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NCAABB Conference Tournament Match-Ups and Trends For Sunday 3/5/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 58608
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : March 5, 2023 7:49 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58608
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Big South tournament (@ Charlotte, NC)
Campbell vs NC-Asheville
— Campbell (16-17, 11-10) ranked #229 by KenPom
— Tempo: #320
— Experience: #227
— Continuity: #279
— Campbell is 3-0 in this tournament, giving up 67.3 ppg.
— Campbell is playing its fourth game in five days.
— Campbell played all five starters 28:00+ in Saturday’s 72-71 win.
— Camels are shooting 54.8% inside arc (#24)
— Camels are trying for first NCAA bid since 1992.
— Campbell’s schedule, to this point: #286
— bench minutes: #213
— Campbell’s best win: 85-61 over #130 Kennesaw State

— NC-Asheville (26-7, 18-2) ranked #149 by KenPom
— Tempo: #121
— Experience: #12
— Continuity: #124
— NC-Asheville won 17 of its last 18 games.
— Bulldogs are turning ball over 20.1% of time (#304)
— NC-Asheville is shooting 38.8% on arc (#9)
— NC-Asheville has #58 eFG% defense in country.
— Bulldogs were last in NCAA’s in 2016.
— NC-Asheville’s schedule, to this point: #295
— bench minutes: #267
— NC-Asheville’s best win: 98-95 in 2OT’s at Central Florida

— Asheville beat Campbell twice this season, 58-55/78-65
— Camels lost their last four games with Asheville.

MVC tournament (@ St Louis)
Drake vs Bradley
— Drake (26-7, 17-5) ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #217
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #18
— Drake won 12 of its last 13 games SU
— Last time Drake won Arch Madness was in 2008.
— Bulldogs have #70 eFG%, #49 eFG% defense in country.
— Bulldogs are #4 team in country on defensive boards.
— Drake is 8-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Drake’s schedule, to this point: #200
— bench minutes: #261
— Drake’s best win: 58-54 over #45 Mississippi State

— Bradley (25-8, 18-4) ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #283
— Experience: #210
— Continuity: #49
— Bradley won last 12 games, covered eight of last ten.
— Bradley played four starters 27:00+ Saturday.
— Bradley won this tournament in 2019/2020.
— Braves has #48 eFG%, #18 eFG% defense in country.
— Braves are #20 team on defensive boards.
— Bradley’s schedule, to this point: #192
— bench minutes: #157

— Bradley’s best win: 73-61 over #77 Drake
— Home side won both series games this season.
— Bradley won four of last five meetings.

Temple @ Tulane
— Temple (16-14, 10-7) ranked #111 by KenPom
— Tempo: #254
— Experience: #197
— Continuity: #50
— Temple lost five of its last seven games.
— Temple is 5-3 SU/6-0 ATS as an AAC road underdog.
— Temple is turning ball 20% of time (#294).
— Owls are getting 20.9% of points on foul line (#47)
— Owls have #74 eFG% defense in country.
— Temple’s schedule, to this point: #91
— bench minutes: #30
— Temple’s best win: 56-55 at #1 Houston

— Tulane (18-10, 11-6) ranked #99 by KenPom
— Tempo: #3
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #1
— Tulane lost three of its last four games.
— Green Wave is 6-2 SU/4-2 ATS as an AAC home favorite.
— Green Wave is shooting 78.4% on foul line (#9)
— Tulane is #261 team on defensive boards.
— Tulane is getting 20.7% of its points on foul line (#54)
— Tulane’s schedule, to this point: #122
— bench minutes: #301
— Tulane’s best wins: 96-89/90-89 OT over #34 Memphis.

— Tulane (even) won 87-76 at Temple January 7.
— Green Wave won four of last five series games.
— Owls won three of last four visits to New Orleans.

Southern Conference tournament (@ Asheville, NC)
Western Carolina vs Furman
— Western Carolina (18-14, 11-8) ranked #237 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #199
— Continuity: #280
— Western Carolina won six of its last eight games
— WCU made 10-22 on arc, had fairly stress-free win yesterday.
— Catamounts are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Catamounts have #29 eFG% defense in country.
— Western Carolina is forcing turnovers 20.4% of time (#66)
— Western Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #263
— bench minutes: #344
— Western Carolina’s best win: 79-67 over #88 Furman

— Furman (25-7, 16-3) ranked #88 by KenPom
— Tempo: #124
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #31
— Furman won 12 of its last 13 games
— Paladins beat Mercer by 15 yesterday; they were down one at half.
— Furman played nine guys 14:00+ Saturday.
— Paladins are shooting 59.1% inside arc (#2)
— Furman is 5-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Furman’s schedule, to this point: #275
— bench minutes: #289
— Furman’s best win: 69-57 at #115 NC-Greensboro

— Home team won both series meetings this year.
— Furman has won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Paladins (-14) won last meeting 93-59 February 11.

Chattanooga vs Wofford
— Chattanooga (17-16, 9-11) ranked #194 by KenPom
— Tempo: #136
— Experience: #40
— Continuity: #306
— Chattanooga is 5-3 SU in its last eight games
— Chattanooga won the last two days, scoring 92-85 points.
— Mocs made 15-28 on arc vs Samford, played 4 starters 32:00+
— Opponents are shooting 52.1% inside arc (#270)
— Mocs won this tournament LY, with a different coach
— Chattanooga’s schedule, to this point: #229
— bench minutes: #69
— Chattanooga’s best win: 82-73 at #127 Middle Tennessee

— Wofford (17-15, 9-10) ranked #227 by KenPom
— Tempo: #291
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #324
— Wofford is 4-3 in last seven games; all three losses were in OT
— Terriers played three starters 32:00+ in yesterday’s win.
— Wofford has #338 eFG% defense in country.
— Wofford is shooting 55.1% inside arc (#19), 32.8% on arc (#246)
— Terriers are 7-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Wofford’s schedule, to this point: #233
— bench minutes: #133
— Wofford’s best win: 67-62 at #24 Texas A&M

— Wofford beat Chattanooga twice TY, by 12-5 points.
— Mocs (+2) lost 86-74 at Wofford last Saturday.
— Wofford won seven of last nine series games.

Atlantic Sun tournament
Liberty @ Kennesaw State
— Liberty (26-7, 17-3) ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #317
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #5
— Liberty won its last five games.
— Flames’ last loss was 88-81 at Kennesaw February 16.
— Liberty is shooting 36.9% on arc (#38)
— Flames were in NCAA’s in 2019/2021.
— Liberty is #1 team in country on defensive boards.
— Liberty’s schedule, to this point: #232
— bench minutes: #166
— Liberty’s best win: 55-44 over #81 Bradley

— Kennesaw State (25-8, 17-3) ranked #130 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #57
— Continuity: #2
— Kennesaw won 15 of its last 17 games.
— Owls have never been in the D-I NCAA Tournament.
— Owls are shooting 37% on the arc (#36)
— Kennesaw is #57 team in country on defensive boards.
— Kennesaw is 11-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Kennesaw’s schedule, to this point: #201
— bench minutes: #211
— Kennesaw’s best win: 88-81 over #44 Liberty

— These teams haven’t played since Thursday.
— Kennesaw beat Liberty 86-81 at home February 16.
— Before that, Liberty had won 10 in a row over Kennesaw.

Sun Belt tournament (@ Pensacola, FL)
South Alabama vs James Madison
— South Alabama (18-15, 11-9) ranked #95 by KenPom
— Tempo: #253
— Experience: #200
— Continuity: #347
— South Alabama won 10 of its last 12 games.
— South Alabama upset #1-seed Southern Miss Saturday.
— South Alabama played four starters 33:00+ yesterday
— Jaguars have #26 eFG% defense.
— Jaguars are 4-9 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— South Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #132
— bench minutes: #338
— South Alabama’s best wins: 85-54/78-61 over #96 Southern Miss.

— James Madison (22-10, 13-6) ranked #97 by KenPom
— Tempo: #31
— Experience: #9
— Continuity: #35
— James Madison won nine of its last 11 games.
— Dukes played nine guys 12:00+ in yesterday’s win.
— Dukes force turnovers 21.7% of time (#28)
— James Madison is getting 20.9% of points on foul line (#49)
— James Madison is 8-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— James Madison’s schedule, to this point: #194
— bench minutes: #16
— James Madison’s best win: 72-66 at #84 Marshall

— South Alabama (+3) beat James Madison 63-62 at home January 12.
— That was teams’ first meeting as Sun Belt rivals.

Texas State vs Louisiana
— Texas State (16-18, 9-12) ranked #186 by KenPom
— Tempo: #337
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #80
— Texas State was 3-10 in last 13 games before going 3-0 in this event.
— Bobcats outscored Marshall 15-4 over final 5:28 yesterday.
— Texas State played six guys 24:00+ in yesterday’s win.
— Bobcats are getting 21.2% of their points on foul line (#39)
— Texas State getting 22.6% of their points on foul line (#338)
— Texas State’s schedule, to this point: #133
— bench minutes: #12
— Texas State’s best win: 71-68 over #84 Marshall yesterday

— Louisiana (24-7, 14-5) ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #118
— Experience: #170
— Continuity: #68
— Louisiana won 14 of its last 17 games.
— Cajuns played nine guys 10:00+ in yesterday’s stress-free win.
— Louisiana has #61 eFG% in country
— Cajuns are #25 team in country on offensive boards.
— Louisiana is 6-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Louisiana’s schedule, to this point: #160
— bench minutes: #246
— Louisiana’s best win: 77-67 over #84 Marshall

— Louisiana beat Texas State TY, by 9-19 points.
— Ragin’ Cajuns won five of last seven series games.
— Louisiana upset #1-seed Texas State in last year’s tournament.

Summit League tournament (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
St Thomas vs Western Illinois
— St Thomas (18-13, 9-9) ranked #204 by KenPom
— Tempo: #237
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #158
— St Thomas split its last ten games SU.
— Opponents are shooting 52.8% inside arc (#301)
— St Thomas is shooting 35.2% on arc (#115)
— Tommies are getting 36.8% of their points on the arc (#33)
— This is Tommies’ first-ever game in a D-I conference tournament.
— St Thomas’s schedule, to this point: #278
— bench minutes: #240
— St Thomas’s best win: 78-76 over #128 Troy

— Western Illinois (16-13, 9-9) ranked #261 by KenPom
— Tempo: #200
— Experience: #296
— Continuity: #307
— Western Illinois lost five of its last seven games.
— Western Illinois is shooting 52% inside arc (#93), 31.5% on arc (#313)
— Opponents are shooting 54.9% inside arc (#342)
— Leathernecks are #85 team on defensive boards.
— Western Illinois is going to finish over .500 for first time since 2013
— Western Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #280
— bench minutes: #352
— Western Illinois’ best win: 81-73 in OT over #160 South Dakota State.

— Home team won both series games this season.
— Teams split couple games last year, too.

South Dakota vs North Dakota State
— South Dakota (12-18, 7-11) ranked #292 by KenPom
— Tempo: #241
— Experience: #169
— Continuity: #92
— South Dakota lost five of its last six games
— South Dakota has #299 eFG% defense in country.
— Coyotes are shooting 45.1% inside arc (#340), 38.5% on arc (#12)
— Coyotes are 8-9 vs teams ranked outside the top 200.
— South Dakota is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— South Dakota’s schedule, to this point: #227
— bench minutes: #293
— South Dakota’s best win: 69-68 over #74 BYU.

— North Dakota State (14-16, 11-7) ranked #208 by KenPom
— Tempo: #145
— Experience: #346
— Continuity: #278
— ND State won five of its last six games
— Bison is shooting 52.8% inside arc (#77).
— Bison is worst team in country at forcing turnovers..
— ND State is #6 team in country on defensive boards.
— ND State is 3-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— ND State’s schedule, to this point: #190
— bench minutes: #51
— ND State’s best win: 67-62 at #155 Portland.

— Home team won both series games this season.
— North Dakota State won eight of last ten meetings

 
Posted : March 5, 2023 7:51 am
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