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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, March 13
Wednesday’s 5 interesting games
Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
BYU (-5.5) vs Central Florida
BYU (22-9, 10-8)
KenPom rating: 16
Tempo: 88
Experience: 133
Continuity: 28
BYU won three of its last four games.
Cougars are 5-6 ATS as a Big X favorite this year.
BYU is shooting 58.3% inside arc (#7).
Since 2007, BYU is 14-3 in its first conference tournament game.
BYU is 10-8 vs top 100 teams.
Central Florida (17-14, 8-11)
KenPom rating: 57
Tempo: 122
Experience: 116
Continuity: 334
UCF is 4-3 in its last seven games SU.
UCF is 10-4 ATS as a Big X underdog.
Knights have #27 eFG% defense in country.
Knights are forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#31)
UCF went WL in five of its last six conference tourneys.
Knights played nine guys 11:00+ yesterday.
This is their first year in the Big X tournament.
Knights are 11-2 vs teams in the top 100.
Both teams are in their first season in the Big X.
BYU beat Central Florida twice TY, 63-58/90-88
In their last meeting, BYU was 40-46 on the foul line.
Oklahoma vs TCU (-2.5)
Oklahoma (20-11, 8-10)
KenPom rating: 40
Tempo: 217
Experience: 157
Continuity: 274
Oklahoma lost five of its last seven games.
Sooners are 4-6 ATS this year as a Big X underdog.
Oklahoma has #34 eFG% defense in the country.
Oklahoma is shooting 53.8% inside arc (#50)
Since 2009, Sooners are 4-14 in the Big X tournament.
Oklahoma is 8-11 vs teams in the top 50.
TCU (20-11, 9-9)
KenPom rating: 33
Tempo: 62
Experience: 3
Continuity: 140
TCU lost four of its last six games.
Horned Frogs are 7-4 ATS as a Big X favorite this year.
TCU is forcing turnovers 20.7% of time (#28)
Horned Frogs are shooting 36.4% on arc (#49)
TCU is #25 team on offensive boards.
Horned Frogs are 6-11 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
Since 2015, TCU is 6-3 in its first Big X tournament game of a year.
Oklahoma (+4) lost 80-71 at TCU January 10.
Horned Frogs won four of last five series games.
Kansas State vs Texas (-4.5)
Kansas State (18-13, 8-10)
KenPom rating: 68
Tempo: 194
Experience: 145
Continuity: 303
K-State split its last six games SU.
Wildcats are 7-3 ATS as a Big X underdog.
K-State lost its last eight games away from home (4-4 ATS)
Wildcats are turning ball over 21.2% of time (#349).
K-State is #272 team on offensive boards.
Since 2014, K-State is 6-9 in Big X tournaments.
Wildcats are 5-10 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Texas (20-11, 9-9)
KenPom rating: 23
Tempo: 203
Experience: 4
Continuity: 154
Texas won three of its last four games.
Longhorns are 3-6 ATS as a Big X favorite.
Texas has #47 eFG% in country.
Opponents are shooting 47.3% inside arc (#53)
Longhorns are 8-10 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Texas won Big X tourney LY (from 2012-22, they were 8-9)
Texas (-9.5) beat K-State 62-56 at home February 19.
Texas won seven of last nine series games.
Big Sky tournament (@ Boise)
Montana vs Montana State
Montana (23-10, 14-6)
KenPom rating: 145
Tempo: 259
Experience: 30 (start 5 seniors)
Continuity: 37
Montana won seven of its last eight games.
Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a favorite.
Montana is shooting 55.2% inside the arc (#25)
Last six games, Grizzlies scored 79.8 ppg.
Montana is playing for third night in a row.
Last night, Montana played all 5 starters 32:00+.
Grizzlies are 17-26 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
Since 2018, Montana is 11-3 in Big Sky tourneys (last title, 2019)
Montana State (16-17, 11-9)
KenPom rating: 230
Tempo: 98
Experience: 208
Continuity: 257
Montana State won 5 of last 7 games, after an 11-15 start.
Bobcats are 8-1 ATS last nine games as an underdog.
Opponents are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#333).
Bobcats are shooting 36.8% on the arc (#35)
Montana State is 5-9 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
MSU won this event last two years; have different coach now.
Montana won both meetings this year, 87-77/88-69
Grizzlies won nine of last 12 series games.
Big West tournament (@ Henderson, NV)
Cal-Northridge vs Cal-Santa Barbara
Cal-Northridge (18-14, 9-11)
KenPom rating: 235
Tempo: 9
Experience: 220
Continuity: 236
CSUN lost five of its last six games.
Matadors are 7-6 ATS as a Big West underdog.
CSUN is turning ball over 19.3% of time (#314)
CSUN has #257 eFG% in the country.
CSUN has #64 eFG% defense in the country.
Since 2015, Matadors are 0-6 in Big West tourney.
CSUN is 13-4 vs teams ranked outside the top 200.
Cal-Santa Barbara (16-14, 9-11)
KenPom rating: 201
Tempo: 186
Experience: 241
Continuity: 157
UCSB lost six of its last nine games.
Gauchos are 4-10 ATS as a Big West favorite.
UCSB is #315 at turning ball over, #328 at forcing turnovers.
Gauchos have #52 eFG%.
UCSB won Big West tourney two of last three years.
UCSB is 9-6 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
Road team won both series games this season.
Teams split their last 12 meeting