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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, January 25
Thursday’s 5 interesting games
SMU (-1.5) @ North Texas
SMU (13-5, 4-1)
KenPom rating: 40
Tempo: 186
Experience: 75
Continuity: 87
SMU won seven of its last eight games.
Mustangs have the #2 eFG% defense in the country.
Mustangs are #12 eFG% team on offensive boards.
SMU is 1-4 vs top 100 teams.
North Texas (11-6, 4-1)
KenPom rating: 73
Tempo: 362
Experience: 144
Continuity: 193
North Texas won five of its last six I-A games.
Opponents are shooting 43.7% inside arc (#15)
North Texas is #18 team on offensive boards.
Mean Green is 0-4 vs teams in top 100.
These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
AAC home underdogs of less than 5 points are 3-4 ATS.
Oakland (-2.5) @ Green Bay
Oakland (12-8, 7-2)
KenPom rating: 145
Tempo: 171
Experience: 112
Continuity: 118
Oakland won its last six games,
Grizzlies are 6-2 in games decided by 6 or less points.
Grizzlies have #249 eFG% defense in country.
Oakland is 7-0 against teams ranked outside top 200.
Green Bay (12-9, 7-3)
KenPom rating: 215
Tempo: 350
Experience: 348
Continuity: 341
Green Bay won six of its last eight D-I games.
Phoenix is turning ball over 20.4% of time (#327).
Green Bay is shooting 54% inside the arc (#55)
Green Bay is 3-3 vs top 150 teams.
Green Bay lost 79-73 at Oakland January 6th.
Oakland won last four series games, by 7-16-12-6 points.
Grizzlies lost six of last nine visits to Green Bay.
Horizon home underdogs of 4 or fewer points are 5-3 ATS.
Arizona State @ Oregon (-8.5)
Arizona State (11-7, 5-2)
KenPom rating: 100
Tempo: 87
Experience: 98
Continuity: 259
Arizona State won five of its last seven games.
ASU is forcing turnovers 20.4% of time (#39)
ASU has #269 eFG% in the country.
Sun Devils are 6-5 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Oregon (13-5, 5-2)
KenPom rating: 53
Tempo: 161
Experience: 160
Continuity: 274
Oregon is 3-0 at home in Pac-12, winning by 8-5-7 points.
Ducks are 11-0 when they allow less than 80 points.
Oregon is 5-4 against teams in top 100.
Ducks are shooting 37.5% on the arc (#29)
Arizona State won three of last four series games.
Sun Devils won last two trips to Eugene, by 2-17 points.
Pac-12 home favorites of 8+ points are 4-8 ATS.
San Francisco @ Gonzaga (-9.5)
San Francisco (15-5, 4-1)
KenPom rating: 65
Tempo: 240
Experience: 215
Continuity: 211
USF won seven of its last eight games.
Dons are shooting 58.3% inside arc (#10)
Dons are 1-4 vs teams ranked in top 100.
USF is forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#29)
Gonzaga (13-5, 4-1)
KenPom rating: 19
Tempo: 56
Experience: 148
Continuity: 219
Zags are 4-1 in WCC; all four wins were by 16+ points.
Gonzaga is #28 team on offensive boards.
Zags are 3-4 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Gonzaga is shooting 57.3% inside arc (#13)
Gonzaga won its last 27 games vs San Francisco.
USF’s last six losses at Gonzaga were by 16+ points.
WCC home favorites of 9+ points are 9-0 ATS.
Cal-Irvine (-3.5) @ Long Beach State
Cal-Irvine (13-6, 6-1)
KenPom rating: 74
Tempo: 165
Experience: 189
Continuity: 57
Irvine won six of its last seven games.
Opponents are shooting 43.5% inside arc (#13)
Anteaters are 5-6 vs teams ranked in top 200.
Irvine is 3-6 in true road games.
Long Beach State (12-7, 4-3)
KenPom rating: 166
Tempo: 17
Experience: 65
Continuity: 7
Long Beach split its last six games, after a 9-4 start.
Long Beach is 2-1 vs teams ranked in top 100
Long Beach is 5-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Long Beach has #254 eFG% defense in country.
Irvine won five of last seven series games.
Anteaters lost last two trips to Long Beach, by 6-5 points.
Big West home underdogs of 4 or less points are 5-3 ATS.