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NCAABB Conference Tournament Match-Ups and Trends For Thursday 3/9/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 58857
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : March 9, 2023 9:45 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58857
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

ACC tournament (@ Greensboro, NC)
Wake Forest vs Miami
Wake Forest (19-13, 11-10) ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #56
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #296
— Wake Forest lost four of its last six games.
— Since 2008, Wake is 3-15 in ACC tournament (1-5 last 5+ years).
— Deacons played all 5 starters 31:00+ yesterday; Appleby played all 40:00
— Wake Forest has #27 eFG% in country.
— Deacons are 7-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Wake Forest’s schedule, to this point: #83
— bench minutes: #261
— Wake Forest’s best win: 81-70 over #31 Duke

— Miami (24-6, 15-5) ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #102
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #144
— Miami won eight of its last nine games.
— Hurricanes won their first ACC tourney game 13 of last 17 years.
— Miami is shooting 37.2% on arc (#32), 54.5% inside arc (#32)
— Hurricanes are #60 team in country on offensive boards.
— Opponents are shooting 51.9% inside arc (#263)
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #91
— bench minutes: #321
— Miami’s best win: 81-59 over #31 Duke

— Miami (-7) beat Wake Forest 96-87 at home February 18
— Hurricanes shot 62% inside arc; Wake was 15-35 on arc.
— Hurricanes won five of last six series games.

Pitt vs Duke
— Pitt (22-10, 15-6) ranked #66 by KenPom
— Tempo: #174
— Experience: #13
— Continuity: #309
— Pitt split its last six games =SU
— Since 2015, Panthers are 5-8 SU in ACC tournament.
— Pitt played three starters 33:00+ yesterday.
— Panthers have #46 eFG%, #83 eFG% defense.
— Pitt is 6-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Pitt’s schedule, to this point: #102
— bench minutes: #318
— Pitt’s best win: 68-65 over #37 Virginia.

— Duke (23-8, 14-6) ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #292
— Continuity: #338
— Duke won six in row, nine of last 11 games.
— Since 2014, Blue Devils are 16-5 SU in ACC tournament.
— Duke has #21 eFG% defense in country.
— Blue Devils are #7 team on offensive boards.
— Duke is 17-3 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #72
— bench minutes: #154
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #17 Xavier.

— Pitt (+8) lost 77-69 at Duke January 11.
— Blue Devils won six of last seven series games.
— Pitt coach Capel is a former Duke assistant.

North Carolina vs Virginia
— North Carolina (20-12, 12-9) ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #99
— Experience: #24
— Continuity: #15
— North Carolina won four of its last five games
— Since 2015, UNC is 16-7 in ACC tournament games.
— Tar Heels had a stress-free 85-61 over Boston College.
— UNC is shooting 31.2% on arc (#321)
— Tar Heels are #14 team on defensive boards.
— North Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #55
— bench minutes: #359
— North Carolina’s best win: 71-63 over #36 Virginia

— Virginia (23-6, 15-5) ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #360
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #14
— Virginia won six of its last eight games
— Since 2016, Cavaliers are 9-4 in ACC tournament.
— Opponents are shooting 46.8% inside arc (#49)
— Cavaliers are #38 team on defensive boards.
— Virginia is 6-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #81
— bench minutes: #274
— Virginia’s best win: 86-79 over #14 Baylor.

— Teams split a pair of home wins this season.
— Virginia won eight of last 11 series games.

NC State vs Clemson
— NC State (23-9, 13-8) ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #89
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #233
— NC State split its last eight games
— Last 6+ years, NC State is 3-5 in ACC tournament.
— Wolfpack had stress-free 97-77 win over Va Tech last nite.
— Wolfpack is 10-8 against top 100 teams.
— NC State is 6-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— NC State’s schedule, to this point: #86
— bench minutes: #267
— NC State’s best win: 83-81 OT over #37 Miami

— Clemson (22-9, 14-6) ranked #68 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #141
— Clemson won four of its last six games
— Since 2009, Tigers are 6-13 in ACC tourney
— Tigers have #24 eFG% in country, #45 eFG% defense.
— Clemson is #27 team in country on defensive boards.
— Clemson is 6-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #116
— bench minutes: #114
— Clemson’s best win: 72-64 over #31 Duke.

— Clemson beat NC State twice TY, by 14-25 points.
— Tigers won last six series games.

Big East tournament (@ Madison Square Garden)
Providence vs UConn
— Providence (21-10, 13-7) ranked #45 by KenPom
— Tempo: #196
— Experience: #110
— Continuity: #282
— Providence lost three of last four games, after starting season 20-7.
— Since 2015, Providence is 6-7 in Big East tournament.
— Friars scored 85+ points in four of last six games.
— Friars are #14 team in country on offensive boards.
— Providence is getting 21.1% of points on foul line (#42)
— Providence’s schedule, to this point: #76
— bench minutes: #256
— Providence’s best win: 73-61 over #4 UConn

— UConn (24-7, 13-7) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #187
— Experience: #117
— Continuity: #249
— UConn won five in row, eight of last nine games
— UConn went WL in its last three conference tournaments.
— Huskies have #10 eFG% defense in country.
— Huskies are shooting 53.1% inside arc (#66), 35.6% on arc (#98)
— UConn is #1 team in country on offensive boards.
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #47
— bench minutes: #212
— UConn’s best win: 82-67 over #3 Alabama

— Teams split pair of home wins this season.
— Since re-joining Big East, UConn is 2-3 vs Providence

SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
Arkansas vs Auburn
— Arkansas (19-12, 8-10) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #50
— Experience: #260
— Continuity: #333
— Arkansas lost three in row, five of last seven games.
— Last four years, Hogs are 3-3 in SEC tourney games.
— Arkansas is turning ball over 18.2% of time in SEC play (#11 of 14)
— Hogs have #22 eFG% defense in country.
— Arkansas is getting 20.4% of its points on foul line (#66)
— Arkansas’ schedule, to this point: #25
— bench minutes: #291
— Arkansas’ best win: 78-74 OT over #15 San Diego State

— Auburn (20-11, 10-8) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #165
— Experience: #84
— Continuity: #58
— Auburn lost eight of its last 12 games
— Since 2016, Auburn is 4-4 in SEC tournament; they won it in 2019, lost in first round four times, didn’t play in 2020 or 2021
— Tigers have #6 eFG% defense in country.
— But……Tigers are #311 team on defensive boards.
— Opponents are getting 23.2% of points on foul line (#350)
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #23
— bench minutes: #70
— Auburn’s best win: 79-70 over #5 Tennessee.

— Auburn (-1.5) beat Arkansas 72-59 at home January 7.
— Teams split their last eight meetings.

Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
Iowa State vs Baylor
— Iowa State (18-12, 9-9) ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #325
— Experience: #7
— Continuity: #186
— Iowa State is 4-9 in its last thirteen games.
— Last three years, Cyclones are 0-3 in Big X tournament.
— Iowa State is forcing turnovers 25.3% of time (#2)
— Cyclones are #56 team on offensive boards.
— Opponents are getting 22.4% of points on foul line (#333)
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #5
— bench minutes: #190
— Iowa State’s best win: 78-67 over #8 Texas

— Baylor (22-9, 11-7) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #216
— Experience: #196
— Continuity: #180
— Baylor lost three of its last five games.
— Since 2017, Bears are 1-5 SU in Big X tournament.
— Baylor is shooting 36.8% on arc (#41)
— Bears are getting 37% of their points on arc (#29)
— Opponents are shooting 53.2% inside arc (#314)
— Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #3
— bench minutes: #180
— Baylor’s best win: 80-75 over #2 UCLA

— Iowa State beat Baylor twice this year, by 15-15 points.
— Cyclones (+7) won 73-58 in Waco five days ago.
— Before that, Baylor had won previous six meetings.

Kansas vs West Virginia
— Kansas (25-6, 13-5) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #75
— Experience: #229
— Continuity: #228
— Kansas won seven of its last eight games.
— Since 2006, Jayhawks are 34-6 in this tournament.
— Kansas has #30 eFG% defense in country.
— Jayhawks force turnovers 20.1% of time (#74)
— Kansas is 13-5 vs top 50 teams.
— Kansas’ schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #361
— Kansas’ best win: 88-80 over #8 Texas

— West Virginia (10-13, 8-11) ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #108
— Experience: #69
— Continuity: #332
— West Virginia won four of its last five games.
— Since 2016, WVU is 10-6 SU in conference tournaments.
— West Virginia played three starters 31:00+ in yesterday’s 78-62 win.
— WVU is #24 team on offensive boards.
— West Virginia forces turnovers 21% of time (#46)
— West Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #4
— bench minutes: #175
— West Virginia’s best win: 89-81 over #18 Kansas State

— Kansas beat West Virginia twice this year, by 14-2 points.
— Jayhawks won 14 of last 16 series games.

Oklahoma State vs Texas
— Oklahoma State (18-14, 9-10) ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #167
— Experience: #76
— Continuity: #170
— OSU lost five of its last seven games.
— Since 2018, Cowboys are 5-3 in Big X tournament.
— OSU played three starters 33:00+ in yesterday’s 57-49 win.
— Opponents are shooting 44.8% inside arc (#11)
— OSU is turning ball over 20.5% of time (#317)
— OSU’s schedule, to this point: #7
— bench minutes: #53
— OSU’s best win: 67-60 over #17 West Virginia.

— Texas (23-8, 12-6) ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #67
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #139
— Texas split its last eight games SU
— Since 2016, Longhorns are 4-5 in Big X tourney.
— Texas is shooting 54.1% inside arc (#41)
— Texas is forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#21)
— Longhorns are 8-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Texas’ schedule, to this point: #8
— bench minutes: #129
— Texas’ best win: 93-74 over #7 Gonzaga

— Texas beat Oklahoma State twice this year, by 14-10 points.
— Longhorns won seven of last ten series games.

TCU vs Kansas State
— TCU (20-11, 9-9) ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #3
— TCU won three of last five games, after a 1-5 skid.
— Frogs are 2-5 SU in last five conference tournaments.
— TCU is forcing turnovers 22% of time (#26)
— Frogs are shooting 29.6% on arc (#353), 53% inside arc (#71)
— TCU has #67 eFG% defense in country.
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #16
— bench minutes: #12
— TCU’s best win: 75-73 over #8 Texas

— Kansas State (23-8, 11-7) ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #40
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #316
— K-State won four of its last five games.
— Five of last seven years, Wildcats went WL in Big X tournament.
— K-State is forcing turnovers 20.9% of time (#51)
— Wildcats have #44 eFG% defense in country.
— K-State is getting 21.3% of points on foul line (#38)
— K-State’s schedule, to this point: #14
— bench minutes: #323
— K-State’s best win: 116-103 at #8 Texas

— Teams split home wins this season.
— K-State won five of last eight series games.

Mountain West tournament (@ Thomas & Mack, Las Vegas)
Boise State @ UNLV
— Boise State (23-8, 13-5) ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #214
— Experience: #180
— Continuity: #105
— Boise State won eight of its last eleven games
— Last four years, Boise State is 5-3 in Mountain West tourney.
— Broncos have #32 eFG% defense.
— Broncos are #17 team in country on defensive boards.
— Boise State is 7-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Boise State’s schedule, to this point: #59
— bench minutes: #349
— Boise State’s best win: 66-60 over #15 San Diego State

— UNLV (19-12, 8-11) ranked #88 by KenPom
— Tempo: #57
— Experience: #61
— Continuity: #256
— UNLV won three of its last four games.
— Last 4+ years, UNLV is 2-4 in this tournament.
— Rebels are forcing turnovers 25% of time (#3)
— Rebels has #269 eFG% defense in country.
— UNLV is #300 team on defensive boards.
— UNLV’s schedule, to this point: #78
— bench minutes: #55
— UNLV’s best win: 68-62/69-67 OT over #40 Nevada.

— Boise State beat UNLV twice this year, by 18-4 points.
— Broncos won last seven meetings.

San Jose State vs Nevada
— San Jose State (19-12, 10-8) ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #352
— Experience: #162
— Continuity: #50
— San Jose State won five of its last seven games
— Since 2012, Spartans are 0-11 in MW tournament.
— Spartans are #19 team on offensive boards, #18 on defensive end.
— San Jose State is turning ball over 19.1% of time (#240)
— San Jose State is having its best basketball season in 40 years.
— San Jose State’s schedule, to this point: #71
— bench minutes: #326
— San Jose State’s best win: 69-64 over #23 Utah State

— Nevada (22-9, 12-6) ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #247
— Experience: #148
— Continuity: #164
— Nevada lost its last two games, after a 6-1 run.
— Nevada went WL in this tournament four of last five years.
— Wolf Pack is getting 23.4% of their points on foul line (#8)
— Wolf Pack is 6-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Nevada shooting 51% inside arc (#214)
— Nevada’s schedule, to this point: #49
— bench minutes: #338
— Nevada’s best win: 85-70 over #23 Utah State

— Nevada beat San Jose twice this year, by 27-15 points.
— Wolf Pack won 13 of last 14 series games.

Big West tournament (@ Dollar Loan Center, Las Vegas)
Hawai’i vs Cal State-Fullerton
— Hawai’i (22-10, 13-7) ranked #125 by KenPom
— Tempo: #304
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #76
— Hawai’i won six of its last nine games
— Hawai’i is 1-5 in last six Big West tournaments.
— Rainbows have #6 eFG% defense in country, #272 offense.
— Rainbows are best team in country at defending 3-pointers.
— Hawaii is 9-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Hawaii’s schedule, to this point: #239
— bench minutes: #345
— Hawaii’s best win: 62-51 over #53 Washington State

— Cal State-Fullerton (18-12, 12-6) ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #224
— Continuity: #177
— Fullerton won six in row, eight of last nine games
— Titans won two of last four Big West tournaments.
— Titans have #78 eFG% defense in country.
— Fullerton is shooting 46.4% inside arc (#320)
— Fullerton is getting 21.5% of points on foul line (#33)
— Fullerton’s schedule, to this point: #131
— bench minutes: #257
— Fullerton’s best win: 62-61 over #98 Cal-Irvine.

— Fullerton beat Hawa’i twice this year, 79-72 OT/52-51
— Teams split last eight series games.

 
Posted : March 9, 2023 9:47 am
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