Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 2/4/20
Tuesday’s college basketball
Tennessee lost its last three games, by 5-6-13 points; they’re 4-4 in SEC, splitting four road games. Vols are turning ball over 20.9% of time in SEC play- they’re playing with a young PG, which isn’t optimal- their eFG% is #10 in country. Alabama lost its last two games, giving up 86 ppg; they’re 4-4 in SEC, winning three of four at home- their only home loss was by 4 to Arkansas. Home team won last four Alabama-Tennessee games; Vols lost four of last five visits here, with losses by 6-28 points in last two. SEC home favorites of 6+ points are 9-11 ATS.
Kent State won 17 of its last 18 games with Ball State; underdogs covered five of last six series games. Cardinals lost their last nine visits to Kent, with four of last six by 10+ points.. Ball State split its last six games; they’re 5-3 in MAC, losing three of last four road games. Cardinals are forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#71). Kent State won its last three games, by 1-13-4 points; they’re 6-3 in MAC, 3-1 at home, with only loss by 7 to Northern Illinois. Flashes are #16 experience team in country. MAC home favorites of 4 or fewer points are 4-8 ATS
Auburn won its last four games, winning an emotional home game with Kentucky Saturday; Tigers are 6-2 in SEC, 2-2 on road, winning last road tilt in double OT at Ole Miss, after they trailed by 19. Arkansas split its last eight games after a 12-1 start; they’re 4-4 in SEC, losing two of last three home games. Opponents are shooting 24.1% on arc vs Arkansas, best % defense in country. Auburn-Arkansas split their last six meetings; Tigers lost six of their last seven visits here. Favorites covered last four series games. SEC favorites of 3 or fewer points are 5-7 ATS.
Bowling Green-Central Michigan split their last six games; they split last four meetings played here. BG won its last eight games, with only one of the wins by more than six points, after a home loss to Kent in their MAC opener; Falcons won all four MAC road games, winning by 1-6-3-9 points. CMU is 5-2 inn MAC after a 5-6 pre-conference mark; Chippewas won three of four MAC home games, with only loss to Buffalo. CMU is forcing turnovers 21.2% of time in MAC play (#2). MAC home favorites of 4 or fewer points are 4-8 ATS.
Rutgers is 7-4 in Big 14, losing last game by 6 to Michigan at MSG; Scarlet Knights are 1-4 in true road games this season, with lone win Jan 3 at Nebraska- they lost last two away games, by 3 at Illinois, 5 at Iowa. Maryland won its last four games; they’re 7-3 in Big 14, winning all five home games, last four by 7+ points. Terps are experience team #282 whose bench is playing minutes #337, which could be a problem in March. Maryland is 7-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 games, winning all four meetings here (2-2 ATS). Big 14 home favorites of 7+ points are 7-14 ATS.
Ohio State won its last two games, allowing 59 points in both, after a 1-6 skid; they’re 4-6 in Big 14, 1-4 on road, with lone win by 12 at Northwestern. Michigan won its last two games after a 1-5 skid; they’re 4-6 in Big 14, losing last two home games, to Penn State/Illinois. Wolverines are shooting 54.2% inside arc, only 29.1% on arc in Big 14 tilts. Michigan-OSU split last eight meetings; Buckeyes lost six of last seven visits to Ann Arbor, losing last two by 12-16. Favorites covered five of last seven series games. Big 14 home faves of 4 or fewer points are 8-5-1 ATS.
Virginia Tech won its last six games with Georgia Tech, winning last three visits here, by 1-20-3 points. Underdogs covered five of last six series games. Hokies lost last three games, scoring 60 ppg; they’re 5-6 in ACC, 3-3 on road, losing last two road games, at BC/Miami. VT gets 43.1% of their points on arc, #4 in country. Yellow Jackets lost four of last five games, are 4-7 in ACC, 1-4 at home, with only win over NC State. GT is turning ball over 22.4% of time (#326), making only 28.7% of their 3’s (#333). ACC home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 7-10 ATS.
Michigan State split its last six games after a 13-3 start; Spartans are 8-3 in Big 14, 5-0 at home, with al five wins by 12+ points. MSU doesn’t force lot of turnovers, but their eFG% defense is #4 in country. Penn State won its last four games, is 6-4 in Big 14, winning last two road games, at Michigan/Nebraska. Nittany Lions allowed 58.7 ppg in their last three games; their eFG% defense is #25 in country. MSU won 10 of last 11 games with Penn State; Lions lost last dozen games in East Lansing. Big 14 home favorites of 7+ points are 7-14 ATS.
Home side won seven of last eight Texas Tech-Oklahoma games; Sooners lost their last four visits to Lubbock, by 2-8-10-7 points. Favorites are 5-0-1 ATS in last six series games. Oklahoma won three of last five games; they’re 4-4 in Big X, losing last three road games, by 13-4-8 points. Sooners are experience team #238 whose bench plays minutes #320. Tech lost three of last four games, losing to Kentucky/Kansas by total of five points; Red Raiders are experience team #292 that forces turnovers 23.6% of time (#18). Big X home favorites of 5+ points are 11-6 ATS.
Xavier lost five of last seven games, but they won at Seton Hall Saturday; Musketeers are 3-6 in Big East, 1-3 on road, losing by 6-20-11 points. Xavier is shooting 30.8% on arc this year (#291), 65.1% on line (#319). DePaul lost eight of its last nine games after starting season 12-1; Blue Demons are 0-4 in Big East road games, losing by 7-4-7-4 points. DePaul is shooting 27.2% on arc, turning ball over 20.5% of time in Big East. Xavier won nine of last ten games with DePaul, winning its last four visits to Chicago. Big East home faves of 3 or fewer points are 3-7 ATS.
Colorado State scored 1.30 ppp in its 86-68 home win over Fresno State Jan 22; they were 9-18 on arc, shot 56% inside arc. Teams split last six series games; Rams lost their last four visits to Fresno, all by 11+ points. CSU won seven of its last night games, is 7-4 in Mountain West, 2-3 on road, winning at San Jose/Air Force- they also have a triple OT win at a good Tulsa team. Fresno is 4-7 in MW, 2-3 at home, beating San Jose/New Mexico. Bulldogs are scoring 39.6% of their points on arc (#15). Mountain West single digit road favorites are 9-6-1 ATS.
Kentucky won its last 13 games with Mississippi State; Bulldogs lost their last six games in Rupp Arena, last two by 13-21 points. MSU won five of its last six games, but four of those wins were at home; Bulldogs are 5-3 in SEC, 1-2 on road, losing by 21 at Alabama, 1 at LSU- they won by 7 at Florida. Bulldogs are rebounding 39.9% of their own missed shots, #2 in country. Kentucky won eight of last ten games, losing last game at Auburn; Wildcats are 6-2 in SEC, winning all four home games, by 9+ points. SEC home favorites of 6+ points are 9-11 ATS.
Texas A&M won eight of last ten games with Missouri; teams split last four. Tigers lost four of their last five visits to College Station. Missouri lost five of its last six games, with lone win over Georgia; Tigers are 2-6 in SEC, 0-4 on road, with all four losses by 12+ points. Mizzou is turning ball over 21.3% of time (#305), making only 30.7% on arc (#292). A&M lost four of its last six games; they’re 4-4 in SEC, losing last three home games by 2-14-11 points; Aggies are shooting only 25.8% on arc (#350)- their eFG% is #340- they’re turning ball over 21.2% of time (#301).
601TENNESSEE -602 ALABAMA
ALABAMA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a combined score of 155 points or more in the current season.
603N ILLINOIS -604 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.
605BALL ST -606 KENT ST
KENT ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.
607W MICHIGAN -608 MIAMI OHIO
MIAMI OHIO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
609AUBURN -610 ARKANSAS
AUBURN is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games since 1997.
611MONMOUTH -612 FAIRFIELD
FAIRFIELD is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses in the current season.
613BUFFALO -614 E MICHIGAN
BUFFALO is 34-16 ATS (16.4 Units) as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick since 1997.
615BOWLING GREEN -616 C MICHIGAN
C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
617DUKE -618 BOSTON COLLEGE
DUKE is 49-31 ATS (14.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game since 1997.
619MASSACHUSETTS -620 RHODE ISLAND
RHODE ISLAND is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.
621RUTGERS -622 MARYLAND
MARYLAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing =45% with a defense of =72% of their attempts in the current season.
637MISSOURI -638 TEXAS A&M
TEXAS A&M is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
639BOISE ST -640 WYOMING
WYOMING is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.
641AIR FORCE -642 NEVADA
AIR FORCE is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.
NCAAB
Dunkel
Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech
Game 625-626
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
59.032
Georgia Tech
64.861
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Tech
by 6
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Tech
by 2
130
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Tech
(-2); Over
Duke @ Boston College
Game 617-618
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Duke
76.139
Boston College
57.018
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 19
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 15
145
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(-15); Under
Rutgers @ Maryland
Game 621-622
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Rutgers
69.969
Maryland
72.411
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maryland
by 2 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Maryland
by 7 1/2
131
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+7 1/2); Over
Ohio State @ Michigan
Game 623-624
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Ohio State
69.802
Michigan
67.352
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 2 1/2
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 2 1/2
136
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(+2 1/2); Under
Tennessee @ Alabama
Game 601-602
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
60.397
Alabama
68.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 8
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 5 1/2
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-5 1/2); Under
Auburn @ Arkansas
Game 609-610
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
68.830
Arkansas
67.624
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 1
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas
by 1
143
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(+1); Over
Ball State @ Kent State
Game 605-606
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
57.305
Kent State
55.970
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ball State
by 1 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kent State
by 4 1/2
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(+4 1/2); Over
Northern Illinois @ Toledo
Game 603-604
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
48.641
Toledo
57.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 9
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 6 1/2
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-6 1/2); Under
Monmouth @ Fairfield
Game 611-612
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Monmouth
52.003
Fairfield
46.492
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Monmouth
by 5 1/2
123
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fairfield
by 1
130 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Monmouth
(+1); Under
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan
Game 615-616
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
52.045
Central Michigan
56.640
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 4 1/2
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 1
157
Dunkel Pick:
Central Michigan
(-1); Over
Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan
Game 613-614
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
57.138
Eastern Michigan
48.262
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 9
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 4
141
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-4); Over
Western Michigan @ Miami-OH
Game 607-608
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Western Michigan
48.598
Miami-OH
48.643
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
Even
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-OH
by 5 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(+5 1/2); Under
Massachusetts @ Rhode Island
Game 619-620
February 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Massachusetts
47.028
Rhode Island
66.653
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rhode Island
by 19 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rhode Island
by 16
147
Dunkel Pick:
Rhode Island
(-16); Under
Penn State @ Michigan State
Game 627-628
February 4, 2020 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
66.673
Michigan State
79.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 13 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 8 1/2
143 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-8 1/2); Over
Xavier @ DePaul
Game 631-632
February 4, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Xavier
68.190
DePaul
61.866
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Xavier
by 6 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
DePaul
by 1
137
Dunkel Pick:
Xavier
(+1); Over
Mississippi State @ Kentucky
Game 635-636
February 4, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi State
71.425
Kentucky
67.705
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi State
by 3 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 6 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi State
(+6 1/2); Over
Missouri @ Texas A&M
Game 637-638
February 4, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
57.155
Texas A&M
60.130
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 3
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
Pick
124 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
Over
Colorado State @ Fresno State
Game 633-634
February 4, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Colorado State
63.857
Fresno State
54.697
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado State
by 9
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fresno State
by 1
143
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado State
(+1); Under
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech
Game 929-630
February 4, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
66.227
Texas Tech
70.160
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 4
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Tech
by 9
137
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma
(+9); Under
Boise State @ Wyoming
Game 639-640
February 4, 2020 @ 10:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
64.340
Wyoming
48.371
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 16
127
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 10
133 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-10); Under
Air Force @ Nevada
Game 641-642
February 4, 2020 @ 11:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
51.749
Nevada
60.179
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
by 8 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 11
155 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Air Force
(+11); Under