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NCAAB News and Notes Tuesday 3/3

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Tuesday Tip Sheet
By Judd Hall

There are just two weeks left for teams to bolster their resumes as Selection Sunday looms on the horizon. We’ve got three games on Tuesday’s slate that feature programs still jockeying for position…two of which will be facing one another.

Cincinnati Bearcats at South Florida Bulls

--Cincinnati (18-11 straight up, 11-12 against the spread) picked a bad time to go on its latest slide. The Bearcats got torched in a prime let down spot as 8 ½-point road ‘dogs at Syracuse, 87-63, on March 1. Cincy kept close in the rebound category (32-36) but turned the ball over too many times (10-6) and shot an atrocious 37.3 percent (22-of-59) from the field in its third loss in its last four games. Dion Dixon scored 18 points and five boards in a losing effort.

--Luckily for the Bearcats, South Florida (8-20 SU, 14-13 ATS) is struggling to the finish line. The Bulls have dropped six straight contests. Even worse for bettors is the fact they’ve failed to cover the number in four of those matches. Things won’t get any better for USF the rest of the way now that senior guard Jesus Verdejo is gone for the rest of the season with a bad right foot.

--The Bearcats will have to prove that they can win away from home if they have any chance in making the NCAA Tournament. But a 4-7 SU and ATS mark on the road indicates that Cincinnati has its work cut out for them. Cincy has seen the ‘under’ go 7-4 in those matches.

--While the Bulls have been awful for much of the year, they’ve managed to go 6-7 SU and 6-6 ATS at the USF Sun Dome. South Florida has cashed the ‘under’ in eight of its 13 home tilts.

--Cincy has owned this series recently with an 8-2 SU mark. However, they’ve only covered the spread in four of the matches. The Bulls are on a 4-0 ATS run against the Bearcats.

--You can catch this game on ESPNU at 7:00 p.m. EST.

Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys

--Kansas State (20-9 SU, 10-10 ATS) is doing what it needs to in order to stay in the field of 65, winning nine of its last 11 matches this season. The Wildcats’ most recent triumph came against Nebraska in Manhattan on Feb. 28, 77-72. Jacob Pullen paced the ‘Cats with 18 points, four rebounds and five assists. Unfortunately for bettors, K-State failed to cover as a seven-point home “chalk” to go 1-3 ATS in its last four matches.

--While the Wildcats are in the tourney field, they’ve played schools that are in the middle of the pack or are in the basement of some lower tier conferences in Division I. So if they are to falter during what’s left of the regular season and conference tournament, that sub-par schedule could very well come back to bite them in the backside.

--Oklahoma State (19-9 SU, 11-10-1 ATS) is slowly but surely locking up its first tournament berth since 2005. The Cowpokes were able to upend Texas as one-point favorites on Feb. 28, 68-59. Terrel Harris had 13 points and eight boards in a winning effort, while Marshall Moses poured in 15 points and grabbed 16 rebounds on his own.

--The Cowboys have now won five straight games SU to bolster their resume. But for our purposes they’re doing well in covering the number in all five matches.

--Travis Ford’s squad is 5-2 Su and 4-3 ATS when playing at home against Big XII foes in 2008-2009. The ‘under’ is 4-3 during that stretch as well.

--It’s been a roller coaster for Kansas State when playing on the road this year with a 6-6 record SU and 4-6-2 mark ATS. They saw the ‘under’ go 7-5 in those matches.

--ESPN2 will have this game starting at 7:30 p.m. EST.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Maryland Terrapins – 9:00 p.m. EST

--The Deacons have won eight of their 12 fixtures that were played on the road or in a neutral setting, covering the number in five of them. Wake Forest (22-5 SU, 14-9 ATS), however, is 1-4 SU and ATS in its last four road tests in the ACC.

--Maryland (18-10 SU, 12-9 ATS) is making a late season charge at make the tourney with a 4-2 SU and ATS run in its past six games. That streak for the Terrapins includes an 88-85 upset over North Carolina and a 71-60 win over North Carolina State as four-point road pups on March 1.

--As good as the Terps have been playing recently it might all go for naught since ESPN is projecting them as one of the “Next Four Out” of the tournament.

--The ‘under’ has hit in two straight tilts for the Terrapins. Meanwhile, the Demon Deacons have watched the ‘over’ go 7-2 in their last nine contests.

--Wake might be having the better season, but Maryland has owned the recent series with a 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS record since March 2004.

--The ‘under’ is on a 4-1 run in the last five head-to-head meetings.

--The Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their past five visits to Maryland.

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Posted : March 2, 2009 8:10 pm
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RICHMOND (15 - 14) at CHARLOTTE (11 - 17) - 3/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICHMOND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
RICHMOND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
RICHMOND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICHMOND is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
RICHMOND is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO ST (18 - 9) at IOWA (14 - 15) - 3/3/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-2 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 3-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (9 - 16) at CLEMSON (22 - 6) - 3/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 49-76 ATS (-34.6 Units) in road games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 49-76 ATS (-34.6 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 41-66 ATS (-31.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 36-62 ATS (-32.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 49-71 ATS (-29.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 2-1 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (18 - 11) at S FLORIDA (8 - 20) - 3/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (23 - 5) at INDIANA (6 - 22) - 3/3/2009, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS ST (20 - 9) at OKLAHOMA ST (19 - 9) - 3/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
KANSAS ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGETOWN (15 - 12) at ST JOHNS (14 - 15) - 3/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
GEORGETOWN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGETOWN is 2-1 against the spread versus ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
GEORGETOWN is 3-0 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (22 - 7) at DUKE (24 - 5) - 3/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
DUKE is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 2-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (20 - 8) at NEW MEXICO (19 - 10) - 3/3/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 4-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 3-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AUBURN (19 - 10) at ALABAMA (16 - 12) - 3/3/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
ALABAMA is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
AUBURN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games this season.
AUBURN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
AUBURN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
AUBURN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
AUBURN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
AUBURN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 4-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 4-1 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RUTGERS (10 - 19) at SYRACUSE (21 - 8) - 3/3/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 3-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 3-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (7 - 22) at CLEVELAND ST (21 - 10) - 3/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
DETROIT is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
DETROIT is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in road games this season.
DETROIT is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in road lined games this season.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
DETROIT is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
DETROIT is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
DETROIT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CLEVELAND ST is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 36-70 ATS (-41.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
CLEVELAND ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND ST is 4-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 5-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IL-CHICAGO (15 - 14) at YOUNGSTOWN ST (11 - 18) - 3/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
IL-CHICAGO is 91-64 ATS (+20.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 5-2 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 4-3 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VALPARAISO (9 - 21) at WRIGHT ST (18 - 12) - 3/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VALPARAISO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
VALPARAISO is 3-2 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 3-2 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOYOLA-IL (14 - 17) at WI-MILWAUKEE (16 - 13) - 3/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-IL is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all games this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 114-84 ATS (+21.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 111-80 ATS (+23.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus LOYOLA-IL over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-IL is 4-3 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WEBER ST (20 - 8) at MONTANA ST (13 - 15) - 3/3/2009, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
WEBER ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
WEBER ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WEBER ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WEBER ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WEBER ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
WEBER ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
WEBER ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WEBER ST is 4-2 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
WEBER ST is 4-2 straight up against MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E KENTUCKY (18 - 12) at MOREHEAD ST (16 - 15) - 3/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E KENTUCKY is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MOREHEAD ST is 4-3 against the spread versus E KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
E KENTUCKY is 4-3 straight up against MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE TECH (12 - 17) at TENN-MARTIN (21 - 8) - 3/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TENN-MARTIN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
TENN-MARTIN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENN-MARTIN is 4-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE TECH over the last 3 seasons
TENN-MARTIN is 3-3 straight up against TENNESSEE TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E ILLINOIS (12 - 17) at AUSTIN PEAY (17 - 12) - 3/3/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUSTIN PEAY is 5-1 against the spread versus E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
AUSTIN PEAY is 6-0 straight up against E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE ST (12 - 17) at MURRAY ST (18 - 11) - 3/3/2009, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MURRAY ST is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
MURRAY ST is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE ST is 4-2 against the spread versus MURRAY ST over the last 3 seasons
MURRAY ST is 4-3 straight up against TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 12:48 am
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Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

7:00 PM CINCINNATI vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
South Florida is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
South Florida is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

7:00 PM DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND STATE
Detroit is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Cleveland State
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland State
Cleveland State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM ILLINOIS vs. PENN STATE
Illinois is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Illinois's last 15 games
Penn State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Illinois
Penn State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Illinois

7:00 PM ILLINOIS-CHICAGO vs. YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Illinois-Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Illinois-Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Youngstown State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Illinois-Chicago
Youngstown State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Illinois-Chicago

7:00 PM MICHIGAN STATE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Michigan State's last 10 games when playing Indiana
Michigan State is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games

7:00 PM RICHMOND vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Richmond's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Richmond is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Charlotte is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM VALPARAISO vs. WRIGHT STATE
Valparaiso is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Valparaiso is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wright State's last 5 games when playing Valparaiso
Wright State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM VIRGINIA vs. CLEMSON
Virginia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Virginia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Clemson is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Clemson is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:30 PM EASTERN KENTUCKY vs. MOREHEAD STATE
Eastern Kentucky is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Eastern Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
Morehead State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Kentucky
Morehead State is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Eastern Kentucky

7:30 PM GEORGETOWN vs. ST. JOHN'S
Georgetown is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Georgetown is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
St. John's is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Georgetown
St. John's is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Georgetown

7:30 PM KANSAS STATE vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Kansas State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Kansas State is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas State
Oklahoma State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas State

8:00 PM EASTERN ILLINOIS vs. AUSTIN PEAY
Eastern Illinois is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Austin Peay
Eastern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Austin Peay
Austin Peay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Austin Peay is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:00 PM FLORIDA STATE vs. DUKE
Florida State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Duke
Florida State is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games when playing Duke
Duke is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 7 games

8:00 PM LOYOLA OF CHICAGO vs. WISC-MILWAUKEE
Loyola of Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Loyola of Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Wisc-Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Loyola of Chicago
Wisc-Milwaukee is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Loyola of Chicago

8:00 PM TENNESSEE TECH vs. TENNESSEE-MARTIN
Tennessee Tech is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee Tech is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee-Martin is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee-Martin is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:30 PM TENNESSEE STATE vs. MURRAY STATE
Tennessee State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Murray State
Tennessee State is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games when playing Murray State
Murray State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Murray State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

9:00 PM AUBURN vs. ALABAMA
Auburn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Alabama
Auburn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
Alabama is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games

9:00 PM OHIO STATE vs. IOWA
Ohio State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games when playing Iowa
Iowa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Iowa is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home

9:00 PM RUTGERS vs. SYRACUSE
Rutgers is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Rutgers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Rutgers
Syracuse is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers

9:00 PM UTAH vs. NEW MEXICO
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing New Mexico
New Mexico is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
New Mexico is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM WAKE FOREST vs. MARYLAND
Wake Forest is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Maryland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing Maryland
Maryland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Maryland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

9:05 PM WEBER STATE vs. MONTANA STATE
Weber State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Weber State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montana State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montana State's last 5 games

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 10:17 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Topic starter
 

Tips and Trends

#8 Michigan State at Indiana

Michigan State (-14, O/U 133): The Spartans are looking to win their first outright Big Ten championship in 10 years and can accomplish that feat by winning one of their last two games. They are coming off a huge 74-66 win at Illinois on Sunday thanks to a 16-8 run to end the game. “Defensively we were awfully good,” Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo said. “So maybe my team is growing up a little bit.” The Spartans routed Indiana 75-47 in the first meeting back on February 7th.

Michigan State is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 road games.
The OVER is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.

Key Injuries - G Isaiah Dahlman (ankle) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 68

Indiana: Hoosiers head coach Tom Crean knows all about Michigan State as a former assistant coach under Izzo when the Spartans last won an outright conference title. The two remain good friends, so it will be interesting to see whether or not Izzo runs it up against Crean's Indiana squad. “(The Spartans) execute at a very high level and there are some things that they do as well as anyone in the country,” Crean said. “There is a `never say die,’ ‘never quit’ attitude to them."

Home team is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
The OVER is 7-1 in Indiana's last 8 Tuesday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 58 (Side Play of the Day)

Auburn at Alabama

Auburn: The Tigers are the second-hottest team in the SEC behind conference champ LSU, winning six of their last seven games following a 76-58 rout of Mississippi State on Saturday. The Bulldogs shot just 35.1 percent from the field and turned the ball over 18 times against Auburn. “I’m awfully proud of my team,” Tigers head coach Jeff Lebo said. “Defensively, we were very solid for the entire game.”

Auburn is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-1 in Auburn's last 8 road games.

Key Injuries - F Johnnie Lett (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 68 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Alabama (-1.5, O/U 143.5): Like Auburn, the Crimson Tide is coming off an easy victory on Saturday. Alabama crushed Mississippi 90-69 to run its winning streak to three games and now hopes to spoil the Tigers' opportunity to get into the Big Dance. “We talked a bunch about our rebounding,” Alabama head coach Philip Pearson said after winning at Ole Miss. “We gave up three or four put-backs, but I felt we did a good job for the most part, which I thought was going to be a big part of the game. We had a lot of guys contribute.”

Alabama is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
The UNDER is 10-3 in Alabama's last 13 Tuesday games.

Key Injuries - G Ronald Steele (foot) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 70

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 10:18 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

NCAAB Today

Notes on the best of today's games.

Oklahoma State won, covered its last five games, all by 9+ points- they are 4-2 as Big 12 home favorite, winning home games by 11-1-19-10-9 points. Kansas State split its last four games after winning six in a row- they're 2-3 as Big 12 road dog, losing away games by 16-22-20 points. Wildcats are 4-3 SU on road. Big 12 home favorites are 26-24.

Duke (-9) won 66-58 at Florida State Jan 10, making 25-39 on foul line (FSU was 11-14); game was unsightly 19-14 at half. Duke won last four games by 7-10-11-7 points. Seminoles won six of last eight games; they are 5-2 as ACC road dog, losing away games by 6-23-5 points (4-3 SU). ACC home favorites are 22-31 against the spread.

Wake Forest won four of last five games, but their win at Virginia in last game was their first in last five on road- they're 2-3 as an ACC road fave. Maryland needs this game more than Wake; they're 5-2 at home in ACC, losing to BC, Duke. Maryland won last four series games, by 4-7-7-4 points. ACC home underdogs are 14-12 against the spread.

New Mexico (+5) lost 69-68 at Utah Jan 31, despite shooting 8-13 from arc, 54% from floor (Utes were 10-21 from arc). Lobos won three in row eight of last ten games; they're 4-2 as a home favorite, winning games in the Pit by 25-19-18-29-4-26-14 points. Utes had its 8-game win streak snapped at BYU Saturday- favorite is 7-0 vs spread in their road games.

Alabama (+4.5) lost 85-71 at Auburn Jan 17, back when Gottfried was still coaching Tide, and before Tigers got hot. Bama won, covered three games in row - they're 5-2 at home in SEC, and still only SEC team that beat LSU this year. Auburn won six of last seven games (7-0 vs spread) losing only at LSU by 7. SEC home teams are 41-36 vs spread.

Horizon Tournament
Cleveland State won eight of last ten games; they beat Detroit twice this season, (66-49/53-44), covering both while holding the Titans under 40% from floor. Vikings covered nine of last 13 as favorite. Detroit lost six in a row (1-5 vs spread); they're 3-6 as Horizon road dog this year, losing away games by 9-11-23-4-17-11-13-26 points, winning at Youngstown.

Wright State beat Valparaiso twice this season (64-48/68-58), holding Crusaders under 38% in both games, with turnover ratios of +6 and +9.
Raiders won four of last five Horizon games, are 4-3 as home favorite in league, winning at home by 9-1-21-26-10-13-1-10 points. Valpo is 3-5 as a Horizon road dog, losing away games by 24-14-25-15-8-10-1-15.

Ill-Chicago won last four games, is favored over Youngstown team that beat Flames twice this season (80-70/68-60). UIC won at least one game in this event eight years in a row, beating Penguins 70-59 LY (-12), but that was at home. YSU lost three of last four games, scoring less than 60 points in all three losses- they're 6-2 in last eight tries as a Horizon dog.

Wisc-Milwaukee lost five of last seven games, but did beat Loyola twice this season, 80-66/72-58- they made 13-24 in a win at Loyola. Panthers are 5-2 as Horizon home favorite, winning home games by 9-7-14-19-2- 14-1-3 points. Ramblers lost eight of last ten games, are 3-6 as Horizon road dog, losing away games by 14-26-21-14-19-24 points.

Ohio Valley Tournament
Home side won by 4 in both Morehead State-Eastern Kentucky games this season; Eagles led EKU at half in both games- they were -10/-6 in turnover ratio. Morehead lost last four games (three by five or less pts); they're 6-2 as OVC home favorite, winning at home by 9-5-2-15-21-18-16-12 points. Colonels are 3-4 vs spread as OVC road underdog.

Austin Peay beat Eastern Illinois twice this year, 81-73/69-54, despite EIU shooting over 50% in both games; Peay won five of their last seven games, is 3-5 as OVC home favorite, winning home games by 3-16-6-12-3-10-15 points. Panthers lost six of last seven games, are 2-6 as road dog in OVC, losing away games by 7-12-14-16-18-15-20 points.

Tennessee-Martin beat Tennessee Tech twice this year, 71-62/83-72, in games where Martin made just 11-39 from arc. Skyhawks are top seed in OVC- they won seven of last eight tilts, are 7-2 as OVC home favorite, with home wins by 4-13-13-14-25-9-19-14 points. Tech lost six of last seven games; they're 4-3-1 vs spread as an Ohio Valley road underdog.

Tennessee State went 6-1 after firing its coach, winning last six games in a row; Tigers are 4-4 as road dog, but won last three on foreign soil- they lost twice to Murray State this year, 75-71/88-58 (game that got TSU's coach fired). Racers shot 60 FTs in two games. Murray is 10-2 in last 12 games; they're just 3-6 vs spread as an Ohio Valley home favorite.

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 10:18 am
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