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NCAABB Conference Tournament Match-Ups and Trends For Saturday 3/11/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 60213
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : March 11, 2023 8:37 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60213
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
Alabama vs Missouri
— Alabama (27-5, 17-2) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #2
— Experience: #263
— Continuity: #286
— Alabama is 9-2 since its 93-69 loss at Oklahoma.
— Crimson Tide had a stress-free win over Miss State Friday.
— Alabama is shooting 54.4% inside arc (#31)
— Alabama is #43 team in country on offensive boards.
— Since 2017, Crimson Tide is 9-4 in SEC tourney.
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #9
— bench minutes: #61
— Alabama’s best win: 71-65 at #1 Houston

— Missouri (24-8, 12-7) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #78
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #327
— Mizzou won its last five games, scoring 78.6 ppg.
— Tigers went WL in their last three SEC tournaments.
— Mizzou is forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#6)
— Tigers are 2nd-worst team in country on defensive boards.
— Mizzou is shooting 56.7% inside arc (#9), 36.3% on arc (#68)
— Mizzou’s schedule, to this point: #61
— bench minutes: #118
— Mizzou’s best wins: 86-85/79-71 over #5 Tennessee

— Alabama (-5) won 85-64 at Missouri January 21.
— Teams split their last eight meetings.

Vanderbilt vs Texas A&M
— Vanderbilt (20-13, 13-7) ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #218
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #121
— Vanderbilt won five in row, 10 of last 11 games
— Vanderbilt played only one guy more than 29:00 the last 2 nites.
— Commodores have #89 eFG% defense in country.
— Commodores are 6-7 against top 50 teams.
— Vanderbilt is 11-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Vanderbilt’s schedule, to this point: #31
— bench minutes: #59
— Vanderbilt’s best win: 66-65 over #5 Tennessee.

— Texas A&M (24-8, 16-3) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #93
— Texas A&M won 18 of its last 21 games
— Since 2016, Texas A&M is 8-5 in SEC tourney games.
— Aggies played three guys 32:00+ Friday.
— Aggies are getting 26.4% of points on foul line (#1 in country)
— Texas A&M is forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#41)
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #62
— bench minutes: #185
— Texas A&M’s best win: 67-61 over #3 Alabama

— A&M (-10) beat Vanderbilt 72-66 at home January 28.
— Aggies won five of last seven series games.

Atlantic 15 tournament (@ Brooklyn)
Saint Louis vs VCU
— Saint Louis (21-11, 13-6) ranked #94 by KenPom
— Tempo: #89
— Experience: #17
— Continuity: #54
— Saint Louis won five of its last seven games
— Since 2019, Billikens are 8-2 in A-15 tourney
— Only two Billikens played more than 22:00 Friday
— Saint Louis has #59 eFG% defense in country, #96 eFG% offense.
— Saint Louis is 9-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Saint Louis’ schedule, to this point: #115
— bench minutes: #144
— Saint Louis’ best win: 90-84 over #33 Memphis

— VCU (25-7, 16-3) ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #144
— Experience: #251
— Continuity: #193
— VCU has won seven in row, 20 of last 23 games
— Since 2007, Rams are 30-11 in conference tournaments.
— VCU is forcing turnovers 24.5% of time (#5)
— Cavaliers have #32 eFG% defense
— VCU is getting 22.2% of points on foul line (#20)
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #145
— bench minutes: #112
— VCU’s best win: 63-62 at #73 Dayton.

— VCU beat Saint Louis twice TY, 73-65/79-67.
— Rams won 11 of last 13 series games.

Kansas vs Texas
— Kansas (27-6, 15-5) ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #72
— Experience: #230
— Continuity: #228
— Kansas coach Self (heart problem) is out this weekend
— Kansas won nine of its last ten games.
— Since 2006, Jayhawks are 36-6 in this tournament.
— Jayhawks have #31 eFG% defense in country.
— Kansas is 15-5 vs top 50 teams.
— Kansas’ schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #361
— Kansas’ best win: 88-80 over #8 Texas

— Texas (25-8, 14-6) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #82
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #145
— Texas won five of its last seven games SU
— Since 2016, Longhorns are 6-5 in Big X tourney.
— Texas played three starters 34:00+ in Friday’s 66-60 win.
— Texas is forcing turnovers 22.8% of time (#20)
— Longhorns are 9-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Texas’ schedule, to this point: #8
— bench minutes: #114
— Texas’ best win: 93-74 over #7 Gonzaga

— Teams split pair of home wins this season.
— Kansas lost 75-59 at Texas last Saturday.
— Teams split their last ten meetings.

Mountain West tournament (@ Thomas & Mack, Las Vegas)
Utah State vs San Diego State
— Utah State (26-7, 15-5) ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #107
— Experience: #29
— Continuity: #159
— Utah State won its last seven games, scoring 85 ppg in last four.
— Aggies were down 8 at half last night; three starters played 34:00+.
— Aggies are shooting 39.2% on arc (#5), 54.2% inside arc (#37)
— Opponents are shooting 46.1% inside arc (#30)
— Utah State is 4-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Utah State’s schedule, to this point: #60
— bench minutes: #335
— Utah State’s best wins: 86-73/72-62 over #30 Boise State

— San Diego State (26-6, 17-3) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #253
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #39
— San Diego State won 13 of its last 15 games.
— Since 2009, Aztecs are 33-10 in this tournament
— Aztecs have #54 eFG% defense in country.
— Aztecs are #64 team in country on defensive boards.
— San Diego State is 13-6 against teams ranked in top 100.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #36
— bench minutes: #32
— San Diego State’s best win: 85-75/63-61 over #23 Utah State

— San Diego State beat Utah State twice TY, 85-75/63-61.
— Teams split their last 12 meetings.

Big East tournament (@ Madison Square Garden)
Marquette vs Xavier
— Marquette (27-6, 19-3) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #115
— Experience: #299
— Continuity: #105
— Marquette won eight in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— Marquette played 4 starters 34:00+ Thursday, 2 starters 34:00+ Friday.
— Eagles are forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#18)
— Eagles are shooting 59.2% inside arc (#1)
— Marquette is #322 team on defensive boards.
— Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #43
— bench minutes: #265
— Marquette’s best win: 82-76 over #4 UConn

— Xavier (25-8, 17-5) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #34
— Experience: #15
— Continuity: #45
— Xavier won its last five games, scoring 85 ppg.
— Xavier played two starters more than 30:00 in Friday’s win.
— Musketeers played four starters 35:00+ Thursday.
— Musketeers are shooting 40% on arc (#3), 54.4% inside arc (#30)
— Xavier is 8-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Xavier’s schedule, to this point: #29
— bench minutes: #302
— Xavier’s best win: 82-79/83-73 over #4 UConn

— Home teams won both meetings TY, both close games.
— Marquette won seven of last ten series games.

MAC tournament (@ Cleveland)
Kent State vs Toledo
— Kent State (27-6, 17-3) ranked #79 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #74
— Kent State won five in row, 21 of last 24 games
— Flashes played three guys 31:00+ in Friday’s 79-73 win.
— Kent State is forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#17)
— Since 2017, Kent State is 11-4 in MAC tourney.
— Flashes are #255 team on defensive boards.
— Kent State’s schedule, to this point: #200
— bench minutes: #233
— Kent State’s best win: 75-63 over #83 Toledo

— Toledo (27-6, 18-2) ranked #83 by KenPom
— Tempo: #58
— Experience: #58
— Continuity: #26
— Toledo won its last 17 games (7-1 ATS last eight).
— Toledo played four starters 31:00+ in Friday’s 82-75 win.
— Rockets haven’t won MAC tournament since 1980 (the first MAC tourney)
— Rockets are shooting 40.5% on arc (#2), 54.7% inside arc (#27)
— Toledo scored 84+ points in each of its last eight games.
— Toledo’s schedule, to this point: #252
— bench minutes: #345
— Toledo’s best win: 93-85 over #54 UAB.

— Kent State (-4) beat Toledo 75-63 January 10.
— Flashes won six of last eight series games.

MAAC tournament (@ Atlantic City, NJ)
Iona vs Marist
— Iona (26-7, 19-3) ranked #76 by KenPom
— Tempo: #105
— Experience: #221
— Continuity: #198
— Iona won its last 13 games (9-3 ATS last 12).
— Since 2013, Gaels are 26-4 in MAAC tournament.
— Iona is forcing turnovers 20.9% of time (#52)
— Gaels have #19 eFG% defense in country.
— Nine of their last ten wins were by 11+ points.
— Iona’s schedule, to this point: #250
— bench minutes: #285
— Iona’s best win: 84-62 over #94 Saint Louis.

— Marist (13-19, 9-14) ranked #276 by KenPom
— Tempo: #276
— Experience: #312
— Continuity: #328
— Marist entered MAAC tourney on a 3-10 skid.
— Red Foxes’ wins this week are their first wins in MAAC tourney since 2015.
— Red Foxes played two starters more than 27:00 Friday
— In their three wins this week, Marist allowed 55.3 ppg.
— Marist has #291 eFG% in country.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Marist’s schedule, to this point: #327
— bench minutes: #178
— Marist’s best win: 75-59 over #196 Quinnipiac.

— Iona beat Marist twice this year, by 84-57/93-74
— Gaels won 15 of last 17 series games.

ACC tournament (@ Greensboro, NC)
Duke vs Virginia
— Duke (25-8, 16-6) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #295
— Continuity: #338
— Duke won eight in row, 11 of last 13 games.
— Since 2014, Blue Devils are 18-5 SU in ACC tournament.
— Duke has #23 eFG% defense in country.
— Blue Devils are #6 team on offensive boards.
— Duke is 6-4 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #72
— bench minutes: #151
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #17 Xavier.

— Virginia (25-6, 17-5) ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #360
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #13
— Virginia won four in row, 15 of last 18 games.
— Cavaliers had stress-free win over Clemson Friday.
— Since 2018, Virginia is 8-2 in ACC tourney (won it in ’18)
— Opponents are shooting 46.5% inside arc (#38)
— Virginia is #48 team on defensive boards.
— Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #81
— bench minutes: #270
— Virginia’s best win: 86-79 over #16 Baylor

— Duke (+6) lost 69-62 in OT at Virginia February 11
— That is last game Duke lost.
— Teams split their last eight meetings.

Conference USA tournament (@ Frisco, TX)
Florida Atlantic vs Alabama-Birmingham
— Florida Atlantic (30-3, 20-2) ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #24
— FAU won six in row, nine of last ten games
— FAU is 5-2 in last four C-USA tournaments.
— Owls played nine guys 10:00+ in Friday’s 68-65 win.
— Owls has #20 eFG% offense, #21 eFG% defense in country.
— FAU is #37 team in country on defensive boards.
— FAU’s schedule, to this point: #141
— bench minutes: #13
— FAU’s best win: 88-86 over #54 UAB

— Alabama-Birmingham (25-8, 16-6) ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #35
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #112
— UAB won eight in row, 12 of last 13 games
— Blazers are 8-2 in last four C-USA tournaments.
— Blazers have #54 eFG% defense in country.
— UAB is shooting 37.2% on arc (#32), 49.2% inside arc (#233)
— UAB is getting 20.9% of points on foul line (#49)
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #146
— bench minutes: #64
— UAB’s best win: 86-77 over #30 Florida Atlantic

— Teams split pair of home wins this season.
— Before that, UAB had won 10 of previous 11 meetings.

Big West tournament (@ Dollar Loan Arena, Las Vegas)
Cal-Fullerton vs Cal-Santa Barbara
— Cal State-Fullerton (20-12, 14-6) ranked #114 by KenPom
— Tempo: #313
— Experience: #227
— Continuity: #180
— Fullerton won seven games in row, last three by 4-2-3 points.
— Titans won two of last four Big West tournaments.
— All five Titan starters scored in double figures Friday.
— Fullerton is shooting 46.1% inside arc (#324), 36.7% on arc (#46)
— Fullerton is getting 21.4% of points on foul line (#36)
— Fullerton’s schedule, to this point: #131
— bench minutes: #249
— Fullerton’s best wins: 62-61/83-80 over #100 Cal-Irvine.

— Cal-Santa Barbara (26-7, 17-5) ranked #109 by KenPom
— Tempo: #308
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #22
— UCSB won its last six games (4-0-2 ATS).
— Gauchos played 4 starters 32:00+ in yesterday’s 92-87 win.
— UCSB trailed that game 13-2 early on, but rallied to win.
— Gauchos won Big West tournament two years ago.
— UCSB is shooting 55.2% inside arc (#20)
— UCSB’s schedule, to this point: #222
— bench minutes: #342
— UCSB’s best win: 73-65 at #100 Cal-Irvine.

— Road team won both meetings this season.
— UCSB is 8-5 in last thirteen series games.

Pac-12 tournament (@ T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas)
UCLA vs Arizona
— UCLA (29-4, 20-2) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #222
— Experience: #108
— Continuity: #151
— UCLA won its last 12 games (8-2-1 ATS last 11)
— UCLA played 4 starters 31:00+ in Friday’s 75-56 win.
— Bruins have couple regulars down with injuries.
— UCLA has #15 eFG% defense in country.
— Bruins force turnovers 23.8% of time (#9)
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #41
— bench minutes: #267
— UCLA’s best win: 82-73 over #10 Arizona, last Saturday

— Arizona (27-6, 16-6) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #8
— Experience: #54
— Continuity: #165
— Arizona is 5-3 in last eight games, after a 22-3 start.
— Wildcats played three guys 33:00+ in last night’s 78-59 win
— Arizona is shooting 57% inside arc (#8), 38.4% inside arc (#14)
— Arizona has #44 eFG% defense in country.
— Wildcats are 15-6 against top 100 teams.
— Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #291
— Arizona’s best win: 58-52 over #2 UCLA.

— Home team won both meetings this season.
— UCLA won six of last eight series games.

WAC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
Grand Canyon vs Southern Utah
— Grand Canyon (23-11, 13-7) ranked #112 by KenPom
— Tempo: #291
— Experience: #63
— Continuity: #176
— Grand Canyon won its last five games, scoring 79.6 ppg.
— GCU made 16-30 on arc Friday, KO’d #1-seed Sam Houston State 78-75.
— Antelopes played seven guys 24:00+ yesterday.
— Antelopes are shooting 36.8% on arc (#44).
— Grand Canyon is getting 20.6% of its points on foul line (#57).
— Grand Canyon’s schedule, to this point: #129
— bench minutes: #140
— Grand Canyon’s best wins: 72-68 OT/78-75 over #67 Sam Houston

— Southern Utah (22-11, 14-6) ranked #103 by KenPom
— Tempo: #16
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #113
— Southern Utah won first two WAC tourney games, by one point each.
— Southern Utah won 89-88 on a 4-point play at the buzzer last night.
— Thunderbirds trailed by 23 in 2nd half Friday, stormed back for unlikely win.
— Thunderbirds are getting 22.7% of their points on foul line (#15)
— Southern Utah has #270 eFG% defense in country.
— Southern Utah’s schedule, to this point: #100
— bench minutes: #359
— Southern Utah’s best wins: 79-67/89-88 over #80 Utah Valley

— Grand Canyon (+5) won 83-78 at Southern Utah March 1st.
— Antelopes trailed that game 21-7 early on.

 
Posted : March 11, 2023 8:39 am
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