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NCAAB News and Notes Thursday 1/1

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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YOUNGSTOWN ST (3 - 8) at DETROIT (4 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TROY (5 - 8) at W KENTUCKY (7 - 4)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 3-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 4-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

S ALABAMA (8 - 5) at FLA ATLANTIC (4 - 9)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 3-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
S ALABAMA is 3-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

VILLANOVA (12 - 1) at MARQUETTE (11 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
MARQUETTE is 2-0 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DENVER (6 - 6) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

RIDER (6 - 5) at IONA (5 - 8)
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
IONA is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
IONA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 3-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 4-1 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

FAIRFIELD (8 - 4) at SIENA (8 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
SIENA is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 2-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 2-2 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

N COLORADO (5 - 8) at IDAHO ST (3 - 10)
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 82-112 ATS (-41.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 82-112 ATS (-41.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO ST is 3-1 straight up against N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : January 1, 2009 7:38 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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YOUNGSTOWN STATE vs. DETROIT
Youngstown State is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Youngstown State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games

FAIRFIELD vs. SIENA
Fairfield is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Fairfield is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Siena is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Fairfield
Siena is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Fairfield

RIDER vs. IONA
Rider is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Iona
Rider is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iona
Iona is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Iona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Rider

SOUTH ALABAMA vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
South Alabama is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
South Alabama is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games

TROY vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Troy is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Troy is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Western Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Troy
Western Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Troy

VILLANOVA vs. MARQUETTE
Villanova is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Villanova is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Marquette is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Marquette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

DENVER vs. NEW ORLEANS
Denver is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

STEPHEN F. AUSTIN vs. TEXAS TECH
No trends available
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas Tech is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games

NORTHERN COLORADO vs. IDAHO STATE
Northern Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Northern Colorado is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Idaho State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Idaho State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT vs. SEATTLE
Loyola Marymount is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Loyola Marymount is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

 
Posted : January 1, 2009 7:40 am
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NCAAB Today

Notes on today's games.

Youngstown State lost six of last seven games vs D-I teams, losing first two Horizon League games, both at home, by 11-8 points. Penguins beat Detroit twice LY, 70-66 here (+5), 55-48 at home. Titans is 1-4 in last five games vs D-I teams, also losing first two conference games, by 9-11 points, but those games were on the road.

Western Kentucky beat Troy twice LY, 94-90 on road, 92-57 here (led by 25 at half); Hilltoppers made 29-64 from arc in those two games LY. WKU is 6-4 vs D-I teams but won its conference opener 69-66 as a dog at South Alabama. Troy is 0-6 on road, losing by 12-35-17-5-13-28 pts; they're 3-4 vs spread as an underdog this season.

South Alabama beat Florida Atlantic twice LY, 66-55 here (-9), 91-74 at home (-16); Jaguars are 2-3 on road this season, winning 62-57 at FIU in their Sun Belt road opener, also beating Southern Miss in OT. Owls are 3-9, but just lost 76-69 at Kentucky Saturday; game was tied at the half. It was FAU's seventh loss in a row.

Marquette beat Villanova the last two years, 85-75 LY in Philly, 80-67 at home two years ago; Eagles are 11-2, winning last three games, one of which was 68-65 buzzer beater at NC State (-2). Villanova won its last four games and is 12-1, hammering Temple by 17 in last game Monday. Wildcats are outside Philly for first time this season.

Road team won both Denver-New Orleans games LY, as Denver won by 16 here LY (65-49, -8); UNO shot 51% from floor in both games against Pioneers LY. Denver started season 0-5, but is now 6-6, winning the last five in row- they're 0-5 on road this year. New Orleans started 0-4, but is now 4-6, beating North Texas by 6 in conference home opener.

Iona is 5-8, but they've only had three home games; Gaels lost last three games vs Rider by 15-8-5 points, but are 3-2 in last five series games in their own gym. Iona lost its first two MAAC games by 1-2 pts. Rider lost three of last four games, losing aty home to Drexel in last game, but they won their MAAC opener, 76-73 vs Manhattan.

Fairfield won three of last four games at Siena; four of last six in series were decided by six or less points. Stags won seven of last eight games, losing only at UConn last week. Siena is playing third game in five days, having won at St Joe's, Holy Cross in last two- they're 3-0 vs spread at home this year.

Idaho State won three of last four games vs Northern Colorado, but the Bears won 76-66 in last visit here; NCU beat Northern Arizona in last game, after being down 10 at half. Bears are 1-5 on road this season, with only win at Denver. Idaho State lost five of last six games, nipping Idaho by a hoop Monday- they're 0-2 as a favorite this year.

 
Posted : January 1, 2009 7:40 am
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Posts: 318493
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Topic starter
 

NCAAB Research
By Indiancowboy

Fairfield vs. Siena

Siena is a top 65 team here hosting Fairfield. This tema showed great guts defeating a top 100 team in St. Josephs on the road. Siena plays a top 140 team in the Fairfield Stags at home. Siena defeated top 240 Holy Cross on the road by double-digits as well. Siena has done very well against teams ranked 100-150 defeating them by 10-20 points on average at home. Thus, the spread at -11.5 is about right. Fairfield covered against Uconn in their last game losing by 20 points and falling just inside the cover and not to mention that the Stags also defeated Holy Cross convincingly on the road. This is a conference game and Fairfield beat this team by 1 point on the road last year 53-52 avenging their own loss earlier that year as they won outright as 9.5 dogs. This should be a tight game and fairly close to the cover at the end of the day.

Rider vs. Iona

Rider beat this team at home in overtime last year by a score of 68-63. I would lean on Iona here to get that big dose of revenge as they are a top 200 team facing a top 225 team and I have them winning by 6-8 points here but Rider comes off their own tough loss to Drexel and looks to bounce-back. Also, 70% are on Iona as well. Nevertheless, a lean on Iona here at home off their road loss to South Florida.

Villanova vs. Marquette

Villanova is a top 30 team in the power rankings facing against Marquette on the road. Note, that this game is on ESPN. Over 70% are riding Villanova as they are feeling the love of going 9-0 at home thus far as this will be a nationally televised afternoon game. Marquette beat this team by 13 at home and 10 on the road last year. Marquette has been solid this year including defeating Wisconsin at home and defeating Temple by 17 at home as well. I would lean on Marquette for the fact they are the lower ranking team favored here which typically bodes well for the team ranked lower, this game is on ESPN and that Marquette is at home, but Villaova is older and they have revenge from not defeating this team at all last year and over 70% are riding the jock straps of Marquette here at home.

South Alabama vs. Florida Atlantic

Be careful with this game as Florida Atlantic just comes off a tight game with Kentucky on the road off of an extended road trip. Although South Alabama did bet top 75 Southern Miss on the road in OT they have generally struggled on the road against even teams ranked outside the top 200. The spread is also eerily low, a lean on the Fla Atlantic as the home dog here.

 
Posted : January 1, 2009 7:47 am
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