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NCAAB News and Notes Monday 2/2

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(@blade)
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CONNECTICUT (20 - 1) at LOUISVILLE (17 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
LOUISVILLE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BUTLER (19 - 1) at WI-GREEN BAY (17 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
WI-GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
WI-GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
WI-GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all home games this season.
WI-GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
WI-GREEN BAY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WI-GREEN BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.
WI-GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
BUTLER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
BUTLER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games this season.
BUTLER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
BUTLER is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WI-GREEN BAY is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WI-GREEN BAY is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUTLER is 3-2 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER is 5-0 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS (17 - 4) at BAYLOR (15 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

W CAROLINA (11 - 9) at DAVIDSON (18 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
W CAROLINA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
W CAROLINA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
W CAROLINA is 18-41 ATS (-27.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
W CAROLINA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 53-20 ATS (+31.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 3-1 against the spread versus W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 4-0 straight up against W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SIENA (17 - 5) at ST PETERS (6 - 15)
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ST PETERS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a conference game this season.
SIENA is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
SIENA is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST PETERS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 4-1 against the spread versus ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 5-0 straight up against ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MANHATTAN (11 - 10) at MARIST (7 - 16)
Top Trends for this game.
MANHATTAN is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 3-2 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 3-2 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


APPALACHIAN ST (8 - 11) at GA SOUTHERN (7 - 12)

Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 2-2 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 3-1 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NIAGARA (16 - 6) at IONA (10 - 12)
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NIAGARA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NIAGARA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NIAGARA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NIAGARA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NIAGARA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NIAGARA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 3-2 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
NIAGARA is 4-1 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : February 2, 2009 9:23 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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CONNECTICUT vs. LOUISVILLE
Connecticut is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 6 games at home

MANHATTAN vs. MARIST
Manhattan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Manhattan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Marist is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Manhattan
Marist is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Manhattan

SIENA vs. SAINT PETER'S
Siena is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Siena is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Saint Peter's is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Siena
Saint Peter's is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Siena

WESTERN CAROLINA vs. DAVIDSON
Western Carolina is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Davidson
Western Carolina is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Davidson
Davidson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Davidson is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

APPALACHIAN STATE vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Appalachian State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia Southern
Appalachian State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Georgia Southern is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

NIAGARA vs. IONA
Niagara is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Iona
Niagara is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iona
Iona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iona's last 7 games

BUTLER vs. WISC-GREEN BAY
Butler is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Butler's last 7 games
Wisc-Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Butler
Wisc-Green Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Butler

KANSAS vs. BAYLOR
Kansas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Baylor is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas
Baylor is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. ARKANSAS STATE
Western Kentucky is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Western Kentucky
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Western Kentucky

 
Posted : February 2, 2009 9:26 am
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Posts: 318493
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Tips and Trends

#2 Connecticut at #7 Louisville

UConn: The Huskies are expected to be the new #1 team in the country by the time this game tips off, but that isn't necessarily a good thing. There have been three different #1 teams in the last three weeks, and the last two lost in their very next games. In fact, Pitt was also #1 before leaving Louisville with its first loss back on January 17th. “You don’t want to be No. 1 for a day,” UConn head coach Jim Calhoun said. “It’s just a number that goes by quickly. But if there are 343 teams playing in the country and at some point in the season, especially 21 games into the season - it’s nice. No more. No less.”

UConn is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 Monday games.
The UNDER is 7-3 in UConn's last 10 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 67

Louisville (-3, O/U 136): The Cardinals believe they are at their best when challenged by elite competition, and that's exactly what they'll get when the Huskies come to town. UConn is a perfect 10-0 away from home this season and 4-2 all-time vs. Louisville. The Cardinals did not handle a 20-point halftime lead well against West Virginia on Saturday, settling for an eventual 69-63 victory. “We fall in love with ourselves too much,” Louisville head coach Rick Pitino said. “In the long run, it’s probably better we had a war down the stretch.”

Louisville is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall.
The OVER is 3-1 in Louisville's last 4 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 70

Kansas at Baylor

Kansas (-1, O/U 153):

Kansas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games overall.
The OVER is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Key Injuries - C Cole Aldrich (nose) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 80 (Side Play of the Day)

Baylor:

Baylor is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games overall.
The OVER is 24-7 in Baylor's last 31 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 73

 
Posted : February 2, 2009 9:32 am
(@blade)
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NCAAB Today

Notes on today's games.

Favorite is 4-1 vs spread in last four Louisville-UConn games; teams are 1-1 in last two played here. Huskies won last nine games, are 2-0 as dog this season, winning at West Va, Gonzaga- in their last four games, they took 101 foul shots, to 52 for opponents. Cardinals are 8-0 in Big East, 7-1 vs spread, winning home games by 14-6-26-6 points.

Butler (-8) beat Green Bay 68-59 11 days ago, game they trailed 25-22 at half; Bulldogs are 10-0 in Horizon, 7-2-1 vs spread, winning games on road by 2-8-13-23-7 points- this is Butler's first road game in 16 days. Green Bay won six of last seven games; they're 5-0 at home in Horizon games- they're 39-71 from 3-point arc in their last three games.

Kansas is 6-0 in Big 12, 5-1 vs spread, winning road games at Colorado by 17, Iowa State by 15, Nebraska by 6; Saturday was first time they've shot less than 51% in Big 12 play this season. Baylor lost three games in a row by 19-6-17 points- they're 1-4 in Big 12 if they score less than 83 points. Bears are 12-43 from the arc in their last two games.

Davidson is 11-0 in Southern Conference, 2-3 as home favorite, winning by 5-21-15-40-23 points at home- they covered four of last five games overall. Wildcats held last five opponents under 39%. Western Carolina is 3-4 in last seven games; none of their SoCon losses were by more than 14 points- they're 0-2 vs spread as an underdog this season.

Siena is 11-0 in MAAC, covering three of last four games; they're 1-3 as MAAC road favorite, winning away games by 7-4-6-16 pts. Saints (-23) beat St Peter's 65-52 at home Jan 4 (was 33-19 at half). Peacocks are 8-2 vs spread in last ten games, but lost four of last five- they're 3-2 as home underdog, losing home games by 7-7-11 points.

Marist lost last five games, with two OT losses and another by five pts; they're 18-61 from arc in last three games, and 0-4 as MAAC home fave; underdog is 6-0 vs spread in their home games, winning by 1-6-18, but losing last three, two in OT. Manhattan is 1-2 as MAAC road dog, with road losses by 3 at Rider, 19 at Niagara, 20 at Iona.

Georgia Southern is 4-1 in its SoCon home games, winning by 7-4-21-16 points, losing only to 11-0 Davidson; they went 15-28 from arc in their last game, after being 0-15 game before that. Appalachian State lost six of last eight games; they're 4-1 vs spread on road, but lost three on road by 4-12-8 points. ASU is 25-60 (41.8%) from arc in last three games.

Iona (+9.5) upset Niagara 71-65 on road Jan 15, making 25-40 from foul line (Eagles were 16-19)- Niagara shot just 37%. Gaels had won five of six games, before losing last two games by combined total of four points. Iona is 2-3 as MAAC home favorite. Niagara won three of its last four games, is 3-2 on MAAC road- they're 5-0 holding teams under 71 pts.

Arkansas State hasn't played in nine days because of ice-related issues in Arkansas; they're 4-1 at home in Sun Belt, winning games by 20-15-3-2 points, losing only to South Alabama. ASU is 13-52 from arc in last four games. Western Kentucky rallied from 34-25 halftime deficit to win fifth game in six tries Saturday against North Texas.

 
Posted : February 2, 2009 9:33 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Big Monday Breakdown
By Brian Edwards

**Connecticut at Louisville**

--These are two serious national-championship contenders that will collide Monday at Freedom Hall. The calendar has hit February so it’s not too early to start thinking about No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament. The Huskies are already a consideration for a top seed and would become a big-time favorite with a win in this spot, while the Cardinals would also become a part of the conversation with a victory.

--Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Louisville (17-3 straight up, 12-8 against the spread) as a 2 1/2-point favorite with a total of 138 1/2.

--U of L has won nine consecutive games, posting a 7-2 spread record during that surge. The Cardinals are coming off Saturday’s 69-63 home win over West Virginia as 6 ½-point home favorites. Jerry Smith had a team-high 20 points for the winners, who had to overcome 26 turnovers in the non-covering victory.

--UConn (20-1 SU, 9-7 ATS) is also sporting a nine-game winning streak. The Huskies are 6-3 ATS over that nine-game stretch. They pounded Providence by a 94-61 count Saturday as 13-point home favorites. Hasheem Thabeet dominated with a triple-double, finishing with 15 points, 11 rebounds and 10 blocked shots. A.J. Price added 19 points, while Stanley Robinson had 18.

--Thabeet is third in the nation in blocked shots, swatting away 4.0 per game. He also averages 13.0 points and 10.1 rebounds per contest. Thabeet’s partner down low is power forward Jeff Adrien, who also averages a double-double with a 14.1 points per game average to go with 10.0 boards per contest.

--Rick Pitino’s team has won 12 of 13 home games, compiling an 8-5 ATS mark in the process. The Cards’ lone home loss came to UNLV back on New Year’s Eve.

--The catalyst for U of L is forward Terrence Williams, who averages 12.8 points, 9.3 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game. Earl Clark leads the Cards in scoring at a 13.5 PPG clip.

--Marquette and Louisville are tied for the Big East lead with identical 8-0 records in league play. UConn is right there also with a 9-1 mark in Big East action.

--The ‘under’ is 10-8 overall for the Cards, 6-6 in their home assignments. Meanwhile, UConn has seen the ‘under’ go 9-6 overall.

--Since 2000, UConn has won four of six head-to-head meetings against Louisville. However, the Cards are 3-0-1 ATS in the last four encounters.

--ESPN will provide television coverage at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Kansas at Baylor**

--LVSC opened this game as a pick 'em with a total of 151 1/2.

--Kansas (17-4 SU, 10-5 ATS) has won six in a row since losing at Michigan St. The Jayhawks saw their five-game ATS winning streak halted Saturday when they barely got past Colorado 66-61 as 22-point home ‘chalk.’ With Sherron Collins struggling through a 4-of-16 shooting performance, Cole Aldrich paced KU with 15 points and 13 rebounds.

--Baylor (15-6 SU, 6-7 ATS) could really use a resume-building ‘W’ in this spot. The Bears have lost three in a row both SU and ATS and still have plenty of work to do in order to solidify an NCAA Tournament berth. They are off Saturday’s 89-72 defeat at Missouri as 6 ½-point underdogs.

--Bill Self’s squad has been real nasty at home, winning 14 of its 15 games while taking the cash at a 7-2 ATS clip.

--Kansas is unbeaten in six conference games, while Baylor has a shaky 3-4 ledger in Big 12 play.

--KU has won seven in a row over Baylor, but the Bears are 4-3 ATS in those meetings.

--The ‘over’ is 8-7 for KU, 5-4 in its home games at Allen Fieldhouse. Meanwhile, Baylor has seen the ‘over’ hit at an 8-5 clip overall. The ‘over’ is on a 5-1 run for the Bears.

--Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

vegasinsider.com.

 
Posted : February 2, 2009 9:49 am
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