Big Monday Tip Sheet
By Judd Hall
The Big East and Big XII dominate this week’s Big Monday schedule on ESPN with a pair of quality matchups. Both tilts feature programs that sit atop their respective leagues, while the other squads are looking to turn their seasons around. Let’s get to it…
Marquette Golden Eagles at Notre Dame Fighting Irish – 7:00 p.m. EST
--Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened the line for this contest with the Fighting Irish as three-point home favorites. They also set the total up at 156.
--Marquette (17-2 straight up, 7-6-1 against the spread) stayed perfect in Big East play by taking down the Blue Demons on Jan. 24, 79-70. While it was a good win for the Golden Eagles, they failed to cover the spread as 16 ½-point home favorites. Part of the reason for the close finish is due to DePaul shooting 75 percent from the free throw line, compared to the 58 percent Marquette shot at the charity stripe.
--Despite the discrepancy at the free throw line, the Eagles got huge efforts out of three of their best players. Jerel McNeal scored 21 points to lead his club, but he was like a glove on defense by stealing the ball six times. Lazar Hayward put up 16 points with 17 rebounds and Wesley Matthews pulled down six boards and 20 points himself.
--The Fighting Irish fought hard against Connecticut last Saturday night by trailing just 30-29 at halftime. Unfortunately for Notre Dame (12-6 SU, 4-8 ATS), Luke Harangody’s 24 points and 15 rebounds just weren’t enough as they fell to the Huskies, 69-61. Even worse for bettors is the fact that the Irish failed to cover as two-point home pups. It was the fourth straight game that they didn’t cover the number.
--Notre Dame has done well to win outright at home, posting a 9-1 record SU. Yet gamblers have been wise to fade them at the betting shops as they’ve gone just 2-3 ATS in board affairs. The ‘under’ is 3-1 for the Irish at South Bend.
--The Golden Eagles have enjoyed the road for the most part by going 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS this season. The ‘under’ is 4-2 for Marquette as well.
--This has been a decidedly one-sided battle in recent years as the Eagles are 6-3 SU and ATS since 1997. The ‘over’ is on a 5-0 run between these clubs.
Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys – 9:00 p.m. EST
--The good folks at LVSC installed the Sooners as four-point road favorites with the total coming in at 148.
--The Sooners continue to dominate the Big XII landscape by throttling Baylor as seven-point home favorites, 95-76. And to nobody’s surprise, Oklahoma (19-1 SU, 9-6 ATS) rode Blake Griffin’s coattails to this win. Griffin scored 20 points, grabbed 17 rebounds and had four assists as he continues to pad his Player of the Year resume.
--Oklahoma State (13-5 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) needed an extra period against the Cornhuskers, but they still found a way to win as a 2 ½-point road underdog, 76-74. James Anderson paced the Cowboys by scoring 18 points and eight rebounds. Something the ‘Pokes were able to do really well was spread the wealth as five of their eight players that played last Saturday scored at least 10 points.
--Oklahoma has played extremely well away from Norman this year with a 7-1 record SU and 5-3 ATS. Bettors have seen the ‘under’ go 5-2 for the Sooners on the road as well.
--The general public has seen the Cowboys play great at home as evidenced by them going 9-1 SU. The wagering public, on the other hand, have seen them go just 3-2 ATS and see the ‘under’ boast the same record in games that were on the board.
--Oklahoma State might have a more storied program; the Sooners have dominated the recent rivalry. Oklahoma has won six of the last eight games outright, covering the number in four of them with one push. The ‘under’ is on a 4-0 run in this matchup.
vegasinsider.com
(11) Marquette (17-2, 7-6-1 ATS) at (19) Notre Dame (12-6, 4-8 ATS)
The Golden Eagles take their nine-game winning streak into South Bend, Ind., for a showdown with struggling Notre Dame, which just saw its NCAA-best 45-game home winning streak halted and is facing its fourth consecutive ranked Big East opponent.
Marquette has rattled off nine in a row (5-2-1 ATS) and is perfect in Big East action at 6-0 (4-2 ATS). The Eagles are coming off Saturday’s 79-70 win over Depaul, but came up well short as 16-point home favorites. The last time they took to the road in conference play was Jan. 17 when they got a 91-82 win at Providence as a one-point chalk.
The Fighting Irish have dropped three straight games for the first time in three years and are in the midst of an 0-4 ATS run. After back-to-back double-digit road losses to No. 23 Louisville and No. 8 Syracuse, Notre Dame on Saturday fell to UConn 69-61 as two-point home ‘dogs, the team’s first loss in South Bend since February 2005. Mike Bray’s squad shot a season-low 33 percent from the field against UConn and essentially lost the game when the Huskies went on a 13-1 run late in the second half. The Irish (3-4, 2-5 ATS in conference) are giving up a whopping 81.1 ppg in Big East play, but just 62.5 ppg on their home court.
Marquette won two of the three matchups last season (3-0 ATS) and knocked the Irish out of the Big East postseason tournament with an 89-79 quarterfinals win as a 1½-point favorite at Madison Square Garden. Last season in South Bend, the Irish prevailed 86-83, but failed to cash as 4½-point favorites. The Eagles have covered in five of the last seven in this rivalry.
Marquette enters this one on ATS streaks of 10-4 on the road, 12-5 in conference play, 5-2 on Mondays, 5-1 against teams with a winning record and 9-4 on the road against teams with a winning home mark. Notre Dame is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven on Monday.
For the Golden Eagles, the over is on runs of 43-21-2 on the road, 29-14 in Big East play and 42-17-2 against teams with a winning home record. The Irish have gone over the total in 22 of their last 30 conference games, eight of their last 11 Monday contests and five straight against teams with a winning record. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is on a 5-0 streak overall and 5-0 run in South Bend.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
(6) Oklahoma (19-1, 9-6 ATS) at Oklahoma State (13-5, 5-6-1 ATS)
The Sooners put their perfect Big 12 record on the line as they travel Stillwater, Okla., to face rival Oklahoma State.
Oklahoma improved to 5-0 in conference play (4-1 ATS) with Saturday’s 95-76 home rout of Baylor, easily cashing as a seven-point chalk. It’s been all about defense for the Sooners, as they limit the opposition to 64.8 points per game and 37.7 percent shooting while scoring 80 points per contest (48 percent). Prior to Saturday, they had allowed 64 points or less in six straight games, and they’re yielding just 63.2 ppg (36.4 percent) in conference play.
Oklahoma State has been involved in three straight thrillers, losing at Baylor 98-92 in overtime on Jan. 17 as a 5½-point underdog, then losing at home to Missouri 97-95 as a one-point favorite before finally coming out on top at Nebraska on Saturday, winning 76-74 in overtime as a 2½-point pup. The Cowboys (2-2 SU and ATS in conference) are 9-1 SU in front of the home crowd, where they average 91 ppg on 48 percent shooting, but just 3-2 ATS in lined action.
The Sooners have won three straight (2-1 ATS) in this rivalry and five of the last six (3-2-1 ATS). They went to Stillwater last season and earned a 68-56 victory as five-point ‘dogs. In fact, the road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six series clashes.
Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in its last five overall, but otherwise is on negative ATS trends of 17-35-2 on the road, 18-40-2 on the highway against teams with a winning home record and 3-7-1 on Mondays. Oklahoma State is on positive ATS runs of 9-3-1 in Big 12 play, 4-1 on Mondays and 4-0 at home against teams with a winning road record.
The Sooners have topped the total in five of their last six after a spread-cover, but they are on “under” streaks of 9-2-1 on the road, 9-3 in conference play, 4-0 against teams with a winning record and 10-2-1 on the road against a team with a winning home mark. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has easily topped the total in three straight games, but the under for the Cowboys is on stretches of 16-6 on Mondays, 4-1 after a straight-up win and 4-0 against teams with a winning record. Also, the under has been the play in the last four meetings in the Bedlam Series.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Gametimepicks.com
MARQUETTE (17 - 2) at NOTRE DAME (12 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 78-51 ATS (+21.9 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 3-1 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-2 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
AKRON (10 - 8) at YOUNGSTOWN ST (6 - 12)
Top Trends for this game.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
AKRON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 2-0 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 2-0 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA (19 - 1) at OKLAHOMA ST (13 - 5)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 2-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 3-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UNC-GREENSBORO (3 - 14) at FURMAN (2 - 15)
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
FURMAN is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games this season.
FURMAN is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
FURMAN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
FURMAN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FURMAN is 3-2 against the spread versus UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-2 straight up against FURMAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS (7 - 12) at NIAGARA (14 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
NIAGARA is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NIAGARA is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NIAGARA is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
NIAGARA is 2-1 against the spread versus CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
NIAGARA is 3-1 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IONA (10 - 10) at SIENA (15 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
IONA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 2-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 4-0 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD (12 - 8) at MANHATTAN (10 - 9)
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
FAIRFIELD is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
MANHATTAN is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 2-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 2-2 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ELON (5 - 11) at WOFFORD (7 - 9)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ELON is 3-1 against the spread versus WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
ELON is 3-1 straight up against WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
THE CITADEL (10 - 10) at SAMFORD (10 - 8)
Top Trends for this game.
SAMFORD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAMFORD is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in January games this season.
THE CITADEL is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
THE CITADEL is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
THE CITADEL is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
THE CITADEL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games this season.
THE CITADEL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games this season.
THE CITADEL is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CANISIUS vs. NIAGARA
Canisius is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Canisius is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Niagara is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Canisius
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Niagara's last 5 games when playing at home against Canisius
ELON vs. WOFFORD
Elon is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Elon's last 5 games
Wofford is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Wofford is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
FAIRFIELD vs. MANHATTAN
Fairfield is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Fairfield is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Manhattan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Fairfield
Manhattan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Fairfield
MARQUETTE vs. NOTRE DAME
Marquette is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Marquette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 5 games when playing at home against Marquette
Notre Dame is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Marquette
UNC GREENSBORO vs. FURMAN
UNC Greensboro is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
UNC Greensboro is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Furman is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against UNC Greensboro
Furman is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
AKRON vs. YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Akron is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Akron is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Youngstown State is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Youngstown State's last 6 games
IONA vs. SIENA
Iona is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Iona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Siena is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iona
Siena is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Iona
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO STATE
Detroit is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Detroit is 1-21 SU in its last 22 games on the road
No trends available
THE CITADEL vs. SAMFORD
The Citadel is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The Citadel is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Samford is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Samford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
OKLAHOMA vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
CS BAKERSFIELD vs. OREGON STATE
No trends available
Oregon State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games
Tips and Trends
#10 Marquette at #19 Notre Dame
Marquette: The Golden Eagles bring a nine-game winning streak to South Bend and have won eight of the last 11 meetings with Notre Dame. Last season, Marquette averaged 88 points in three meetings with the Irish and shot nearly 45 percent from 3-point range (33-of-74). The Golden Eagles have also limited opponents to just 65.6 points per game during their winning streak. “We don’t have to temper our excitement, we just have continue to work hard,” Marquette head coach Buzz Williams said. “It’s a big game. It’s Notre Dame. It’s Marquette. We will be ready to play.”
Golden Eagles are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
The OVER is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 77
Notre Dame (-2.5, O/U 155.5): The Fighting Irish will be looking to get back on track after seeing their 45-game home winning streak end on Saturday with a 69-61 loss to Connecticut. This despite another impressive performance from reigning Big East Player of the Year Luke Harangody, who totaled 24 points and 15 rebounds for his eighth straight double-double. Unfortunately for him, Notre Dame's other four starters scored just 22 points between them on 8-for-39 shooting (21 percent). “(Three) losses in a row in the Big East, that’s what everyone’s focusing on right now in this locker room,” said Irish senior guard Kyle McAlarney, who sank three 3-pointers but missed his other 12 shots from the field. “We need to win.”
Notre Dame is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games overall.
The OVER is 8-3 in Notre Dame's last 11 Monday games.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 79
#5 Oklahoma at Oklahoma State
Oklahoma (-2.5, O/U 152.5): Sooners forward Blake Griffin leads the nation with 16 double-doubles and got his latest in a 95-76 rout of Baylor on Saturday. The 6-foot-10 Griffin totaled 20 points and 17 rebounds and owns the Big 12 record for games of at least 20 points and 15 rebounds with nine. He rolled his left ankle late in the first half against the Bears but said he will be ready for the latest game in the "Bedlam Series" against Oklahoma State. The Sooners have won five of the last six meetings.
Oklahoma is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 Monday games.
The UNDER is 9-2-1 in Oklahoma's last 12 road games.
Key Injuries - F Blake Griffin (ankle) is probable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 80 (Side Play of the Day)
Oklahoma State: The Cowboys will likely have a lot of trouble matching up with Griffin since the tallest member of their rotation is just 6-8 after 6-11 center Ibrahima Thomas decided to transfer just seven games into the season. Oklahoma State head coach Travis Ford has played 6-11 Scott Warner a total of five minutes in four games, so Malcoln Kirkland will need to step up. Ford usually likes to play three and four guards in the same lineup but may have to switch gears in order to deal with Griffin.
Oklahoma State is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games vs.Big 12.
The UNDER is 16-6 in Oklahoma State's last 22 Monday games.
Key Injuries - C Ibrahima Thomas (transferred) is OUT.
PROJECTED SCORE: 72
NCAAB Today
Notes on today's games.
Home side won five of last six Marquette-Notre Dame games, with the Eagles losing last two visits here by 12-3 points. Marquette beat Irish in Big East tourney by 10 in last meeting. ND had 45-game home winning streak snapped by UConn Saturday, their third straight loss. Irish gave up average of 83 ppg in those three losses.
Akron is 2-3 in last five games, with two OT losses and third by 2 pts. Youngstown snapped three-game skid by upsetting Cleveland State Saturday, in front of biggest home crowd in six years. Underdog covered Penguins' last four home games. Horizon underdogs are 18-20 vs spread in non-league games. MAC favorites are 16-15, 3-2 on road.
Oklahoma won five of last six Bedlam games against Oklahoma St; they are 2-1 in last three visits to Stillwater, with underdog 3-1 vs the spread in last four series games here, 4-1 in last five overall. Sooners are 5-0 in Big 12 (4-1 vs spread), winning road games by 8 at Kansas State and 6 at Texas A&M. Two of State's last three games went into overtime.
Niagara is 9-1 in last ten games vs Canisius, winning last five played here by 3-12-7-18-24 points; three of the nine wins were in OT. Niagara lost by 17 at Siena Saturday, their third loss in last four games; Canisius won at Marist Friday; they've covered last five games, won two of last three, after 0-6 start in MAAC. Griffins are 3-1 as a road underdog.
Elon snapped five-game skid with double-OT upset win vs Chattanooga Saturday; they're 2-6 in SoCon, 0-3 on road (2-1 as road dog), losing on road by 24-7-15 points. Underdog is 3-0 vs spread in Wofford's SoCon home games, with all three games decided by five or less pts. Southern Conference home favorites are 14-17 vs spread.
Siena won last five games vs Iona, winning four of last five played here, with wins by 3-3-1-5 points. Saints are 9-0 in MAAC, winning their last two games by 16-17 points- they're 1-4 as home favorite, winning home games by 17-6-13-10-17 points. Gaels won three in row, five of last six games, losing only by point at Rider. MAAC home favorites are 10-15.
Six of last seven Fairfield-Manhattan games were decided by five points or less; Stags lost four of last five visits here, with losses by 20-8-1-4 points, but they swept Manhattan LY, by 5-12 pts. Jaspers lost three of last four games; five of their last six were decided by six or less pts. Stags lost last two games by 16-17 points, after 5-2 start in MAAC.
NC-Greensboro is 2-6 in SoCon, but both wins came on road; their only road loss was by 5 at Western Carolina. Furman is 0-8 in SoCon, 1-7 vs spread; they're 1-3 as a home underdog, losing home games by 5-11-5-7 points. Southern Conference home underdogs are 9-8 vs spread. Furman is 17-61 from the arc in their last four games.