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(@blade)
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Any JB ?

Didn't get today sorry

 
Posted : April 4, 2009 3:50 pm
(@blade)
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John Ryan

Game: Villanova at North Carolina
Prediction: North Carolina

Reason: Ai Simulator 15* graded play on UNC as the face Villanova. AiS shows an 87% probability that UNC will win this game by 8 or more points. AiS shows a 90% probability that UNC will score 81 or more points. note that Villanova is just 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in road games when they allow 81 or more points in a game since 1997. UNC is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Villanova has played fundamentally sound especially regarding turnovers. Yet, they are just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997. HC Williams is a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in all games he has coached since 1997; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers in all games he has coached since 1997. UNC is also on a nice run noting they are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament over the last 2 seasons. Fundamentally, UNC just has too much size and the speed advantage for Villanova is quite minimal. So many times in history we have seen college teams come back to play for that one last year and for the national Championship. That sort of dedication is quite rare and nearly always pays off. Now, in the Final 4, UNC will look to play quick, fast, and physical right from the start. The higher the score goes the bigger the advantage for UNC - and that means the UNC score. UNC’s tempo will be to get to 80 points as fast as possible and that tempo alone will wear down Villanova throughout the game. Take UNC.

 
Posted : April 4, 2009 6:52 pm
(@blade)
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Dennis Hill

2 unit play North Carolina -7

 
Posted : April 4, 2009 6:52 pm
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Chris James Sports

10* NCAAB Game of Year!

Villanova/UNC Over 161

 
Posted : April 4, 2009 6:52 pm
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Trace Adams

1500* - Michigan State Spartans

500* - Villanova Wildcats

In the nightcap, I give Villanova a shot at staying within striking distance of mighty North Carolina.

No arguing the Tar Heels are probably the best of the 4 teams left standing, but Villanova has plenty of experience - 3 senior starters, and plenty of depth - 8 players are averaging 18 minutes per game.

The Wildcats are quick enough to hang with the Tar Heels, and they are also athletic enough to hang with the Tar Heels, and let's not forget Villanova has already shredded # 2 seed, and ACC rep, Duke rather easily, and the 'Cats also beat back the regionals # 1 seed Pittsburgh last week at the buzzer.

I just don't see Villanova getting blown out in this game.

Let's take the points.

500♦ - Villanova Wildcats

 
Posted : April 4, 2009 6:54 pm
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The Hoops Guru Guaranteed Selections

QUADRUPLE NCAA TOURNAMENT TOTALS WINNER

Villanova and North Carolina UNDER 159.5

 
Posted : April 4, 2009 6:55 pm
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The Booooj

25 units North Carolina -7

 
Posted : April 4, 2009 6:56 pm
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