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The Soccer Expert

Milwauke vs. Washington under 209.5

Missouri St. at Indiana St. over 127

Arizona St. vs. Washington St. over 111 (TOP)

STEVE BUDIN

25 DIME INDIANA STATE

This price is a solid -3 as I received this play and had the site updated at midnight Eastern.

If you have Indiana State -3, I suggest you buy down the 1/2 point to -2 1/2 so you get the win should Indiana State win by three.

In the unlikely case you have Indiana State -3 1/2 - even after shopping around - buy down the 1/2 point to -3 so you get the push should Indiana State only prevail by three.

At over 1700 dimes of profit over the past two years, we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in this case.

Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself

Maddux Sports

NCAA Basketball

4 units on Southern Mississippi +23
3 units on Dayton -2.5
3 units on Georgia State +14.5
3 units on Auburn +5
3 units on Arizona +8
3 units on Creighton -7.5
3 units on Western Carolina -3

Free Pick New Mexico -8.5

ASA

College BB Major Mismatch Game of the Week - 17-5 run!

PLAY ON Western Kentucky + vs. Middle Tennessee State

This is a mismatch. MTSU simply isn't a good team right now. We went against them @ Florida International on Thursday and lost, however the Blue Raiders AGAIN were not impressive. They were 3.5 points favorites at FIU and barely covered 71-66. Considering the fact that Middle Tennessee got out to a 15-point lead because the Panthers began the game just 1 for 12 from the field. FIU also made only 41% of their free throws (7 of 17) yet despite those offensive struggles for the home team, it was still a down to the wire game. Last Saturday this team almost lost to Florida Atlantic who is 2-15 in the Sun Belt Conference. The Raiders trailed for much of that game and finally took a lead late in the game and held on for a close win. Their two games previous to that two game Florida stint were both home losses to North Texas and South Alabama. It's easy to see, this team is not playing well right now and laying points vs. the best team in the conference is ridiculous.

This is a big game for WKY who sits in first place in the Sun Belt East at 14-3. Troy is just one game behind them at 13-4. This is the final regular season game for each team, so a win here locks up first place for the Hilltoppers. While WKY has lost a few games on the road, they've shown up big away from home when needed. That includes a 5-3 overall road record in conference games and wins at 14-3 Arkansas Little Rock and 10-7 South Alabama. The Toppers have a huge statistical advantage in this match up. Their points per possession differential is a very good +0.158 while MTSU is just barely above water at 0.022 in conference games. WKY is 2nd in the league in shooting percentage, 3rd in defensive shooting percentage and 1st in rebounding. Compare that to MTSU who is 7th in shooting percentage, 11th in defensive FG percentage and 7th in rebounding.

Western Kentucky is absolutely the better team and they have a lot to play for tonight. They have dominated the series winning 9 of the last 10 outright and that continues on Saturday. The Hilltoppers show up big and get the road win.

Matt Fargo

New Mexico at Colorado State
Prediction: New Mexico

This is a rather big line but there is a lot on the line for the Lobos. A win here and a loss by Utah at BYU, which is more than possible, sets up a chance for New Mexico to grab a share of the MVC Championship as it hosts Utah on Tuesday. The Lobos will likely know what the Utes did since their game starts four hours before the game at Colorado St. A Utah loss will provide a lot more motivation for the Lobos but even if Utah does win, it is not over as each team still has one remaining game following their Tuesday matchup. This is the second meeting this season between New Mexico and Colorado St. and the Lobos easily won that first matchup by 18 points. That does set up a revenge spot for the Rams however, sometimes revenge is not enough as teams simply have huge advantages over other teams. That is the case with New Mexico who has won the last four meetings including three straight dating back to the start of last season by 30, 19 and 18 points. Going back further, the Lobos have won 24 of the last 27 meetings. In that first matchup this season, the Lobos scored 25 points off 20 turnovers by Colorado St. and that is no aberration. New Mexico is just 4-6 on the road this season but it has played better than that record indicates. All four of New Mexico?s conference losses have come on the road, by a combined margin of just 19 points (4.8 ppg). Colorado St. has not posted a much better record at home as it is just 6-7. There is only one quality win of the bunch and that was a two-point victory over UNLV back in January. The other three conference wins came against 5-9 TCU and 0-13 Air Force twice. The Rams are coming off a tough loss at home against bitter rival Wyoming so even though it is senior night, this game will be a tough one to get up for. That loss virtually locked up the requirement to play in the MWC Tournament play-in game which it was trying to avoid. A win here really does nothing now unless a lot of things fall into place. Well, yeah, I'm mad, said usually unflappable Colorado St. head coach Tim Miles. This won't go away soon. It's winnable. It's Wyoming. It's the play-in game. It's a lot of stuff I think that tells the story of how big that game really was for the Rams and how much they missed out on a good opportunity. New Mexico is one of the more athletic teams in the Mountain West Conference. The Lobos want to force an up-tempo pace, and their full-court defense is capable of disrupting everyone as it did in the first meeting against Colorado St. On the season, the Lobos are allowing a 0.88 assist/turnover ratio while the Rams have a ratio on offense of just 0.82. Those numbers tend to change in road and home situations and that is the case here but not much. The New Mexico defensive ratio goes to 0.99 in its road games which is still extremely solid considering it is under the breakeven point. As for the Rams, their offensive ratio actually drops at home to 0.75 so there will not be an advantage of the venue switch for this one. Another huge advantage is the efficiency comparisons. The Lobos are +7.9 in offensive efficiency, which is extremely solid as anything more than a +5 advantage is really big. In overall efficiency, which takes into account many other factors including defense, turnover percentage and offensive rebounding on both ends, New Mexico is +15.9. To put that into context, of the 91 games on Saturday, there are only 15 games where a team has a higher advantage in efficiency and those games have some pretty hefty spreads. This one is very doable considering that the two road conference wins by New Mexico both came by more than this number. 5* New Mexico Lobos

Joseph D'Amico

New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
Play: New York Knicks +5.5

New York has steadily progressed over recent weeks. They have seemed to mesh as a unit, and have overcome all of their off-the-court distractions. The Knick's have won 4 straight and 6 of 7 over the Heat, including their only meeting earlier this season. Forward Dorell Wright is once again listed as day-to-day with a knee injury for Miami. The Heat are 0-5 ATS their last 5 at home when playing the 2nd game of back-to-back at the American Airlines Arena. New York is 4-0 ATS their last 4 road games vs. teams with a winning home record and 8-1 ATS their last 9 as a road 'dog of 5-10.5 points. Miami is 16-35-1 ATS their last 52 as a favorite, 3-8-1 ATS their last 12 games played on 0 days rest, and 7-19 ATS their last 26 vs. the NBA Atlantic. New York gets the easy cover here.

Kiki Sports

2 units Duke -5.5
2 units Mississippi State -5.5

1 unit St. John's +1
1 unit Northwestern -6.5
1 unit Tulane +3.5
1 unit Mississippi -6.5
1 unit Western Kentucky +2

SCOTT SPREITZER

GAME OF THE YEAR

BYU

Winning Angle

NCAA

Play California (+2.5) over UCLA* (Top NCAA Play)

California has won 5 of the last 6 games and they have also covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games at home this season. California has also covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 games after scoring 80 points or more in the last game.

Play Temple (+3) over Dayton* (Bonus NCAA Play)

Temple has won 5 of the last 6 games and they have also covered the spread in 13 of the last 17 games when the line is between +3 to -3. Temple has covered the spread in 22 of the last 30 games when playing conference opponents.

Play LSU (+4.5) over Kentucky (Bonus NCAA Play)

LSU has won 12 of the last 13 conference games and they have also won 10 of the last 12 games coming off an OVER the total. LSU has won 16 of the last 19 games when playing their 2nd game in a week.

NBA Hoops
Play New York (+5.5) over Miami (NBA Top Play)

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Florida State (+1.5) over Clemson (NCAA Power Play)

Florida State
• 9-2 ATS when the line is between +3 to -3
• 11-3 ATS after having won 2 of the last 3 games
• 8-3 SU vs. Clemson at home

10* Take New York (+5.5) over Miami (NBA Power Play)

Miami
• 11-24 ATS vs. New York at home
• 11-23 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons

Bonus Pays
5* Take Iowa State (+10) over Texas A&M (NCAA)
5* Take Ohio State (+10) over Purdue (NCAA)
5* Take Ottawa (-150) over Toronto (NHL)

Eddie Mush

4* UNC -23.5
4* La Tech -3.5
6* Tulsa -7
6* Furman +15
8* Indiana +15
8* JMU +2
8* Ball St. +1.5
12* Wyoming -1
15* Fordham +19.5

BEN BURNS

Feb. TOM

I'm playing on Georgetown and Villanova to finish UNDER the total.

The Wildcats have been playing a lot of high-scoring games of late and that's helped provide us with a very generous over/under number this afternoon. In fact, its one of the higher over/under lines for a game involving Georgetown this season. I believe that its too high. Yes, Georgetown did play a very high-scoring game (94-90) at Syracuse on Valentine's Day. (Note that 26 of those points came in overtime, so the final score wasn't quite as ridiculously high as it first appears.) However, even including that game and we find that the Hoyas' last six games have still averaged only 135 points. Toss out the 26 "overtime points" and those games would have averaged closer to 130. The Hoyas managed a mere 58 points last time out. It was the eighth time in their past 11 games that they scored 67 or less and the fifth time, during the same stretch, that they failed to score more than 60. This afternoon, they'll be facing an under-rated Villanova defense which is allowing only 62 points per game on this floor, while holding opponents to 39% shooting. Despite their big offensive numbers, due to the strong defensive numbers and the high over/under lines, the Wildcats have still seen six of their 11 lined home games finish below the number. That brings the UNDER to a profitable 23-14 in their lined home games the past three seasons. Four of the last five games in this series have also finished below the total. Those games averaged only 118.6 combined points with the last game here at Villanova finishing with a final score of 58-55. Look for this afternoon's game to also prove lower-scoring than most are expecting. *Feb. TOM

I'm playing on VANDERBILT.

The Gamecocks come in with the better record and off a big win over Kentucky, they're the team which is currently "on a roll." However, with this game being played at Nashville, the Commodores are currently slight favorites for good reason. The Gamecocks did win by 10 when these teams faced each other at South Carolina exactly one month ago. That's not all that surprising though, as both teams are much stronger on their homecourt. South Carolina is 4-5 on the road. Vanderbilt is 11-4 at home. Note that the Commodores are also 14-3 SU the last 17 times that they were attempting to avenge an earlier road loss. Yes, the Gamecocks come off a big win over Kentucky. However, that was at home and its not always easy to follow up that type of victory with another one. The Commodores can attest to that as they just beat Kentucky by double-digits and then followed it up by losing at Florida. That loss was costly, as they'd been hoping to make the race in the SEC Eastern Division a five-team affair. Off that disappointing defeat, they suffered a letdown last time out, losing to Georgia. They're finished "moping" now though and I expect them to bounce back with a huge effort. Even with last month's loss, the Commodores have still won five of the last six meetings in this series. They're 45-7 their last 52 games here and are holding opponents to just 62.1 points per game (38.3% shooting) here on the season. I expect homecourt to be the difference and look for the Gamecocks to fall to 6-12 SU/ATS the last 18 times they were road underdogs (or pick'em) of three points or less.

GOY

I'm laying the points with WASHINGTON.

This is an absolutely huge game for the Huskies. That's because they're on the verge of making history. With Thursday's thrilling 73-70 OT win over Arizona State, the Huskies need just one win in their last two conference games to take at least a share of their first Pac-10 title since 1985. Wins in both, or one win and losses by the three second-place teams, and Washington will get its first outright conference title since 1953. The Huskies don't want to rely on anyone else though and definitely want to take care of business themselves. As forward Quincy Pondexter had to say: "It's so close we can taste it." The Huskies are coming off a momentum-building victory over Arizona State. After failing to put it away in regulation, they regrouped and won it on OT, showing the type of resolve this team has. Senior guard Justin Dentmon, who had a key turnover at the end of regulation, led the way with six points in the overtime period. Star Jon Brockman had this to say of his teammate: "Anyone would have put their head down and been out of it for the rest of the game after that turnover. Justin came back and won the game for us." Conversely, the Wildcats are coming off back to back losses, more recent a demoralizing double-digit defeat at Washington State. I used the word "demoralizing" as they were up by double-digits but were outscored 43-24 to close the game. Of course, that's a sign of the times as these Wildcats aren't as strong as many of the Arizona teams we've come to know in the past. With Thursday's loss, the Wildcats are now an ugly 2-8 on the road, going 4-6 against the number. On the other hand, the Huskies are 15-1 at home, going 9-5 ATS in lined games here. While wrapping up the Pac-10 is obviously their primary focus, it's also worth noting that the Huskies, who lost at Arizona, are 3-1 ATS (4-0 SU) on the season when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. The Huskies, 7-1 ATS on the season when playing with one or less day's rest in between games, know that opportunities like this are few and far between. They're outscoring teams by an 81.6 to 66.9 margin on this floor, including a 9-point win over UCLA on 1/24. I won with the Huskies in that game and I expect them to win this one in far more convincing fashion. *GOY

Andrew Powers Guaranteed Selections

COLLEGE BASKETBALL UNDERDOG POWER PLAY OF THE YEAR

SO MISSISSIPPI +23

Brandon Lang

20-Dime Villanova

20-Dime Florida State

20-Dime LSU

5-Dime James Madison

5-Dime Rice

5-Dime Virginia Tech

FREE - Oklahoma State

NOTE: Expecting big things today. Big things. Nobody knows better than I do right now just how important not only today is but just how important this month of March is thru the Championship game in April. Throughout the course of a calendar year there are quite a few defining moments for a handicapper like me and most of the time I have been able to meet them head on with more successes than failures. Today is one of those defining moments. When the NCAA championship game has come and gone, anybody who rolled with me today going forward will look back on today as the day it all turned around. That is how good I feel about today. The best I have felt about a college basketball card all year long. So without further adieu, let's get after my biggest College basketball day of the year. 20-Dime Villanova - 20-Dime Florida State - 20-Dime LSU - 5-Dime James Madison - Can't pass up this kind of value with JMU today. After imploding at home in the 2nd half of the VCU game, they find themselves in the roll of road dog, a roll they have been very profitable in. As part of their 8-2 ATS run on the highway this year, they are 6-1 ATS when getting points. This is a team still playing their best basketball of the year winning 4 of their last 7 SU and 6-1 ATS. Their 3 losses have been an OT loss at Hofstra, an OT loss at VCU and the home loss Wednesday night. It was supposed to be a promising year for Delaware but it's been a disaster at 12-18. Bottom line is when you start losing to the 10-20 Towson State's of the world, you are not going to beat a better road tested James Madison team tonight. Grab the small dog. 5-Dime Rice - Don't think all is well with Tommy Penders and his Houston Cougars. They have lost 2 of their last 3 overall including back to back road losses at Marshall and Tulsa. Personally I don't think there is enough basketball in the gym for Coleman and Lewis to get the amount of shots they both want and it's starting to wear on the team. This team is just 5-5 SU and 3-7 ATS their last 10 and are facing a Rice team that won't be intimidated by them. The Owls come off perhaps their best win of the year, winning outright at UCF on Wednesday night as a 12-point dog. Furthermore, they are facing a Houston team they will be confident against, having played them tough back on February 7th, losing by 7 as an 18 point underdog. Rice is playing with a renewed confidence covering 6 of their last 7 games overall and 4-0 ATS their last 5 on Saturday. In a game I feel goes right down to the wire, grab the generous amount of points with a live dog today. 5-Dime Virginia Tech - Still not a believer in Duke. No real inside threat. Just a bunch of guards waiting to jack up 3's off Gerald Henderson penetration. They can be had and I believe Virginia Tech, like Boston College, Clemson and Michigan before them, takes care of business at home today. Duke is just 2-5 ATS last 7 overall and 1-4 ATS their last 5 road games. V'tech can play, as evidenced by their road wins over Clemson, Miami/Florida and Wake Forest so understand this team can get after it. They are in a great revenge spot having gotten drilled by Duke in the first meeting January 4th getting outscored in the 2nd half by 17. Virginia Tech is a rock solid 10-3 ATS last 13 as an underdog and I truly believe it's a different story at home today as the Hokies punch Duke right in the mouth and get the cover.