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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, January 11
Thursday’s 5 interesting games
Michigan State @ Illinois (-3.5)
Michigan State (9-6, 1-3)
KenPom rating: 19
Tempo: 283
Experience: 86
Continuity: 27
Michigan State won five of its last six games.
Spartans are 0-2 in true road games, losing by 7-14 points.
MSU is 3-6 vs top 100 teams.
In Big 14 games, Spartans are getting to foul line less than any team in league.
Illinois (11-3, 2-1)
KenPom rating: 9
Tempo: 76
Experience: 15
Continuity: 159
Illini won four of its last five games.
Illinois has #4 eFG% defense in country.
Illini is grabbing 37.2% of its missed shots (#14)
Illinois is 3-3 vs top 100 teams.
Both teams lost their last game.
Illinois won last three series games, by 1-5-9 points.
Spartans lost three of last four visits to Champaign.
Big 14 home favorites of 7 or less points are 7-4 ATS
UCLA @ Utah (-9.5)
UCLA (6-9, 1-3)
KenPom rating: 108
Tempo: 327
Experience: 321
Continuity: 290
UCLA lost seven of its last eight games.
UCLA’s Pac-12 losses are by 5-6-9 points.
Bruins have the #332 eFG% in country.
UCLA is 0-7 against top 100 teams.
Bruins’ best win: 69-62 at #158 Oregon State
Utah (11-4, 2-2)
KenPom rating: 31
Tempo: 63
Experience: 53
Continuity: 77
Utes got swept by the Arizona schools last weekend.
Utah is 5-4 vs teams in top 125.
Utes are shooting 37.4% on the arc (#33)
Utah is 6-1 vs teams ranked outside the top 100.
UCLA won last seven series games.
Bruins won their last four visits to Utah.
Pac-12 home favorites of 5+ points are 4-9 ATS
Gonzaga (-9.5) @ Santa Clara
Gonzaga (11-4, 2-0)
KenPom rating: 23
Tempo: 65
Experience: 150
Continuity: 215
Gonzaga won its first two WCC games, by 26-27 points.
Zags lost their only true road game, 78-73 at Washington.
Zags are 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100 (7 of 8 wins by 15+ points)
Gonzaga rebounds 36.3% of its missed shots (#25)
Santa Clara (11-6, 2-0)
KenPom rating: 114
Tempo: 84
Experience: 170
Continuity: 322
Santa Clara won its first two WCC games, by 11-6 points.
Broncos are 4-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
Santa Clara is 3-3 against top 100 teams.
Broncos’ last three losses were by 2-3-8 points.
Gonzaga is 43-2 in last 45 series games, winning last 26 in a row.
Five of their last six wins at Santa Clara were by 15+ points.
WCC home underdogs are 3-1 ATS
Long Beach State @ Cal-San Diego (-4.5)
Long Beach State (11-5, 3-1)
KenPom rating: 151
Tempo: 10
Experience: 66
Continuity: 7
Long Beach is 3-1 in Big West, losing 84-68 to Northridge.
In its 4 Big West games, Long Beach is shooting 19.3% on arc.
Long Beach is 3-3 vs teams ranked in top 200.
Long Beach is grabbing 33.8% of its missed shots (#55)
Cal-San Diego (9-6, 3-0)
KenPom rating: 134
Tempo: 319
Experience: 213
Continuity: 115
Tritons are 3-0 in Big West, scoring 77 ppg.
UCSD is 1-4 vs teams ranked in top 200.
In its three Big West games, UCSD shot 62.4% inside arc.
Tritons are #233 team in country on defensive boards.
Long Beach won three of four series games.
Long Beach won 112-110 in triple OT, in LY’s visit here.
Both of last year’s meetings (1-1) were by decided by 2 points.
Big West home favorites are 3-7 ATS
Arizona State @ Washington (-6.5)
Arizona State (10-5, 4-0)
KenPom rating: 101
Tempo: 71
Experience: 99
Continuity: 259
ASU’s Pac-12 wins are by 3-2-12-3 points.
Sun Devils are 5-4 vs top 100 teams.
ASU split its four road games.
Sun Devils are 5-1 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Washington (9-6, 1-3)
KenPom rating: 55
Tempo: 57
Experience: 2
Continuity: 231
Washington’s Pac-12 losses are by 4-5-2 points.
Huskies are 2-6 vs teams ranked in top 125
Huskies are #254 team in country on defensive boards.
Their last seven games were all decided by 7 or less points.
Home team won last five series games.
Sun Devils lost three of last four visits to Seattle.
Pac-12 home favorites of 5+ points are 4-9 ATS