Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 11/29/18
Thursday’s games
Central Florida upset Alabama 65-62 in Tuscaloosa LY, despite turning ball over 20 times (-5). Knights are 5-1 vs schedule #152- their only loss was 80-79 to Florida Atlantic, a game UCF led by 20 early on. UCF is shooting only 55.8% on foul as a team (#345). Alabama is 5-1 this season vs schedule #103, with only loss to Northeastern on a neutral floor. Crimson Tide is experience team #271 that is forcing turnovers 21.2% of time- they split their two top 100 games, beating Wichita State by 4 on that same neutral floor in Charleston.
Arizona is 4-2 after losing to couple of top 10 teams in Maui Classic; Wildcats are experience team #194 (#318 in minutes continuity)- their only top 200 win so far was 71-66 over #19 Iowa State in first round at Maui. Wildcats haven’t played a game in eight days. Georgia Southern is 5-1, losing 69-64 at home to East Tennessee State Tuesday night; no Eagles played more than 29:00 in that game. GSU is #82 experience team that is playing tempo #9- they’ve made only 25.3% of their 3’s so far. Eagles’ only top 100 game was a 80-77 win over #94 Montana.
Marist won its last two games with Dartmouth by 6-12 points; teams didn’t play LY. Marist is 1-4 this year vs schedule #109, with only win 82-76 at home vs Columbia; Red Foxes are #120 experience team that has made 40.7% of its 3’s- they split their two games vs teams ranked outside top 100. Dartmouth is 1-3 vs D-I teams, with two non-D-I wins; Big Green has been awful on defense, allowing 85-110 points in last two games. Dartmouth did win its only game vs team outside top 100, winning by a hoop (82-80) at Loyola, Md.
Troy lost 75-73 at Austin Peay LY, turning ball over 20 times (-4) in game they led by 10 with 13:39 left. Troy is 2-3 vs schedule #257, winning last two games while scoring 82-77 points; Trojans are experience team #101 that is playing pace #286- they must play lot of zone; 41.4% of opponents’ scoring comes on 3-pointers. Governors are 1-4 vs D-I teams with two losses in OT; Austin Peay is #97 experience team that plays tempo #106- they start three sophs, two seniors. Troy starts three seniors, two sophs.
Belmont is 4-0 despite being #300 experience team; they’ve played schedule #226 to this point, but three of those four wins were vs top 100 teams, with 91-53 win over Kennesaw State in their only game vs a team outside top 200- they beat #92 Lipscomb 87-83 on road. Samford is 7-1 vs schedule #339; they lost 68-50 at Ohio State in only game vs team rated higher than #163. Bulldogs are #233 experience team that is turning ball over 21.8% of time, but is shooting 43.4% on the arc. Belmont is starting three frosh, two seniors, an odd combination.
Cal-Davis is 1-6 vs schedule #100, with only win by 3 in OT over #314 Corpus Christi— Aggies are #9 experience team but they’re not playing like it, turning ball over 26.2% of time while making only 28% of their 3’s. Davis is starting four seniors and a freshman; their eFG% is #332 in country, really bad. Northern Arizona hasn’t played in 11 days after a 2-2 start that includes a road win at Omaha. Lumberjacks are #308 experience team that is playing pace #68- NAU starts two sophs, two juniors and doesn’t appear to have any seniors.
Cal-Santa Barbara is 5-1 vs schedule #301, which includes three wins over Big Sky teams; Gauchos are #343 in MC (were #242 LY) as they’re once again cobbled together by transfers. UCSB has wins at Wyoming/Idaho; they’re playing pace #306and are #7 in country at getting to foul line, making 72.9% once they get there. Sacramento State won both its D-I games vs Big West teams, by 3-5 points; Hornets are #106 experience team that hasn’t subbed much (#332 minutes). Sac State is turning ball over 25.7% of time; this is their first true road game.
NCAAB
Long Sheet
Thursday, November 29
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ALABAMA (5 - 1) at UCF (5 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 96-128 ATS (-44.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
UCF is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
UCF is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GA SOUTHERN (5 - 1) at ARIZONA (4 - 2) - 11/29/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MARIST (1 - 4) vs. DARTMOUTH (3 - 3) - 11/29/2018, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
DARTMOUTH is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 1-0 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
MARIST is 1-0 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LONG ISLAND (3 - 3) vs. ALBANY (2 - 4) - 11/29/2018, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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AUSTIN PEAY (2 - 4) at TROY (3 - 3) - 11/29/2018, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
AUSTIN PEAY is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
AUSTIN PEAY is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BELMONT (5 - 0) at SAMFORD (7 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games this season.
SAMFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BELMONT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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N ARIZONA (2 - 2) at CAL DAVIS (1 - 6) - 11/29/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL DAVIS is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAL DAVIS is 1-0 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CAL DAVIS is 1-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SACRAMENTO ST (3 - 0) at UC-SANTA BARBARA (5 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NCAAB
Thursday, November 29
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Trend Report
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Marist @ Dartmouth
Marist
Marist is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marist's last 6 games
Dartmouth
Dartmouth is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
LIU-Brooklyn @ Albany
LIU-Brooklyn
No trends to report
Albany
No trends to report
Sacred Heart @ Boston College
Sacred Heart
No trends to report
Boston College
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacred Heart
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacred Heart
Trinity Baptist @ Campbell
Trinity Baptist
No trends to report
Campbell
No trends to report
Hampton @ Norfolk State
Hampton
No trends to report
Norfolk State
No trends to report
Alabama @ Central Florida
Alabama
Alabama is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 6 games
Central Florida
Central Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Central Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Coppin State @ James Madison
Coppin State
No trends to report
James Madison
The total has gone OVER in 4 of James Madison's last 5 games
James Madison is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Belmont @ Samford
Belmont
Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Samford
Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Samford
Samford
Samford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Samford is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Central Connecticut State @ North Carolina A&T
Central Connecticut State
No trends to report
North Carolina A&T
No trends to report
UAB @ Alabama A&M
UAB
UAB is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama A&M
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UAB's last 7 games on the road
Alabama A&M
No trends to report
Florida A&M @ North Florida
Florida A&M
No trends to report
North Florida
No trends to report
McNeese State @ Southern Methodist
McNeese State
No trends to report
Southern Methodist
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games at home
East-West @ Chicago State
East-West
No trends to report
Chicago State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago State's last 6 games
Chicago State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Austin Peay @ Troy
Austin Peay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Austin Peay's last 9 games on the road
Austin Peay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Troy
Troy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Huston Tillotson @ Texas Southern
Huston Tillotson
No trends to report
Texas Southern
No trends to report
San Diego Christian @ Southern Utah
San Diego Christian
No trends to report
Southern Utah
Southern Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Southern Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Georgia Southern @ Arizona
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona
Arizona is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home
West Montana @ Idaho State
West Montana
No trends to report
Idaho State
Idaho State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing West Montana
Idaho State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against West Montana
Jackson State @ Santa Clara
Jackson State
No trends to report
Santa Clara
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Santa Clara's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Santa Clara's last 6 games at home
Northern Arizona @ UC Davis
Northern Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Arizona's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Arizona's last 6 games
UC Davis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of UC Davis's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UC Davis's last 7 games at home
Sacramento State @ UC-Santa Barbara
Sacramento State
Sacramento State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
UC-Santa Barbara
UC-Santa Barbara is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
UC-Santa Barbara is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Bethesda @ Loyola Marymount
Bethesda
No trends to report
Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Loyola Marymount is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cal Baptist @ UC Riverside
Cal Baptist
No trends to report
UC Riverside
UC Riverside is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
UC Riverside is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
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