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NCAABB Conference Tournaments Match-Ups and Trends For Tuesday 3/7/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 60276
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : March 7, 2023 10:57 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60276
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

ACC tournament (@ Greensboro, NC)
Georgia Tech vs Florida State
Georgia Tech (14-17, 6-14) ranked #166 by KenPom
— Tempo: #196
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #148
— Georgia Tech won five of its last seven ACC games.
— Since 2011, Georgia Tech is 4-10 in ACC tournament.
— Georgia Tech has #286 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are shooting 51.7% inside arc (#257)
— Jackets are #246 team on defensive boards.
— Georgia Tech’s schedule, to this point: #82
— bench minutes: #186
— Georgia Tech’s best win: 76-70 over #37 Miami

— Florida State (9-22, 7-13) ranked #212 by KenPom
— Tempo: #95
— Experience: #230
— Continuity: #195
— Florida State lost nine of its last 11 games.
— Seminoles are 4-5 in last five ACC tournaments.
— Florida State has #311 eFG% defense in country
— Seminoles are #318 team in country on defensive boards.
— Florida State is 4-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Florida State’s schedule, to this point: #71
— bench minutes: #296
— Florida State’s best win: 71-64 at #68 Pittsburgh

— Florida State (-2.5) beat Georgia Tech 75-64 at home January 7th.
— Seminoles are 6-5 in last eleven series games.

Louisville vs Boston College
— Louisville (4-27, 2-18) ranked #284 by KenPom
— Tempo: #218
— Experience: #336
— Continuity: #272
— Louisville lost eight of its last nine games
— Since 2015, Louisville is 3-6 in conference tournaments.
— Cardinals are turning ball over 22.5% of time (#352)
— Louisville has #329 eFG% defense, #293 eFG% offense
— Cardinals are #238 team on defensive boards.
— Louisville’s schedule, to this point: #70
— bench minutes: #246
— Louisville’s best win: 83-73 over #70 Clemson

— Boston College (15-16, 9-11) ranked #173 by KenPom
— Tempo: #202
— Experience: #192
— Continuity: #61
— Boston College won three of its last four games
— Since 2014, Eagles are 5-9 in ACC tournament.
— Opponents are shooting 36.8% on arc (#324)
— Eagles have #280 eFG%, #231 eFG% defemse.
— Boston College is 9-6 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— Boston College’s schedule, to this point: #93
— bench minutes: #19
— Boston College’s best win: 63-48 over #36 Virginia

— Louisville (+11) lost 75-65 at Boston College January 25
— Prior to that game, Cardinals had won previous seven meetings.

Notre Dame vs Virginia Tech
— Notre Dame (11-20, 3-17) ranked #170 by KenPom
— Tempo: #308
— Experience: #3
— Continuity: #79
— Notre Dame lost eight of its last nine games
— Since 2015, Notre Dame is 11-6 in ACC tournament.
— Opponents are shooting 52.3% inside arc (#285)
— Notre Dame is getting only 14.7% of points on foul line (#341)
— Notre Dame is 6-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Notre Dame’s schedule, to this point: #103
— bench minutes: #360
— Notre Dame’s best win: 70-52 over #28 Michigan State

— Virginia Tech (18-13, 8-12) ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #96
— Continuity: #163
— Virginia Tech split its last ten games
— Hokies won ACC tourney LY (were 3-9 in ACC tourney from 2013-21)
— Hokies have #31 eFG% in country (54.1% inside arc, #41)
— Virginia Tech is getting only 14.9% of points on foul line (#335)
— Virginia Tech is 8-9 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Virginia Tech’s schedule, to this point: #87
— bench minutes: #333
— Virginia Tech’s best win: 78-75 over #31 Duke

— Virginia Tech (-4) won 93-87 at Notre Dame February 11.
— Hokies won last five series games.

WAC tournament (@ Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas)
Abilene Christian vs California Baptist
— Abilene Christian (13-16, 5-11) ranked #188 by KenPom
— Tempo: #107
— Experience: #150
— Continuity: #114
— ACU is 0-5 in last five games (0-5 ATS), since winning at Cal Baptist.
— Wildcats are 7-1 SU in their last three conference tournaments.
— ACU has 5th-worst eFG% defense in country.
— Wildcats are shooting 47.8% inside arc (#280), 35.3% on arc (#111)
— Opponents get 22.2% of their points on foul line (#328)
— ACU’s schedule, to this point: #108
— bench minutes: #55
— ACU’s best win: 83-68 at #141 Seattle

— California Baptist (16-15, 7-10) ranked #159 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #34
— Continuity: #212
— Cal Baptist is 2-7 in its last nine WAC games.
— Lancers are 1-2 SU in their two WAC tournaments.
— Cal Baptist has #60 eFG% defense, #251 eFG% offense.
— Lancers are #66 team on defensive boards.
— Cal Baptist is 4-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Cal Baptist’s schedule, to this point: #180
— bench minutes: #47
— Cal Baptist’s best win: 73-64 at #105 Washington

— Abilene Christian (+5) won 87-71 at Cal Baptist February 4.
— ACU is 2-0 vs Cal Baptist in WAC play, winning by 9-16 points.

Texas-Arlington vs Grand Canyon
— Texas-Arlington (11-20, 6-12) ranked #242 by KenPom
— Tempo: #267
— Experience: #334
— Continuity: #323
— Arlington is 4-7 SU in its last eleven games.
— Last 3 years, Mavericks are 0-3 in conference tourney, losing by 1-5-3 points.
— Arlington is shooting 44.1% inside arc (#347), 32.2% on arc (#281)
— Mavericks are turning ball 21.5% of time (#341)
— Arlington is #295 team in country on defensive boards.
— Arlington’s schedule, to this point: #97
— bench minutes: #32
— Arlington’s best win: 70-58 over #69 Sam Houston State

— Grand Canyon (20-11, 10-7) ranked #119 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #62
— Continuity: #176
— Grand Canyon won three of last four D-I games.
— Antelopes are 7-3 SU in last four conference tournaments.
— Grand Canyon shooting 35.9% on arc (#78).
— Antelopes have #34 eFG% defense.
— Grand Canyon is #294 team on defensive boards.
— Grand Canyon’s schedule, to this point: #129
— bench minutes: #145
— Grand Canyon’s best win: 72-68 in OT over #69 Sam Houston State

— Grand Canyon (-11) pounded Tex-Arlington 80-48 January 12.
— Arlington led that game 30-28 at half, was outscored 52-18 in 2nd half.
— That game was teams’ first meeting as WAC rivals.

Rio Grande Valley vs Tarleton State
— Rio Grande (15-16, 5-12) ranked #248 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #321
— Continuity: #331
— Rio Grande is 4-8 in its last 12 WAC games.
— Vaqueros are 1-8 SU in last eight conference tournaments.
— Rio Grande is turning ball over 22.1% of time (#351)
— Vaqueros have #268 eFG% defense.
— Rio Grande gets 24.2% of its points on foul line (#4)
— Rio Grande’s schedule, to this point: #142
— bench minutes: #204
— Rio Grande’s best win: 77-76 at #119 Grand Canyon

— Tarleton State (11-9, 3-4) ranked #160 by KenPom
— Tempo: #201
— Experience: #234
— Continuity: #173
— This is Tarleton’s first D-I conference tournament game.
— Texans lost eight of their last 12 D-I games.
— Tarleton is coached by Billy Gillispie, the ex-Kentucky coach.
— Texans are forcing turnovers 23.9% of time (#8)
— Tarleton is getting 26.1% of points on foul line (#2); opponents 25.1% (#3)
— Tarleton’s schedule, to this point: #94
— bench minutes: #86
— Tarleton’s best win: 77-58 over #79 Utah Valley

— Rio Grande beat Tarleton twice TY, 68-65/99-95 OT
— Tarleton swept the two meetings last season.

Utah Tech vs Stephen F Austin
— Utah Tech (13-18, 5-13) ranked #157 by KenPom
— Tempo: #103
— Experience: #177
— Continuity: #33
— Utah Tech lost eight of its last eleven games.
— This is Trailblazers’ first-ever D-I conference tournament game.
— Utah Tech is turning ball over 21.2% of time (#336)
— Trailblazers have #328 eFG% defense.
— Utah Tech is getting 23.1% of points on foul line (#12)
— Utah Tech’s schedule, to this point: #107
— bench minutes: #207
— Utah Tech’s best win: 86-79 over #102 Southern Utah

— Stephen F Austin (19-12, 11-7) ranked #131 by KenPom
— Tempo: #69
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #169
— SF Austin is 4-3 SU in its last seven games.
— From 2014-18, Lumberjacks went 10-1 in conference tournaments.
— From 2019-22, SF Austin were 0-1 in conference tournaments.
— Lumberjacks are turning ball over 21.6% of time (#345)
— SF Austin is #322 team on defensive boards.
— SF Austin’s schedule, to this point: #138
— bench minutes: #27
— SF Austin’s best win: 75-58 over #114 NC-Greensboro

— Stephen F Austin (-3) won at Utah Tech 85-72 January 12
— Lumberjacks won both WAC meetings, by 29-13 points.

CAA tournament (@ Washington DC)
NC-Wilmington vs Charleston
— NC-Wilmington (24-9, 14-6) ranked #161 by KenPom
— Tempo: #275
— Experience: #236
— Continuity: #242
— UNCW won nine of its last dozen games
— UNCW was down 12 the last two days, won both games anyway.
— Seahawks played three starters 40+ minutes yesterday.
— Seahawks force turnovers 20.7% of time (#57)
— UNCW is getting 23.2% of its points on foul line (#9)
— UNCW’s schedule, to this point: #263
— bench minutes: #222
— UNCW’s best win: 55-51 over #46 North Texas

— Charleston (30-3, 18-2) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #26
— Experience: #302
— Continuity: #196
— Charleston won its last nine games (7-2 ATS).
— Cougars played nine guys 10:00+ in last nite’s 77-72 win
— Charleston is 4-4 in CAA tourney since winning it in 2018.
— Charleston is #15 team in country on offensive boards.
— Cougars have #70 eFG% defense in country.
— Charleston’s schedule, to this point: #311
— bench minutes: #22
— Charleston’s best win: 77-75 over #77 Virginia Tech.

— Charleston beat UNCW twice this year, 71-69/93-61
— Before this year, Seahawks had won last five series games.

Horizon Conference tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Northern Kentucky vs Cleveland State
— Northern Kentucky (21-12, 16-6) ranked #163 by KenPom
— Tempo: #358
— Experience: #87
— Continuity: #21
— NKU won six of its last seven games
— NKU won this tournament three of last six years.
— Norse is forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#15)
— Norse has #323 team on defensive boards.
— NKU played four starters 30:00+ in last nite’s 75-63 win.
— NKU’s schedule, to this point: #261
— bench minutes: #283
— NKU’s best win: 64-51 over #62 Cincinnati.

— Cleveland State (21-12, 16-6) ranked #178 by KenPom
— Tempo: #255
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #198
— Cleveland State won seven of its last eight games
— Last three years, Cleveland State is 6-1 in this tournament.
— Vikings are #358 team in country on defensive boards.
— Cleveland State is shooting 30.3% on the arc (#342)
— Vikings has #75 eFG% defense in country.
— Cleveland State’s schedule, to this point: #293
— bench minutes: #312
— Cleveland State’s best win: 81-78 over #122 Youngstown State

— Teams split a pair of one-point decisions this season.
— Teams also split their last ten meetings.

Summit League tournament (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
North Dakota State vs Oral Roberts
— North Dakota State (16-16, 13-7) ranked #205 by KenPom
— Tempo: #138
— Experience: #346
— Continuity: #278
— ND State won seven of its last eight games
— Bison is shooting 52.9% inside arc (#74).
— Bison is worst team in country at forcing turnovers.
— ND State is #4 team in country on defensive boards.
— ND State played three starters 37:00+ in Monday’s win.
— ND State’s schedule, to this point: #199
— bench minutes: #66
— ND State’s best win: 67-62 at #155 Portland.

— Oral Roberts (29-4, 20-0) ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #33
— Experience: #26
— Continuity: #28
— Oral Roberts won its last sixteen games (0-8 ATS last eight).
— Oral Roberts is shooting 56.2% inside arc (#13), 37.1% on arc (#33)
— Eagles are getting 38.5% of their points on the arc (#13)
— Opponents are shooting 47% inside arc (#50)
— Last three years, Oral Roberts is 6-1 in Summit tourney (won in ’21)
— Oral Roberts’ schedule, to this point: #256
— bench minutes: #342
— Oral Roberts’ best win: 84-70 over #47 Liberty.

— Oral Roberts beat Bison twice this year, 92-69/72-64
— North Dakota State is 5-3 in last eight series games.

WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga
— Saint Mary’s (26-6, 15-2) ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #359
— Experience: #172
— Continuity: #63
— Saint Mary’s won 16 of its last 18 D-I games.
— Gaels played three starters 37:00+ last night.
— Since 2016, Saint Mary’s is 11-6 in WCC tourney.
— Gaels have #18 eFG% defense, #2 team in country on defensive boards.
— Saint Mary’s has won one WCC tourney since 2013.
— Saint Mary’s schedule, to this point: #77
— bench minutes: #357
— Saint Mary’s best win: 78-70 OT over #10 Gonzaga

— Gonzaga (27-5, 15-2) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #43
— Experience: #43
— Continuity: #18
— Gonzaga won its last seven WCC games (4-3 ATS).
— Gonzaga won this tournament 15 of last 19 years.
— Zags are shooting 59% inside arc (#3), 38% on arc (#15)
— Zags are #73 team on defensive boards.
— Gonzaga was held to 70 or less points in four of five losses.
— Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #57
— bench minutes: #321
— Gonzaga’s best win: 100-90 over #3 Alabama.

— These teams split pair of home wins this season.
— Gonzaga won nine of last 11 series games.
— Zags beat Saint Mary’s in WCC finals the last three years.

Big West tournament (@ Dollar Loan Center, Las Vegas)
Cal-Northridge vs Cal-Bakersfield
— Cal-Northridge (7-24, 4-16) ranked #324 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #210
— Continuity: #243
— Northridge lost five of its last six games
— Since 2015, Northridge is 0-5 in Big West tournament.
— Matadors are shooting 42.8% inside arc (#358), 31.6% on arc (#307).
— Matadors are #268 team on defensive boards.
— Northridge is 4-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Northridge’s schedule, to this point: #173
— bench minutes: #166
— Northridge’s best win: 72-67 over #108 UCSB.

— Cal-Bakersfield (10-21, 6-14) ranked #285 by KenPom
— Tempo: #344
— Experience: #345
— Continuity: #248
— Bakersfield lost its last five games, scoring 57.8 ppg.
— Roadrunners are 2-5 in last five conference tournaments.
— Roadrunners are shooting 43.9% inside arc (#350)
— Opponents are getting 23.6% of their points on foul line (#352)
— Bakersfield is forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#66)
— Bakersfield’s schedule, to this point: #156
— bench minutes: #112
— Bakersfield’s best win: 82-76 in OT over #144 Riverside

— Teams split pair of home wins this season.
— Teams are 3-3 vs each other since Bakersfield joined Big West.

Cal Poly vs Long Beach State
— Cal Poly (7-24, 1-18) ranked #304 by KenPom
— Tempo: #2331
— Experience: #74
— Continuity: #22
— Cal Poly lost its last 18 games, last three by 1-3-6 points.
— Since 2015, Cal Poly is 1-6 in Big West tournament.
— Mustangs are turning ball over 20.9% of time (#327)
— Mustangs have #348 eFG% in country.
— Cal Poly is 1-11 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Cal Poly’s schedule, to this point: #153
— bench minutes: #171
— Cal Poly’s best win: 64-53 over #159 Cal Baptist.

— Long Beach State (17-15, 11-9) ranked #147 by KenPom
— Tempo: #5
— Experience: #311
— Continuity: #241
— Long Beach is 3-5 in its last eight games
— Since 2009, Long Beach is 11-2 in its first Big West tourney game.
— Long Beach is #18 team on offensive boards.
— Long Beach takes fewest 3-pointers in America.
— Long Beach is 6-6 ATS as a Big West favorite this season.
— Long Beach’s schedule, to this point: #132
— bench minutes: #83
— Long Beach’s best win: 93-88 in OT over #98 Cal-Irvine.

— Long Beach beat Cal Poly twice this year, by 19-18 points.
— Long Beach won last six series games.

 
Posted : March 7, 2023 10:58 am
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