THE GOLD SHEET'S HOOP LATE PHONE SERVICE
NBA:
MEMPHIS +5½ over Philadelphia
OKLAHOMA CITY +13 over New Orleans
College:
ARIZONA -6½ over Stanford
CAL IRVINE +5½ over CS Fullerton
SAINT LOUIS -3 over La Salle
SANTA CLARA Pick over San Diego 6:00 PM (at Las Vegas; Team #650)
Scott Delaney
20-Dime San Diego State Aztecs
The inconsistent Rebels will lose their footing tonight in San Diego, and once again fall flat on their faces on the road. It’s been the same ol’ story when this team is on the highway, and tonight’s it’ll be more about Senior Night inside the Cox Arena for the 20-8 Aztecs, rather than the scrambling Rebels who are clinging to the road win at Louisville for hopes of making it to the Big Dance.
Quite frankly, I think there's a lot riding on this game as far as the NCAA Tournament is concerned – for both teams – and I’d much rather take a team that has been able to produce at home, than a team that hasn’t been able to do a thing when ordering room service.
San Diego State already knocked off the Rebels, one month ago in Vegas, ending their 27-game home winning streak in Mountain West Conference play. And let’s not forget, the Rebels were the preseason pick to win the league, but they currently reside in fifth place thanks to a 2-5 road record in conference play
Jefferson
Stanford +6
RAS
UCSB Under 135
Lee Kostroski
8* Thunder/Hornets Under 190.5
Dr Bob
RICHMOND (+6) over Xavier
Richmond applies to a 78-34-3 ATS last home game situation that is 26-4-1 ATS when applying to underdogs of 3 points or more. The Spiders are 20-6 ATS as an underdog of 3 points or more the last two seasons (9-2 ATS this season), including 7-0 ATS at home. Unfortunately, my ratings favor Xavier by 7 points in this game, so I’ll just lean with the Spiders at +6 or +6 ½ points and I’d take Richmond in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 or more.
Niagara (-13) over Marist
Niagara had a tough time with Marist this season, losing by 18 points on the road and winning by just 10 points as an 18 point home favorite last weekend. However, those games should give coach Joe Mihalich some ammunition to get his team focused and the Purple Eagles apply to a solid 57-20-2 ATS conference tournament big favorite situation. My ratings favor Niagara by 13 points, so the line is fair, but I’ll just lean with the Purple Eagles at -13 points and I’d take Niagara in a 2-Star Best Bet at -12 ½ points or less.
Rider (-5 ½) over St. Peter’s
Rider and St. Peter’s split their two games this season with Rider winning by 11 points on a neutral floor and St. Pete’s winning by 1 point at Rider. For Rider to out-score the Peacocks by a total of 10 points overall is impressive given that St. Pete’s made a ridiculous 17 of 30 3-point shots in those two games (compared to 17 of 44 for Rider). Three-point shooting percentages are highly variable from game to game, so it was mostly just good fortune that the Peacocks made 57% of their 3-pointers against Rider. My math model projects each team to make 37% from long range when pitted against each other and if each team shot their expected percentages from 3-point range and from the free-throw line then Rider would have won those games by a combined 23 points rather than 10 points. While Rider seems to match-up pretty well with St. Peter’s, and the Broncs apply to a very good 141-44-5 ATS conference tournament situation, I am going to pass on this game as a Best Bet because of the lack of line value. The line opened at 4 ½ points and my ratings favor Rider by 4.8 points, but the line has climbed to 5 ½ and 6 points and I’m not willing to give up the line value to make this game a Best Bet. I’ll lean with the Broncos at -6 or -5 ½ points and I’ll take Rider in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less.
ROCKETMAN
LA Kings
Columbus
Edmonton
Ottawa
4-0!!!! Blade,our friend is on fire,isn't it? Imressive!
I was so busy yesterday I didn't get a chance to play any of them :'(
Charlie was 0 -4 with his 500* plays yesterday. 😮
A week ago people were dying for his big plays and now he can't buy a winner. 😀
I was so busy yesterday I didn't get a chance to play any of them :'(
Me too,i saw them this morning :'(
Charlie was 0 -4 with his 500* plays yesterday. 😮
A week ago people were dying for his big plays and now he can't buy a winner. 😀
I am Fading everything accept Rocketman 😀