Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 2/27/21
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, February 27
Texas @ Texas Tech
Texas (14-6, 8-5)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #118
— Continuity: #4
— Texas won three of last four games, after a 1-4 skid.
— Longhorns won three of four Big X road games.
— Opponents are shooting 44.6% inside arc (#20)
Texas Tech (14-8, 6-7)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #275
— Continuity: #244
— Tech lost its last three games, scoring 67 ppg.
— Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 24% of time (#9)
— You’re reading ************.com
— Tech is shooting 48.1% inside arc (#240)
— Tech won 79-77 in Austin January 13; they were down 10 with 11:53 left.
— Red Raiders won six of last seven series games.
— Texas lost four of last five visits to Lubbock (won 68-58 LY)
Michigan @ Indiana
Michigan (17-1, 12-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #219
— Experience: #57
— Continuity: #151
— Michigan won its last six games, three by 17+ points.
— Wolverines’ only loss was 73-57 at Minnesota on January 16.
— Michigan has #5 eFG% defense in country.
Indiana (12-11, 7-9)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #285
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #82
— Indiana lost three of last four games overall, four of last six at home.
— Hoosiers get 21.9% of their points on foul line (#29), but make only 66.5% on charity stripe (#297).
— To this point in season, Indiana has played schedule #5.
— Michigan won last seven series games.
— Wolverines won last three visits here, by 3-12-23 points.
Illinois @ Wisconsin
Illinois (17-6, 13-4)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #88
— Experience: #220
— Continuity: #43
— Illini star Dosunmu (broken nose) is out here.
— Illinois won won eight of its last nine games.
— Illini is a top 30 rebounding team in country.
Wisconsin (17-6, 13-4)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #88
— Experience: #220
— Continuity: #43
— Badgers are 4-5 SU in their last nine games, 1-3 in last four at home.
— Wisconsin gets 36.3% of their points on arc (#53), shooting 35.9% (#76)
— Badgers are shooting only 46.7% inside arc (#280)
— Badgers lost 75-60 at Illinois February 6.
— Illinois won last two series games, after losing the previous 15.
VCU @ Davidson
VCU (17-5, 10-3)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #306
— Continuity: #281
— VCU won seven of its last eight games overall.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#6)
— VCU has #16 eFG% defense in country.
Davidson (11-7, 6-4)
— ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #39
— Davidson lost its last two games, scoring 58-53 vs St Bonaventure.
— Wildcats are shooting 57.7% inside arc (#8)
— Davidson is getting 39.5% of its points on arc (#18)
— Davidson won four of last six series games.
— Rams lost last three visits here, by 4-7-10 points.
LSU @ Arkansas
LSU (14-7, 9-5)
— ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #67
— Experience: #326
— Continuity: #135
— LSU won three of its last four games, is 2-3 in last five on road.
— Tigers are #324 in country on defensive boards.
— LSU is shooting 54.8% inside arc (#28)
Arkansas (18-5, 10-4)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #30
— Experience: #234
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won five in row, eight of last nine games.
— Razorbacks won their last six home games.
— Last four games, Arkansas scored 80.8 ppg.
— Arkansas lost 92-76 at LSU January 13.
— LSU won four of last six series games.
— Bayou Bengals lost four of last five visits to Arkansas.
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma
Oklahoma State (15-6, 8-6)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #53
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #286
— Cowboys won last three games, giving up 62.3 ppg.
— State has #26 eFG% defense in country.
— Cowboys are turning ball over 21.0% of time (#281)
Oklahoma (14-6, 9-5)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #230
— Experience: #67
— Continuity: #56
— Sooners won eight of last ten games overall, six in row at home.
— Opponents are shooting 44.4% inside arc (#17)
— In last four losses, Oklahoma scored only 55.8 ppg.
— Oklahoma won three of last four series games.
— Cowboys lost last three visits to Norman, by 20-10-13 points.
Florida State @ North Carolina
Florida State (14-3, 10-2)
— ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #113
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #100
— Seminoles won four in row, nine of last ten games.
— FSU is grabbing 35.9% of its missed shots (#13)
— Seminoles are a deep team (#20 in bench minutes)
North Carolina (14-8, 8-5)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #49
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #154
— Tar Heels split their last six games.
— UNC is grabbing 39.5% of its missed shots (#2)
— Carolina has #243 eFG%, is turning ball over 20.3% of time (#239)
— Tar Heels lost 82-75 in Tallahassee January 16.
— Seminoles won three of last four series games.
— Florida State lost its last five visits to the Deandome.
Florida @ Kentucky
Florida (12-6, 8-5)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #245
— Continuity: #157
— Florida won six of its last eight games.
— Gators have #61 eFG% defense in country.
— Florida is turning ball over 20% of the time (#226)
Kentucky (8-13, 7-7)
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #199
— Experience: #340
— Continuity: #343
— Kentucky won last three games, after a 1-7 skid.
— You’re reading ************.com
— Wildcats have #299 eFG%, but their eFG% defense is #27.
— Last four games, Kentucky scored 78.5 ppg.
— Kentucky won 76-58 in Gainesville January 9.
— Wildcats won last five series games.
— Florida lost last two visits here, 66-57/65-59.
Boise State @ San Diego State
Boise State (18-5, 14-4)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #134
— Experience: #68
— Continuity: #246
— Boise won four of last five games; they lost in OT here Thursday.
— Broncos lost four of their last five road games.
— Boise has #64 eFG% in country (52.9% inside arc, #61)
San Diego State (18-4, 12-3)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #15
— Continuity: #146
— Aztecs won last nine games overall, eight in row at home.
— San Diego State forces turnovers 22.9% of time (#20)
— San Diego State is shooting 38.4% on the arc (#14).
— San Diego State blew a 17-point lead, beat Boise by 12 in OT Thursday.
— Aztecs won last five series games.
— Boise lost last four visits to Viejas, by 8-6-18-12 points.
Creighton @ Xavier
Creighton (11-10, 7-5)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #20
— Creighton won four in row, 7 of last 8 games.
— Bluejays are shooting 58.3% inside arc (#5)
— Creighton has #31 eFG% defense.
Xavier (12-5, 5-5)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #184
— Xavier lost three of its last four games.
— Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#26)
— In its last four losses, Xavier allowed 80+ points.
— Xavier lost 66-61 at Creighton December 23.
— Creighton won last three series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.
Louisville @ Duke
Louisville (12-5, 7-4)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #338
— Continuity: #223
— Louisville lost four of its last seven games.
— Cardinals lost last three road tilts, by 6-4-45 points.
— Louisville gets 57.2% of its points inside arc (#30)
Duke (11-8, 9-6)
— ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #159
— Experience: #344
— Continuity: #251
— Duke won its last four games, after a 2-7 skid.
— Blue Devils have #39 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are shooting 37.5% on arc (#319)
— Duke lost 70-65 at Louisville January 23.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Cardinals lost two of last three visits to Durham.
Oregon State @ Stanford
Oregon State (12-11, 8-9)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #308
— Experience: #77
— Continuity: #156
— Oregon State lost four of its last six games.
— Beavers are shooting only 45.3% inside arc (#312)
— Oregon State is getting 21.9% of their points on foul line (#30)
Stanford (14-10, 10-8)
— ranked #64 by KenPom
— Tempo: #118
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #72
— Cardinal lost last two games, one in triple OT, other by 3 points.
— Stanford is 9-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— Cardinal is turning ball over 21% of time (#275).
— Stanford won 81-71 in Corvallis January 4.
— Cardinal won five of last seven series games.
— Teams split last four series games played here.
UCLA @ Colorado
UCLA (17-5, 13-3)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #19
— UCLA won its last four games, giving up 65.3 ppg.
— Bruins are shooting 37% on arc (#44).
— UCLA is #38 team in country on defensive boards.
Colorado (18-7, 12-6)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #32
— Continuity: #87
— Colorado won five of its last seven games.
— Last three games, Buffs gave up only 59.7 ppg.
— Colorado is shooting 83.1% on foul line (#1)
— Buffs lost 65-62 in Westwood January 2.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Teams also split last six series games played here.
601SYRACUSE -602 GEORGIA TECH
SYRACUSE is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.
603TENNESSEE -604 AUBURN
TENNESSEE is 3-10 ATS (-8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
605TEXAS -606 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
607MICHIGAN -608 INDIANA
MICHIGAN is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.
609GEORGETOWN -610 DEPAUL
DEPAUL is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.
613MERCER -614 W CAROLINA
W CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games in the last 3 seasons.
615N ILLINOIS -616 E MICHIGAN
N ILLINOIS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.
617C MICHIGAN -618 BALL ST
C MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.
621MONTANA -622 IDAHO ST
MONTANA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.
623WEBER ST -624 SACRAMENTO ST
WEBER ST is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the current season.