Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.
ARIZONA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after a non-conference game in the current season.
KANSAS are 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 Over (7.7 Units) in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games in the current season.
TEXAS are 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after playing a game as favorite in the last 3 seasons.
N TEXAS are 36-20 ATS (14 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 23-5 ATS (17.5 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO ST is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA A&M is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the current season.
SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in the current season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite in the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, March 23
Saturday’s games
Dayton vs Arizona (-9.5) (@ Salt Lake City)
Dayton (25-7) ranked #30 by KenPom
Tempo: #336
Experience: #72
Continuity: #190
Dayton won three of its last four games.
Dayton rallied from 17 down to beat Nevada Thursday.
Flyers were held under 75 points in their last five losses.
Dayton is 11-2 in non-conference games.
Flyers are shooting 40.2% on arc (#3)
Dayton is 10-7 against teams in the top 100.
Dayton’s schedule, to this point: #87
bench minutes: #344
Dayton is in 2nd round of NCAA’s for first time since 2015.
Coach Grant has coached 5 NCAA games; all five were decided by 3 or less points, or in overtime.
Arizona (26-8) ranked #5 by KenPom
Tempo: #16
Experience: #82
Continuity: #210
Arizona split its last four games, after a 10-1 run.
Wildcats are 10-2 in non-league games.
Arizona has #25 eFG% in country.
Wildcats are a top 5 rebounding team in country.
Arizona is 9-4 against teams in the top 50.
Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #24
bench minutes: #281
Arizona is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in last six 2nd round games.
Last six years, #2-seeds are 8-12 ATS in this round.
Pac-12 teams are 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS vs A-15 teams this year.
Kansas vs Gonzaga (-4.5) (@ Salt Lake City)
Kansas (23-10) ranked #24 by KenPom
Tempo: #84
Experience: #22
Continuity: #139
Kansas lost four of its last six games.
Jayhawks’ best player McKullar (oblique) is out.
Kansas led Samford by 21 Thursday, had lead cut to 1- they won 93-89.
Kansas played four starters 35:00+.
Jayhawks shot 72.5% inside the arc vs Samford.
Jayhawks are 13-1 in non-conference games (NC sked #68).
Jayhawks are 2-4 ATS as an underdog this season.
Kansas is 10-7 against teams in the top 50.
Kansas’ schedule, to this point: #6
bench minutes: #315
Kansas lost three of last four second round games.
Gonzaga (26-7) ranked #12 by KenPom
Tempo: #79
Experience: #132
Continuity: #218
Gonzaga won 10 of its last 11 games.
Zags are 10-4 in D-I non-conference games.
Gonzaga is shooting 58.1% inside arc (#7)
Opponents are shooting 44.9% inside arc (#11)
Gonzaga is 10-6 against teams in the top 100.
Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #101
bench minutes: #343
Last 8 years, Gonzaga is 8-0 SU/4-4 ATS in second round games.
Zags beat Kansas 102-90 in a preseason tournament, three years ago.
Big X teams are 1-0 SU/0-1 ATS vs WCC teams this season.
Michigan State vs North Carolina (-3.5) (@ Charlotte)
Michigan State (20-14) ranked #16 by KenPom
Tempo: #310
Experience: #59
Continuity: #14
MSU lost five of its last eight games.
Michigan State made 10-23 on arc Thursday, had fairly easy win.
Spartans are 9-3 in non-conference games.
Spartans are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five 2nd round games.
Since 2015, MSU is 2-2 ATS as a 2nd round underdog.
MSU is 5-10 against top 50 teams.
MSU is 2-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Michigan State’s schedule, to this point: #8
bench minutes: #171
North Carolina (27-7) ranked #9 by KenPom
Tempo: #42
Experience: #6
Continuity: #179
UNC won nine of its last ten games.
Tar Heels are 9-3 in non-conference games.
UNC has #14 eFG% defense in country.
Tar Heels are #6 team in country on defensive boards.
UNC is 8-4 against teams in the top 50.
UNC’s schedule, to this point: #26
bench minutes: #332
UNC is 4-2 ATS in its last six second round games.
North Carolina is 5-0 vs Michigan State in NCAA Tourney games.
Last six years, #1-seeds are 9-13 ATS in second round games.
This year, ACC teams are 3-2 SU/4-1 ATS vs Big 14 teams.
Washington State vs Iowa State (-6.5) (@ Omaha)
Washington State (25-9) ranked #37 by KenPom
Tempo: #313
Experience: #295
Continuity: #307
Wazzu is 4-3 in last seven games, after a 21-6 start.
Wazzu played four starters 35:00+ in Thursday’s 66-61 win.
Coogs have #33 eFG% defense in country.
Coogs are 10-2 in non-conference games (NC sked #314).
Wazzu is shooting 52.1% inside arc (#106)
Wazzu is 10-6 against teams in the top 100.
Wazzu’s schedule, to this point: #84
bench minutes: #272
Wazzu is in NCAA’s for first time since 2008 (Tony Bennett was coach)
Iowa State (28-7) ranked #6 by KenPom
Tempo: #189
Experience: #123
Continuity: #199
Iowa State won 12 of its last 14 games.
Cyclones are 12-2 in non-conference games (NC sked #347).
Cyclones are forcing turnovers 25.6% of time (#2)
Iowa State has #34 eFG% defense in country.
Iowa State is 11-5 against teams in the top 50.
Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #45
bench minutes: #232
Since 2014, Iowa State is 3-1 ATS in second round games.
Last six years, #2-seeds are 8-12 ATS in this round.
This year, Big X teams are 5-2 SU/4-3 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.
Oakland vs NC State (-6.5) (@ Pittsburgh)
Oakland (24-11) ranked #130 by KenPom
Tempo: #240
Experience: #107
Continuity: #110
Oakland is 18-3 in its last 21 games, after a 6-8 start.
Grizzlies are 12-3 in games decided by 7 or less points, or in OT
Oakland is 10-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Grizzlies have #94 eFG% in country.
Oakland is 2-5 against teams in top 100.
Oakland’s schedule, to this point: #178
bench minutes: #225
Oakland is in NCAA’s for first time since 2011.
Since 1998, #14-seeds are 1-10 ATS in second round.
NC State (23-14) ranked #55 by KenPom
Tempo: #139
Experience: #15
Continuity: #243
NC State won its last six games, after a 2-7 skid.
Opponents are shooting 34.3% on the arc (#219)
Wolfpack is 10-6 in games decided by 7 or less points, or in OT
Wolfpack is 9-3 in non-conference games.
NC State is 13-0 against teams ranked outside the top 100.
NC State’s schedule, to this point: #49
bench minutes: #265
Under Keatts, NC State is 1-2 in NCAA Tourney games.
Thursday was Wolfpack’s first NCAA tourney win since 2015.
State played four starters 34:00+ Thursday.
Favorites are 6-0 ATS all-time when a #11-seed plays a #14-seed.
ACC teams are 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS vs Horizon League opponents.
Texas vs Tennessee (-6.5) (@ Charlotte)
Texas (21-12) ranked #25 by KenPom
Tempo: #195
Experience: #4
Continuity: #154
Texas is 7-7 in its last 14 games.
Longhorns are shooting 35.6% on arc (#83).
Longhorns are shooting 53.3% inside arc (#67).
Texas is #222 team on defensive boards.
Longhorns are 12-2 in non-conference games (NC sked #279).
Texas is 7-9 against teams in the top 50.
Texas’ schedule, to this point: #32
bench minutes: #193
Texas is in NCAA’s for 4th straight year, under 3 different coaches.
Since 2009, Texas is 1-4 SU in 2nd round games.
Tennessee (25-8) ranked #7 by KenPom
Tempo: #80
Experience: #52
Continuity: #66
Tennessee won eight of its last 10 games.
Vols have #5 eFG% defense in country.
Vols are 11-3 in non-conference games.
Tennessee is 8-7 against teams in the top 50.
Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #13
bench minutes: #288
Coach Barnes is 8-7 SU/7-8 ATS in 2nd round NCAA games.
Coach Barnes grew up in Hickory, NC; 60 miles from Charlotte.
Coach Barnes coached Texas from 1998-2015 (402-180)
Both teams had stress-free wins Thursday.
Last six years, #2-seeds are 8-12 ATS in this round.
TY, Big X teams are 10-2 SU/7-5 ATS vs SEC opponents.
Duquesne vs Illinois (-10.5) (@ Omaha)
Duquesne (25-11) ranked #80 by KenPom
Tempo: #251
Experience: #48
Continuity: #95
Duquesne won its last nine games.
Since 2017, #11-seeds are 9-2 ATS in 2nd round games.
Dukes are 9-3 in D-I non-conference games.
Dukes have #53 eFG% defense in country.
Duquesne is 2-3 against top 50 teams.
Duquesne is 9-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Duquesne’s schedule, to this point: #95
bench minutes: #80
Duquesne is in NCAA’s for first time since 1977.
Coach Dambrot is retiring after this season.
Illinois (27-8) ranked #10 by KenPom
Tempo: #58
Experience: #11
Continuity: #136
Illinois won five in row, eight of last nine games.
Illini is 10-2 in non-league games.
Illinois outscored Morehead 46-31 in 2nd half Thursday.
Illini has #43 eFG%, #55 eFG% defense in country.
Illinois is 16-8 against teams in the top 100.
Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #19
bench minutes: #237
Underwood is 0-4 SU in second round games.
Illinois is 0-5 SU in last five 2nd round games.
Last time Illini made Sweet 16 was 2005.
Big 14 teams are 3-2 SU/ATS vs A-15 teams this season.
Last six years, #3-seeds are 7-16 ATS in this round.
Oregon vs Creighton (-5.5) (@ Pittsburgh)
Oregon (24-11) ranked #51 by KenPom
Tempo: #181
Experience: #169
Continuity: #257
Oregon won its last five games, giving up 66.2 ppg.
Ducks are 9-3 in non-league games.
Ducks scored 1.30 ppp in Thursday’s win vs South Carolina.
Oregon played three starters 36:00+ Thursday.
Oregon is 4-7 against teams in the top 50.
Oregon’s schedule, to this point: #51
bench minutes: #178
Under Altman, Oregon is 5-2 in second round games.
Altman was the Creighton coach from 1994-2010 (327-176)
Creighton (24-9) ranked #11 by KenPom
Tempo: #208
Experience: #8
Continuity: #41
Creighton won eight of its last ten games.
Bluejays are 10-2 in non-conference games.
Creighton has #3 eFG% in the country.
Bluejays have #11 eFG% defense in country.
Creighton forces fewest turnovers in country.
Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #30
bench minutes: #355
Bluejays played four starters 32:00+ Thursday.
Under McDermott, Creighton is 2-4 SU in second round games..
Last six years, #3-seeds are 7-16 ATS in this round.
Big East teams are 4-2 SU/2-4 ATS vs Pac-12 teams this season.