NCAAB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Tuesday 2/12/19

By Brian Edwards

**Louisiana State at Kentucky**

-- A crucial conference battle will go down night at Rupp Arena. Kentucky (20-3 straight up, 14-9 against the spread) will play host to LSU in a showdown of 9-1 teams who are looking to keep pace with 10-0 Tennessee at the top of the SEC standings. As of early this morning, most books had Kentucky installed as an 8.5-point favorite after most books opened the Wildcats at nine. The total was 149 and LSU was +350 on the money line.

-- Since losing at Alabama in its SEC opener, John Calipari’s team has won 10 consecutive games and has covered the number in eight straight. Kentucky went into Starkville on Saturday and won by a 71-67 count as a 3.5-point road favorite. UK led 40-25 at intermission, only to see that deficit cut to two by the eight-minute mark. But the Wildcats promptly went on a 12-4 run to extend the lead back to 10 and held off a late charge from the Bulldogs. P.J. Washington was the catalyst with 23 points on 9-of-13 shooting from the field. Washington had game-high scoring honors despite fouling out after playing for only 24 minutes. Keldon Johnson added 13 points and seven rebounds, while Tyler Herro finished with 12 points.

-- UK is undefeated in 13 home games with a 7-6 spread record. The ‘Cats get four of their next five games at home, including a trip to Lexington from top-ranked Tennessee this Saturday. Does that qualify the ‘Cats for a letdown scenario tonight? We shall see.

-- Kentucky is 2-0 ATS in a pair of games as a single-digit favorite.

-- UK is No. 7 at KenPom.com, compiling a 7-2 record against K-Pom Top-50 opponents. The other L’s for the Wildcats have come against Duke (118-84) and Seton Hall (84-83 in overtime) on neutral courts. They have quality home wins over Kansas and Mississippi St., in addition to road scalps at MSU, at Florida, at Auburn and at Louisville. UK also has a neutral-court victory over North Carolina.

-- Washington leads UK in scoring (14.2 points per game), rebounding (8.1 RPG) and 3-point accuracy (44.9%). Johnson is averaging 14.0 points and 5.3 RPG while hitting 40.5 percent of his 3-pointers. Herro (13.3 PPG) is draining 91.8 percent of his free-throw attempts, while Stanford grad transfer Reid Travis is averaging 11.7 points and 7.0 RPG.

-- LSU (19-4 SU, 13-9 ATS) owns a 5-1 record both SU and ATS in six road assignments. The Tigers are 3-1-1 ATS with three outright win in five games as underdogs.

-- Will Wade’s club has won 12 of its past 13 games while going 10-3 ATS. The only loss during this span came two Saturday’s ago in Baton Rouge, where Arkansas came in and pulled a 90-89 upset as a 10-point road underdog. LSU bounced back nicely last week, however, winning 92-88 in overtime at Mississippi St. on Wednesday as a three-point underdog. Then on Saturday, the Tigers held off Auburn 83-78 as 2.5-point home ‘chalk.’

-- Naz Reid scored 29 points and grabbed nine rebounds in the win over the Bulldogs at The Hump in Starkville. Tremont Waters produced 26 points, five steals, five assists and four rebounds. Skylar Mays led the way Saturday against Auburn, scoring a team-high 20 points to go with three rebounds, three steals and a pair of assists without a turnover. Waters finished with 19 points, three steals, three boards and 10 assists compared to two turnovers. Reid added 13 points and 10 rebounds.

-- Waters, a sophomore point guard, isn’t as prolific a scorer as LSU legend Chris Jackson, but he can get buckets in bunches and is a better distributor. Waters is averaging team-highs in scoring (15.7 points per game), assists (6.1 APG) and steals (3.0 SPG). He ranks tops in the SEC and third in the nation in steals and is third in the SEC in assists.

-- Reid, the 5-star freshman out of New Jersey, has been ‘as advertised.’ He is currently listed as the No. 26 overall picks in the latest 2019 mock draft at NBADraft.net. The 6’10” 250-pounder is averaging 13.9 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.0 blocked shots per game. Mays is scoring at a 13.4 PPG clip, is second on the team in steals with 47 and has a 52/30 assist-to-turnover ratio.

-- LSU is No. 21 at K-Pom, producing a 5-2 record against Top-50 foes. The Tigers are 11-4 versus the Top 100. They’ve lost at Houston and on a neutral court vs. FSU (in OT) and vs. Oklahoma St. LSU’s best wins have come at Misissippi St., at Ole Miss, at Arkansas, vs. Saint Mary’s (neutral court), vs. Auburn, vs. Alabama and vs. Furman.

-- The ‘under’ is on a 7-2 run for the ‘Cats to improve to 14-9 overall and 9-4 in their home games.

-- The ‘over’ is on an 11-3 roll for LSU to improve to 14-8 overall and 4-2 in its road assignments.

-- ESPN will have the broadcast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Duke at Louisville**

-- As of early this morning, most books had Duke (21-2 SU, 15-8 ATS) listed as an eight-point favorites with a total of 151.5. U of L was +280 to win outright (risk $100 to win $280).

-- Duke is atop the ACC standings with a 9-1 record in league play. The Blue Devils lead UNC and Virginia bye one-half game, while Louisville and Syracuse are 1.5 games back with 8-3 ACC ledgers.

-- Duke is unbeaten in five road games with a 4-1 spread record. The Blue Devils went into Charlottesville on Saturday night and won 81-71 as 2.5-point underdogs. R.J. Barrett buried 6-of-10 launches from 3-point land and finished with 26 points and seven rebounds. Zion Williamson added 18 points, five rebounds, five assists, three steals and three blocked shots. Cam Reddish went 5-of-8 from downtown in a 17-point effort. Reddish also had three assists, three steals, two blocked shots and two rebounds, while Tre Jones contributed 13 points, seven assists, six boards and two steals.

-- Since dropping a home game to Syracuse in overtime, Duke has won seven games in a row and it has covered in four straight contests. The Blue Devils are No. 1 at K-Pom, going 8-2 versus Top 50 foes. Their only other loss of the year came against Gonzaga in finals of the Maui Classic out in Hawaii. Duke’s best wins have come at Virginia, at FSU (on a Reddish buzzer beater) and vs. Kentucky, Texas Tech and Auburn on neutral floors. The Blue Devils also own home triumphs over Virginia, Indiana, Clemson and St. John’s.

-- Williamson (21.8 PPG) leads Duke in rebounding (9.2 RPG), field-goal percentage (68.4%), steals (2.2 SPG) and blocked shots (2.0 BPG). Barrett is averaging a team-best 23.1 PPG and averages 7.2 rebounds and 3.7 APG. Reddish (13.6) has 47 steals in 22 games played, while Jones (8.7 PPG) has an incredible 117/26 assist-to-turnover ratio.

-- Louisville (17-7 SU, 13-9-2 ATS) has won 12 of its 14 home games while posting a 6-6-2 ATS record. The Cardinals are 1-2 both SU and ATS in three games as home underdogs.

-- Chris Mack had done a remarkable job in his first season as head coach at U of L. He re-tooled the roster with several impact transfers and has seen sophomore Jordan Nwora make a big leap in his sophomore campaign. Nwora averages team-highs in scoring (17.6 PPG) and rebounding (7.6 RPG). Dwayne Sutton is averaging 11.0 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.1 steals per game, while Samford transfer Christen Cunningham (10.7 PPG) has a 108/42 assist-to-turnover ratio and has hit 39.3 percent of his 3-balls. Steven Enoch, a transfer from UConn, is averaging 9.2 points and 5.0 RPG while draining 42.9 percent his launches from downtown. Ryan McMahon is a deadly 3-point shooter with big-time range. He’s hit 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and made 94.4 percent of his FTAs.

-- Louisville has dropped two of its past three games both SU and ATS, including an 80-75 overtime loss Saturday at FSU as a three-point underdog. U of L led by as many as eight in the first half, by six at halftime and by 10 with less than 10 minutes remaining. However, the Seminoles forced the extra session with a late rally and then put the clamps on the Cardinals defensively in the first three-plus minutes of OT. Cunningham scored 20 points, grabbed seven rebounds and dished out six assists in the losing effort. Sutton added 14 points, six boards and four assists, making 4-of-7 attempts from 3-point territory. Nwora had 13 points and five boards.

-- Louisville is ranked No. 13 at K-Pom, producing a 5-6 record against the Top 50 and a 9-7 mark versus the Top 100. The Cardinals own wins at Va. Tech, at North Carolina and at Seton Hall, in addition to home victories over Pitt, N.C. St., Miami, Michigan St., Vermont and Lipscomb.

-- When these teams met last season in Durham, Duke coasted to an 82-56 win as a 10.5-point home ‘chalk’.

-- Totals have been an overall was for the Cards (12-12-2) with the ‘over’ going 8-6 in their home outings.

-- The ‘under’ is 15-6-2 overall for the Blue Devils, 3-1-1 in its their road assignments.

-- Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Anthony Edwards committed to Georgia over Kentucky on Monday morning. This is a huge recruiting coup for Tom Crean and the Bulldogs. NBADraft.net’s latest 2020 mock has Edwards listed as the No. 1 overall pick.

-- West Virginia’s nightmare campaign got even worse on Monday when Bob Huggins dismissed a pair of starters, Esa Ahmad and Wesley Harris, from the program “for a violation of athletic department policies.” The Mountaineers, who are 10-14, have already been playing without their best player, Sagaba Konate, since early Decembrer. Konate was averaging 13.6 points, 8.0 rebounds and 2.8 blocked shots per game in the team’s first eight contests. Ahmad was averaging 12.0 points and 5.8 RPG, while Harris was averaging 7.9 points and 4.5 RPG.

-- Wisconsin will host Michigan St. on ESPN at 7:00 p.m. Eastern tonight. As of early this morning, most spots had this game as a pick ‘em with the total in the 131-132 range. The Badgers are 9-2 SU and 6-5 ATS at home, while the Spartans are 6-3 both SU and ATS in nine road assignments. Wisconsin had its six-game winning streak both SU and ATS snapped in Saturday’s 61-52 loss at Michigan. The Spartans snapped their three-game losing streak both SU and ATS with Saturday’s 79-55 win over Minnesota as 13.5-point home ‘chalk.’ The ‘under’ is on a 7-2 run for Tom Izzo’s squad. The ‘under’ has cashed at a 7-1 clip for the Badgers in their past eight contests.

-- Bettors should take note of tonight’s early 6:30 p.m. Eastern tip on the Big Ten Network between Maryland and Purdue in College Park. As of early this morning, the Boilermakers were one-point road favorites with the total at 141. The Terrapins are 12-2 SU and 5-8 ATS at home, while Purdue is 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS on the road. Maryland was in a 1-3 slump both SU and ATS until going to Nebraska last Wednesday and winning 60-45 as a 2.5-point underdog.

12th Feb 2019
Corey Pabst

It’s College Basketball Tuesday, and tonight, a few of the most intriguing matchups of the week will take place; for both our viewing and betting pleasure.

Going 1-1 in Primetime on Saturday; we were fortunate to get the overtime cover with Florida State as a three-point dog and a little unfortunate to take the L with Virginia – as the Cavaliers would lose outright at home, to Duke. I call the loss with Virginia a little unlucky because of how lights out Duke was from three; when one of the major factors in the handicap was how bad Duke has been from three this year (30%) and how they shot a preposterous 62% from three on 21 attempts.

For tonight, we’ll start out in Madison, with a premiere matchup in the Big Ten, as the slumping Michigan State Spartans make the trip to Wisconsin. And finally for the 9pm ESPN nightcap, we’ll head to Louisville, where Cardinals will host Duke in an ACC battle of two of the top teams in conference.

And for the big game bettor, looking for angles in the limelight, welcome to the weekday edition of the Primetime Previewer.

Michigan State (19-5, 10-3) @ Wisconsin (17-7, 9-4)
7 pm ET ESPN2

Open: Wisconsin Pk
Spread: Wisconsin -1k
Consensus: MSU 54%

Situational Spots:

Wisconsin was on a roll; winners of six straight in the Big Ten, but on Saturday, in a rematch with the leader of the conference, the Badgers come up short in Michigan (6th), losing, 61-52.

Greg Gard’s squad will look to get back to their winning ways tonight; against a Michigan State team that has followed an opposite trajectory as of late – losing three- straight, but finally coming away with a much-needed win hosting Minnesota on Saturday, in a dominant, 79-55, performance.

For Wisconsin, Michigan State will be their biggest test left in the regular season, while Sparty still has both games vs. Michigan left on the docket. While I’d expect both teams to leave it all out on the floor, in looking to finish the season strong, maybe this one means just a tad bit more to Wisconsin, for this game will really show them where they stand in competing for the Big Ten title, and ultimately, an NCAA Championship.

Keys to the Matchup:

The matchup to watch in this game will be the Michigan State offense (6th) – lead by Junior C Nick Ward, Junior PG Cassius Winston, and Sophomore F/C Xavier Tillman vs. the Badger defense (7th), which has held opponents to a season long 44.8% from the field (11th).

Sparty features a balanced offense, that can score from inside (17th), and out (19th), with anyone on the floor; hence they are the number one team in the country in assists per field goal made. And while they do move the ball around quite a bit, it comes at a cost, and that is the one weakness they have exhibited – turnovers (193rd).

From a matchup perspective, Wisconsin could be ideal; for while the Badgers can matchup with Michigan State both inside (13th) and out (34th), the area they have struggled on defense is in creating turnovers (265th).

Therefore, if there is any hidden edge here on this side of the ball, it goes to Michigan State, because if turning over the ball is its one weakness on offense, Wisconsin is not a team that is built to exploit it.

On offense (35th), it’s no secret that Wisconsin will rely heavily on the services of Senior C Ethan Happ, who, if it wasn’t for Zion Williamson, could easily be considered the best overall player in the country. Hence, the Badgers rely heavily on points inside (76th) to score, and as good as Happ is, overall, Wisky isn’t great percentage-wise from inside the arc (164th).

The average 50.8 shooting percentage inside could be a problem against this Michigan State D (9th) that is the best in the nation at FG% D inside. When Wisconsin does shoot the three, they can clip (11th), however, with D’Mitrik Trice capable of knocking them down at a 45% rate, and Brad Davison at 43%. Michigan State is solid on the perimeter though (62nd), and I’m not sure I’d want to bank on threes to win a game against a defense that only allows 32% to fall.

Overall, there isn’t really anything that sticks out that would be unaccounted for in the number here. Michigan State has a top 10 defense and will have the advantage – it’s no secret.

Situational Trends:

Michigan State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games
Michigan State is 6-3 ATS on the road

Wisconsin is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games
Wisconsin is 4-4 ATS at home

Market:

Opening at Pick ‘em, the market is currently undecided at a real consensus number – with PK, MSU 1, and MSU -1’s all to be found in the off-shore market. At the recreational extreme of the market, Bovada is at a soft MSU -1 and at the high-limit end, Pinnacle is at a soft Wisconsin -1. Michigan State looks to have taken on nearly sixty percent of the early money.

Lean: Michigan State 1 -110

Statistically, Michigan State is undoubtedly the better team here, and there is nothing in the situation that would have me leaning to the Badgers. Wisconsin not being able to capitalize on the one weakness of Michigan State’s offense (turnovers) could be a hidden angle to consider, and as far as Wisconsin being at home: their home court is generally overrated (135th) and are .500 ATS at home, while Michigan State has been undervalued on the road.

Duke (21-2, 9-1) @ Louisville (17-7, 8-3)
9 pm ET ESPN

Open: Duke – 6
Spread: Duke – 8
Consensus: Duke 77%

Situational Spots:

Fresh off perhaps their biggest win of the season – pulling off the minor upset at Virginia on Saturday, 81-71, Duke has now won seven in-a-row; and is looking like the primary threat to cut down the nets in March.

As mentioned in the intro, the win at Virginia was a bit of an outlier, in relation to how they have shot the ball from three this year, but nonetheless an impressive win on the road over one of the best teams in the country. Now in on the back half of a two-game road stretch, the question for tonight is whether Duke might suffer a bit of a letdown – coming off such a huge win – or if performances like that are what we should expect every game from the Blue Devils.

The outcome on Saturday wasn’t so rosy for Louisville, who squandered a double-digit second half lead over Florida State; going on to lose the game in OT, 80-75.

The Cardinals were off a big win themselves, coming away with a, 72-64, win, in Blacksburg, over VA Tech (10th); but have now lost two out of the last three games – albeit against quality opponents (other loss vs. UNC (8th).

Tonight, however, will arguably be the biggest game of the year for the Cardinals, under the lights of Primetime – a chance to right the ship with a season-defining win. And I wouldn’t expect the moment to be too big for Chris Mack’s team, who is battle-tested, having played one of the more difficult schedules in the nation (14th), thus far.

Keys to the Matchup:

Duke, statistically a top five team in both offense (2nd) and defense (5th) is a team, for which finding matchup disadvantages anywhere on the floor is difficult to do. It’s no secret that Zion Williamson will be the best player on the floor tonight, and Freshman SG RJ Barrett is debatably a top three player in the country. Their unmatched athleticism allows them to attack the basket relentlessly, and therefore, score 55.4% of their points from inside the arc (31st), with the 3rd best 2P% in the nation.

If there has been one weakness on the Blue Devils, it has been their shooting – both from three (285th), and at the free-throw line (277th). However, as I already mentioned in the intro, Duke shot 63% from three against Virginia, and maybe there is some value in fading that performance. The Louisville D (28th) has been solid on the perimeter (82nd), and I’d be hard pressed to count on another performance like the one in Virginia, on the road, for a second straight week.

The Cardinal offense (15th), led by a pair of inside scorers, in Sophomore PF Jordan Nwora, and Junior C Steven Enoch could find some success against a Duke defense that allows most of their points from inside the arc (17th). But this isn’t what Louisville is accustomed to doing; first and foremost, this is an offense that thrives off attacking the basket, getting to the free throw line (30th), where they score 22% of their points (25th) – shooting an impressive 77% (14th) from the line.
The matchup isn’t great for the Cardinals in that regard, though, with Duke being a defense that in one of the best at keeping teams off the line (5th), allowing only 16% of their points from free throw shooting.

If you also throw in the fact that Louisville’s one major flaw on offense has been their propensity to fall victim to blocked shots (282nd), and I’d say Duke may have a hidden advantage unaccounted for in the number.

Situational Trends:

Duke is 5-2 ATS on the road
Duke is 6-4 ATS in their last 10

Louisville is 4-4 ATS at home
Louisville is 6-4 ATS in their last 10

Market:

The overnight money has been all over Duke, pushing this number up to a Duke -8 consensus from open. Bovada and 5Dimes have already made the move to 8.5, while Pinnacle and Matchbook are juiced on the Duke side at eight, indication that even the sharper shops may be headed to 8.5.

Lean: Duke – 8 -110

As much as I’d love to fade Duke off an outlier performance, the matchup doesn’t look great for Louisville. Coming off an overtime game as well, which resulted in a loss, the Cardinals could not only be slightly less energetic then they would be in a normal situation, but they could be a tad deflated emotionally.

Louisville has been average ATS at home, while Duke has outperformed expectation on the road. And while the 22,000 in attendance may be one of the largest crowds you will see in a College Basketball arena (3rd), the Cardinal’s home court advantage has been statistically average (143rd).

This number definitely has got away a bit, and laying the six would’ve been ideal, but I’d still lean to the Duke side at eight given the overall landscape of the market.

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 12

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ST BONAVENTURE (9 - 14) at ST JOSEPHS (11 - 13) - 2/12/2019, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST BONAVENTURE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST BONAVENTURE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
ST JOSEPHS is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
ST JOSEPHS is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST JOSEPHS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOSEPHS is 3-1 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
ST BONAVENTURE is 4-1 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PURDUE (17 - 6) at MARYLAND (18 - 6) - 2/12/2019, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 4-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (12 - 12) at BOSTON COLLEGE (11 - 11) - 2/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all home games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in home lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DAVIDSON (17 - 6) at FORDHAM (10 - 13) - 2/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 50-26 ATS (+21.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
FORDHAM is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 180-231 ATS (-74.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
FORDHAM is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
FORDHAM is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 136-173 ATS (-54.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 3-1 against the spread versus FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 3-1 straight up against FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (10 - 13) at TEXAS A&M (9 - 13) - 2/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
GEORGIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all home games this season.
TEXAS A&M is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
TEXAS A&M is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (19 - 4) at KENTUCKY (20 - 3) - 2/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (20 - 3) at AKRON (14 - 9) - 2/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
AKRON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
AKRON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 2-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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C MICHIGAN (16 - 7) at BOWLING GREEN (16 - 7) - 2/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
BOWLING GREEN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all home games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
C MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 2-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E MICHIGAN (10 - 13) at OHIO U (11 - 11) - 2/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 163-208 ATS (-65.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
OHIO U is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
OHIO U is 152-117 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
OHIO U is 152-117 ATS (+23.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
OHIO U is 104-72 ATS (+24.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO U is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO U is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
OHIO U is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
OHIO U is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (12 - 12) at W MICHIGAN (6 - 17) - 2/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
W MICHIGAN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 2-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (19 - 5) at WISCONSIN (17 - 7) - 2/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 3-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 4-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARQUETTE (20 - 4) at DEPAUL (13 - 9) - 2/12/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 133-91 ATS (+32.9 Units) in road games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 133-91 ATS (+32.9 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
DEPAUL is 75-104 ATS (-39.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
DEPAUL is 61-94 ATS (-42.4 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 4-2 against the spread versus DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
MARQUETTE is 5-1 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DRAKE (18 - 7) at S ILLINOIS (13 - 12) - 2/12/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DRAKE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
DRAKE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
DRAKE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games in February games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DRAKE is 3-2 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
DRAKE is 3-2 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUTLER (14 - 10) at ST JOHNS (17 - 7) - 2/12/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOHNS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOHNS is 115-149 ATS (-48.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUTLER is 3-2 against the spread versus ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER is 3-2 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (22 - 2) at PENN ST (8 - 15) - 2/12/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
PENN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.
PENN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 2-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA (15 - 8) at MISSISSIPPI ST (16 - 7) - 2/12/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 83-51 ATS (+26.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 110-80 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 5-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 5-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS (14 - 9) at MISSOURI (11 - 11) - 2/12/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 82-126 ATS (-56.6 Units) in road games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 82-126 ATS (-56.6 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 82-129 ATS (-59.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 83-128 ATS (-57.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 29-56 ATS (-32.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
MISSOURI is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 3-2 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS is 3-2 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS ST (18 - 5) at TEXAS (14 - 10) - 2/12/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
KANSAS ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 3-2 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 4-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DUKE (21 - 2) at LOUISVILLE (17 - 7) - 2/12/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
DUKE is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
DUKE is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 227-166 ATS (+44.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
DUKE is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 2-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (10 - 13) at UNLV (12 - 11) - 2/12/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 6-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 4-2 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO ST (14 - 9) at COLORADO ST (9 - 15) - 2/12/2019, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 134-171 ATS (-54.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
COLORADO ST is 174-216 ATS (-63.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RIDER (12 - 12) at QUINNIPIAC (12 - 10) - 2/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
RIDER is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
RIDER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
RIDER is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
RIDER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 4-1 against the spread versus QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 5-0 straight up against QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NCAAB

Tuesday, February 12

Trend Report

St. Bonaventure @ Saint Joseph's
St. Bonaventure
St. Bonaventure is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Saint Joseph's
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Bonaventure's last 7 games on the road
Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saint Joseph's's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Bonaventure

Purdue @ Maryland
Purdue
Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Maryland
Maryland
Maryland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Maryland is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

Davidson @ Fordham
Davidson
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Davidson's last 7 games on the road
Davidson is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Fordham
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Fordham's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fordham's last 5 games at home

Buffalo @ Akron
Buffalo
Buffalo is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
Buffalo is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 5 games
Akron is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Central Michigan @ Bowling Green
Central Michigan
Central Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Central Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Bowling Green
Bowling Green is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Bowling Green is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Eastern Michigan @ Ohio
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Eastern Michigan's last 8 games when playing on the road against Ohio
Ohio
Ohio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan
Ohio is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

LSU @ Kentucky
LSU
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Kentucky
Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Georgia @ Texas A&M
Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia's last 5 games when playing Texas A&M
Georgia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas A&M
Texas A&M
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 5 games when playing Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 5 games

Michigan State @ Wisconsin
Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
Michigan State is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 8 games
Wisconsin is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Pittsburgh @ Boston College
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Pittsburgh is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston College
Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan
Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Northern Illinois's last 7 games on the road
Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 5 games at home
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Illinois

Rider @ Quinnipiac
Rider
Rider is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Quinnipiac
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rider's last 5 games when playing on the road against Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Quinnipiac is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Drake @ Southern Illinois
Drake
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Drake's last 6 games when playing on the road against Southern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Drake's last 5 games on the road
Southern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Illinois's last 6 games when playing at home against Drake
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Illinois's last 6 games

Marquette @ DePaul
Marquette
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Marquette's last 10 games when playing DePaul
Marquette is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
DePaul
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of DePaul's last 10 games when playing Marquette
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of DePaul's last 5 games

Michigan @ Penn State
Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Penn State
Michigan is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games
Penn State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 6 games when playing at home against Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Penn State's last 11 games when playing Michigan

Butler @ St. John's
Butler
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Butler's last 5 games
Butler is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing St. John's
St. John's
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. John's's last 5 games
St. John's is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Alabama @ Mississippi State
Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 5 games on the road
Alabama is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Mississippi State
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games when playing at home against Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games at home

Arkansas @ Missouri
Arkansas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas's last 7 games
Arkansas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Missouri
Missouri
Missouri is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arkansas
Missouri is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arkansas

Kansas State @ Texas
Kansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Kansas State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Kansas State

Duke @ Louisville
Duke
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisville
Louisville is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Louisville is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

Air Force @ UNLV
Air Force
Air Force is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing UNLV
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Air Force's last 7 games when playing on the road against UNLV
UNLV
UNLV is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force
The total has gone OVER in 6 of UNLV's last 7 games when playing at home against Air Force

San Diego State @ Colorado State
San Diego State
San Diego State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games when playing Colorado State
Colorado State
Colorado State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games when playing San Diego State
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