Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Sunday, March 24
Sunday’s games
Colorado vs Marquette (-3.5) (@ Indianapolis)
Colorado (26-10)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 168
Experience: 177
Continuity: 62
Colorado won 10 of its last 12 games.
Buffs are 11-2 in non-conference games TY.
Colorado has #16 eFG% in the country.
Buffs are #28 team in country on defensive boards.
Colorado is 6-5 vs teams in top 50.
Colorado’s schedule, to this point: #69
bench minutes: #309
Third game in five days for Colorado.
Buffs played all five starters 30:00 in Friday’s 77-possession win.
Marquette (26-9) ranked #13 by KenPom
Tempo: #93
Experience: #143
Continuity: #3
Marquette had split their last six games, with star G Kolek out.
Kolek had 17 points, 10 assists in his return Friday, an 87-69 win.
Marquette outscored WKU 51-26 in second half.
Eagles are forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#20)
Marquette is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#15)
Eagles are 9-6 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #9
bench minutes: #184
Marquette won three of last four second round games.
Shaka Smart made Final Four in 2011, but is 1-3 in second round games.
Last six years, #2-seeds were 8-12 ATS in second round.
Big East teams are 4-2 SU/2-4 ATS vs Pac-12 teams this season.
Utah State vs Purdue (-11.5) (@ Indianapolis)
Utah State (28-6) ranked #44 by KenPom
Tempo: #108
Experience: #80
Continuity: #360
Utah State won seven of its last eight games.
Aggies are 11-1 in their D-I non-conference games.
Aggies are 2-5 ATS as an underdog this season.
Utah State is shooting 57.3% inside arc (#10)
Opponents are shooting 52.6% inside arc (#286)
Aggies are 6-5 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Utah State’s schedule, to this point: #88
bench minutes: #327
Friday was Utah State’s first NCAA win since 2001.
Purdue (30-4) ranked #3 by KenPom
Tempo: #189
Experience: #67
Continuity: #10
Purdue won seven of its last eight games.
Purdue has #14 eFG% in country.
Boilers are shooting 40.7% on the arc (#2)
Boilers are 12-0 in non-conference games (NC schedule #11).
Purdue is #6 team on offensive boards.
Boilers are 12-4 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #6
bench minutes: #235
Coach Painter is 6-4 SU/7-3 ATS in second round games.
Purdue won its four second round games SU.
Last six years, #1-seeds were 9-13 ATS in 2nd round games.
James Madison vs Duke (-4.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY)
James Madison (32-3) ranked #57 by KenPom
Tempo: #64
Experience: #12
Continuity: #198
James Madison won its last 14 games.
JMU led wire-to-wire in its win over Wisconsin Friday.
Dukes have #20 eFG% defense in country.
Dukes have #39 eFG% in country.
JMU is forcing turnovers 20% of time (#37).
Dukes are 2-2 against top 100 teams.
JMU’s schedule, to this point: #278
bench minutes: #124
James Madison is in NCAA’s for first time since 2013.
Only one JMU player played 30:00+ Friday.
Duke (24-8) ranked #9 by KenPom
Tempo: #236
Experience: #205
Continuity: #24
Duke is 4-3 in its last seven games.
Duke is 10-2 in their non-conference games.
Blue Devils have #21 eFG% in country.
Duke is #51 team on defensive boards.
Blue Devils are 12-6 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Duke’s schedule, to this point: #72
bench minutes: #275
Since 2015, Duke is 5-2 SU/6-4 ATS in second round games.
Last six years, #4-seeds were 9-6 ATS in second round games.
Last six years, #12-seeds were 4-4 ATS in second round games.
This year, ACC teams are 2-1 SU/ATS vs Sun Belt opponents.
Clemson vs Baylor (-4.5) (@ Memphis)
Clemson (22-11) ranked #24 by KenPom
Tempo: #261
Experience: #26
Continuity: #64
Clemson lost three of its last five games.
Clemson had stress-free win over New Mexico Friday.
Tigers are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#38)
Opponents are shooting 46.8% inside arc (#42)
Clemson is 11-1 in non-conference games.
Tigers are 8-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #31
bench minutes: #232
Tigers are in NCAA’s for third time in last seven years.
Since 1997, Clemson is 2-0 in second round games.
Baylor (24-10) ranked #14 by KenPom
Tempo: #282
Experience: #89
Continuity: #234
Baylor won five of its last seven games.
Bears are 11-2 in their D-I non-conference games.
Baylor had stress-free win over Colgate Friday.
Baylor has #13 eFG% in country.
Opponents are shooting 51.9% inside arc (#246)
Bears are 11-9 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #4
bench minutes: #302
Baylor is 1-3 SU in last four second round games.
This year, ACC teams are 10-3 SU/ATS vs Big X opponents.
Last five years, underdogs are 6-5 ATS in #3-#6 second round games.
Grand Canyon vs Alabama (-5.5) (@ Spokane)
Grand Canyon (30-4) ranked #50 by KenPom
Tempo: #116
Experience: #59
Continuity: #157
Grand Canyon won six in row, 13 of last 15 games.
Antelopes were 28-36 on foul line Friday.
Antelopes have #9 eFG% defense in country.
Antelopes are forcing turnovers 19.8% of time (#40)
Grand Canyon is #32 team on offensive boards.
Antelopes are 4-1 against top 100 teams.
Antelopes allowed 75+ points in all four of their losses.
Grand Canyon’s schedule, to this point: #184
bench minutes: #292
Grand Canyon is in second round for the first time.
Grand Canyon played three starters 34:00+ Friday.
Alabama (22-11) ranked #15 by KenPom
Tempo: #7
Experience: #63
Continuity: #276
Alabama is 3-4 in its last seven games.
They gave up 100+ points in three of the four losses.
Crimson Tide is 9-5 in non-conference games (NC SOS #17).
Alabama has #9 eFG% in country.
Crimson Tide is #29 team on offensive boards.
Opponents are shooting 51.1% inside arc (#213)
Crimson Tide is 13-11 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #6
bench minutes: #133
Under Oats, Alabama is 2-0 SU in second round games.
Last six years, #4-seeds were 9-6 ATS in second round games.
Last six years, #12-seeds were 4-4 ATS in second round games.
This year, SEC teams are 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS vs WAC opponents.
Northwestern vs UConn(-14.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY)
Northwestern (22-11) ranked #38 by KenPom
Tempo: #340
Experience: #56
Continuity: #80
Northwestern lost three of its last five games.
Four Wildcats played 39:00+ in Friday’s OT win.
Wildcats are shooting 39.3% on the arc (#7)
Northwestern has #234 eFG% defense in country.
Wildcats are 12-7 vs top 100 teams.
Northwestern is 10-2 in non-conference games
Northwestern is 10-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Northwestern’s schedule, to this point: #41
bench minutes: #301
Northwestern is in NCAA’s for 2nd year in row, for first time.
Under Collins, Wildcats are 0-2 in 2nd round games, losing by 5-6 points.
UConn (32-3) ranked #1 by KenPom
Tempo: #324
Experience: #69
Continuity: #149
UConn won eight in row, 22 of last 23 games.
Huskies won the national title last year.
UConn has #5 eFG% in country, #3 eFG% defense.
Huskies are #12 team on offensive boards.
Huskies are 12-2 vs teams ranked in top 50.
UConn’s schedule, to this point: #46
bench minutes: #227
Since 1998, UConn is 10-3 in second round games.
This year, Big East teams are 8-11 SU/ATS vs Big 14 opponents.
Last six years, #1-seeds were 9-13 ATS in 2nd round games.
Texas A&M vs Houston (-9.5) (@ Memphis)
Texas A&M (21-14) ranked #39 by KenPom
Tempo: #264
Experience: #45
Continuity: #43
Texas A&M won six of its last seven games.
Aggies are 6-5 ATS as an underdog this season.
Aggies have #340 eFG% in country.
Luckily for them, Aggies are #1 team in country on offensive boards.
Texas A&M is 10-4 in non-conference games.
Aggies are 8-7 against top 50 teams.
Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #18
bench minutes: #153
In his career, Buzz Williams is 4-1 SU in second round games.
Friday, they were 13-23 on arc; for season, Aggies are shooting 29.2% on arc (#344 out of 362 teams)
Houston (31-4) ranked #2 by KenPom
Tempo: #349
Experience: #95
Continuity: #127
Houston won 12 of its last 13 games.
Cougars are 14-0 in their non-conference games (NC SOS #227).
Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country.
Opponents are shooting 43.3% inside arc (#3)
Cougars are 15-4 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Houston’s schedule, to this point: #25
bench minutes: #194
Under Sampson, Houston is 4-1 SU in second round games.
This year, Big X teams are 9-2 SU/7-4 ATS vs SEC opponents.
Last six years, #1-seeds were 9-13 ATS in 2nd round games.
Yale vs San Diego State (-5.5) (@ Spokane)
Yale (23-9) ranked #79 by KenPom
Tempo: #328
Experience: #235
Continuity: #21
Yale has won six of its last seven games.
Bulldogs are 4-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Yale is #22 team in country protecting the ball.
Yale is #13 team on defensive boards.
Bulldogs are 2-3 against top 100 teams.
Yale is 10-6 in non-conference games (NC schedule #61)
Yale lost 86-71 at Gonzaga, 75-60 at Kansas.
Yale’s schedule, to this point: #114
bench minutes: #326
Yale is in NCAA’s for third time in last five years.
Last five years, #13-seeds are 0-6 ATS in this round.
San Diego State (25-10) ranked #20 by KenPom
Tempo: #271
Experience: #44
Continuity: #117
San Diego State won three of its last four games.
Aztecs’ last four losses were all by 5 or less points.
Aztecs have #29 eFG% defense in country.
San Diego State is 10-2 in D-I non-conference games.
Aztecs are 11-10 against top 100 teams.
San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #24
bench minutes: #215
Since 2011, San Diego State is 3-2 in second round games.
Last five years, #5-seeds are 9-5 ATS in this round.
Mountain West won their only game this year vs an Ivy League team.