Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 2/25/19
Notre Dame lost its last three games, is 3-11 in ACC, 1-5 on road, with only win at BC; Irish are shooting only 44.6% inside arc in ACC games, 29% on arc. Florida State won eight of last nine games; they’re 9-5 in ACC, winning last four home tilts, by 9-10-5-22 points. Notre Dame won its last three games with FSU, by 12-5-15 points; home side won all six ACC meetings. Fighting Irish lost their three visits to Tallahassee, by 2-21-3 points. Irish are 11-7-1 in last 19 games as a road underdog, 3-2 this year; FSU is 15-6-1 in last 22 games as a home favorite, 3-2 this year.
Iowa State held on to win 75-74 at Oklahoma three weeks ago; Cyclones won four of last five series games. Sooners lost their last seven visits to Ames. Oklahoma won its last two games, is 5-9 in Big X, 2-5 on road, winning at OSU/TCU. Sooners are shooting 31.2% on arc in league. Cyclones lost three of last four games, losing last two home games, to TCU/Baylor; ISU is the worst rebounding team in the league. Oklahoma is 12-9-2 in its last 23 games as a road underdog, 3-1-1 this year; under Prohm, ISU is 10-11-1 as a home favorite, 1-4-1 this year.
Kansas State forced 23 TO’s (+11), made 10-24 on arc in 74-67 home win over Kansas Feb 5th; Jayhawks are 31-5 in last 36 series games- they haven’t been swept by K-State in last 15 years. Wildcats lost their last 12 visits to Lawrence, losing last two years here by 1-2 points. KSU won 11 of its last 13 games; they’re 11-3 in Big X, with one-game lead over Texas Tech. Kansas lost by 29 in Lubbock Saturday; they’re 5-5 in last 10 games. K-State 13-7 in its last 20 games as a road underdog, 5-0 this year; Jayhawks are 8-16-1 in last 25 games as a home favorite, 3-3 this year.
Montana won its last ten games, first of which was an 88-64 win at Northern Colorado Jan 12; Bobcats won last five series games, winning last two meetings here, by 6-21 points. Montana is is 13-2 in Big Sky, winning last five home games, three by 7 or fewer points. Grizzlies are shooting 40.1% on arc in Big Sky. NCU won six of its last eight games; they’re 11-4 in Big Sky, and have been off for last nine days. Bears are 12-10 in last 22 games as a Big Sky road underdog, 0-1 this year; Montana is 9-6 in its last 15 games as a home favorite, 3-3 this year.
By David Schwab
Big Monday on ESPN gets things started with an ACC clash between Notre Dame and the No. 16 Florida Seminoles in Tallahassee. In the biggest matchup on the board, the No. 23 Kansas State Wildcats will go for the season sweep against the rival No. 12 Kansas Jayhawks at Allen Fieldhouse.
As a bonus betting preview in the Big 12, Oklahoma will be on the road against No. 19 Iowa State as a featured matchup on ESPN2.
Opening Odds per BetOnline.ag
Notre Dame Fighting Irish at No. 16 Florida State Seminoles (ESPN , 7 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Florida State -12 ½, Total 138 ½
Betting Matchup
Notre Dame’s current straight-up losing streak reached three games with Saturday’s 67-59 loss to Virginia Tech as a four-point underdog at home. The Fighting Irish are now 2-9 SU in their last 11 games with a 4-7 record against the spread. The total stayed UNDER 133 points in Saturday’s loss and it has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 12 contests. Notre Dame is averaging 70.3 points per game, but that number has dropped to 59.4 points over its last five outings.
Saturday’s 77-59 loss to North Carolina as a seven-point road underdog snapped Florida State’s SU eight-game winning streak and it was the first time it failed to cover in its last six games. The total stayed UNDER the 160 ½-point closing line in that loss after going OVER or ending as a PUSH in seven of the Seminoles’ last nine games. They are now 9-5 SU in ACC play as part of an overall record of 21-6. Florida State is averaging 76.5 PPG against a points-allowed average of 67.9.
Betting Trends
-- The Fighting Irish have gone 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games played on the road.
-- The Seminoles are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a SU losing record. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in nine of their last 11 games at home.
-- Notre Dame as covered the closing number in the last four meetings and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in all four of those games.
No. 23 Kansas State Wildcats at No. 12 Kansas Jayhawks (ESPN, 9 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Kansas -5, Total 133
Betting Matchup
Kansas State has won six of its last seven games both SU and ATS including a 74-67 victory against Kansas on Feb. 5 as a three-point home favorite. With Saturday’s 85-46 romp against Oklahoma State as 9 ½-point favorites at home on a closing line of 123 points, the total has gone OVER in six of the Wildcats’ last seven outings. They are 11-3 SU in Big 12 play with a two game lead over the Jayhawks at the top of the standings. Senior guard Barry Brown Jr. leads the team in scoring with 15.7 PPG and Kansas State is ranked fourth in the nation in points allowed (59.3).
The Jayhawks fell to 9-5 SU in conference play with Saturday’s lopsided 91-62 road loss to Texas Tech as 4 ½-point underdogs. The total went OVER 134 points in that loss and it has gone OVER in five of their last six games. Kansas is 20-7 SU overall with a losing 12-15 record ATS. It is 7-8 ATS on its home court this season. Junior forward Dedric Lawson is putting up a team-high 19.0 PPG, but he has failed to reach that scoring average in four of his last five starts.
Betting Trends
-- The Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win with the total staying UNDER in six of their last eight Monday games.
-- The Jayhawks have failed to cover in six of their last eight games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in 21 of their last 28 home games.
-- The home team has posted a 18-7-2 record ATS over the last 27 meetings and the total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings at Kansas.
Oklahoma Sooners at No. 19 Iowa State Cyclones (ESPN2, 8 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Iowa State -9 ½, Total 143 ½
Betting Matchup
The Sooners are coming off back-to-back SU victories against TCU as road underdogs and Texas as favorites at home. They failed to cover the four points in Saturday’s tight 69-67 win against the Longhorns with the total going OVER 130 ½ points. Oklahoma is 5-9 SU in conference play with a spotty 2-4-1 record ATS in its last seven games. It is 6-1-3 ATS on the road this season. Christian James posted 19 points in Saturday’s win and the senior guard continues to lead the Sooners in scoring with 15.5 PPG.
Iowa State’s national ranking could be in jeopardy with losses to Baylor at home and TCU on the road closing as a favorite in each game. The Cyclones are 1-3 both SU and ATS in their last four games coming off Saturday’s 75-72 loss to TCU as slight 1 ½-point favorite. The total stayed UNDER 151 points in that game after going OVER in their previous four outings. Iowa State has been able to average 78.3 PPG this season with senior guard Marial Shayok leading the way with 18.5 PPG. He was held to just four points his last time out while going 2-for-5 from the floor.
Betting Trends
-- The Sooners have gone 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games coming off a SU win with the total staying UNDER in five of their last seven road games.
-- The Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a SU loss and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games coming off a loss SU.
-- Iowa State won the first meeting 75-74, but Oklahoma covered as a three-point home underdog. The Cyclones still have a 8-2 edge ATS over the last 10 meetings with the total staying UNDER in five of their last six home games against Oklahoma.
Top 25 Betting Recap
Joe Williams
Each week until March Madness we'll take a look at how the Top 25 fared from college basketball, but straight up and against the number, while also taking a look at their upcoming schedule.
It's going to be a topsy-turvy week in the Top 25. We had Shoe-gate in Durham, with Zion Williamson's Nike blowing out and the likely first-round pick in the NBA going down with an injury. As such, Duke (24-3 SU, 16-11 ATS) was routed at home by North Carolina (22-5 SU, 17-8-2 ATS) in the first installment in 'Battle of the Blues' at Cameron Indoor Stadium. For those Blue Devils fans in attendance, it wasn't $2,500-4,000 well spent, eh? Carolina has won and covered three in a row since their loss to Virginia (24-2 SU, 19-7 ATS) on Feb. 11. The 'under' has cashed in four straight for the Tar Heels, too.
Tennessee (24-3 SU, 13-12-1 ATS) still has just three losses overall on the season, but they have suffered two losses in the past three. LSU (22-5 SU, 15-11-1 ATS) got them 82-80 in overtime on Baton Rouge on Saturday, as it was party time at The Chimes after the game. The Volunteers failed to cover for a fourth consecutive game, while the 'over' is 3-1 during the same span. After playing great defense for most of the season, Tennessee has been dinged for 82 or more in two of the past three. They're allowing just 68.0 PPG on the season.
Speaking of the Tigers, if you bet their games, hopefully you have a strong heart. Three of the past six have resulted in overtime, and four of the past nine were not decided in regulation. Hopefully you like 'over' results, too, as the total has gone over in three straight for LSU, and 12 of the past 15.
It was a rough week for Nevada (25-2 SU, 16-9-1 ATS), as they lost to old nemesis San Diego State (18-9 SU, 15-11 ATS) in Southern California, scoring a season-low 57 points. Their previous low mark was 67, and they had scored 72 or more in 24 of their 27 games. They failed to cover against Fresno State (19-8 SU, 16-9-1 ATS), but they did at least scratch out a win. The 'under' has connected in four straight for the Wolf Pack. They'll have another big test at Utah State (22-6 SU, 14-13 ATS) later this week.
Kansas (20-7 SU, 12-15 ATS) hasn't been the same since going down with a season-ending wrist injury which required surgery. This team is looking more and more like a one-and-done, or possible Round of 32 team, but not much else. Texas Tech (22-5 SU, 12-14-1 ATS) emasculated the Jayhawks by a 91-62 score on Saturday, the worst conference loss under Bill Self, largest since 2006. Now, the third-place Jayhawks face Kansas State (21-6 SU, 16-11 ATS) in a key battle this week in Lawrence.
Villanova (20-8 SU, 17-11 ATS), Louisville (18-10 SU, 14-12-2 ATS) and Iowa State (19-8 SU, 14-11-2 ATS) each had 0-2 SU weeks, and are likely to take a tumble in the rankings, perhaps out of the Top 25. The Cardinals have lost four of the past five straight-up, and they have failed to cover three straight and they're 1-4 ATS over the past five. The 'under' is also 4-0 in the past four, and 7-2 in the past nine. I-State is trending in the wrong direction, too, losing three of the past four, while going 1-5 ATS across the past six. The 'over' has connected in seven of the past nine for the Cyclones.
On the outside of the Top 25 looking in, Cincinnati (23-4 SU, 12-15 ATS) scratched out two more victories, but they have failed to cover in four straight/ The 'under' is 4-1 in the past five for the Bearcats. Wofford (24-4 SU, 14-11 ATS) was technically ranked No. 27 last week, and they could climb into the Top 25 after another strong week. The Terriers have covered six of the past seven, and they're a team no one is going to want to see in the postseason.
__________________
Notre Dame lost its last three games, is 3-11 in ACC, 1-5 on road, with only win at BC; Irish are shooting only 44.6% inside arc in ACC games, 29% on arc. Florida State won eight of last nine games; they’re 9-5 in ACC, winning last four home tilts, by 9-10-5-22 points. Notre Dame won its last three games with FSU, by 12-5-15 points; home side won all six ACC meetings. Fighting Irish lost their three visits to Tallahassee, by 2-21-3 points. Irish are 11-7-1 in last 19 games as a road underdog, 3-2 this year; FSU is 15-6-1 in last 22 games as a home favorite, 3-2 this year.
__________________
Iowa State held on to win 75-74 at Oklahoma three weeks ago; Cyclones won four of last five series games. Sooners lost their last seven visits to Ames. Oklahoma won its last two games, is 5-9 in Big X, 2-5 on road, winning at OSU/TCU. Sooners are shooting 31.2% on arc in league. Cyclones lost three of last four games, losing last two home games, to TCU/Baylor; ISU is the worst rebounding team in the league. Oklahoma is 12-9-2 in its last 23 games as a road underdog, 3-1-1 this year; under Prohm, ISU is 10-11-1 as a home favorite, 1-4-1 this year.
__________________
Kansas State forced 23 TO’s (+11), made 10-24 on arc in 74-67 home win over Kansas Feb 5th; Jayhawks are 31-5 in last 36 series games- they haven’t been swept by K-State in last 15 years. Wildcats lost their last 12 visits to Lawrence, losing last two years here by 1-2 points. KSU won 11 of its last 13 games; they’re 11-3 in Big X, with one-game lead over Texas Tech. Kansas lost by 29 in Lubbock Saturday; they’re 5-5 in last 10 games. K-State 13-7 in its last 20 games as a road underdog, 5-0 this year; Jayhawks are 8-16-1 in last 25 games as a home favorite, 3-3 this year.
__________________
Montana won its last ten games, first of which was an 88-64 win at Northern Colorado Jan 12; Bobcats won last five series games, winning last two meetings here, by 6-21 points. Montana is is 13-2 in Big Sky, winning last five home games, three by 7 or fewer points. Grizzlies are shooting 40.1% on arc in Big Sky. NCU won six of its last eight games; they’re 11-4 in Big Sky, and have been off for last nine days. Bears are 12-10 in last 22 games as a Big Sky road underdog, 0-1 this year; Montana is 9-6 in its last 15 games as a home favorite, 3-3 this year.
__________________
NCAAB
Monday, February 25
Trend Report
Notre Dame @ Florida State
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games on the road
Florida State
Florida State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Florida State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Oklahoma @ Iowa State
Oklahoma
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 6 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 7 games on the road
Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma
Kansas State @ Kansas
Kansas State
Kansas State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas State
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Northern Colorado @ Montana
Northern Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Colorado's last 5 games when playing Montana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Northern Colorado's last 11 games on the road
Montana
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Colorado
__________________
NCAAB
Long Sheet
Monday, February 25
NOTRE DAME (13 - 14) at FLORIDA ST (21 - 6) - 2/25/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 4-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 3-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OKLAHOMA (17 - 10) at IOWA ST (19 - 8) - 2/25/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 262-210 ATS (+31.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
IOWA ST is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
OKLAHOMA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 4-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KANSAS ST (21 - 6) at KANSAS (20 - 7) - 2/25/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 60-33 ATS (+23.7 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
KANSAS ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
KANSAS ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
KANSAS ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
KANSAS ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 3-3 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 5-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
N COLORADO (17 - 9) at MONTANA (20 - 6) - 2/25/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N COLORADO is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MONTANA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 4-1 against the spread versus N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 5-0 straight up against N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
__________________