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NCAABB Conference Tournament Match-Ups and Trends For Friday 3/10/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 58857
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : March 10, 2023 11:30 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58857
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
Tennessee vs Missouri
— Tennessee (23-9, 12-7) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #279
— Experience: #134
— Continuity: #119
— Tennessee won three of last four games, after a 2-5 skid.
— Only two Vols played more than 27:00 yesterday.
— Tennessee had the best eFG% defense in country.
— Tennessee also forces turnovers 22.4% of time (#21)
— Vols are #5 team in country on offensive boards.
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #38
— bench minutes: #51
— Tennessee’s best win: 68-59 over #3 Alabama

— Missouri (23-8, 11-7) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #83
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #327
— Mizzou won its last four games, scoring 78.5 ppg.
— Tigers went WL in their last three SEC tournaments.
— Mizzou is forcing turnovers 24.5% of time (#6)
— Tigers are worst team in country on defensive boards.
— Mizzou is shooting 56.4% inside arc (#11), 36.2% on arc (#67)
— Mizzou’s schedule, to this point: #71
— bench minutes: #110
— Mizzou’s best win: 86-85 at #5 Tennessee

— Missouri (+11) won 86-85 in Knoxville February 11
— Mizzou blew a 17-point 2nd half lead in that game.
— Tennessee won five of last seven meetings.

Arkansas vs Texas A&M
— Arkansas (20-12, 9-10) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #51
— Experience: #260
— Continuity: #333
— Arkansas lost five of its last eight games.
— Three Hogs played 33:00+ in last nite’s 76-73 win.
— Arkansas is forcing turnovers 20.3% of time (#67)
— Hogs have #26 eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are getting 22.9% of their points on foul line (#345)
— Arkansas’ schedule, to this point: #23
— bench minutes: #292
— Arkansas’ best win: 78-74 OT over #15 San Diego State

— Texas A&M (23-8, 15-3) ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #93
— Texas A&M won 17 of its last 20 games
— Since 2016, Texas A&M is 7-5 in SEC tourney games.
— Aggies are getting 26.4% of points on foul line (#1 in country)
— Aggies are forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#40)
— Texas A&M has #247 eFG% in country.
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #68
— bench minutes: #180
— Texas A&M’s best win: 67-61 over #3 Alabama

— Home team won both series games this season.
— Teams split their last dozen meetings.
— A&M beat Arkansas in two of last three SEC tournaments.

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky
— Vanderbilt (19-13, 12-7) ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #223
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #121
— Vanderbilt won four in row, nine of last ten games
— Vanderbilt played only two guys more than 29:00 last night.
— Commodores have #91 eFG% defense in country.
— Commodores are 5-7 against top 50 teams.
— Vanderbilt is 10-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Vanderbilt’s schedule, to this point: #33
— bench minutes: #59
— Vanderbilt’s best win: 66-65 over #5 Tennessee.

— Kentucky (21-10, 12-6) ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #261
— Experience: #114
— Continuity: #214
— Kentucky won five of its last six games
— From 2015-18, Wildcats went 12-0 in SEC tourney
— From 2019-22, Wildcats went 1-3 in SEC tourney
— Kentucky is #3 team in country on offensive boards.
— Kentucky has #83 eFG% defense in country.
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #37
— bench minutes: #219
— Kentucky’s best win: 63-56/56-44 over #5 Tennessee.

— Road team won both series games this season.
— Kentucky has won 20 of last 22 meetings.

Conference USA tournament (@ Frisco, TX)
North Texas vs Alabama-Birmingham
— North Texas (26-6, 17-4) ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: #162
— Continuity: #137
— North Texas won 11 of its last 12 games
— North Texas is 6-1 in last three C-USA tournaments.
— Mean Green had stress-free win over Louisiana Tech last nite.
— Mean Green has #12 eFG% eFG% defense in country.
— North Texas is 9-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— North Texas’ schedule, to this point: #118
— bench minutes: #214
— North Texas’ best wins: 63-52/82-79 2OT over #55 UAB

— Alabama-Birmingham (24-8, 15-6) ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #39
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #113
— UAB won seven in row, 11 of last 12 games
— Blazers are 7-2 in last four C-USA tournaments.
— Blazers have #59 eFG% defense in country.
— UAB is shooting 37.3% on arc (#29), 49.3% inside arc (#229)
— UAB is getting 20.3% of points on foul line (#59)
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #155
— bench minutes: #65
— UAB’s best win: 86-77 over #27 UAB

— North Texas beat UAB twice this year, 63-52/82-79 2OT
— Teams split their last 12 meetings overall.

ACC tournament (@ Greensboro, NC)
Duke vs Miami
— Duke (24-8, 15-6) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #291
— Experience: #292
— Continuity: #338
— Duke won seven in row, 10 of last 12 games.
— Since 2014, Blue Devils are 17-5 SU in ACC tournament.
— Duke has #21 eFG% defense in country.
— Blue Devils are #6 team on offensive boards.
— Duke is 5-4 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #74
— bench minutes: #142
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #17 Xavier.

— Miami (25-6, 16-5) ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #105
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #141
— Miami won nine of its last ten games.
— Hurricanes led by 18, hung on for 74-72 win over Wake Forest.
— Miami played three starters 30:00+ yesterday.
— Hurricanes are shooting 37% on arc (#36), 54.7% inside arc (#26)
— Opponents are shooting 51.7% inside arc (#251)
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #90
— bench minutes: #324
— Miami’s best win: 81-59 over #31 Duke

— Home side won both meetings this season.
— Duke won six of last nine series games.

Clemson vs Virginia
— Clemson (23-9, 15-6) ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #183
— Continuity: #142
— Clemson won five of its last seven games
— Since 2009, Tigers are 7-13 in ACC tourney
— Tigers outscored NC State 41-18 in 2nd half of yesterday’s 80-54 win.
— Clemson has #25 eFG% in country, #36 eFG% defense.
— Clemson is 6-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #116
— bench minutes: #114
— Clemson’s best win: 72-64 over #31 Duke.

— Virginia (24-6, 16-5) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #360
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #13
— Virginia won 14 of its last 17 games
— Since 2016, Cavaliers are 10-4 in ACC tournament.
— Opponents are shooting 46.7% inside arc (#42)
— Cavaliers are #43 team on defensive boards.
— Virginia is 18-3 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
— Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #82
— bench minutes: #272
— Virginia’s best win: 86-79 over #14 Baylor.

— Clemson (+6) lost 64-57 at Virginia February 28.
— Cavaliers won last 12 series games.

Big East tournament (@ Madison Square Garden)
Marquette vs UConn
— Marquette (26-6, 18-3) ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #102
— Experience: #299
— Continuity: #106
— Marquette won seven in row, 12 of last 13 games.
— Marquette played four starters 34:00 in their OT win yesterday.
— Eagles are forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#15)
— Eagles are shooting 59.2% inside arc (#1)
— Marquette is #314 team on defensive boards.
— Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #49
— bench minutes: #265
— Marquette’s best win: 82-76 over #4 UConn

— UConn (25-7, 14-7) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #193
— Experience: #118
— Continuity: #248
— UConn won six in row, nine of last ten games
— UConn went WL in its last three conference tournaments.
— Huskies led 35-19 at half, beat Providence 73-66 yesterday.
— Huskies have #10 eFG% defense in country.
— UConn is #1 team in country on offensive boards.
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #46
— bench minutes: #213
— UConn’s best win: 82-67 over #3 Alabama

— Teams split a pair of home wins this season.
— Since re-joining Big East, Huskies are 5-1 vs Marquette.

Xavier @ Creighton
— Xavier (24-8, 16-5) ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #31
— Experience: #15
— Continuity: #42
— Xavier won its last four games, scoring 85.8 ppg.
— Xavier beat DePaul 89-84 Thursday; they were down 13 in 2nd half.
— Musketeers played four starters 35:00+ yesterday.
— Musketeers are shooting 40% on arc (#4), 54.6% inside arc (#30)
— Xavier is 8-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Xavier’s schedule, to this point: #30
— bench minutes: #300
— Xavier’s best win: 82-79/83-73 over #4 UConn

— Creighton (21-11, 15-6) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #149
— Experience: #160
— Continuity: #83
— Creighton won three in row, 12 of last 15 games.
— Creighton won by 13 yesterday, and Villanova shot 13-30 on arc.
— Bluejays are shooting 54.9% inside arc (#22)
— Bluejays has #33 eFG% defense in country.
— Creighton is #8 team in country on defensive boards.
— Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #17
— bench minutes: #351
— Creighton’s best win: 56-53 over #4 UConn

— Home team won both series games this year.
— Musketeers won four of last five meetings overall.

Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
Iowa State vs Kansas
— Iowa State (19-12, 10-9) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #7
— Continuity: #185
— Iowa State won its last two games, after a 3-9 skid.
— Cyclones played nine guys 11:00+ in Thursday’s 78-72 win.
— Iowa State is forcing turnovers 25.1% of time (#2)
— Cyclones are #30 team on offensive boards.
— Opponents are 9-8 against top 50 teams.
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #5
— bench minutes: #185
— Iowa State’s best win: 78-67 over #8 Texas

— Kansas (26-6, 14-5) ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #75
— Experience: #230
— Continuity: #228
— Kansas coach Self (heart problem) is out this weekend
— Kansas won eight of its last nine games.
— Since 2006, Jayhawks are 35-6 in this tournament.
— Jayhawks have #30 eFG% defense in country.
— Kansas is 14-5 vs top 50 teams.
— Kansas’ schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #361
— Kansas’ best win: 88-80 over #8 Texas

— Home team won both meetings this season.
— Kansas won seven of last eight series games.

TCU vs Texas
— TCU (21-11, 10-9) ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #3
— TCU won four of last six games, after a 1-5 skid.
— Frogs played two guys more than 29:00 in 80-67 win last nite.
— TCU is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#24)
— Frogs are shooting 30.2% on arc (#344), 52.5% inside arc (#79)
— TCU has #70 eFG% defense in country.
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #14
— bench minutes: #14
— TCU’s best win: 75-73 over #8 Texas

— Texas (24-8, 13-6) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #71
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #143
— Texas won four of its last six games SU
— Since 2016, Longhorns are 5-5 in Big X tourney.
— Texas is shooting 53.7% inside arc (#54)
— Texas is forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#18)
— Longhorns are 8-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Texas’ schedule, to this point: #8
— bench minutes: #122
— Texas’ best win: 93-74 over #7 Gonzaga

— Home team won both series games this year, both close games.
— Longhorns won eight of last ten series games.

Big West tournament (@ Dollar Loan Arena, Las Vegas)
Cal-Fullerton vs Cal-Irvine
— Cal State-Fullerton (19-12, 13-6) ranked #116 by KenPom
— Tempo: #317
— Experience: #227
— Continuity: #180
— Fullerton won seven games in row, the last two in overtime.
— Titans won two of last four Big West tournaments.
— Titans have #74 eFG% defense in country.
— Fullerton is shooting 46.1% inside arc (#326)
— Fullerton is getting 21.4% of points on foul line (#35)
— Fullerton’s schedule, to this point: #130
— bench minutes: #250
— Fullerton’s best win: 62-61 over #98 Cal-Irvine.

— Cal-Irvine (23-10, 16-5) ranked #96 by KenPom
— Tempo: #68
— Experience: #218
— Continuity: #128
— Cal-Irvine won eight of its last ten games.
— Anteaters didn’t play anyone more than 21:00 in yesterday’s easy win.
— Cal-Irvine has #11 eFG% defense in country.
— Anteaters are #80 team in country on defensive boards.
— Cal-Irvine is shooting 37.7% on arc (#20)
— Cal-Irvine’s schedule, to this point: #170
— bench minutes: #8
— Cal-Irvine’s best win: 69-56 at #38 Oregon

— Home side won both meetings this season.
— Fullerton won 3 of last 4 meetings, after Irvine had won the previous six.

Mountain West tournament (@ Thomas & Mack, Las Vegas)
San Jose State vs San Diego State
— San Jose State (20-12, 11-8) ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #352
— Experience: #159
— Continuity: #53
— San Jose State won six of its last eight games
— Spartans’ OT win yesterday was first tourney win since 2011 (1-11)
— Spartans played three starters 39:00+ yesterday.
— San Jose State is #23 team on offensive boards, #24 on defensive end.
— San Jose State is having its best basketball season in 40 years.
— San Jose State’s schedule, to this point: #71
— bench minutes: #329
— San Jose State’s best win: 69-64 over #23 Utah State

— San Diego State (25-6, 16-3) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #247
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #39
— San Diego State won 12 of its last 14 games.
— Since 2009, Aztecs are 32-10 in this tournament
— Aztecs have #71 eFG% defense in country.
— Aztecs are #54 team in country on defensive boards.
— San Diego State is 12-6 against teams ranked in top 100.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #34
— bench minutes: #30
— San Diego State’s best win: 85-75/63-61 over #23 Utah State

— San Diego State (-12) whacked San Jose State 72-51 at home January 28.
— Aztecs won last ten series games.

Arizona State vs Arizona (@ T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas)
— Arizona State (22-11, 13-9) ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #119
— Experience: #62
— Continuity: #234
— Arizona State won six of its last nine games
— Arizona State played only two guys more than 28:00 in last nite’s win.
— Sun Devils have #15 eFG% defense in country.
— Arizona State is #314 team in country on defensive boards.
— Sun Devils have #300 eFG% offense in country.
— Arizona State’s schedule, to this point: #44
— bench minutes: #160
— Arizona State’s best win: 89-88 at #10 Arizona.

— Arizona (26-6, 15-6) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #6
— Experience: #55
— Continuity: #165
— Arizona is 4-3 in last seven games, after a 22-3 start.
— Wildcats played 7 guys in last night’s 95-84 win (74 possessions)
— Arizona is shooting 56.9% inside arc (#8), 38% inside arc (#15)
— Arizona has #55 eFG% defense in country.
— Wildcats are 14-6 against top 100 teams.
— Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #43
— bench minutes: #289
— Arizona’s best win: 58-52 over #2 UCLA.

— Road team won both meetings this season.
— Arizona won five of last six series games.

 
Posted : March 10, 2023 11:31 am
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