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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Sunday, March 10
Sunday’s 5 interesting games
Arch Madness (@ St Louis)
Drake vs Indiana State
Drake (27-6, 18-4)
KenPom rating: 51
Tempo: 151
Experience: 141
Continuity: 147
Drake won four in row, nine of last ten games.
Bulldogs are #1 team in country on defensive boards.
Drake is shooting 55.4% inside arc (#24)
Bulldogs are 5-1 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
Last 4+ years, Drake is 10-3 in Arch Madness (won it last year)
Yesterday, Drake played eight guys 13:00+.
Indiana State (28-5, 17-3)
KenPom rating: 41
Tempo: 41
Experience: 125
Continuity: 193
Indiana State won its last six games (4-2 ATS).
Sycamores are #8 team in country on defensive boards.
Indiana State has #1 eFG% in the country.
Sycamores are 3-3 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
Indiana State is 4-1 in last two MVC tourneys (last won it in 2011)
In Sycamores’ 6-game win streak, all six wins were by 12+ points.
Home team won both meetings this season,
Drake won nine of last 12 series games.
SoCon tournament (@ Asheville, NC)
Furman vs Samford
Furman (17-15, 11-8)
KenPom rating: 139
Tempo: 97
Experience: 235
Continuity: 34
Furman lost three of its last five games.
Paladins won in OT yesterday; four guys played 35:00+.
Furman is #75 in bench minutes.
Furman won SoCon tourney LY; they’re 6-1 in last seven tourney games.
Paladins are 3-5 against teams ranked in the top 125.
Opponents are shooting 53.4% inside arc (#308)
Samford (27-5, 16-3)
KenPom rating: 79
Tempo: 15
Experience: 106
Continuity: 169
Samford won 27 of its last 30 games, after an 0-2 start.
Bulldogs made 10-23 on arc yesterday, had fairly simple win.
Samford is #3 in country in bench minutes.
Samford is forcing turnovers 22% of time (#14)
Bulldogs are 8-3 vs teams ranked in top 150.
Since 2010, Samford is 6-14 in conference tourney games
Home team won both meetings this season.
Furman won nine of last 11 games with Samford.
East Tennessee State vs Chattanooga
East Tennessee State (18-15, 10-10)
KenPom rating: 174
Tempo: 235
Experience: 231
Continuity: 298
ETSU won its last four games, after a 14-15 start.
Buccaneers played four guys 30:00+ yesterday, had easy win Thursday.
They’re #282 team in bench minutes.
ETSU was 12-24 on arc yesterday; for year, they’re shooting 31.3% on arc (#308)
Buccaneers are 3-12 vs teams ranked in top 150.
ETSU won this tournament in 2017, when Steve Forbes was coach.
Chattanooga (21-11, 13-6)
KenPom rating: 137
Tempo: 227
Experience: 218
Continuity: 316
Chattanooga split its last six games.
Mocs played eight guys 14:00+ yesterday.
Chattanooga’s bench plays #68 minutes in country.
Chattanooga has #29 eFG% in the country.
Mocs are 9-8 against teams in top 200.
Last 4+ years, Mocs are 10-2 in this tournament, winning it in ’20, ’22.
Chattanooga won both meetings this season, 81-74/84-71
Mocs won seven of last nine series games.
Sun Belt tournament (@ Pensacola, FL)
Arkansas State @ Appalachian State
Arkansas State (17-15, 12-7)
KenPom rating: 130
Tempo: 124
Experience: 80
Continuity: 162
Arkansas State won 7 of last 8 games, after a 10-14 start.
Only loss was at App State nine days ago.
Red Wolves are #51 team on offensive boards.
ASU scoured 1.25 ppp Saturday, had an easy win.
Red Wolves are #140 team in bench minutes.
Arkansas State is 0-5 vs teams in top 100.
Arkansas State went WL in last three Sun Belt tournaments.
Appalachian State (27-5, 16-2)
KenPom rating: 75
Tempo: 200
Experience: 155
Continuity: 20
App State won 16 of its last 17 games.
ASU blew 14-point lead yesterday, needed OT to win.
ASU played four guys 33:00+ yesterday.
App State is #131 in bench minutes.
ASU has #2 eFG% defense in country.
App State is 8-4 vs teams in the top 200.
App State won this tournament three years ago.
App State (-7) beat Arkansas State 80-57 at home, nine days ago.
App State won six of last eight series games.
Texas State vs James Madison
Texas State (17-17, 10-11)
KenPom rating: 184
Tempo: 248
Experience: 291
Continuity: 268
Texas State won its last six games, after an 11-17 start.
Bobcats are playing their 4th tourney game in six days.
Texas State has #309 eFG% in country.
Texas State is turning ball over 20% of time (#328).
Bobcats are 4-8 vs teams in the top 150.
Texas State did same thing LY; won three tourney games, lost in semis.
Texas State is #42 in country in bench minutes.
Bobcats played eight guys 15:00+ yesterday.
James Madison (29-3, 16-3)
KenPom rating: 65
Tempo: 61
Experience: 12
Continuity: 199
James Madison won its last eleven games.
Dukes are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
James Madison has #24 eFG% defense in country.
Dukes are 7-2 vs teams in the top 200.
James Madison had stress-free win Saturday.
Dukes are #124 in bench minutes.
JMU won CAA tourney in 2013; since then, they’re 4-9 in conference tourneys.
Teams split their two Sun Belt meetings.
Texas State (+12) lost 82-65 at James Madison December 30.
GOAT SHAZ!!! YOU GAT ME GOOD YESTERDAY MY GREAT SIR!!!