Dave Malinsky
Added
6* Purdue/Ohio state Under
Rocketman
Southern Miss @ Memphis
Play:3* Southern Miss +23
Southern Miss is 9-2 ATS last 3 years against good defensive teams allowing 64 points per game or less after 15 or more game. Southern Miss is 13-4 ATS last 3 years against good defensive teams allowing 64 points per game or less. Golden Eagles are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater. My four sets of power ratings have Memphis winning by only 10.19, 23, 22.27 and 17 points. We'll play Southern Miss for 3 units today!
Opposite Action Plays
VIRGINIA TECH
Rocketman Sports
UCLA
Ron Raymond
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS
Raging Bull
Utah Jazz -15
Oklahoma City Thunder/Memphis Grizzlies over 197
NCAA:
UCLA -2
Tennessee State -2
Jacksonville State -4
Citadel -6
LSU/Kentucky over 141
Clemson/Florida State over 139
Duke/Virginia Tech over 144
Craig Davis
40 Dimer Utah St
Steve Liebman
Purdue -9 vs. Ohio State
Purdue fell 2 games behind Michigan State when they were upset on the road at Michigan the last time out. Purdue is looking for revenge for an earlier close loss to Ohio State. Look for Purdue to shoot better at home and get their revenge today with a big win. Play: Purdue -9
Adam H. Meyer
Clemson -1 vs. FSU
Play: Clemson -1
Temple +3.5 vs. Dayton
Play: Temple +3.5
Texas A&M -10 vs. Iowa State
The Aggies are 14-2 at home while ISU is 2-8 on the road. The Aggie defense is too strong for Iowa State, who is prone to turnovers. Texas A and M will shut down ISU’s Brackett, their leading scorer, and win this one rather easily at home.Play: Texas A&M -10
Miami Heat -5.5 vs. New York Knicks
Both teams are coming off losses last night but the Heat is playing at home where they’re 19-10. The Knicks are a horrid 7-20 on the road. The Knicks are in a bad spot here and the Heat should capitalize on the home court advantage.Play: Miami Heat -5.5
Memphia Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma Thunder
Play: Over 204 Points
Tommy Ryder
College Basketball Game of the Year
Oklahoma State -110
I am not a big fan of this Texas team, as I think they are the most overrated squad in the country. The Longhorns are coming off two emotional wins and now they must travel to one of the Big 12's toughest venues to face the red-hot Cowboys. OSU has won four straight and our playing its best ball of the year. Sitting at 18-9 on the season, a win over Texas at home could very well put the Cowboys in the Big Dance. This is a great spot for what will be a charged-up OSU squad. I really like the way the Cowboys match up in this game and as long as they don't shoot ice cold from beyond the arc, a huge part of their game, I expect OSU to win this game by at least 10 points and take one step closer to an NCAA Tournament bid.
Wunderdog
Adding NBA
Oklahoma City at Memphis
4 units Oklahoma City +7.5
The Oklahoma City Thunder made a bit of a surge after opening the season 3-29. They suddenly got hot and went 8-6, but have reverted to form going winless in their last seven. Or have they? They played those seven games against six teams that are above .500 on the season. They still remain a hot commodity as an underdog as they are 28-11 ATS in their last 39 as a dog. The Grizzlies success this season, what little there has been, can be measured in two runs. They had a 5-1 burst, and a 4-1 run, and sandwiched around it is a 7-44 mark. Unfortunately for them, they are not in such a run right now, and to be a heavy favorite here is certainly not with any value. They have played just eight games all season where they would cover this big a spread. The Thunder has been a cash cow as a dog, so I'll take them here.
Houston at Chicago
2 units Houston +1
The Rockets are a hot team right now posting wins in their last six games. Three of them were to below .500 teams and by an average of 19 points per game. The Bulls have cooled down after a nice run, having won just one of their last four. The Rockets have the defense in order, and after allowing 75 or less in their last game, they have gone 5-1 ATS. The Bulls haven't been doing well against teams that have a losing road record, dropping their last five in this situation. I'm going with the Rockets here, who are on a nice run.
Washington at Milwaukee
4 units UNDER 207.5
The Milwaukee offense and rotation has really taken a hit with the loss of Alexander, Bogut, and Redd. It appears to be catching up to them after several games over 100 points, they have gone two straight under the century mark. The Wizards are offensively starved on the road where they have reached the century mark just three times in their last 19 games. The Wizards have also played six of their last seven against the NBA Central UNDER, as well as playing UNDER to a 7-3 mark against teams that have a .600 or higher home winning percentage. I like this one to go UNDER the total.
The Hammer Guaranteed Selections
HIGH ROLLER COLLEGE HOOPS GAME Of THE YEAR
Mississippi St -5
Ferringo.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #535 Cleveland State (+7) over Butler (Noon, Saturday, Feb. 28)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 125.5 Cleveland State at Butler (Noon, Saturday, Feb. 28)
Three of the last four meetings between these two teams have gone to the underdog and have been decided by 2, 5 and 4 points. This is a solid rivalry situation and I think that Cleveland State will be up to the task. Cleveland State completely outplayed Butler in the first meeting but they couldn’t put the ball in the basket and the Bulldogs won on a fluke buzzer beater. CSU had led for that entire game and really controlled the flow. But they were just 1-for-11 from 3-point land and a disgusting 17-for-29 from the free throw line. If they work the boards, play the strong perimeter defense that they are known for, and make a few shots then I really think CSU could win this game.
1-Unit Play. Take #520 Villanova (-6.5) over Georgetown (Noon, Saturday, Feb. 28)
If Georgetown has proven one thing this year it's that they aren't an NCAA Tournament team. Villanova is still the X-Factor out of the Big East and I feel like they are still a bit below the national radar. When you strip away some of the B.S. storylines here we simply have a top tier Big East team against a team from the bottom of the second tier. I noted earlier this week that top tier teams have dominated the rest of the league ATS and I expect a similar result here. Nova is too tough at home and I look for this young Georgetown team to fold in the second half, and not be able to keep up with the scoring.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #535 Cleveland State (+7) over Butler (Noon, Saturday, Feb. 28)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 125.5 Cleveland State at Butler (Noon, Saturday, Feb. 28)
Three of the last four meetings between these two teams have gone to the underdog and have been decided by 2, 5 and 4 points. This is a solid rivalry situation and I think that Cleveland State will be up to the task. Cleveland State completely outplayed Butler in the first meeting but they couldn’t put the ball in the basket and the Bulldogs won on a fluke buzzer beater. CSU had led for that entire game and really controlled the flow. But they were just 1-for-11 from 3-point land and a disgusting 17-for-29 from the free throw line. If they work the boards, play the strong perimeter defense that they are known for, and make a few shots then I really think CSU could win this game.
1-Unit Play. Take #520 Villanova (-6.5) over Georgetown (Noon, Saturday, Feb. 28)
If Georgetown has proven one thing this year it's that they aren't an NCAA Tournament team. Villanova is still the X-Factor out of the Big East and I feel like they are still a bit below the national radar. When you strip away some of the B.S. storylines here we simply have a top tier Big East team against a team from the bottom of the second tier. I noted earlier this week that top tier teams have dominated the rest of the league ATS and I expect a similar result here. Nova is too tough at home and I look for this young Georgetown team to fold in the second half, and not be able to keep up with the scoring.
3-Unit Play. Take #643 San Diego State (-4) over TCU (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
The Aztecs have lost three of four games outright (four straight ATS) and are coming off a stunning blown game against BYU at home. They are desperate and absolutely have to get this game. Prior to blowout losses at New Mexico and BYU they had won three straight road games ATS. The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and TCU is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 conference games. TCU hasn’t been good at home and hasn’t been a good underdog after their fast start. SDSU simply needs this one much worse and they are the more talented, experienced team here.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #549 UTEP (-3.5) over Tulane (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
Banking on the Miners as the better team in this one and this is a good price. UTEP is a little undervalued after their game against SMU this week. But that was a letdown spot against an in-state rival. And they did manage to come back in the second half and win in OT. Tulane has been covering quite a few games recently, but I think it’s a bit misleading because they have been playing teams even weaker than themselves. The Miners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games and 4-1 ATS as a road chalk. This is a team that I’ve followed closely all year and I think they come through for us yet again.
2-Unit Play. Take #653 South Carolina (+1.5) over Vanderbilt (9 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
The Gamecocks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games against Vandy and the ‘Dores are a feeble 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. I don’t think that Vandy’s guards will be able to keep up with USC’s and the Cocks still have a lot to play for as they make their tournament push. They are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five conference road trips. Just backing the better team and looking for USC’s forwards to keep Andrew Ogilvy in check.
2-Unit Play. Take #539 Wake Forest (-6.5) Virginia (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
If you weren’t sure, I think that Virginia flat out sucks. They are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings with Wake. The Demon Deacons took the first meeting by 16 and should be right around there again today. Wake has been awful on the road – losing four straight – and that’s keeping this number in the playable range. But I think they’ll make it happen and their talent is just far superior to that of the Cavs.
2-Unit Play. Take #583 Wyoming (-1) over Air Force (6 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
The books keep playing Air Force like they’re going to win a game any day now. Yes, the Falcons are 0-13 in league play and Wyoming is beatable here in a road spot. But until Air Force actually wins a game – or at least threatens with some covers – we have to keep fading them. Wyoming is a team that is getting better and will be dangerous in the conference tournament. I like them to pick up a rare MWC road win. They are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings and 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to Air Force. The Falcons are just 17-38-1 ATS in their last 56 conference games.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #569 Georgia State (+14.5) over VCU (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
VCU is just 2-6 ATS as a favorite and just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games overall. They won the first meeting by 15 points and I think they might take the Panthers lightly. Georgia State covered the four previous meetings – all as sizeable underdog – and I think they can hang around here. VCU is playing for the CAA title. I think the books have shaded the lines too much here against a GSU team that has hit its stride. They have won four straight – including a win at Northeastern – and they are 6-2 SU in their last eight games overall. VCU gets the win, and the title, but the Panthers make them work for it.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #602 Richmond (-7) over George Washington (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
The Spiders are great at home and should handle the Colonels. GW is 9-21-3 ATS on the road and they lost by 12 points to Richmond at home earlier this year. Richmond is 4-1 ATS in its last five games and will take care of business at home. GW is coming off an emotional OT win over Charlotte and due for a letdown. Three of their last four road games have been losses of 10 points or more and they are facing a Richmond team that shoots over 50 percent from the field at home.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #563 Wisconsin-Milwaukee (-2.5) over Detroit (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
UW-Milwaukee has played a brutal schedule recently and that's why they have slipped in the Horizon standings. But they have played all of the best teams in the division tough and this is their first "cupcake" in weeks. We'll keep fading against Detroit as I don't think they will win this game.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #665 Arizona State (-1.5) over Washington State (5 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
I don’t care what they’ve done lately – I think that Washington State is garbage. Arizona State is definitely in a letdown spot after their loss at Washington. But they could also be really pissed off and motivated to take care of a feeble Cougars team. Wazzou won the first meeting - and have won five straight - but I don't think that they will earn a sweep and I think ASU gets some revenge. Arizona State is on a 5-1 ATS run. And even though they didn't deserve that cover at Washington they deserve this one. They win in a dog fight.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #615 Cornell (-6) over Harvard (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
If I see Cornell laying less than 10 points in a conference game it’s awfully tough not to make a move on them. They are by far the best team in the Ivy League. And although this is another rivalry game Cornell has dominated the last two meetings with Harvard, winning by 21 this year and by 31 to end last year. The Big Red are also coming off back-to-back dominating road efforts, winning by 40 at Brown and by 18 at Dartmouth. Harvard has come on lately, covering four straight, and are starting to look like the team I thought would be the Ivy’s No. 2. Cornell defends the 3-point line very well and with a win can lock up at least a share of the Ivy League title.
Today's Teasers
As always, these plays are mainly for our online bettors. They represent only a small percentage of our total number of plays today - there are 22.5 Units and over 10+ other games to play if you don't want these. If you don't bet these games we will honor our guarantee - we win you money or you play for free - without them. I like the plays and my job is to make you money by any means necessary. I think these are solid ways to do just that. I had pretty much stopped using teasers in the middle of the year but we've been doing really well with them lately. So there you go. Enjoy.
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #585 Portland (+9) over Santa Clara (6 p.m.) AND Take #534 Northwestern (-2) over Iowa (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #635 Youngstown State (+10.5) over Valparaiso (8 p.m.) and Take #599 Wisconsin-Green Bay (+7) over Wright State (7 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #650 California (+7) over UCLA (9 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28) AND Take #632 Arkansas-LR (-3.5) over Lafayette (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 28)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #602 Richmond (-2) over George Washington (7 p.m.) AND Take #553 Oklahoma (-4) over Texas Tech (3:30 p.m.)
That's it for today. Big card, but we've been able to make some solid moves on Saturdays so let's try to keep it rolling. I also have leans on Iowa State, Ohio State, Jacksonville State, Oklahoma and Florida International. You absolutely HAVE to put Oklahoma in a teaser today. I like them to win and to cover the normal line, but they have to go in a teaser because they are not going to lose to Texas Tech today. That game shouldn't be close.
Jamie Tursini
Washington at Milwaukee
Pick: Under 209
Both played yesterday and looking at their "totals" on 0 days rest really stands out.
Washington has played 12 games with 0 days rest and average a score of 92.8 to 102.7 for a total of 195.4.
Milwaukee has played 17 games with 0 days rest and average a score of 95.8 to 97.4 for a total of 193.2.
I'll play the under.
MTi Sports
Washington at Milwaukee
Play: Under 207.5
Washington is of a home win over the Bulls in which they held Chicago to 39.5% shooting. Ben Gordon was 3-of-14 and Luol Deng was 2-of-8 from the field. The Wizards committed only ten turnover and held the Bulls to 18 and 16 points in the first and fourth quarters respectively. A win in this type of methodical, defensive effort will have the Wizards focused on defense again here. Washington is 0-10 OU as a dog with no rest after a win in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was at least eight, staying under by an average of 17.1 ppg. Also, Washington is 0-8 OU as a road dog after a win in which their DPA was minus 15 points or less, falling short of the number by an average of 15.1 ppg.Milwaukee is off furious late comeback last night. They trailed by 17 points with four minutes to go in the game, but took a 94-93 lead with ten seconds remaining before losing 95-94. The Bucks are 0-7 OU at home with at most one day of rest off a loss of four points or fewer in which they trailed by double digits, staying under by an average of a whopping 17.9 ppg.The Bucks are going for the season sweep here. In their last meeting, Caron Butler was a miserable 2-13 from the field and had no assists. In this revenge situation, he will focus on defense and rebounding and this leads to the UNDER. Indeed, the Wizards are 0-10 OU when seeking revenge for a loss in which Caron Butler shot worse than 33% from the field, staying under by an average of 15.4 ppg. Five of the ten games in the trend are from THIS season.The OU lines in their first two meetings this season were 188’ and 191 respectively. What justification is there for this tremendous leap in OU line?? Clearly, the line value here is with the UNDER.
MTi’s FORECAST: Washington 104 MILWAUKEE 91
executive
650% N'Western -7 this is their biggest play of the year
450% Miss State -5
CTO
11* TX A&M
10* G Mason
10* N Western
Executive
650% N'Western -7
450% Miss State -5
C-Stars Sports
5000 units Huge Top Play Western Kentucky plus the points over Middle Tennessee St.
1000 Units Washington minus the points over Arizona
1000 units Louisiana State/Kentucky over the total
50 units Morehead St/Tenn-Martin undet the total
Rocco Vincintore
GOY Creighton -7.5
Hoops Guru
Texas A&M -10
Purelock
Idaho
ASA
10* Midwest game of year
Purdue
HELMUT
Missouri State/ Indiana State Over 129.5
Georgia Southern/Davidson Under 148.5
Dr Bob
2 Star Selection
SANTA CLARA (-4) over Portland
Santa Clara is a better team than their 14-16 record suggests and the Broncos nearly beat the Pilots up in Portland despite their poor out-side shooting. The Broncos lost that game 52-53 (as a 4 ½ point dog) while only making 5 of 21 3-point shots compared to 6 for 13 from beyond the arc for Portland. Portland is a good 3-point shooting team (41.5%), but Santa Clara has made 34.9% from 3-point range for the season and I don’t expect such a randomly big discrepancy in 3-point shooting in this game. Most telling in that first meeting was how Santa Clara big man John Bryant (6-10, 305 pounds and 2nd in the nation in rebounding) dominated the Pilots’ skinny post tandem of Robin Smeulders and Kramer Knutson. Bryant had 15 points and 22 rebounds while Smeulders and Knutson combined to miss all 11 shots they took for a total of 1 point and 7 rebounds. Bryant has been playing like a man with NBA aspirations lately and he should dominate the paint again while Portland isn’t as likely to be as fortunate in the long range shooting category as they were in the first meeting. My ratings favor Santa Clara by 4 ½ points and the Broncos apply to a solid 73-23-6 ATS last home game situation. Portland hasn’t beaten a team as good as Santa Clara on the road this season (their best road win was a 3 point win at UC Davis, who I rate as 6 points worse than Santa Clara. I’ll take Santa Clara in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less and for 3-Stars at -3 or less.2-Stars at -4 or less.
3 Star Selection
Wyoming (pk) over AIR FORCE
Air Force played an easy non-conference schedule and the Falcons’ brand of basketball tends to work best on teams that are not used to their style of play. Non-conference foes know how to play against Air Force and the Falcons’ lack of talent has been exposed in conference play, as Air Force is 0-13 straight up in the conference (2-11 ATS). Air Force is now 3-31 ATS in regular season conference games when not getting 12 points or more against a team with a win percentage of greater than .600, including 0-6 ATS this season and that includes a 59-72 loss as a 7 ½ point dog at Wyoming. There are 5 good teams in the Mountain West and Wyoming finds themselves in 6th place while struggling against those good teams (2-6 straight up and 3-5 ATS), but the Cowboys are 4-1 straight up and 5-0ATS against the other 3 teams in the MWC (TCU, Colorado State, and Air Force), with the only loss coming by 1 point as a 7 ½ point dog. Air Force hasn’t come close to beating one of the 5 good teams in the conference and the Falcons are 0-5 straight up and 0-5 ATS against TCU, CSU, and Wyoming. My ratings favor Wyoming by 4 ½ points, which gives us good line value on the Cowboys today. I’ll take Wyoming in a 3-Star Best Bet at -1 or better and for 2-Stars at -1 ½ or -2 points.3-Stars at -1 or better, 2-Stars at -1 1/2 or -2.
THanks for the help today Guitar0408 😉