KenPom rating: 114
Tempo: 30
Experience: 245
Continuity: 161
Belmont won eight of its last nine games.
Bruins are 3-8 ATS as MVC underdogs.
Belmont has #22 eFG% in the country.
Bruins are 3-8 vs teams ranked in top 125.
Belmont had a stress-free win yesterday.
Last six years, Belmont is 6-5 in conference tournaments.
Northern Iowa (18-13, 12-8)
KenPom rating: 105
Tempo: 239
Experience: 116
Continuity: 37
Northern Iowa won five of its last six games.
Panthers are 4-8 ATS as Missouri Valley favorites.
UNI has #259 eFG% defense in country.
Panthers are 7-7 against teams in top 125.
UNI won MVC tourney in both 2015/2016; they’re 6-6 in Arch Madness since then.
Road team won both meetings between these teams this season.
Belmont won three of four MVC meetings with UNI.
Evansville vs Drake
Evansville (16-16, 7-14)
KenPom rating: 204
Tempo: 116
Experience: 259
Continuity: 188
Evansville snapped a 7-game losing skid yesterday.
Purple Aces played nine guys 11:00+ yesterday.
Purple Aces are 10-9 ATS as MVC underdogs TY.
Evansville is 1-7 vs teams in the top 100.
Yesterday was Purple Aces’ first MVC tourney win since 2017.
Drake (25-6, 16-4)
KenPom rating: 54
Tempo: 148
Experience: 140
Continuity: 146
Drake won seven of its last eight games.
Bulldogs are 10-8 ATS as MVC favorites.
Drake is shooting 56.2% inside arc (#17)
Bulldogs are 8-0 vs teams outside the top 200.
Last 4 years, Drake is 8-3 in MVC tourney (won it LY).
Drake beat Evansville twice TY, 97-48/78-75.
Drake won the last ten series games.
Ill-Chicago vs Bradley
Illinois-Chicago (12-20, 5-16)
KenPom rating: 184
Tempo: 140
Experience: 139
Continuity: 97
UIC upset Southern Illinois in double OT last nite.
UIC was down 62-56 with 0:38 left, but they won.
Three Flames played 46:00+ in that game.
UIC is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#34)
Flames are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
UIC is 1-6 vs teams in top 100.
Last 4+ years, UIC is 5-4 in conference tourneys.
Bradley (21-10, 13-7)
KenPom rating: 67
Tempo: 225
Experience: 198
Continuity: 69
Bradley won three of its last four games.
Braves are 8-10 ATS as MVC favorites.
Bradley has #20 eFG% in country.
Braves are 17-9 vs teams in the top 200.
Bradley is 8-3 in last five MVC tourneys, winning it in 2019, 2020.
Bradley beat UIC twice this year, 77-59/85-73.
Braves are 4-0 vs UIC since they’ve been MVC rivals.