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NCAAB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Tuesday 3/2/21

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 3/2/21

 
Posted : March 2, 2021 10:06 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAB Matchups

 
Posted : March 2, 2021 10:14 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 2

Baylor @ West Virginia
Baylor (18-1, 10-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #176
— Experience: #99
— Continuity: #35
— Baylor split two games, after its 21-day pause.
— Bears are forcing turnovers 25.7% of time (#3)
— Baylor is grabbing 36.9% of its missed shots (#5).

West Virginia (17-6, 10-4)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #152
— Continuity: #34
— WVU won three in row, six of last seven games.
— Mountaineers’ last four losses were all by 5 or fewer points.
— You’re reading ************.com
— WVU is grabbing 35.4% of its missed shots (#16).

— Baylor won three of last four series games.
— Bears lost four of last five visits to Morgantown.

Xavier @ Georgetown
Xavier (13-5, 6-5)
— ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #145
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #188
— Xavier lost three of their last five games overall.
— Musketeers are shooting 55.1% inside arc (#24), has #54 eFG%.
— Xavier is 11-2 vs teams outside the top 50.

Georgetown (8-11, 6-8)
— ranked #89 by KenPom
— Tempo: #111
— Experience: #59
— Continuity: #249
— Georgetown won three of its last four games.
— Hoyas are turning ball over 22.6% of time (#323)
— Georgetown is getting 36% of its points on arc (#55) (36.3%, #63)

— Xavier won eight of last nine series games.
— Musketeers won five of last six visits here.

Illinois @ Michigan
Illinois (18-6, 14-4)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #172
— Experience: #219
— Continuity: #47
— Illinois won nine of its last ten games.
— Illini star Dosunmu (nose) isn’t expected to play here.
— Illinois is shooting 55.7% inside arc (#19)

Michigan (18-1, 13-1)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #226
— Experience: #58
— Continuity: #151
— Michigan won its last seven games, giving up 57-57 in last two.
— Michigan is shooting 39% on the arc (#11)
— Wolverines have #2 eFG% defense (#2 inside arc)

— Michigan won six of last nine series games.
— Illini lost five of last six visits to Ann Arbor.

Fresno State @ Boise State
Fresno State (10-10, 8-10)
— ranked #200 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #302
— Continuity: #301
— Fresno lost three of its last four games overall.
— Bulldogs are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#295)
— Fresno has #250 eFG% in country (#285 on arc, #185 inside arc).

Boise State (18-6, 14-5)
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #246
— Broncos split their last ten games.
— Boise is 11-0 SU at home this season.
— Broncos are #25 in country on defensive boards.

— Bulldogs lost 73-51 in Boise January 20.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Fresno lost 13 of last 15 visits to Boise (2-2 in last four)

Duke @ Georgia Tech
Duke (11-9, 9-7)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #162
— Experience: #344
— Continuity: #252
— Duke won four of its last five games.
— Blue Devils are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#38)
— Duke is getting only 13% of its points on foul line (#344)

Georgia Tech (13-8, 9-6)
— ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #122
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #9
— Tech won its last four games, giving up 63.8 ppg.
— Yellow Jackets are forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#38)
— Tech is shooting 54.5% inside arc (#35)

— Tech lost 75-68 in Durham January 26.
— Duke won last 14 series games.
— Blue Devils won last five visits here, all by 7+ points.

Indiana @ Michigan State
Indiana (12-12, 7-10)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #283
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #81
— Indiana lost its last three games, by 7-11-16 points.
— Hoosiers are shooting 48.6% inside arc (#222).
— Indiana is getting 22% of its points on foul line (#27)

Michigan State (13-10, 7-10)
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #163
— Experience: #196
— Continuity: #77
— Spartans won three of their last four games.
— Michigan State has #234 eFG% in country.
— Spartans are 6-1 last seven times they scored 66+ points.

— Spartans won 78-71 at Indiana February 20.
— Indiana is 4-3 in last seven series games.
— Hoosiers lost four of last five games in Breslin Center.

Memphis @ South Florida
Memphis (14-6, 10-3)
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #34
— Experience: #322
— Continuity: #67
— Memphis won five in row, eight of last nine games.
— Tigers have #3 eFG% defense in country.
— Memphis is turning ball over 22.5% of time (#321).

South Florida (8-10, 4-8)
— ranked #149 by KenPom
— Tempo: #270
— Experience: #139
— Continuity: #76
— USF lost five of its last six games.
— Last four home games, Bulls scored only 54.4 ppg.
— USF has #321 eFG%, shooting 42.9% inside arc (#340)

— Bulls lost 58-57 at Memphis December 29.
— Teams split last six meetings.
— Tigers won three of last four visits to Tampa.

Wisconsin @ Purdue
Wisconsin (16-9, 10-8)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #325
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #13
— Wisconsin is 4-6 in its last ten games overall.
— Badgers have won four of last six road games.
— Badgers are shooting 46.2% inside arc (#292)

Purdue (16-8, 11-6)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #274
— Experience: #328
— Continuity: #113
— Purdue won its last three games, by 10-17-21 points.
— You’re reading ************.com
— In their last three games, Boilers scored 74.3 ppg.
— Purdue is a top 40 rebounding team in country.

— Purdue won six of last eight series games.
— Badgers lost last four games in Mackey Arena, by 11-11-28-19 points.

Kentucky @ Ole Miss
Kentucky (8-14, 7-8)
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #201
— Experience: #339
— Continuity: #342
— Kentucky won three of its last four games.
— Wildcats are grabbing 33.5% of their own missed shots (#31)
— Kentucky has #301 eFG% in country (45.5% inside arc, #311)

Ole Miss (13-10, 8-8)
— ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #213
— Rebels were on 5-1 roll before losing last game, at Vandy.
— Ole Miss is shooting 28.5% inside arc (#339)
— Ole Miss is forcing turnovers 24% of time (#7)

— Kentucky won last 11 series games.
— Wildcats won last four visits to Oxford, by 13-14-23-4 points.

Horizon tournament (@ campus sites)
Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State
Fort Wayne (8-14, 7-14)
— ranked #277 by KenPom
— Tempo: #98
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #167
— Mastodons upset Green Bay in double OT Thursday.
— Fort Wayne lost nine of its last eleven games.
— Fort Wayne are turning ball over 24.2% of time (#342)
— Last four years, Mastodons went 2-4 in Summit tourney.

Cleveland State (16-7, 16-4)
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #286
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #121
— Cleveland State hasn’t played in ten days.
— Vikings won six of their last eight games.
— Cleveland State is #305 team on defensive boards.
— Last nine years, Vikings are 4-8 in Horizon tourney, 2-5 in first game.

— These teams split pair in Fort Wayne, February 19-20

Detroit @ Northern Kentucky
Detroit (12-9, 11-6)
— ranked #141 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #206
— Detroit won 11 of its last 13 games.
— Titans are shooting 39% on the arc (#12).
— Detroit has #318 eFG% defense in country.
— Detroit is 3-7 in Horizon tourney, since they won it in 2012.

Northern Kentucky (13-10, 11-7)
— ranked #187 by KenPom
— Tempo: #316
— Experience: #301
— Continuity: #171
— NKU won eight of its last ten games.
— Norse is 2-6 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Opponents are shooting 35% on arc (#244).
— NKU hasn’t played in ten days; they’ve won this tournament three of last four years.

— NKU is 8-1 vs Detroit in Horizon meetings.
— Titans are 0-4 at NKU, with all four losses by 14+ points.

Milwaukee @ Wright State
Milwaukee (9-11, 8-10)
— ranked #216 by KenPom
— Tempo: #106
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #143
— Milwaukee lost five of its last seven games.
— Opponents are shooting 37.8% on the arc (#321).
— Panthers lost five of their last seven road games.

Wright State (18-5, 16-4)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #65
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #94
— Raiders haven’t played in ten days.
— Wright State has #8 eFG% defense in country.
— Raiders won 10 of their last 11 games.
— Last five years, Wright State is 8-4 in this event, winning it in 2018.

— Wright St beat Milwaukee 92-81/92-82 in Dayton, February 12-13.
— Raiders won six of last seven series games.
— Panthers lost last four visits here, by 2-12-11-10 points.

Youngstown State @ Oakland
Youngstown State (15-11, 10-11)
— ranked #226 by KenPom
— Tempo: #207
— Experience: #198
— Continuity: #101
— Youngstown won six of its last seven D-I games.
— Penguins have #320 eFG% defense in country.
— YSU is grabbing 33.1% of its missed shots (#39)
— Youngstown is 4-7 in this event, winning twice in 2017.

Oakland (10-17, 10-10)
— ranked #207 by KenPom
— Tempo: #108
— Experience: #271
— Continuity: #271
— Oakland lost four of last six games; their last two losses were both in 2OT’s.
— Grizzlies have #338 eFG% defense in country.
— Oakland is 6-6 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Oakland went W-L in this event the last three years.

— Penguins lost 82-65/81-74 at Oakland, on January 15-16.
— Oakland won four of last five series games.
— Youngstown lost last four visits here, by 4-8-17-7 points.

 
Posted : March 2, 2021 10:15 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60755
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

601UTRGV -602 NEW MEXICO ST
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

603AKRON -604 BUFFALO
AKRON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

605TOLEDO -606 C MICHIGAN
TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.

607BAYLOR -608 W VIRGINIA
BAYLOR is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

609WAKE FOREST -610 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

611ARKANSAS -612 S CAROLINA
S CAROLINA is 40-66 ATS (-32.6 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games since 1997.

613TEXAS -614 IOWA ST
TEXAS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the current season.

615TCU -616 TEXAS TECH
TCU is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

617XAVIER -618 GEORGETOWN
GEORGETOWN is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in home games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) since 1997.

619TULSA -620 UCF
UCF is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) in home games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1997.

 
Posted : March 2, 2021 10:15 am
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