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NCAABB Conference Tournament Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 3/6/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 58607
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : March 6, 2023 12:46 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 58607
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

CAA tournament (@ Washington DC)
NC-Wilmington vs Hofstra
— NC-Wilmington (23-9, 13-6) ranked #166 by KenPom
— Tempo: #273
— Experience: #238
— Continuity: #242
— UNCW won eight of its last eleven games
— UNCW was down 12 with 12:41 left in Sunday’s 73-68 win.
— Seahawks played two starters 37, 38 minutes yesterday.
— Seahawks force turnovers 20.8% of time (#56)
— UNCW is getting 23.2% of its points on foul line (#11)
— UNCW’s schedule, to this point: #276
— bench minutes: #204
— UNCW’s best win: 55-51 over #46 North Texas

— Hofstra (24-8, 17-2) ranked #86 by KenPom
— Tempo: #183
— Experience: #123
— Continuity: #254
— Hofstra won its last 12 games (11-1 ATS).
— Hofstra led 51-14 at half, had stress-free win yesterday.
— Hofstra is shooting 58.2% inside arc in CAA games.
— Pride has #18 eFG% defense in country.
— Pride is 7-3 in its last ten CAA tourney games.
— Hofstra’s schedule, to this point: #245
— bench minutes: #288
— Hofstra’s best win: 85-81 at #83 Charleston

— UNCW (+3.5) lost 70-46 at Hofstra January 19.
— That game was 30-30 at halftime.
— Hofstra won six of last seven series games.

Towson vs Charleston
— Towson (21-11, 13-6) ranked #130 by KenPom
— Tempo: #309
— Experience: #76
— Continuity: #94
— Towson won four of its last five games.
— Tigers led 46-20 at half, had stress-free win Sunday.
— Since 2010, Tigers are 0-4 in 2nd game of a conference tourney.
— Towson is #12 team in country on offensive boards.
— Towson is shooting 37% on arc (#37)
— Towson’s schedule, to this point: #291
— bench minutes: #271
— Towson’s best win: 68-47 over #86 Hofstra.

— Charleston (29-3, 17-2) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #29
— Experience: #302
— Continuity: #196
— Charleston won its last eight games (6-2 ATS).
— Cougars led 42-26 at half, also had stress-free win Sunday
— Charleston is 3-4 in CAA tourney since winning it in 2018.
— Charleston is #15 team in country on offensive boards.
— Cougars have #71 eFG% defense in country.
— Charleston’s schedule, to this point: #313
— bench minutes: #20
— Charleston’s best win: 77-75 over #77 Virginia Tech.

— Charleston beat Towson twice TY, 76-74OT/83-75.
— Cougars won eight of last ten series games.

Sun Belt tournament (@ Pensacola, FL)
South Alabama vs Louisiana
South Alabama (19-15, 12-9) ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #263
— Experience: #199
— Continuity: #347
— South Alabama won 11 of its last 13 games.
— South Alabama played 7 guys Sunday; the 7th guy played 9:00.
— South Alabama played three starters 37:00+ Saturday
— Jaguars last won a Sun Belt tournament in 2006.
— Jaguars have #22 eFG% defense in country.
— South Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #130
— bench minutes: #339
— South Alabama’s best wins: 85-54/78-61 over #96 Southern Miss.

— Louisiana (25-7, 15-5) ranked #95 by KenPom
— Tempo: #122
— Experience: #170
— Continuity: #67
— Louisiana won 15 of its last 18 games.
— Cajuns played three starters 31:00+ in Sunday’s 64-58 win.
— Louisiana has #65 eFG% in country
— Cajuns are #25 team in country on offensive boards.
— Louisiana is 7-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Louisiana’s schedule, to this point: #159
— bench minutes: #245
— Louisiana’s best win: 77-67 over #84 Marshall

— South Alabama (+4) lost 74-64 at Louisiana ten days ago.
— Louisiana won eight of last twelve series games.

Southern Conference tournament (@ Asheville, NC)
Chattanooga vs Furman
— Chattanooga (18-16, 10-11) ranked #180 by KenPom
— Tempo: #135
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #307
— Chattanooga is 6-3 SU in its last nine games
— Chattanooga won the last three days, scoring 92-85-74 points.
— Mocs played 4 starters 30:00+ in Sunday’s 74-62 win.
— Chattanooga is shooting 37.4% on the arc (#29)
— Mocs won this tournament three of last seven years.
— Chattanooga’s schedule, to this point: #232
— bench minutes: #73
— Chattanooga’s best win: 82-73 at #127 Middle Tennessee

— Furman (26-7, 17-3) ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #136
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #31
— Furman won 13 of its last 14 games
— Paladins blew 20-point lead yesterday, won in overtime.
— Furman played three starters 34:00+ Sunday.
— Paladins are shooting 59.1% inside arc (#3)
— Furman hasn’t been to NCAA Tournament since 1980.
— Furman’s schedule, to this point: #272
— bench minutes: #292
— Furman’s best win: 69-57 at #115 NC-Greensboro

— Furman beat Chattanooga twice TY, 77-69/79-58.
— Paladins are 9-4 in last thirteen series games.
— Chattanooga beat Furman 64-63 in OT in LY’s SoCon title game.

Summit League tournament (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
St Thomas vs Oral Roberts
— St Thomas (19-13, 10-9) ranked #200 by KenPom
— Tempo: #248
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #158
— St Thomas is 5-3 in its last eight games SU.
— Opponents are shooting 52.6% inside arc (#298)
— St Thomas played four starters 32:00+ in Sunday’s win
— Tommies trailed by 10 with 11:55 left.
— Tommies are getting 36.7% of their points on the arc (#34)
— St Thomas’s schedule, to this point: #283
— bench minutes: #250
— St Thomas’s best win: 78-76 over #128 Troy

— Oral Roberts (28-4, 19-0) ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #35
— Experience: #26
— Continuity: #24
— Oral Roberts won its last fifteen games (0-7 ATS last seven).
— Oral Roberts is shooting 56.3% inside arc (#12), 37.5% on arc (#25)
— Eagles are getting 38.9% of their points on the arc (#11)
— Opponents are shooting 47.3% inside arc (#59)
— Last three years, Oral Roberts is 5-1 in Summit tourney (won in ’21)
— Oral Roberts’ schedule, to this point: #257
— bench minutes: #340
— Oral Roberts’ best win: 84-70 over #47 Liberty.

— Oral Roberts beat St Thomas twice TY, 81-69/95-88
— ORU beat Tommies twice LY too, by 15-22 points.

South Dakota State vs North Dakota State
— South Dakota State (19-12, 14-5) ranked #161 by KenPom
— Tempo: #223
— Experience: #107
— Continuity: #119
— South Dakota State won eight of its last nine games
— South Dakota State won this tournament six of last 11 years.
— Jackrabbits are #79 team on defensive boards.
— Jackrabbits are 15-3 vs teams ranked outside the top 200.
— South Dakota State is 10-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— South Dakota State’s schedule, to this point: #193
— bench minutes: #311
— South Dakota State’s best win: 68-66 at #29 Boise State

— North Dakota State (15-16, 12-7) ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #147
— Experience: #346
— Continuity: #278
— ND State won six of its last seven games
— Bison is shooting 52.4% inside arc (#83).
— Bison is worst team in country at forcing turnovers.
— ND State is #7 team in country on defensive boards.
— ND State played four starters 30:00+ in Sunday’s win.
— ND State’s schedule, to this point: #201
— bench minutes: #58
— ND State’s best win: 67-62 at #155 Portland.

— Home teams won the two series meetings this season.
— Jackrabbits won seven of last nine series games.

Horizon Conference tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Northern Kentucky vs Youngstown State
— Northern Kentucky (20-12, 5-6) ranked #174 by KenPom
— Tempo: #257
— Experience: #87
— Continuity: #21
— NKU won five of its last six games
— NKU won this tournament three of last six years.
— Norse is forcing turnovers 23.2% of time (#14)
— Norse has #322 team on defensive boards.
— NKU is shooting 47.7% inside arc (#288), 35.9% on arc (#80)
— NKU’s schedule, to this point: #266
— bench minutes: #275
— NKU’s best win: 64-51 over #66 Cincinnati.

— Youngstown State (24-8, 16-6) ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #144
— Experience: #14
— Continuity: #262
— Youngstown won 14 of its last 17 games
— Penguins are shooting 55% inside arc (#21), 37.1% inside arc (#35)
— Youngstown has #269 eFG% defense in country.
— Penguins are 7-5 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Youngstown is 5-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Youngstown’s schedule, to this point: #324
— bench minutes: #315
— Youngstown’s best win: 74-56 over #174 Northern Kentucky

— Home team won both series games this year.
— Northern Kentucky won 10 of last 13 series games.

Cleveland State vs Milwaukee
— Cleveland State (20-12, 15-6) ranked #189 by KenPom
— Tempo: #271
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #198
— Cleveland State won six of its last seven games
— Last three years, Cleveland State is 5-1 in this tournament.
— Vikings are #358 team in country on defensive boards.
— Cleveland State is shooting 30.2% on the arc (#343)
— Vikings has #81 eFG% defense in country.
— Cleveland State’s schedule, to this point: #292
— bench minutes: #314
— Cleveland State’s best win: 81-78 over #122 Youngstown State

— Milwaukee (21-10, 15-6) ranked #225 by KenPom
— Tempo: #17
— Experience: #353
— Continuity: #351
— Milwaukee won five of its last seven games
— Since 2016, Panthers are 8-6 in the Horizon tournament.
— Milwaukee is turning ball over 21.9% of time (#347)
— Milwaukee has #70 eFG% defense in country.
— Panthers are #338 team on defensive boards.
— Milwaukee’s schedule, to this point: #289
— bench minutes: #83
— Milwaukee’s best win: 88-75 over #122 Youngstown State

— Milwaukee beat Cleveland State twice TY, by 4-9 points.
— Panthers won nine of last 13 series games.

Big Sky tournament (@ Boise, ID)
Idaho State vs Montana
— Idaho State (11-20, 8-10) ranked #241 by KenPom
— Tempo: #291
— Experience: #184
— Continuity: #211
— Idaho State lost five of its last seven games.
— Since 2010, Bengals are 1-7 in Big Sky tournament.
— Opponents are shooting 52% inside arc (#267)
— Bengals are 2-11 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Idaho State is 3-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Idaho State’s schedule, to this point: #206
— bench minutes: #111
— Idaho State’s best win: 71-63 over #124 Eastern Washington

— Montana (16-13, 10-7) ranked #154 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #101
— Continuity: #98
— Montana won seven of its last eight games.
— Since 2010, Grizzlies are 20-7 in Big Sky tournament.
— Grizzlies are shooting 37.6% on the arc (#21)
— Opponents are shooting 52.2% inside arc (#283).
— Montana is 8-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Montana’s schedule, to this point: #156
— bench minutes: #307
— Montana’s best win: 81-56 over #161 South Dakota State

— Montana beat Idaho State twice TY, by 29-8 points.
— Montana won 24 of last 25 meetings; they lost in Pocatello LY.

Sacramento State vs Weber State
— Sacramento State (14-17, 7-11) ranked #224 by KenPom
— Tempo: #354
— Experience: #63
— Continuity: #274
— Sacramento lost eight of its last ten games.
— Last eight years, Sacramento is 6-2 in its first Big Sky tourney game.
— Sacramento is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#321)
— Hornets have #262 eFG% defense.
— Hornets are 8-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Sacramento’s schedule, to this point: #151
— bench minutes: #263
— Sacramento’s best win: 59-53 at #134 Fresno State

— Weber State (17-14, 12-6) ranked #197 by KenPom
— Tempo: #284
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #208
— Weber State won nine of its last 13 games.
— Last five years, Wildcats are 2-4 in Big Sky tournament.
— Wildcats have #297 eFG% defense in country.
— Weber State is turning ball over 19.4% of time (#263)
— Weber State is 6-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Weber State’s schedule, to this point: #138
— bench minutes: #175
— Weber State’s best win: 75-72 at #23 Utah State

— Weber State beat Sacramento twice TY, 50-48/52-49
— Wildcats won 10 of last 13 series games.

WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
BYU vs Saint Mary’s
— BYU (19-14, 9-9) ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #65
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #230
— BYU won its last three games, after a 2-7 skid.
— This is Cougars’ third game in four nights.
— Since 2009, BYU is 12-9 in the WCC tournament.
— Cougars are #19 team in country on defensive boards (#19)
— BYU is turning ball over 20.4% of time (#312)
— BYU’s schedule, to this point: #80
— bench minutes: #46
— BYU’s best win: 83-80 over #12 Creighton

— Saint Mary’s (24-7, 14-5) ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #359
— Experience: #173
— Continuity: #63
— Saint Mary’s won 15 of its last 17 D-I games.
— Gaels haven’t played in nine days.
— Since 2016, Saint Mary’s is 10-6 in WCC tourney.
— Gaels have #15 eFG% defense in country.
— Saint Mary’s is #2 team in country on defensive boards.
— Saint Mary’s schedule, to this point: #77
— bench minutes: #356
— Saint Mary’s best win: 78-70 OT over #10 Gonzaga

— Saint Mary’s beat BYU twice this year, 57-56/71-65
— Teams split their last 12 meetings.
— Since 2012, Gaels are 3-0 vs BYU in WCC tournament.

San Francisco vs Gonzaga
— San Francisco (20-13, 9-9) ranked #100 by KenPom
— Tempo: #111
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #200
— San Francisco won five of its last six games.
— San Francisco is playing for third time in four nights.
— San Francisco played three starters 40:00+ in Saturday’s 2OT win.
— Dons have #40 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are getting 22.8% of points on arc (#341).
— San Francisco’s schedule, to this point: #97
— bench minutes: #202
— San Francisco’s best win: 97-60 over #61 Arizona State

— Gonzaga (26-5, 14-2) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #40
— Experience: #43
— Continuity: #18
— Gonzaga won its last six WCC games (4-2 ATS).
— Gonzaga won this tournament 15 of last 19 years.
— Zags are shooting 59.1% inside arc (#2), 37.8% on arc (#18)
— Zags are #63 team on defensive boards.
— Gonzaga was held to 70 or less points in four of five losses.
— Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #57
— bench minutes: #321
— Gonzaga’s best win: 100-90 over #3 Alabama.

— Gonzaga beat USF twice this season, 77-75/99-81
— USF led by 12 at home in 2nd half of first meeting, lost 77-75.
— Gonzaga has beat San Francisco 26 times in a row- last loss was in 2012.

 
Posted : March 6, 2023 12:48 pm
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