Dr. Bob
Saturday Daytime Opinions/Possible Best Bets
GEORGE WASHINGTON (-13 ½) over Fordham
George Washington has lost 11 consecutive games but is favored by double-digits - which tells you how bad Fordham is. Fordham did win a couple of games back with an upset at St. Bonaventure, but the Rams are just 21-43-2 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points away from home under coach Dereck Whittenburg, including 9-36 ATS if they are not coming off 2 or more consecutive losses (0-3 ATS this season). Most of George Washington’s recent losses (8 of 11) have been away from home, but the Colonials are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 lined home games under coach Karl Hobbs, including 2-1-1 this season. My ratings favor George Washington by 15 ½ points and there is no way the Colonials are going to letdown given their long losing streak. I’ll lean with GW at -14 or less and I’d take George Washington in a 2-Star Best Bet at -12 points or less.
Miami-Florida (+14) over DUKE
Rotation #533 – 10:30 am PacificDuke is coming off a humiliating 47-74 loss at Clemson while Miami is coming off an impressive 79-52 upset win over highly ranked Wake Forest. Miami applies to a 181-90-3 ATS big road underdog momentum situation today while Duke’s loss sets them up in a negative 41-89-4 ATS situation. Duke is only 29-41 ATS in conference games after a conference loss over the years, so there is certainly no evidence that they’ll have an easy time bouncing back from their loss at Clemson. Miami, meanwhile, is 20-11-2 ATS as a conference dog of 2 points or more away from home, including 13-1-1 ATS against a team coming off a loss. Unfortunately, my ratings favor Duke by 15 points, so the line isn’t high enough to make this game a Best Bet. I’d take Miami-Florida in a 2-Star Best Bet at +15 points or more.
ASA
Minnesota at Houston
Play: Under 199.5Today we go contrarian again with an UNDER bet in the Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets game. At first glance most bettors are going to jump on the OVER in this game but based on our math-model this number should be 191, NOT the 200 the oddsmakers opened with. Neither team is shooting it well right now as Minnesota is coming off a game against Atlanta (thank you Hawks for the Top Game win) in which they hit just 36.4% from the field as a team. Two of the Wolves starters, Telfair and Gomes combined to go 1 of 19 from the field. Overall on the season the Wolves average just 44% shooting from the field when playing on the road so don’t expect a big change from the other night when they couldn’t hit the broadside of a barn. Houston on the other hand has had some problems of their own shooting the basketball as they hit just 39% of their attempts the other night in Memphis and the Grizzlies aren’t really know for their defense (they rank 29th in the NBA in FG% against). Looking at this series we find the scores have ALL been very low when the two teams square off in Houston. In this situation the two teams have combined for just 183, 195, 182, 157 and 161 total points in their last
RATING ?
The package I get didn't give the rating,sorry.
Hurley
GOW - Nebraska
Bonus - Hawaii
Bonus - Northern Ill
Mike Handzelek
Fordham +13.5
Kent State ML -165
Texas A&M ML -156
Wyoming ML +248
Santa Clara +4
Best Sports Picks
Heat +4
Cincy +10.5
Indiana +22
Texas Tech +4.5
Boise +5
Dr Bob
2 Saturday Daytime Best Bets.
Colorado (+21) 3-Stars at +20 or more, 2-Stars down to +19.
Virginia (+24 1/2) 2-Stars at +24 or more, 3-Stars at +25
Beat Your Bookie
100* Play Mississippi (+6.5) over Vanderbilt (NCAA)
Mississippi is 7-1 ATS vs. conference opponents this season
Mississippi is 7-1 SU over the last 8 games
Mississippi is 5-1 ATS in road games this season
Mississippi is 9-1 ATS coming off a game as an underdog
100* Play Kansas State (+3) over Texas A&M (NCAA)
Kansas State is 8-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less the last game
Kansas State is 12-2 SU coming off a win
Kansas State is 4-0 SU over the last 4 games
Texas A&M is 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this season
SMOOT44/ WSP
THE 'CUSE +6 -120
Pre-game Comment: Nova has won 5 of L6 and covered 6 straight. The Cuse got back on track last time out with a nice win over WVa. Today I like the Cuse because of their big man down low. I believe he will be the difference today and his presence will be enough to get Nova out of their game plan. Some feel the Cuse's win over the Mountaineers wasn't enough to get them back on track but I feel different, at least for today!
(CBB) 12:00PM EST
GEORGETOWN -10 -120
Pre-game Comment: The Hoyas have failed to cover 5 straight and yet are still a double digit fave to Cincy, a team that has won and covered 6 of their L8? I don't think so. Cincy has struggled on the road this year when facing solid competition and I believe the Hoyas presents them with many match up challenges. Look for the Hoyas to make a statement today!
(CBB) 1:00PM EST
MISSISSIPPI +7
Pre-game Comment: The two teams are more evenly matched than the line suggests. Vandy is 0-2 ATS this year when coming off a 5-9 point win and also 0-2 ATS this year as a 5-7 point fave! Meanwhile, Ole Miss has loved stepping up in competition this year and is an impressive 11-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record! I love Ole Miss to win the battle of the boards and to keep this close throughout and possibly stealing the outright win!
(CBB) 1:30PM EST
MIAMI-FL +14
Pre-game Comment: Duke is one of "America's" teams so it should not surprise us to see such an inflated line off their blowout loss last time out. While most of the world will be riding Duke I will gladly run the other way! Maimi is a very long and athletic team and they match up very well with the Devils. The Canes play great defense and defend the perimeter as well as anyone in the nation! They also crash the boards on both ends. I see them giving Duke trouble and an upset by the Canes wouldn't shock me!
(CBB) 2:00PM EST
NEBRASKA +4 -120
Pre-game Comment: Oddsmakers and the general public continue to over-value the Longhorns and today is no different. However, the Longhorns are just an average team in my opinion. The Huskers are an impressive 7-1 at home when coming off a win while Texas a perfect 0-3 ATS as a 3-4.5 point fave this season! Huskers win in a mild upset!
(CBB) 4:00PM EST
TEXAS A&M -3 -120
Pre-game Comment: K-ST appears to be rolling winning 4 straight while TXAM has dropped 4 of their L6. And this is exactly where we get our line value from. The Aggies are coming off a brutal stretch that included Texas, Kansas and Oklahoma twice so today they should welcome this step down in competition and at home! K-ST has struggled on the road covering just 3 of their L9 in this spot. Take the Aggies to get back to the win column!
(CBB) 6:00PM EST
NORTHWESTERN +2
Pre-game Comment: Northwestern continues to get no respect from oddsmakers but today I believe they make a statement. This team is very athletic and can hit the open 3's. If they are successful in hitting the 3's they force Iowa out of the paint and to respect the perimeter. This will lead to many opportunities for the Wildcats to drive the lines and get some easy buckets. I like this Northwestern team and believe they can be one of this year's surprises come tourney time. However, they have to prove to me they can win on the road and today is their chance!
(CBB) 8:00PM EST
OHIO STATE -4 -120
Pre-game Comment: Simply backing a system that involves backing certain unranked home teams against a ranked opponent. OSU fits into this system today! Some expect Minny to bounce back strong off that humiliating loss last time out but I don't!
(NBA) 8:35PM EST
MINNESOTA +8
Pre-game Comment: The T-Wolves have covered 13 of their L19 games and are an impressive 17-7 ATS on the road this year. The Wolves are also an impressive 7-3 ATS when coming off a 5-9 point loss. Meanwhile, Houston is a perfect 0-3 ATS when playing on 2 days rest and playing an opponent who is also on 2 days rest!
Plus Line Sports
NHL NJ Devils puck and money line
NCAA Troy +1
NBA Houston -7.5
THE PREZ
Cincinnati +11.0 (-110) / 4 units
NC Wilmington +20.5 (-110) / 6 units
Notre Dame +11.0 (-110) / 4 units
Notre Dame / UCLA u150.0 (-110) / 4 units
Texas A&M -3.5 (-110) / 4 units
Michigan +17.0 (-110) / 4 units
New Mexico -4.5 (-110) / 5 units
Executive
600 Vandy
500 Tenn
350 Missouri State
300 Bowl Green
300 Ohio State
Fairway Jay
E. Illinois -15.0
Loyola Chicago +6.5
Scott Spreitzer
25* Heat
Sports Unlimited
10* Vanderbilt
James Patrick
" Pot o Gold - Ohio State
JeffersonSports
NBA Early Release
Detroit-4
ASA
6* S Ala
GOLD SHEET
Kent
Kansas
Wyoming
Roz Juarbe
big 12 GOY - Nebraska
conf-usa gom UAB
NBA total - Chi/Dal OVER
N.Y. Sports Exchange
10* NewMexSt.
6* Duquesne
6* UAB
KIRK WINS
NBA
3* Toronto +3
NCAA
4* Northeastern -20
3* North Carolina -24.5
3* Michigan St. -22
3* Clemson -9.5
3* Minnesota +4.5
3* Santa Clara +3.5
3* Western Carolina -5
3* Murray St. +1.5
Tennessee Valley Sports
Tenn -3.5
Wunderdog
Los Angeles Clippers at Atlanta
5 units on Atlanta -7.5
The Clippers somehow put together a blowout win last game beating the Grizz 126-105. They hit a franchise-record sixteen 3-pointers and shot 59% from the field. Trend or anomoly? Anomoly! That was an absolute fluke. IT was their first win since January 23rd. This team averages 43% from the field and hit 59%. Not gonna happen again. If anything, that puts the Hawks on guard and they won't let up here. Yes, Joe Johnson may again be missing here, but his absence didn't stop them from winning both games he missed. And they covered the spread in both as well. The Hawks are simply great at home where they stand at 18-5 while the Clips have won just six of 19 on the road this season. Since last season, the Clips are just 24-43 ATS vs. winning temas. They are 45-66 ATS overall as an underdog. I like Atlanta to roll big here.
Denver at New Jersey
4 units on New Jersey +2.5
New Jersey has felt the fear of getting too far out of the playoff race to recover. And they have responded with three straight wins. They are very close to Milwaukee now for the eight spot and this is an important, and winnable game for them. The Nets have won six of their last eight ATS. The Nuggets barely got by the lowly Thunder a few nights ago, winning by just one point. This is the third straight road game for Denver, having covered the spread in the first two. Denver is 47-78 ATS in their last 125 games in that situation. I like the Nets in this spot.
Toronto at Memphis
3 units on Toronto +1.5
Toronto is in desparate need of a win. They put together three straight wins to snap a seven-game slide at the end of last month. But, they have proceeded to drop five in a row. This is a great spot for them to get the win they need to get some confidence back. Chris Bosh won't be here but Toronto can win this game as they are every bit the equal of Memphis. The Grizzlies are just 14-25 ATS the past two season vs. teams that hit 46%+ from the field. That includes an 0-11 mark vs. such teams in late-season play at home. Back in January, the Raptors beat Memphis 103-82 and Memphis is just 12-25 ATS revenging a loss this season. They are also 4-13 ATS coming off a home loss. I like the Raptors to win this one.
Arkansas at Mississippi State
4 units on Arkansas +7.5
Arkansas has found the going tough in recent SEC play, but they remain a viable threat to the Bulldogs who have been just 2-2 in their last four. The Bulldogs have had offensive droughts recently as a team that was scoring 70+ in five straight games has now gone stone cold offensively. They haven’t managed to score more than 67 points in their last four games - averaging just 63 points per game. The Razorbacks have stepped up against the better teams as they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 against teams with a .600+ winning percentage on the season. The Bulldogs are at their worst in this role, having gone just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as a 7-12.5 point home favorite. I like the Razorbacks in this one.
Tulane at Marshall
4 units on Tulane +7.5
The Thundering Herd is really going south as they have now dropped four straight, and six of seven. It is hard to trust them in this spot. They have been one of the worst pointspread teams in the process as they are just 4-11-1 against the number on the season. The Green Wave is getting no respect here as they are 1-7 on the road this season, but four of those were over Auburn, George Mason, Texas, and UAB, so not as bad as it looks. The Herd has not covered as a home favorite in their last seven tries, and this is not the spot where that is going to change. Tulane gets the call.
Brown at Harvard
4 units on Brown +6.5
Harvard had a two-game stretch where they played way over their head against Santa Clara and Boston College and have been highly over-valued since. The proof is in the before and after. Harvard did not cover a single game before their win over Santa Clara, nor have they covered one since their win over Boston College. The Crimson are 0-8-1 ATS outside of those two games. While the wins haven't been there for the Bruins, the close games have as they have. They dropped games by two points twice, a game by just three and a six-point loss. Outside of Cornell, the Ivy king pin, the Bruins have stayed in every game, and I expect the same here against an overrated Crimson team. I like Brown and the points here.
Xavier at Duquense
3 units UNDER 152.5
The Xavier Musketeers graduated a lot of key ingredients from their recent success, but hasn't skipped a beat. They play a sticky defense and have only allowed two teams all season to reach 75 points against them. Consequently, they will typically play to low totals. They have only been involved with two games all season with a total of 141 or higher and both finished UNDER. Duquesne loves to push the ball, but if you go back to last year when they met the X-Men's defense, that same offense that scored 80+ in 17 games, managed just 48 points! It takes two teams putting up points to get to the 150s, and the X-Men just aren't as accommodating as most. This one goes UNDER.
Louisiana Lafayette at North Texas
4 units on Louisiana Lafayette +5.5
The Ragin’ Cajuns haven't been much of a rage in the win column on the road, but they sure have played a few good teams tough. They own a two-point loss at LSU, and dropped a decision to always tough Western Kentucky by just five. The Eagles have surrounded a four-game winning streak with some really awful play as they dropped five straight prior, and have now dropped three straight after. This is a very inconsistent team that can't be trusted laying points as they have managed just one cover as a favorite all season. The opposite is true for the Cajuns. Despite the difficulty getting in the win column, they are killing the oddsmakers when posted as a dog by beating the number in that role in 16 of their last 22. We have a live dog here! LA-Lafayette gets the call.
Louisiana Monroe at New Orleans
5 units on Louisiana Monroe +5.5
The Warhawks have been going to war on the road with pop-guns. They have managed just one win in 12 tries. Once again we gain the value of a team that doesn’t win, but lines their backers with gold. The Warhawks, despite their losing ways, have been 8-4 ATS which includes covering four of their last six on the road. The Privateers have recorded three freebies in the win column against non-D1 schools, so they are a bit over-valued with inflated win column. The truth reads 7-13 against Division 1 opponents. That might help to explain their inability to cover as a small favorite of from 1-6.5 where they are just 1-6 ATS. The numbers tell the wrong story, but looking inside them paints a different picture, so Louisiana-Monroe gets the call here.
Denver at Arkansas Little Rock
4 units on Denver +8
The Pioneers have gone deep into the season looking for their first road win as they have laid an egg in the win column in their first 10 tries. That extends the length of value you find, as who wants to back a team that is 0-10 Su on the road. The hidden secret here is this team has covered nine of their last 10 games including their last five on the road. The Trojans are also flying high with six covers in their last seven and 7-1 SU in their last eight. The numbers look impressive, but where they matter the most is against the number. The Trojans are falling very short at home as they are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine. Denver's 0-10 looks ugly, but the grade here is ATS where they come up aces and the Trojans come up short. Denver gets the money in this one.
Doc
2-Unit Play Take Toronto +1 ½ Over Memphis
After having won two straight Memphis showed their true colors again by getting blasted by the Clippers. Now they host a Toronto team that has struggled lately but is a better team overall than Memphis. They have lost five straight but look who they played during that stretch – New Orleans, LA Lakers, Cleveland and Orlando. Not many teams are going to escape that foursome with many wins. However, this Toronto team is as good on the road (10-18) as Memphis is at home (10-18). The Raptors have a strong history in this series and have won the last four and covered the last three meetings.
Fairway Jay
20* Blue Chip: Connecticut Under 135
Blue Chip: Iowa State Over 138.5
Northern Colorado Under 135.5
San Jose State Over 138
Louisiana Tech +17
Colorado State Under 132.5
Florida State +9.5
Texas A&M -3.5
Auburn Over 147
Central Florida -2
PPP
4% Mia O
4% Calif
3% S Miss
3% ASU
USA SPORTS
Kansas State
Murray State
Cal Santa Barbara
Idaho
Bowling Green
Opposite Action Plays
Pistons
JB Sports
Mavericks
The Hitman Guaranteed Selections
9000 LARGE BIG EAST CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
Pittsburgh -15.5
MIKE NERI
4* OHIO
3* Texas A&M
3* Vanderbilt
GAME DAY
4* TEXAS AM
3* Miss State
2* Wyoming
2* Iowa State
2* Troy
SCORE
300 Nebraska
300 Arizona
400 UCLA
BRANDON LANG
15 Dime South Carolina
JEFFERSONSPORTS
PITT -16
MISSOURI OVER 139
Millionaire's Club
3* Wash St.
Jersey Boys
OKLAHOMA - 20
Tennessee vs. Auburn OVER 145 1/2
NC-Wilmington vs. Northeastern UNDER 141
Siena vs. Rider OVER 147
FORDHAM + 14
Kent State vs. Ball State OVER 116 1/2
Pittsburgh vs. DePaul UNDER 138
SPORTS UNLIMITED
7* St Mary
5* Cal Riverside
Sports Bank
Conference Game Of Year
500 Cal Riverside
Lenny Del Genio
College Revenge Game of the YEAR
Play on Providence
All the talk coming into the Big East season surrounded how the conference could conceivably send a record nine teams to the Big Dance. When that discussion surfaced, no one was talking about Providence. However, let�s take a look at the current league standings. The Friars are right in the thick of it as we speak, currently ahead of teams like Notre Dame and Georgetown. They are also 1.5 games in front of today�s opponent, West Virginia. This is a triple revenge game for Providence. The Friars are much better than last year. Last year�s leading scorer Xavier is now the fourth option. PG Curry has been a huge upgrade at that position. The team has been competitive in all league games this year, with the exception of UConn where they were overwhelmed by Thabeet. WVU has no inside presence like that. Their home court edge is also overrated by the linesmakers here. The Mountaineers are just 4-18 ATS at home off BB conference losses. They are just 3-4 ATS in Morgantown this season. Providence is our College Revenge Game of the Year
Tom Stryker
4* VCU
This CAA blowout comes with the ideal set. VCU enters off a stunning road loss at NC Wilmington while William & Mary checks in off a huge upset home win over Northeastern!
The Rams have played well in this series against William & Mary posting a solid 13-1 SU and 9-5 ATS record in the last 14 meetings. That includes a December 6th, 2008 road win against the Tribe in which the Black and Gold cruised to a 66-50 victory.
VCU has been at its best at the Alltel Pavilion coming off a straight up loss too. In fact, at home checking in off a blemish and matched up against a conference foe, the Rams are a reliable 25-10-1 ATS. Provided the Black and Gold are running with three days of rest or less and favored in this role, this amazing team trend explodes to a magnificent 20-3 ATS!
Fading William & Mary here shouldn't be a problem for any investor. Coming off a SU and ATS win, the Tribe has struggled something fierce posting a soft 37-56-3 ATS mark including a dismal 22-41-1 ATS record in this role running with three days of rest or less. In addition, when facing a conference opponent that lost straight up as a favorite last, William & Mary has proven to be an easy out notching an ugly 13-28 SU and ATS record.
In the 81-72 loss to UNC Wilmington, VCU shot poorly from behind the arc missing on 20-of-23 attempts. Rest assured, off that embarrassing loss to the Seahawks, the Rams will bounce back nicely here. Take VCU.
Chris James Sports
2* Northern Illinois +15.5
2* Drexel -2
2* Connecticut -17
1* Pittsburgh -16
1* Utah State -17
KBHOOPS
NCAAB
5* Missouri OVER 138.5 -120 **POD**
5* Vanderbilt -6.5 -120
5* Nebraska +3.5
5* Tex A&M -3
5* Florida State +9.5
NBA
5* T-Wolves +8
Big Daddy
TCU +2
Cogyle West
Oilers over 5.5
ASA
6* S. Ala
4* Denver (col)
3* Wyoming
3* IA St
3* T Wolves Under
RAS
Utah/Wyoming Under 149 1.00 UNIT