Brian King
50 dime Utah
ProPicksWeekly
15˜ Purdue -3.5 ov Illinois
10˜ ARIZONA STATE -1.5 ov USC
10˜ Utah State +1 ov NEVADA
KBHoops
5* Duquesne +4.5 **POD**
5* Duke -9
5* Louisville -7
5* Buffalo +2
INDIAN COWBOY
4 Unit Play. Take Baylor +5.5 over Missouri
You might be even able to get +6 or even +6.5 if you just wait before the evening tip-off for this game. We are going to ride the coattails of Baylor today. For starters, Baylor is on a mission and they are the darlings of the Refs as well. Why wouldn't they be...lol...they need this game to go to the Dance and they will certainly get all the help from the Big12 who will want them to win this game so they can sneak one more team in. Like I said in the above analysis, that is what is happening with Syracuse, Auburn, Miss. State, USC, Maryland, Temple and everywhere else - this is what conferences do to take their bubble teams and let the rise so they can fit that one to two extra teams in. Baylor is also playing lights out. This team put up 76 points against a Texas team that is known more for defense. The last time these two teams met, yes, Missouri beat this team by double-digits on the road. But, that Baylor team and this Baylor team are different. After all, that Baylor team lost to Kansas by 10 at home, this Baylor team beat Kansas by 7. That Baylor team lost to Nebraska by 4 at home, this Baylor team beat Nebraska by 16 away from home. That Baylor team lost to Texas by 6 at home and 16 on the road and this Baylor team beat Texas by 6 at home. So, please don't tell me what Baylor has done in the regular season as that is irrelevant and what they have done winning as Outright dogs over the last 3 games shows that - This team was +1 against Nebraska, +8 against Kansas and +4.5 against Texas. So, why would we be on Baylor today at +5 with 70% of the public riding Missouri. Missouri is beatable. They have been shaky on the road of late losing to A&M, getting beat by 25 to Kansas on the road, losing to Nebraska on the road earlier this year as well as Kansas State. Yes, this team beat Texas Tech and had a good game against Oklahoma State, but I have Baylor as a 45% shot at an Outright Winner here. Plus, I like the 5.5 points here as that gives us an additional 10% chance of covering according to my spreadsheets and I will gladly take the 55% shaved coin in our favor as we ride the Dog that I believe can win Outright.
4 Unit Play. USC +1.5 over Arizona State
Let's ride Southern Cal in what is a semi-home game on CBS in Staples Arena in Los Angeles. Look, I can give you the long end of the analysis or the short end. The short end is this, the Pac-10 needs another team in there, Southern Cal has the crowd behind them in this contest, will have some home cooking calls, this is why the line is short at +1.5 (if you wait until later in the day you can get +2 or even +2.5) and the public is prime to get buried to a tune of 73%. Arizona State comes off some huge wins, but they did lose to this Southern Cal team earlier in the year by 12 which peole forget on the road. Yes, Arizona State held serve and won by 12 with revenge later in the year at home. Well, guess what, this is not at home. This is on the road, in L.A., at the Staples Center. How else do you think USC made it this far, they are playing basically home games in each one of these tourney games and they are loving it. I like Arizona State as they are a well coached team - but they did loes to Washington on the road in OT, they did lose to Washington State on the road in OT, they did lose to Stanford at home by 10 who is a top 50 team and USC is a top 30 team at that playing a semi-home game. In short, we are fading the public, we are taking the semi-home team, we have the team with the latest revenge angle, Arizona State is "not all that" on the highway this year, and we should get the home calls here as once again the Pac-10 would love to see another one of its teams in and if USC wins here - they roll in and Arizona State is a lock to go to the Dance this year already. Remember when Chattanooga beat App. State for the Southern Conference Championship? This was the same line, the same public percentage. Well, this time, we are on the "potential fix". Yes, I said it. Look for the foul count to be in our favor here. Give me the Trojans who are strong at home to bury the public here.
Stu Feiner
2500 Dime Usc
2500 Dime Louisville
Teddy June
Nevada
Private Players - USC
SCOTT RICKENBACH
TOP PLAY
SA SPURS
TOM FREESE
LOUISVILLE
anybody seen Ic's nba play? tia.
anybody seen Ic's nba play? tia.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 192.5 between Charlotte Bobcats @ Minnesota Timberwolves (Saturday @ 8:05pm est). Glad we were able to cash with the Warriors yesterday over the Mavs. That brings us to 3-2 on the week and if we can cash today, we will secure a winning week and 9 of 12 winning weeks in the NBA. Let's get it done. I looked at several games today including the Jazz with revenge (public is on them however and I hate going against Miami), or OKC/L.A. Clippers but the Suns are desperate and the Nuggets played well with moer team involvement against OKC and no Randolph for the Clippers today. So, that brings us to the Under in Minny. The last time these two teams met, the total was 190 in Charlotte with the Bobcats winning by 10. The last game in Minny was against the Knicks, where the Twolves were only able to scrounge up 94 points - folks, that's bad in an up and down game. But, they did hold the Knicks to 102 points. Why would they not be able to hold a Charlotte team to less than 100 points, which they only gave up 100 on the road, but holding to less than a 100 on their home floor not to mention holding the Knicks to 102 in their last game. I bet you Charlotte does not score more than 95 points. In that same token, have you see the Minny Injury report. Of course, no Jefferson and Brewer for the Season, Foye is questionable for this game with an ankle injury, Carney is questionable due to an abdominal strain, Ollie is questionable with the flu and Collins is questionable with the flu as well. This team was already weak with reserve help and now they lose several moer players likely. Now, Minny still has Gomes, Smith, Telfair, Miller, and Love but these legs will give way to a Charlotte team that has some big bodies to throw at you and who themselves come off back to back losses as well. I see this game closing in the low 180's at a tune of 95-85. Brick, Brick Brick Baby!
Good luck,
Chris James Sports
Temple
Missouri
Louisville