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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, March 12
Tuesday’s 5 interesting games
Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
Oklahoma State vs Central Florida
Oklahoma State (12-19, 4-14)
KenPom rating: 107
Tempo: 206
Experience: 180
Continuity: 277
OSU lost last five games, giving up 80.4 ppg
Cowboys are turning ball over 18.8% of time (#295)
OSU has #237 eFG% defense in country.
Cowboys are 5-4 in their last four Big X tournaments.
OSU is 3-16 vs top 100 teams.
Central Florida (30-3, 17-3)
KenPom rating: 61
Tempo: 124
Experience: 116
Continuity: 334
UCF split its last six games SU.
Knights have #31 eFG% defense in country.
Knights are forcing turnovers 20.6% of time (#29)
UCF went WL in five of its last six conference tourneys,
This is their first year in the Big X tournament.
Knights are 11-2 vs teams outside the top 100.
UCF (+3) won 77-71 at Oklahoma State 10 days ago.
That was teams’ first meeting as Big X rivals.
CAA tournament (@ Washington DC)
Stony Brook vs Charleston (-4.5)
Stony Brook (20-14, 13-8)
KenPom rating: 173
Tempo: 163
Experience: 35
Continuity: 211
Stony Brook won four in row, six of last seven games.
Seawolves are playing 4th night in row.
Stony Brook’s PG played 39-45-40 minutes last three nights.
Seawolves are shooting 48.8% inside arc (#248)
Seawolves are 4-1 in first two CAA tournaments.
Last time Stony Brook was in NCAA’s: 2016.
Seawolves are 3-9 vs teams ranked in top 125.
Charleston (26-7, 17-3)
KenPom rating: 99
Tempo: 56
Experience: 219
Continuity: 251
Charleston won its last 11 games (5-1 ATS last six).
Cougars are playing for third night in a row.
Charleston played only one guy more than 27:00 Monday.
Charleston has #90 eFG% in the country.
Cougars are 12-7 vs teams ranked in the top 200.
Charleston is 10-4 in last 6+ CAA tourneys (won it in ’18, ‘23)
Five of Cougars’ last six wins were by 11+ points.
Charleston is 3-0 vs Stony Brook in CAA games, by 6-20-22 points.
Cougars (-6.5) won 93-87 at Stony Brook January 6.
Stony Brook led that game by 15 in the first half.
Horizon tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Milwaukee vs Oakland
Milwaukee (20-14, 15-8)
KenPom rating: 223
Tempo: 54
Experience: 325
Continuity: 123
Milwaukee won its last six games, scoring 86.8 ppg.
Milwaukee was down 15 in first half Monday, won 82-75.
Panthers played four guys 31:00+ Monday.
Panthers are #321 team on defensive boards.
Panthers are #17 team on offensive boards.
Last time Milwaukee won this tournament: 2014.
Panthers are 9-10 vs teams ranked in top 200.
Oakland (22-11, 17-5)
KenPom rating: 138
Tempo: 232
Experience: 108
Continuity: 111
Oakland won 16 of its last 19 games.
Grizzlies played five guys 34:00+ Monday.
Oakland is 9-3 in games decided by 6 or less points.
Last time Oakland was in NCAAs was 2011; they won Summit League.
Grizzlies are 12-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
Oakland has a kid who is 116-315 shooting 3’s, 4-8 shooting 2’s.
Oakland beat Milwaukee twice this year, by 5-4 points.
Oakland won six of last nine series games.
Summit tournament (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
Denver vs South Dakota State
Denver (17-16, 8-10)
KenPom rating: 266
Tempo: 47
Experience: 162
Continuity: 192
Denver won its last two games, after a 2-8 skid.
Denver’s two wins in this tournament were by 1-3 points.
Pioneers played four guys 30:00+ Monday.
Pioneers have #331 eFG% defense in country.
Opponents are shooting 54.5% inside arc (#339)
Denver’s last four losses were all by 14+ points.
Pioneers are 2-6 vs teams ranked in top 200.
South Dakota State (21-12, 14-4)
KenPom rating: 137
Tempo: 146
Experience: 120
Continuity: 75
South Dakota State won its last seven games, last four by 10+ points.
Jackrabbits played all five starters 31:00+ Monday.
Jackrabbits are shooting 56.1% inside arc (#17)
South Dakota State is #52 team on defensive boards.
South Dakota State has #22 eFG% in the country.
South Dakota State is 13-5 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
Jackrabbits won this tournament four of last seven years.
Home team won both meetings this season.
South Dakota State won 18 of last 19 series games.
WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s
Gonzaga (25-6, 15-2)
KenPom rating: 15
Tempo: 81
Experience: 132
Continuity: 218
Gonzaga won nine in row, 14 of last 15 games.
Zags are shooting 62.5% inside arc in WCC games.
Gonzaga has #8 eFG% in the country.
Gonzaga has #27 eFG% defense in the country.
Zags are 8-5 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
Gonzaga is 42-4 in its last 46 WCC tourney games.
Zags aren’t deep; they played four guys 36:00+ Monday.
Saint Mary’s (25-7, 16-1)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 358
Experience: 176
Continuity: 33
Saint Mary’s won 17 of its last 18 games (7-2 ATS last nine)
Opponents are shooting 43.3% inside arc (#3)
Saint Mary’s is #3 team in country on offensive boards.
Saint Mary’s is #2 team in country on defensive boards.
Gaels are 10-5 vs teams ranked in the top 125.
Saint Mary’s is 3-9 in last 12 WCC tourney games vs Gonzaga
Gaels played four starters 32:00+ last night.
Road team won both series games this season.
Gonzaga is 4-3 in last seven meetings, after a 14-2 run.